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Ecora Resources Plc (GB:ECOR)
:ECOR
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Ecora Resources (ECOR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ECOR

Ecora Resources

(LSE:ECOR)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
77.00p
▲(17.02% Upside)
Ecora Resources' overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive strategic developments highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance issues due to declining revenues and negative valuation metrics weigh heavily. The company's strategic focus on growth in base metals and a solid balance sheet provide a positive long-term outlook despite near-term challenges.

Ecora Resources (ECOR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ecora Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEcora Resources (ECOR) is a leading company in the natural resources sector, focusing primarily on the acquisition and management of royalty and streaming interests. The company operates within the mining industry, with a diversified portfolio that spans various commodities, including base and precious metals. Ecora Resources aims to provide its stakeholders with sustainable returns by leveraging its expertise in identifying and investing in high-quality assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyEcora Resources generates revenue through its royalty and streaming interests in mining operations. The company earns royalties based on a percentage of revenue or production from the mines in which it holds interests. Additionally, streaming agreements allow Ecora to purchase a portion of a mine's production at a predetermined price, which is typically lower than the market rate, and then sell it at market value, capturing the spread as profit. These revenue streams are supported by strategic partnerships with mining operators, enabling Ecora to benefit from ongoing production without directly managing mining operations. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and the operational performance of its partners.

Ecora Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with substantial volume growth and strategic acquisitions in base metals, particularly in copper. However, challenges remain in the cobalt market and some specialty metals segments. Ecora's financial and portfolio positioning remains strong, providing a positive outlook for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Volume Growth in Portfolio
In 2024, Ecora saw significant volume growth from key producing royalties, particularly at Voisey's Bay and Kestrel, with expectations for continued growth into 2025. Voisey's Bay saw a 36% increase in volumes, and Mantos Blancos hit record production levels.
Mimbula Copper Stream Acquisition
Ecora's acquisition of the Mimbula copper stream is expected to increase its copper exposure. The stream is income-producing and should be accretive to earnings and free cash flow from 2025 onwards.
Strong Base Metals Portfolio Performance
Base metals portfolio performed well with a 9% contribution increase on a like-for-like basis. The company expects to see 60% volume growth at Voisey's Bay in 2025.
Copper Growth Pipeline
Ecora has built a leading organic copper growth pipeline, with potential copper production expected to reach 20 million pounds in the next decade.
Improved Financial Position
Ecora's financial position remains strong with a $180 million borrowing facility, and the company plans to focus on deleveraging and balance sheet strength.
Negative Updates
Cobalt Market Challenges
The cobalt market faced significant oversupply, causing an impairment to the Voisey's Bay stream. Realized cobalt prices were down 18%.
Lower Vanadium Prices at Maracas
Specialty metals saw a reduction at Maracas due to a 30% decrease in vanadium prices.
Impairment Charges
An impairment charge was recorded for Voisey's Bay due to a prolonged decrease in cobalt prices, impacting future income projections.
Static Operating Costs
Operating costs remained static year-on-year, which could imply challenges in cost management despite portfolio growth.
Company Guidance
In the recent Ecora Resources Full Year 2024 Results Call, leadership emphasized a positive year amid challenging market conditions, highlighting a 9% year-on-year contribution growth when adjusted for nonrecurring items. The company emphasized its focus on portfolio diversification and growth, citing key acquisitions such as the Phalaborwa royalty and Mimbula copper stream. Significant volume growth was reported from Voisey's Bay and Mantos Blancos, with further copper production growth anticipated at Kestrel. Despite challenges in the cobalt market, the company foresees favorable pricing tailwinds ahead. Financially, adjusted earnings were steady at $28.8 million, translating to $0.114 per share, with the firm maintaining a robust capital allocation framework focused on deleveraging. Ecora's portfolio remains heavily weighted towards base metals, particularly copper, which is projected to drive substantial growth in their critical minerals royalty portfolio, potentially increasing revenue from $20 million in 2024 to over $100 million by 2030.

