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Griffin Mining Ltd (GB:GFM)
LSE:GFM
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Griffin Mining (GFM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GFM

Griffin Mining

(LSE:GFM)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
192.00p
▲(3.78% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by a stable financial position, though challenged by declining profitability and negative free cash flow. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. These factors collectively result in a moderate stock score.

Griffin Mining (GFM) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Griffin Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGriffin Mining Limited, a mining and investment company, engages in the mining, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company primarily explores for zinc, gold, silver, lead, and base and precious metal deposits. Its principal property is the Caijiaying mine located in Hebei Province, the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as European Mining Finance Ltd. and changed its name to Griffin Mining Limited in January 1998. Griffin Mining Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyGriffin Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of zinc concentrate produced at its Caijiaying mine. The company benefits from the global demand for zinc, which is used in various applications including galvanization, alloys, and batteries. Revenue is significantly influenced by fluctuations in zinc prices on international markets. Additionally, Griffin Mining has established partnerships with local and international buyers to secure sales agreements for its products, which provide a stable revenue stream. The company's focus on efficient production and cost management also contributes to its profitability, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions.

Griffin Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Griffin Mining presents a stable financial position with a strong balance sheet, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, declining revenue and profitability margins, alongside negative free cash flow, highlight potential operational challenges and the need for improved cost management.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Griffin Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin in the latest year was about 35.9%, which is healthy for the industry, but the net profit margin declined to 7.9% from 10.4% the previous year, indicating potential challenges in cost management or pricing pressures. Revenue decreased by 2.3% year-over-year, which reflects a contraction in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also decreased year-over-year, suggesting declining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.002, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is high at approximately 89.2%, showcasing strong equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 4.2%, reflecting stable but not exceptional shareholder returns. The company maintains a solid cash position, which supports financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates some weaknesses. There was a negative free cash flow of -$1.41 million in the latest year, a decline from $25.1 million the previous year, signaling potential issues with cash generation or increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.72, which is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting concerns in operational cash sufficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.60M146.02M100.01M128.87M79.09M
Gross Profit51.25M51.84M38.25M58.42M32.67M
EBITDA42.55M52.69M35.22M53.46M27.68M
Net Income11.35M15.24M7.70M25.38M8.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets305.75M321.22M305.59M320.53M295.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.76M60.01M34.14M38.16M16.43M
Total Debt620.00K739.00K852.00K971.00K383.00K
Total Liabilities33.08M51.47M60.13M57.96M61.77M
Stockholders Equity272.67M269.75M245.47M262.58M233.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.41M25.10M-5.57M22.88M-37.00K
Operating Cash Flow19.58M48.38M15.73M42.88M24.40M
Investing Cash Flow-18.81M-21.89M-20.93M-19.77M-24.33M
Financing Cash Flow-11.63M-555.00K-167.00K-613.00K-2.57M

Griffin Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price185.00
Price Trends
50DMA
187.74
Negative
100DMA
182.95
Positive
200DMA
175.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
46.19
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GFM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 185 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.86, below the 50-day MA of 187.74, and above the 200-day MA of 175.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:GFM.

Griffin Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
£198.98M-8.46-2.26%2.39%-63.09%-253.25%
61
Neutral
£97.54M
56
Neutral
£326.84M50.003.23%-32.18%-58.29%
56
Neutral
£276.35M-7.165.59%5.38%6.65%-159.09%
41
Neutral
£462.17M-16.5641.51%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GFM
Griffin Mining
185.00
18.00
10.78%
GB:ECOR
Ecora Resources
79.90
12.34
18.27%
GB:JLP
Jubilee Metals Group
3.10
-1.70
-35.42%
GB:KMR
Kenmare Resources
312.50
-6.35
-1.99%
SLGGF
SolGold
0.20
0.07
53.85%
GB:KP2
Kore Potash PLC
3.85
0.95
32.76%

Griffin Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Griffin Mining Reports Recovery and Future Prospects Amid Revenue Decline
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited reported its unaudited interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a significant recovery in production during the second quarter after a complete shutdown in late 2024. Despite a 25.7% decrease in revenue compared to the same period in 2024, the company achieved a gross profit of $25.062 million, driven by historically high gold prices which contributed to 46.5% of gross revenues. The company plans to discontinue quarterly trading results due to variability in production, focusing instead on half-yearly and annual results. The upcoming commissioning of Zone II at the Caijiaying Mine is anticipated to further enhance production capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Griffin Mining Receives $30 Million in Dividends from Chinese Subsidiary
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the receipt of $30.3 million in dividends from its Chinese subsidiary, Hebei Hua Ao Mining Industry Company Limited. This boosts the company’s cash reserves outside China to $53.67 million, potentially strengthening its financial position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Griffin Mining Reports Record Gold and Silver Production in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced record production results for gold and silver in the second quarter of 2025, following a recovery from a previous suspension of operations at the Caijiaying Mine. The high production levels, driven by historically high gold prices, have significantly increased precious metal revenues, which now constitute approximately 50% of the company’s total revenues. This development underscores the long-term potential of the Caijiaying Mine, with further expansion expected as Zone II is scheduled to begin production in the last quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Griffin Mining Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited announced that all resolutions presented at their Annual General Meeting on July 2, 2025, were successfully passed. This development indicates strong shareholder support and could positively impact the company’s strategic direction and operational stability, reinforcing its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Griffin Mining Reinstates Share Buy-Back Programme to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the reinstitution of its share buy-back programme, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10 million shares or $10 million worth of shares until December 2025. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder value by purchasing shares on the London Stock Exchange under the Market Abuse Regulation’s safe harbour provisions. The company has also reserved the right to purchase large blocks of shares to stabilize share prices and may consider a tender offer for non-US shareholders. The announcement follows a previous buyback programme that ended in April 2025, which saw the purchase and cancellation of over 1.2 million shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025