Griffin Mining (GFM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £325.08M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 566.76K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 49.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.13
• Revenue Growth: -32.18%
• EPS Growth: -58.29%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 497
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 176,672,180
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 528,413
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 566,764
• PEG Ratio: -1.24
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.25
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.39
• P/FCF Ratio: -241.23
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £240.00
• Price Target Upside: 31.15% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: 190.00p ▲(3.83% Upside)

Griffin Mining's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position but highlights concerns over declining profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, while the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts the stock's attractiveness.

Griffin Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Griffin Mining Limited, a mining and investment company, engages in the mining, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company primarily explores for zinc, gold, silver, lead, and base and precious metal deposits. Its principal property is the Caijiaying mine located in Hebei Province, the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as European Mining Finance Ltd. and changed its name to Griffin Mining Limited in January 1998. Griffin Mining Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Griffin Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of zinc and lead concentrates from its Caijiaying mine. The company benefits from selling these concentrates to smelters and traders in China and other international markets, capitalizing on the fluctuating market prices of zinc and lead. Key revenue streams include the direct sales of the mined concentrates, any associated by-products, and potentially, long-term contracts with strategic partners or customers in the mining and metal industries, which can help stabilize revenue and secure consistent sales. Additionally, factors such as efficient mining operations, cost management, and market demand for zinc and lead significantly contribute to the company's earnings.

Griffin Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Griffin Mining shows a stable financial position with a strong balance sheet and adequate liquidity. However, declining revenue and profitability margins, coupled with negative free cash flow, highlight potential operational challenges and the need for improved cost management and revenue growth strategies.

Income Statement

Griffin Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin in the latest year was about 35.9%, which is healthy for the industry, but the net profit margin declined to 7.9% from 10.4% the previous year, indicating potential challenges in cost management or pricing pressures. Revenue decreased by 2.3% year-over-year, which reflects a contraction in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also decreased year-over-year, suggesting declining operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is strong, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.002, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is high at approximately 89.2%, showcasing strong equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 4.2%, reflecting stable but not exceptional shareholder returns. The company maintains a solid cash position, which supports financial flexibility.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates some weaknesses. There was a negative free cash flow of -$1.41 million in the latest year, a decline from $25.1 million the previous year, signaling potential issues with cash generation or increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.72, which is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting concerns in operational cash sufficiency.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	162.25M	142.60M	146.02M	100.01M	128.87M	79.09M
Gross Profit	68.56M	51.25M	51.84M	38.25M	58.42M	32.67M
EBITDA	62.06M	42.55M	52.69M	35.00M	53.46M	27.68M
Net Income	21.34M	11.35M	15.24M	7.70M	25.38M	8.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	324.43M	305.75M	321.22M	305.59M	320.53M	295.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	65.25M	48.76M	60.01M	34.14M	38.16M	16.43M
Total Debt	677.00K	620.00K	739.00K	852.00K	971.00K	383.00K
Total Liabilities	51.26M	33.08M	51.47M	60.13M	57.96M	61.77M
Stockholders Equity	273.16M	272.67M	269.75M	245.47M	262.58M	233.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	27.02M	-1.41M	25.10M	-5.57M	22.88M	-37.00K
Operating Cash Flow	50.96M	19.58M	48.38M	15.73M	42.88M	24.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-22.78M	-18.81M	-21.89M	-20.93M	-19.77M	-24.33M
Financing Cash Flow	-10.99M	-11.63M	-555.00K	-167.00K	-613.00K	-2.57M

Griffin Mining Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 183.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GFM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 183 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.76, below the 50-day MA of 189.47, and above the 200-day MA of 182.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GFM.