Ecora Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ecora Resources' financial performance is mixed. The income statement reveals declining revenues and a negative net profit margin, which are concerning. However, the balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio and a solid equity position. Cash flow is generally positive but volatile. Overall, the company's financial health is stable but challenged by revenue and profitability issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ecora Resources shows a concerning trend with declining revenues from $115.17 million in 2022 to $59.61 million in 2024, a significant drop. Gross profit margin remains high at 84.7% for 2024 but the net profit margin has turned negative due to a net loss. EBIT margin is robust at 66.2%, indicating operational efficiency. However, the overall decline in revenue and a net loss are major concerns.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is 78.4%, showcasing a solid equity position. Return on equity has deteriorated due to recent losses. The company maintains a healthy asset base with a total of $553.97 million, though declining equity and increasing liabilities are potential concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting good cash generation capabilities despite a net loss. Free cash flow is positive, indicating the company generates sufficient cash flow after capital expenditures. However, the volatility in free cash flow growth and past negative figures are areas to watch.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.61M61.90M115.17M62.02M34.01M
Gross Profit50.49M53.09M99.25M43.83M22.09M
EBITDA22.61M18.52M102.01M54.35M-19.75M
Net Income-9.83M847.00K94.64M27.25M-18.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets553.97M636.28M564.42M384.26M286.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.88M7.85M4.86M16.24M20.16M
Total Debt93.29M85.76M35.72M83.26M45.28M
Total Liabilities119.33M154.26M145.76M120.61M71.20M
Stockholders Equity434.64M378.11M418.66M263.65M215.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.92M-23.57M55.52M32.62M14.50M
Operating Cash Flow29.59M33.54M104.15M32.65M15.72M
Investing Cash Flow-6.26M-43.17M-43.86M-99.33M10.56M
Financing Cash Flow-22.70M11.72M-71.87M63.62M-12.40M

Ecora Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price65.80
Price Trends
50DMA
65.19
Positive
100DMA
60.69
Positive
200DMA
60.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.71
Positive
RSI
45.65
Neutral
STOCH
20.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ECOR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 65.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.16, above the 50-day MA of 65.19, and above the 200-day MA of 60.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:ECOR.

Ecora Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£180.20M13.206.40%2.16%6.32%-54.82%
66
Neutral
£172.83M9.71-2.05%2.44%-5.97%-1292.31%
61
Neutral
£91.24M7.041.86%
56
Neutral
£2.47B5.73-6.09%48.59%15.84%0.50%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ECOR
Ecora Resources
69.40
7.35
11.85%
GB:CAPD
Capital Drilling
91.80
7.48
8.87%
GB:JLP
Jubilee Metals Group
2.90
-3.16
-52.15%

Ecora Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ecora Resources Sees Strong Q2 Growth Driven by Base Metals
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Ecora Resources reported a significant increase in its Q2 2025 portfolio contribution, driven by strong performance in its base metals portfolio, particularly copper and cobalt. The company highlighted a 97% rise in total portfolio contribution compared to Q1 2025, with notable contributions from Voisey’s Bay and Mantos Blancos. This growth marks a pivotal transition towards a revenue profile centered on critical minerals, with expectations for continued volume growth in the second half of 2025. The update underscores Ecora’s strategic shift towards supporting sustainable futures through its critical minerals portfolio, positioning the company advantageously in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ecora Resources Announces Director Appointment to Perseus Mining
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC, a company listed on the London and Toronto Stock Exchanges, has announced the appointment of James Rutherford as an independent Non-Executive Director of Perseus Mining Limited. This move aligns with Ecora’s obligations under UK Listing Rule 6.4.9(2) and indicates a strategic collaboration that could enhance its industry positioning through strengthened governance and potential synergies with Perseus Mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £1.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Ecora Resources PLC Reports Successful AGM Voting Results
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC announced that all resolutions were passed with the necessary majorities at its Annual General Meeting held on June 5, 2025. The voting results indicate strong shareholder support, with resolutions receiving high approval percentages, reflecting positively on the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ecora Resources Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
May 19, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure due to an internal reorganization within South32 Limited, a major shareholder. As a result, the voting rights previously held by South32 have been transferred to another entity within the South32 group, maintaining their overall voting percentage at 17.516473%. This reorganization reflects South32’s strategic adjustments and could influence Ecora’s governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025