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Vesuvius PLC (GB:VSVS)
LSE:VSVS
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Vesuvius (VSVS) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:VSVS

Vesuvius

(LSE:VSVS)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
380.00 p
▼(-15.93% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/03/26
The score is held back mainly by weakening financial performance (margin/ROE compression, rising leverage, and prior cash-flow softness) and a bearish technical picture (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these are a supportive dividend yield and a more constructive latest earnings-call outlook, including slightly improved FY26 profit guidance and sharply better H1 cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Recurring consumable revenue
Vesuvius’s business is rooted in consumable refractories and molten-metal flow-control parts that wear out and require repeat replacement. That embedded recurring aftermarket demand ties revenue to customer production volumes, supporting predictable, durable revenue and aftermarket cash flow over months to years.
Negative Factors
Margin and ROE compression
Significant deterioration in margins and ROE points to lasting pressure on profitability from pricing, mix, and cost issues. Persistently lower returns reduce reinvestment capacity, weaken the company’s ability to hit medium-term margin targets and make achieving durable shareholder returns more challenging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring consumable revenue
Vesuvius’s business is rooted in consumable refractories and molten-metal flow-control parts that wear out and require repeat replacement. That embedded recurring aftermarket demand ties revenue to customer production volumes, supporting predictable, durable revenue and aftermarket cash flow over months to years.
Read all positive factors

Vesuvius (VSVS) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Vesuvius Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vesuvius plc, established in 1916 and headquartered in London, United Kingdom, is a global engineering firm delivering specialized services and solutions primarily to the steel and foundry industries. The company operates through its dedicated Ste...
How the Company Makes Money
Vesuvius makes money mainly by selling high-temperature consumable products and related systems that are required for customers’ ongoing production of molten metal, plus revenue from installed equipment and technical services. A core revenue strea...

Vesuvius Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive strategic and financial picture: strong cash generation, improved leverage, clear recovery in the Foundry division (MMS integration success), ongoing structural cost savings ahead of plan, and favorable structural steel market dynamics outside China. These positives were partially offset by identifiable short-term operational disruptions (US supplier/maintenance issues and India ramp-up) and pricing pressure in European Advanced Refractories, which depressed near-term performance by an estimated single-digit millions and created temporary market-share and revenue timing effects. Management communicated concrete remediation actions with timelines (resolution expected by year-end and structural benefits into 2027), supporting confidence in longer-term targets (including 12.5% margin ambition). On balance, the highlights (cash, deleveraging, Foundry strength, cost savings, innovation and favorable market trends) outweigh the transitory lowlights tied to operational issues and regional pricing pressure.
Positive Updates
Revenue Resilience
Group revenue increased by 1.5% on a constant currency basis for H1 2026 despite operational disruptions, supported by positive pricing (~GBP 21m) that more than offset a GBP 16m volume decline.
Negative Updates
Operational Disruptions in Steel Division
Three identified U.S. operational issues (supplier graphite quality defect affecting Charleston/isostatic supply, deficient maintenance in two U.S. plants, loss of process expertise) plus ramp-up difficulties in the new Vizag plant in India. Management estimates these impacted results by ~GBP 6m (U.S.) + GBP 2m (Vizag) and ~GBP 8m overall to the Steel Division in H1.
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Resilience
Group revenue increased by 1.5% on a constant currency basis for H1 2026 despite operational disruptions, supported by positive pricing (~GBP 21m) that more than offset a GBP 16m volume decline.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Vesuvius guided that full‑year 2026 trading profit should be slightly ahead of 2025 on a constant‑currency basis, supported by resolution of H1 operational issues (Steel Division H1 impact ~£8m — c.£6m US + c.£2m India — expected to abate through H2 and disappear by 2027) and a structurally improving steel market (steel production ex China/Russia/Iran/Ukraine +3.8% H1); H1 metrics include revenue +1.5% cc, trading profit £74m (broadly flat y/y cc), return on sales down ~10bp, headline EPS 16.3p (‑0.7% cc) and an interim dividend of 7.1p; financial guidance/targets include an underlying tax rate of ~27% for ’26 and beyond, FY26 capex increased to £75–80m, year‑end leverage to remain around 2x (net debt/EBITDA ~1.9 pro forma), H1 free cash flow +£41.4m to £27.5m with cash conversion 81% (vs 33% prior), working‑capital intensity down from 23.6% to 23.1% (long‑term target 21%), and structural cost savings of £7.4m in H1 with a minimum £55m target by 2028 (FY26 cash cost to achieve £10–12m; H1 non‑cash impairments £10.4m).