Griffin Mining Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
JLP	61 Neutral	£97.54M	―	―	―	―	―
ECOR	61 Neutral	£230.61M	-9.81	-6.87%	2.03%	-63.09%	-253.25%
GFM	56 Neutral	£325.08M	49.73	3.23%	―	-32.18%	-58.29%
KMR	54 Neutral	£238.77M	-6.24	-4.64%	6.25%	6.65%	-159.09%
SOLG	41 Neutral	$531.49M	-19.03	-14.69%	―	―	41.51%

Griffin Mining Corporate Events

Griffin Mining Corrects Share Dealings Disclosure

Griffin Mining Limited announced a correction to a previous disclosure regarding share dealings by its Chief Operating Officer, John Steel. The correction clarified that Steel sold 50,000 shares at 180 pence per share, rather than purchasing them. This transaction leaves Steel with a 0.1% stake in the company, reflecting a minor adjustment in insider holdings, which is unlikely to significantly impact the company’s market position or stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining COO Sells Shares Amid Market Speculation

Griffin Mining Limited announced that its Chief Operating Officer, John Steel, sold 50,000 ordinary shares at 180 pence per share, retaining an interest in 200,000 shares, which represents 0.1% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction may impact stakeholders’ perceptions of the company’s stock value and management’s confidence in its future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining Completes Share Buyback, Adjusts Capital Structure

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the results of its share buyback program, acquiring 7,531,308 ordinary shares at a total cost of £14,610,737.52 through a reverse accelerated bookbuild. This move reduces the company’s issued ordinary share capital to 176,672,173 shares, impacting the voting rights and shareholding percentages of directors and substantial shareholders. The buyback includes related party transactions with substantial shareholders Richard Griffiths and Overbrook Management, deemed fair and reasonable by the company’s directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining Completes £14.6 Million Share Buyback

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the completion of a share buyback program through a reverse accelerated bookbuild, acquiring over 7.5 million ordinary shares at 194 pence each, totaling approximately £14.6 million. This buyback, which includes transactions with substantial shareholders, will result in the cancellation of these shares, reducing the company’s issued share capital and affecting the voting rights. The move is considered fair and reasonable by the company’s directors, excluding those involved in the buyback, and reflects a strategic effort to manage the company’s share capital and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining Announces Strategic Share Buyback

Griffin Mining Limited has announced a share buyback via a reverse accelerated bookbuild, aiming to purchase up to 10 million Ordinary Shares, which constitutes 5.4% of the company’s shares. The buyback, managed by Panmure Liberum Ltd, is intended to reduce the company’s share capital and enhance earnings per share, reflecting a strategic move to benefit shareholders and strengthen the company’s financial standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining Launches New Share Buyback Program

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the launch of a new share buyback program via a reverse accelerated bookbuild (RABB Buyback) following limited activity in its existing buyback program. The company has engaged Panmure Liberum Ltd to execute the RABB Buyback, aiming to repurchase up to 10 million ordinary shares, which represents 5.4% of its total shares, with a budget of up to $20 million. This strategic move is intended to reduce the company’s share capital and enhance earnings per share, reflecting a positive outlook on shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining to Temporarily Reduce Throughput Amid Safety Initiative

Griffin Mining Limited has announced a temporary reduction in operational throughput by approximately 110,000 tonnes from September to December 2025, as requested by Chinese regulatory authorities to support a safety initiative. Despite this reduction, the company expects its full-year financial results to align with management expectations due to rising gold and zinc prices. The initiative is crucial for obtaining necessary permits for future expansions and maintaining good relations with Chinese regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Griffin Mining Reports Recovery and Future Prospects Amid Revenue Decline

Griffin Mining Limited reported its unaudited interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a significant recovery in production during the second quarter after a complete shutdown in late 2024. Despite a 25.7% decrease in revenue compared to the same period in 2024, the company achieved a gross profit of $25.062 million, driven by historically high gold prices which contributed to 46.5% of gross revenues. The company plans to discontinue quarterly trading results due to variability in production, focusing instead on half-yearly and annual results. The upcoming commissioning of Zone II at the Caijiaying Mine is anticipated to further enhance production capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Hold with a £193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.