tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ecora Resources (GB:ECOR)
LSE:ECOR

Ecora Resources (ECOR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
108 Followers

Top Page

GB:ECOR

Ecora Resources

(LSE:ECOR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
128.00p
▼(-0.31% Downside)
Ecora Resources' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, which are offset by valuation concerns due to recent losses. The company's strategic focus on critical minerals and positive earnings call sentiment provide a favorable outlook, but financial performance challenges, particularly declining revenue and profitability, weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility, reducing refinancing and solvency risk through commodity cycles. A strong asset base supports opportunistic M&A, royalty purchases or capital allocation without materially increasing financial strain over the medium term.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistent positive free cash flow, despite reported net losses, underpins the company's ability to fund dividends, deleveraging and selective investments. Reliable cash conversion supports the payout policy and provides a buffer to fund project development or strategic purchases over multiple years.
Strategic Focus on Critical Minerals
A pivot to critical minerals and strong base metals performance positions the company in structurally growing markets (copper, cobalt). Increasing revenue mix from critical minerals enhances long-term demand exposure and potential cash flow growth as electrification and energy transition trends persist.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Profitability
A multi-year revenue decline halves scale and pressures long-term profitability, limiting reinvestment and margin sustainability. Even with strong gross and EBIT margins, shrinking top-line and net losses erode returns on equity and could force asset sales or reduce strategic optionality.
High Tax Burden on Key Asset
A persistently high effective tax rate on a major asset reduces its free cash flow contribution, lowering distributable cash and slowing deleveraging or reinvestment. This structural tax drag can materially constrain long-term returns from that asset compared with peers in lower-tax regimes.
Exposure to Nickel Market Weakness
Ongoing nickel market weakness and project-specific risks can delay or diminish future royalty streams from nickel assets. Structural volatility in a key battery-metal reduces predictability of cash flows and may hinder the company's ability to realize targeted critical-mineral revenue mix.

Ecora Resources (ECOR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ecora Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEcora Resources PLC operates as a natural resource royalty and streaming company in Australia, North and South America, Europe, and internationally. It has royalties and investments in mining and exploration interests in cobalt, steelmaking coal, iron ore, copper, nickel, vanadium, uranium, coking coal, calcium carbonate, chromite, gold, and silver. The company was formerly known as Anglo Pacific Group plc and changed its name to Ecora Resources PLC in October 2022. Ecora Resources PLC was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyEcora Resources generates revenue through a combination of mineral royalties, asset management, and the sale of exploration data. The company primarily earns money by receiving royalties from mining operations on properties where it holds rights. These royalties are typically a percentage of the revenue or profits generated from the extraction of minerals. Additionally, Ecora may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other mining companies to explore and develop mineral resources, which can provide additional income streams. The company's focus on acquiring high-potential assets in favorable mining regions further enhances its revenue potential, as successful exploration can lead to increased production and higher royalty payments.

Ecora Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth in the base metals segment, especially copper and cobalt, alongside successful strategic moves like the sale of Dugbe Gold Royalty. Despite some concerns around high tax rates and nickel market challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial performance and strategic positioning in critical minerals.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Base Metals Portfolio
The base metals portfolio saw an 81% increase in performance due to strong volume and pricing dynamics, with key contributions from Voisey's Bay and Mantos Blancos.
Record Production and Revenue from Mantos Blancos
Mantos Blancos copper royalty achieved record levels of production, contributing significantly to revenue growth, with the potential for further expansion in the future.
Positive Cobalt Market Dynamics
The DRC export ban on cobalt has stabilized prices between $18 to $20 per pound, providing an uplift compared to the previous $13 per pound.
Mimbula Copper Stream Acquisition
The acquisition of the Mimbula copper stream has already contributed $0.7 million and is expected to show more momentum in the second half of the year.
Successful Sale of Dugbe Gold Royalty
The sale of the noncore Dugbe Gold Royalty helps accelerate deleveraging and provides flexibility for future capital reallocation.
Improved Financial Performance
Free cash flow conversion is expected to improve with a lower effective tax rate and potential reductions in finance costs due to interest rate cuts.
Negative Updates
High Effective Tax Rate on Kestrel
The Kestrel asset is associated with a very high effective tax rate, impacting free cash flow despite its contribution to deleveraging.
Challenges in Nickel Market
Nickel has faced challenging market conditions, with concerns over project developments like West Musgrave and Piauí amidst a difficult pricing environment.
Company Guidance
During the Ecora Resources Half Year 2025 Results Presentation, Ecora reported robust performance in their critical minerals portfolio, specifically highlighting a significant 81% increase in base metals portfolio revenue compared to the previous year. The first half of 2025 marked a milestone with more than 50% of their revenue linked to critical minerals, projecting an increase to 85% by 2030. Record contributions were noted from the Voisey's Bay mine and Mantos Blancos copper royalty, with the latter experiencing a 35% increase primarily due to volume growth. The company also announced a $0.06 per share dividend, aligning with their policy to distribute approximately 25% of free cash flow. Ecora's deleveraging efforts were supported by the sale of the Dugbe Gold Royalty, enhancing the company's flexibility for future capital reallocation. Furthermore, the company anticipates substantial cash flow growth from ongoing projects and potential expansions, maintaining a strategic focus on base metals, particularly copper, while considering other critical minerals as market opportunities arise.

