Ferrexpo (GB:FXPO)
LSE:FXPO
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Ferrexpo
(LSE:FXPO)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
78.00 p
▲(131.73% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/07/25
Ferrexpo's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, with declining revenues and profitability being major concerns. Technical analysis provides a more positive outlook with strong momentum indicators. Valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. Corporate events highlight operational challenges but also demonstrate the company's resilience and commitment to responsible business practices.
Positive Factors
Essential product & stable demand
Ferrexpo supplies iron ore pellets, a core input for steelmaking. That structural linkage to steel production underpins durable baseline demand from industrial customers and long-term contracts, supporting predictable volume-based revenues over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and margins
Revenues and key margins have deteriorated materially over recent years, with gross margin halving and net margin turning negative. This signals persistent cost pressures or realizations that undermine the company's ability to restore sustained profitability without structural cost or pricing improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Essential product & stable demand
Ferrexpo supplies iron ore pellets, a core input for steelmaking. That structural linkage to steel production underpins durable baseline demand from industrial customers and long-term contracts, supporting predictable volume-based revenues over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Ferrexpo (FXPO) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£198.05M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.71M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.42
Revenue Growth-5.85%
EPS Growth-413.36%
CountryUK
Employees7,078
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustrySteel
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding598,137,150
10 Day Avg. Volume2,368,046
30 Day Avg. Volume1,714,492
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.40
Price to Book (P/B)0.86
Price to Sales (P/S)0.85
P/FCF Ratio-81.03
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£769.41M
Ferrexpo Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ferrexpo plc, together with its subsidiaries, mines for, develops, processes, produces, markets, exports, and sells iron ore pellets to the metallurgical industry. It operates two mines and a processing plant near Kremenchug in Ukraine; a port in ...
How the Company Makes Money
Ferrexpo generates revenue primarily through the sale of iron ore pellets to steel manufacturers worldwide. Its revenue model is largely based on the volume of pellets produced and sold, alongside market prices for iron ore. The company has establ...
Ferrexpo Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 644.97M | 933.26M | 651.79M | 1.25B | 2.52B | 1.70B |
| Gross Profit | 289.54M | 335.82M | 289.30M | 666.04M | 1.79B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | -209.50M | 42.48M | -8.01M | 438.55M | 1.19B | 861.46M |
| Net Income | -248.76M | -50.05M | -84.78M | 220.00M | 870.99M | 635.29M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 982.69M | 1.19B | 1.35B | 1.35B | 2.09B | 1.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 52.26M | 105.92M | 115.24M | 112.94M | 167.29M | 270.01M |
| Total Debt | 2.72M | 5.08M | 6.95M | 6.55M | 50.35M | 266.48M |
| Total Liabilities | 242.94M | 263.29M | 233.69M | 104.46M | 260.35M | 463.49M |
| Stockholders Equity | 739.68M | 923.59M | 1.11B | 1.25B | 1.83B | 1.49B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -62.29M | -9.79M | -78.00K | 140.25M | 732.96M | 481.44M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 12.47M | 91.90M | 101.17M | 301.26M | 1.09B | 687.22M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -71.16M | -97.53M | -96.55M | -159.30M | -355.29M | -205.47M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.27M | -5.66M | -5.87M | -203.09M | -840.18M | -343.43M |
Ferrexpo Technical Analysis
Negative
33.66
Price Trends
60.05
Negative
64.45
Negative
58.30
Negative
Market Momentum
-5.33
Positive
21.63
Positive
12.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FXPO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.95, below the 50-day MA of 60.05, and below the 200-day MA of 58.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:FXPO.
Ferrexpo Risk Analysis
Ferrexpo disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ferrexpo reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ferrexpo Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | £408.27M | 8.86 | -6.93% | ― | 26.71% | -119.70% | |
65 Neutral | £489.15M | 11.82 | 3.23% | ― | -32.18% | -58.29% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | £198.05M | -0.48 | -29.91% | ― | -5.85% | -413.36% | |
52 Neutral | £13.07M | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | |
51 Neutral | £45.95M | -5.38 | >-0.01% | ― | ― | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
GB:FXPO
Ferrexpo
33.66
-14.84
-30.60%
GB:EVR
EVRAZ plc
81.00
0.00
0.00%
GB:GFM
Griffin Mining
277.00
107.00
62.94%
GB:IRON
Ironveld
0.03
-0.02
-37.50%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
13.70
7.62
125.33%
GB:ZIOC
Zanaga Iron Ore
5.52
-1.47
-21.03%
Ferrexpo Corporate Events
Business Operations and Strategy
Ferrexpo Halts Ukrainian Operations Again Amid Power Infrastructure Attacks
Negative
Jan 20, 2026
Ferrexpo has temporarily suspended its Ukrainian operations and placed part of its workforce on furlough after renewed attacks on the country’s electricity generation and transmission infrastructure disrupted power supplies to its sites. Whi...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ferrexpo Holds Output Above 6m Tonnes in 2025 Despite Escalating War Disruptions
Negative
Jan 14, 2026
Ferrexpo reported that fourth-quarter 2025 iron ore production fell below plan to 1.1 million tonnes due to intensified missile and drone attacks on Ukraine’s energy, transport and port infrastructure, though full-year output remained robust...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ferrexpo Battles War and Tax Headwinds as It Pivots to Premium Iron Ore
Negative
Dec 31, 2025
Ferrexpo’s interim executive chair, Lucio Genovese, used a year-end letter to contrast the company’s 30% share price decline with an 80% surge in the broader Global Mining Index, attributing the underperformance to the ongoing war in U...
Business Operations and Strategy
Ferrexpo Faces Production Disruption Due to Ukrainian Energy Infrastructure Attacks
Negative
Nov 10, 2025
Ferrexpo plc announced that recent attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure have disrupted power supply to its operations, affecting production and exports. Despite the challenges, the company has prepared by maintaining stocks of intermediary a...
Business Operations and Strategy
Ferrexpo Publishes Tenth Annual Responsible Business Report Amid Ongoing Conflict
Positive
Nov 4, 2025
Ferrexpo has released its tenth annual Responsible Business Report for 2024, marking its first report aligned with Global Reporting Initiative standards. Despite the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, Ferrexpo continues to prioritize health and safety, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.