Vesuvius Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals have cooled since 2022: revenue has been flat-to-down, margins and ROE have compressed (net margin ~8.8% in 2022 to ~2.9% in 2025; ROE ~14.4% to ~4.6%), leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~0.32 to ~0.57), and cash-flow quality is a key concern given the recent free-cash-flow downtrend and weak cash conversion in 2025.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.82B1.81B1.82B1.93B2.05B1.64B
Gross Profit453.00M450.10M503.70M537.90M561.10M410.40M
EBITDA213.40M198.70M233.00M270.10M289.60M198.80M
Net Income38.20M52.20M87.20M118.50M181.10M102.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.41B2.29B2.28B2.33B2.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.50M190.60M186.40M164.20M184.20M169.10M
Total Debt655.60M641.90M520.20M402.20M441.90M443.70M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.17B1.05B962.00M1.01B1.03B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.12B1.17B1.25B1.26B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow83.90M39.40M70.60M123.90M123.20M700.00K
Operating Cash Flow163.90M117.50M158.70M216.50M212.40M46.20M
Investing Cash Flow-106.60M-118.70M-95.40M-86.20M-88.30M-87.00M
Financing Cash Flow11.00M20.20M-40.50M-128.30M-105.20M-800.00K

Vesuvius Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price452.00
Price Trends
50DMA
442.73
Negative
100DMA
428.49
Negative
200DMA
415.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-21.18
Positive
RSI
30.21
Neutral
STOCH
12.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VSVS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 452 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 422.63, above the 50-day MA of 442.73, and above the 200-day MA of 415.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -21.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:VSVS.

Vesuvius Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
£681.81M-34.04-4.95%3.59%-1.24%-166.15%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
£1.01B18.4511.26%1.89%-11.73%
55
Neutral
£906.42M24.043.36%5.22%1.89%-44.49%
53
Neutral
£624.70M29.976.66%608.88%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:VSVS
Vesuvius
378.60
42.91
12.78%
GB:ELM
Elementis
178.40
7.60
4.45%
GB:VCT
Victrex
811.00
179.50
28.42%
GB:BA05
Morgan Advanced Materials
66.50
-12.25
-15.56%

Vesuvius Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vesuvius Executives Exercise Share Awards and Disclose Equity Transactions
Neutral
Jul 31, 2026
Vesuvius plc has reported share transactions by its top executives, detailing the exercise of awards under the Vesuvius Share Plan granted in 2023 and associated dividend equivalent shares. The notifications concern Chief Executive Officer Patrick...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Vesuvius H1 2026 Profit Hit by Steel Division Issues as Foundry and Cash Flow Strengthen
Neutral
Jul 30, 2026
Vesuvius reported a marginal rise in first‑half 2026 revenue, with adjusted sales edging up at constant currency and free cash flow swinging sharply positive, helping to reduce leverage. Statutory operating profit and earnings fell, however,...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vesuvius flags H1 operational issues but sees 2026 profit edging past 2025
Neutral
Jul 27, 2026
Vesuvius plc reported that trading profit for the first half of 2026 is expected to be around £74m, reflecting ongoing operational issues in its Steel division and a challenging market for Advanced Refractories, particularly in Europe. The co...
DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vesuvius CFO Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
Vesuvius plc has disclosed that its Chief Financial Officer, Mark Collis, has participated in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, with dividend income automatically used to purchase additional ordinary shares in Vesuvius. The evergreen...
Executive/Board Changes
Vesuvius Names Eva Lindqvist Interim Chair of Remuneration Committee
Neutral
May 29, 2026
Vesuvius plc has appointed Senior Independent Director Eva Lindqvist as interim chair of its Remuneration Committee, effective 28 May 2026, following the departure of non‑executive director Italia Boninelli at the close of the company’...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings
Vesuvius Wins Strong Shareholder Backing as All AGM Resolutions Pass
Positive
May 28, 2026
Vesuvius plc reported that shareholders approved all resolutions at its 2026 Annual General Meeting, including receipt of the annual report, declaration of the final dividend, director elections and remuneration decisions. The strong backing acros...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2026