Ecora Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ecora Resources faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its income statement. Despite this, the balance sheet remains solid with low leverage and a strong equity position, offering some stability. Cash flow conditions are favorable in terms of cash generation, but past volatility poses risks. The company needs to address its revenue and profitability issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
Ecora Resources shows a concerning trend with declining revenues from $115.17 million in 2022 to $59.61 million in 2024, a significant drop. Gross profit margin remains high at 84.7% for 2024 but the net profit margin has turned negative due to a net loss. EBIT margin is robust at 66.2%, indicating operational efficiency. However, the overall decline in revenue and a net loss are major concerns.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is 78.4%, showcasing a solid equity position. Return on equity has deteriorated due to recent losses. The company maintains a healthy asset base with a total of $553.97 million, though declining equity and increasing liabilities are potential concerns.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting good cash generation capabilities despite a net loss. Free cash flow is positive, indicating the company generates sufficient cash flow after capital expenditures. However, the volatility in free cash flow growth and past negative figures are areas to watch.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.91M59.61M61.90M141.87M85.30M34.01M
Gross Profit10.31M50.49M53.09M99.25M43.83M22.09M
EBITDA10.42M22.61M18.52M126.80M66.66M35.45M
Net Income-19.69M-9.83M847.00K94.64M27.25M-18.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets590.76M553.97M636.28M564.42M384.26M286.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.94M7.88M7.85M4.86M21.99M27.51M
Total Debt135.63M93.29M85.76M45.60M112.77M45.28M
Total Liabilities160.85M119.33M154.26M145.76M120.61M71.20M
Stockholders Equity429.91M434.64M378.11M503.60M263.65M293.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.08M18.92M-23.57M55.52M32.62M14.50M
Operating Cash Flow10.23M29.59M33.54M104.15M32.65M15.72M
Investing Cash Flow-23.55M-6.26M-43.17M-54.01M-136.61M14.44M
Financing Cash Flow9.96M-22.70M11.72M-92.74M76.63M-18.28M

Ecora Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.40
Price Trends
50DMA
104.44
Positive
100DMA
93.11
Positive
200DMA
77.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.87
Negative
RSI
83.80
Negative
STOCH
94.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ECOR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.84, above the 50-day MA of 104.44, and above the 200-day MA of 77.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ECOR.

Ecora Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
£467.96M72.703.23%-32.18%-58.29%
66
Neutral
£306.31M-13.60-6.87%1.69%-63.09%-253.25%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
£227.72M-5.89-4.64%7.30%6.65%-159.09%
46
Neutral
£119.51M-48.95-21.81%28.30%
44
Neutral
£152.69M-145.00-0.58%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ECOR
Ecora Resources
128.40
67.79
111.84%
GB:GFM
Griffin Mining
269.00
130.00
93.53%
GB:KMR
Kenmare Resources
257.00
-37.25
-12.66%
GB:RBW
Rainbow Rare Earths
18.60
6.35
51.84%
GB:KP2
Kore Potash PLC
2.90
0.40
16.00%
GB:PRE
Pensana Rare Earths PLC
94.20
68.20
262.31%

