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Griffin Mining Ltd (GB:GFM)
LSE:GFM
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Griffin Mining (GFM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GFM

Griffin Mining

(LSE:GFM)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
212.00p
▲(12.17% Upside)
Griffin Mining's overall stock score of 71 reflects strong corporate events and solid technical analysis, which offset the challenges highlighted in financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's strategic moves, such as the dividend receipt and share buy-back programme, support its operational capabilities and shareholder value despite the high P/E ratio and declining profitability margins.

Griffin Mining (GFM) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Griffin Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGriffin Mining (GFM) is a mining company primarily engaged in the exploration and development of mineral resources, with a focus on zinc and other base metals. The company operates the Caijiaying zinc-gold-silver mine located in Hebei Province, China. Griffin Mining is committed to sustainable mining practices and aims to contribute to the local economy while adhering to environmental standards. Its core products include zinc concentrate and other metalliferous products derived from its mining operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyGriffin Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of zinc concentrate produced at its Caijiaying mine. The company benefits from the global demand for zinc, which is used in various applications including galvanization, alloys, and batteries. Revenue is significantly influenced by fluctuations in zinc prices on international markets. Additionally, Griffin Mining has established partnerships with local and international buyers to secure sales agreements for its products, which provide a stable revenue stream. The company's focus on efficient production and cost management also contributes to its profitability, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions.

Griffin Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Griffin Mining presents a stable financial position with a strong balance sheet, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, declining revenue and profitability margins, alongside negative free cash flow, highlight potential operational challenges and the need for improved cost management.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Griffin Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin in the latest year was about 35.9%, which is healthy for the industry, but the net profit margin declined to 7.9% from 10.4% the previous year, indicating potential challenges in cost management or pricing pressures. Revenue decreased by 2.3% year-over-year, which reflects a contraction in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also decreased year-over-year, suggesting declining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.002, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is high at approximately 89.2%, showcasing strong equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 4.2%, reflecting stable but not exceptional shareholder returns. The company maintains a solid cash position, which supports financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates some weaknesses. There was a negative free cash flow of -$1.41 million in the latest year, a decline from $25.1 million the previous year, signaling potential issues with cash generation or increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.72, which is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting concerns in operational cash sufficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.60M146.02M100.01M128.87M79.09M
Gross Profit51.25M51.84M38.25M58.42M32.67M
EBITDA42.55M52.69M35.22M53.46M27.68M
Net Income11.35M15.24M7.70M25.38M8.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets305.75M321.22M305.59M320.53M295.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.76M60.01M34.14M38.16M16.43M
Total Debt620.00K739.00K852.00K971.00K383.00K
Total Liabilities33.08M51.47M60.13M57.96M61.77M
Stockholders Equity272.67M269.75M245.47M262.58M233.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.41M25.10M-5.57M22.88M-37.00K
Operating Cash Flow19.58M48.38M15.73M42.88M24.40M
Investing Cash Flow-18.81M-21.89M-20.93M-19.77M-24.33M
Financing Cash Flow-11.63M-555.00K-167.00K-613.00K-2.57M

Griffin Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price189.00
Price Trends
50DMA
183.91
Positive
100DMA
179.25
Positive
200DMA
169.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
51.21
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GFM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.06, above the 50-day MA of 183.91, and above the 200-day MA of 169.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GFM.

Griffin Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£295.81M5.835.55%7.23%-12.22%-49.48%
71
Outperform
£346.30M40.134.18%-9.69%-26.86%
66
Neutral
£180.05M9.71-2.05%2.63%-5.97%-1292.31%
61
Neutral
£88.10M7.041.86%
57
Neutral
£2.53B6.25-0.23%45.92%10.12%5.01%
41
Neutral
$357.13M-13.52%44.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GFM
Griffin Mining
189.00
71.00
60.17%
GB:SOLG
SolGold
14.98
4.86
48.02%
GB:JLP
Jubilee Metals Group
2.90
-3.05
-51.26%
GB:KMR
Kenmare Resources
337.00
14.08
4.36%
GB:ECOR
Ecora Resources
72.70
10.36
16.62%

Griffin Mining Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Griffin Mining Receives $30 Million in Dividends from Chinese Subsidiary
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the receipt of $30.3 million in dividends from its Chinese subsidiary, Hebei Hua Ao Mining Industry Company Limited. This boosts the company’s cash reserves outside China to $53.67 million, potentially strengthening its financial position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Griffin Mining Reports Record Gold and Silver Production in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced record production results for gold and silver in the second quarter of 2025, following a recovery from a previous suspension of operations at the Caijiaying Mine. The high production levels, driven by historically high gold prices, have significantly increased precious metal revenues, which now constitute approximately 50% of the company’s total revenues. This development underscores the long-term potential of the Caijiaying Mine, with further expansion expected as Zone II is scheduled to begin production in the last quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Griffin Mining Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited announced that all resolutions presented at their Annual General Meeting on July 2, 2025, were successfully passed. This development indicates strong shareholder support and could positively impact the company’s strategic direction and operational stability, reinforcing its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Griffin Mining Reinstates Share Buy-Back Programme to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the reinstitution of its share buy-back programme, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10 million shares or $10 million worth of shares until December 2025. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder value by purchasing shares on the London Stock Exchange under the Market Abuse Regulation’s safe harbour provisions. The company has also reserved the right to purchase large blocks of shares to stabilize share prices and may consider a tender offer for non-US shareholders. The announcement follows a previous buyback programme that ended in April 2025, which saw the purchase and cancellation of over 1.2 million shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Griffin Mining Announces 38th Annual General Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited has announced the notice of its thirty-eighth Annual General Meeting, scheduled to take place on July 2, 2025, in Bermuda. This meeting is significant for shareholders as it provides an opportunity to discuss the company’s operations and future strategies, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Griffin Mining Reports Resilient 2024 Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

Griffin Mining Limited reported its 2024 financial results, highlighting a challenging year due to a three-month suspension of operations following a fatal accident at the Caijiaying Mine. Despite this setback, the company achieved revenues of $135.1 million and maintained profitability with a net profit of $11.4 million. The suspension impacted production volumes, leading to a decrease in ore mined and processed compared to 2023. However, the company benefited from higher metal prices, particularly for zinc and gold. The resumption of development work in Zone II and ongoing exploration for high-grade gold deposits are expected to enhance future production capabilities. Griffin’s share buy-back program continued, aiming to improve earnings per share, and the company remains debt-free with significant cash reserves.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GFM) stock is a Buy with a £190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Griffin Mining stock, see the GB:GFM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025