Ecora Resources Corporate Events

Dividends
Ecora Resources Sets Currency Equivalents for 2025 Interim Dividend
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Ecora Resources PLC confirmed the currency equivalents for its previously announced 2025 interim dividend of 0.60 US cents per ordinary share, setting the payout at 0.4471 pence in Sterling and 0.8330 Canadian cents per share based on exchange rates as of 9 January 2026, the record date. The dividend, payable on 30 January 2026, underscores the company’s ongoing cash returns to shareholders and clarifies the value of the interim distribution for investors in the UK and Canada who hold Ecora shares in different currencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ecora Resources Updates on Cañariaco Project and Fortescue’s Acquisition of Alta Copper
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC has announced that Fortescue Ltd plans to acquire the remaining shares of Alta Copper Corp, which owns the Cañariaco Copper Project in Northern Peru. Ecora holds a 0.5% Net Smelter Return royalty on this project, which is significant due to its potential copper production and strategic location within an emerging porphyry corridor. This transaction, pending various approvals, could enhance Ecora’s royalty portfolio and strengthen its position in the critical minerals market, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing the value of its assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ecora Resources Strengthens Portfolio with High-Grade Uranium Assay Results
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Ecora Resources, a critical minerals royalty company, announced significant assay results from the Patterson Corridor East project, where it holds a 2% Net Smelter Return royalty. The results, reported by NexGen Energy, indicate high-grade uranium deposits, which could enhance Ecora’s portfolio value and strengthen its position in the critical minerals market. This development aligns with Ecora’s strategy to focus on commodities that support the energy transition, potentially increasing shareholder returns and market influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ecora Resources Updates on Phalaborwa Rare Earths Project
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Ecora Resources announced that Rainbow Rare Earths Limited has chosen solvent extraction as the method for separating rare earth oxides at the Phalaborwa project, achieving high purity levels. Ecora holds a 0.85% Gross Revenue Royalty on this project, which aligns with its strategy to diversify its portfolio in critical minerals, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ecora Resources Boosts Phalaborwa Project’s Value with Yttrium Inclusion
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Ecora Resources has announced that the inclusion of yttrium in the Phalaborwa Rare Earths Project’s SEG+ mixed rare earth product could increase the project’s estimated EBITDA by over US$30 million. Ecora holds a 0.85% Gross Revenue Royalty on this project, highlighting its strategic investment in critical minerals that support sustainable energy solutions and potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ecora Resources Updates on Nifty Copper Project Restart
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC announced an update on the Nifty Copper Project, where Cyprium Metals Limited has approved the restart of the Cathode Project with production expected in mid-2026. Ecora holds a 1.5% royalty on the project, but payments will not commence until 800kt of copper is produced, a threshold anticipated to be reached five years after production restarts. This development aligns with Ecora’s strategy to enhance its portfolio with commodities crucial for a sustainable future, potentially increasing the value of its royalty portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Other
Ecora Resources Reports Director-Linked Share Acquisition
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC, a company listed on the London Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange, has reported a transaction involving CH Invest GmbH, which is closely associated with Non-Executive Director Christine Coignard. On November 14, 2025, CH Invest GmbH acquired 11,400 ordinary shares of Ecora at approximately £0.922 per share on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction reflects internal movements within the company’s shareholder structure, potentially indicating confidence in Ecora’s market position and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ecora Resources Updates on Phalaborwa Project with Yttrium Inclusion
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC has announced an update from Rainbow Rare Earths Limited regarding the Phalaborwa Rare Earths Project, which now includes yttrium in its Mineral Resource Estimate. This update is significant as yttrium has been subject to Chinese export controls, and its inclusion reflects the growing market demand for a comprehensive range of economic rare earth elements, potentially enhancing the project’s economic viability and Ecora’s royalty interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Other
Ecora Resources Executives Increase Shareholdings
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Ecora Resources PLC, a company listed on the London Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange, announced recent share acquisitions by its top executives. CEO Marc Bishop Lafleche and CFO Kevin Flynn purchased 32,000 and 21,175 shares respectively, at prices of approximately £0.931 and £0.954 per share. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect the executives’ confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ecora Resources Achieves Record Q3 2025 Performance with Strong Base Metals Growth
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Ecora Resources reported a record-breaking Q3 2025, with a total portfolio contribution of $25 million, driven by strong performance in its base metals portfolio, particularly from the Mantos Blancos copper royalty and Voisey’s Bay cobalt stream. The company reduced its net debt by 30% and anticipates further growth milestones in the coming year, enhancing its position in the critical minerals market. The sale of the Dugbe gold royalty and resumed mining at Kestrel contributed to the company’s financial strength, while developments in the Santo Domingo project and cobalt export regulations in the Democratic Republic of Congo are expected to impact future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Hold with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ecora Resources Announces Strategic Partnership in Santo Domingo Project
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Ecora Resources has announced that Orion Resource Partners LP will acquire a 25% stake in the Santo Domingo and Sierra Norte Projects for up to $360 million. Ecora holds a 2.0% Net Smelter Return royalty on the Santo Domingo project, expected to generate $30-35 million annually over the first seven years, aligning with its strategy to focus on critical minerals supporting electrification.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ECOR) stock is a Buy with a £120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecora Resources stock, see the GB:ECOR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025