Senior plc (SNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £1.18B
• Dividend Yield: 1.06%
• Average Volume (3M): 503.45K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 27.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.45
• Revenue Growth: -13.81%
• EPS Growth: 13.86%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 6,779
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 419,418,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 505,490
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 503,447
• PEG Ratio: 2.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.09
• P/FCF Ratio: 24.86
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £265.00
• Price Target Upside: -7.02% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.1
• Revenue Forecast (FY): £753.88M

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: 318.00 p ▲(11.58% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/04/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/04/26

The score is driven mainly by steady-but-not-strong financial performance and a positive earnings update (profit/margin expansion, strong cash conversion, deleveraging). Technicals are supportive but look stretched, while valuation is the main drag due to a high P/E and low yield.

Positive Factors

Improved cash conversion & deleveraging

Sustained high cash conversion (90% in FY25) and a >GBP110m net debt reduction materially strengthen financial flexibility. This durable improvement supports capex, dividends, bolt‑on M&A and buffers cyclicality, lowering refinancing and solvency risk over the medium term.

Aerospace division outperformance

Aerospace delivering higher volumes, pricing and improved margins signals durable competitive positioning on platforms. A book‑to‑bill >1 and margin expansion point to sustainable program content gains and higher ROCE potential across aircraft life‑cycles.

Portfolio focus after strategic disposal

Divesting aerostructures narrows operational focus to higher‑margin fluid conveyance/thermal markets and released proceeds to strengthen the balance sheet. A clearer strategy combined with disciplined CapEx guidance supports execution, margins and targeted bolt‑on M&A.

Negative Factors

Sharp 2025 revenue decline

A meaningful drop in revenue reduces operating leverage and scale, pressuring margin sustainability and ROCE. If revenue momentum is uneven, fixed costs and underutilised capacity could compress profits and make medium‑term organic growth targets harder to achieve.

Significant FX translation risk

With roughly two‑thirds of sales US‑exposed, translation swings and transactional FX can materially alter reported revenue and margins. Persistent currency volatility complicates forecasting, increases hedging needs and can erode predictable cash flows and KPI comparability.

End‑market cyclicality & lumpy aftermarket

Exposure to cyclical heavy‑duty trucks, lumpy aftermarket orders and upstream oil & gas demand creates revenue and cash volatility. This structural end‑market sensitivity makes smoothing investment, staffing and margin targets more challenging across cycles.

Senior plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Senior plc designs, manufactures, and markets high-technology components and systems for the principal original equipment producers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets worldwide. The company operates in two divisions, Aerospace and Flexonics. The Aerospace division offers high-pressure and low-pressure engineered ducting systems, engineered control bellows, assemblies, and sensors; precision-machined and fabricated engine components; fluid systems ducting and control products; and precision-machined airframe components and assemblies. The Flexonics division provides exhaust gas recycling coolers, fuel mixing and distribution systems, and flexible couplings; and engineered expansion joints, dampers and diverters, flexible hose assemblies and control bellows, fuel cells and heat exchangers, and precision-machined components. The company was formerly known as Senior Engineering Group plc and changed its name to Senior plc in 1999. Senior plc was incorporated in 1933 and is based in Rickmansworth, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Senior plc generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its engineering products and services across various sectors. The company earns money by manufacturing and supplying components, such as aerospace systems, medical devices, and industrial solutions, to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other businesses. Long-term contracts with major aerospace and defense companies contribute significantly to its revenue, providing a stable income source. Additionally, Senior plc benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders, allowing it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company's ongoing investment in research and development further supports its revenue model by enabling the introduction of innovative products that meet evolving customer demands.

Senior plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statement scores are mid-60s (Income 63, Balance Sheet 62, Cash Flow 66). Positives include sustained profitability post-2020, manageable leverage, and a stronger 2025 cash-flow year. Offsetting this are the sharp 2025 revenue decline cited in the statements, balance-sheet contraction, and historically volatile free cash flow.

Income Statement

Profitability has stabilized after the 2020 loss year, with consistent positive earnings from 2021–2025 and improving operating profitability into 2025 (operating margin ~6.0%, net margin ~4.0%). However, the latest year shows a sharp revenue decline (-12.8% in 2025 vs. 2024), and gross profit is reported as zero in 2025 (likely a data issue), which reduces confidence in the quality of the margin trend. Overall, margins are positive but still modest for the sector and revenue momentum has turned negative.

Balance Sheet

Leverage appears manageable with debt at about half of equity in the latest year (debt-to-equity ~0.52), and returns on shareholders’ capital improved to ~7.7% in 2025. The main concern is balance-sheet contraction: total assets, equity, and debt all stepped down meaningfully in 2025 versus 2024, which can reflect restructuring, disposals, or weaker scale. Still, the company is not overly levered and profitability supports the current capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash generation strengthened in 2025 with operating cash flow up to 64.4m and free cash flow up to 32.4m, representing strong free cash flow growth (+55.8%) versus 2024. Free cash flow covered roughly half of net income in 2025, improving materially from 2024, indicating better cash conversion. A key weakness is volatility: free cash flow has swung widely year-to-year (very weak in 2023–2024 before rebounding), suggesting working-capital or investment timing noise.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	738.20M	977.10M	963.50M	848.40M	658.70M
Gross Profit	169.00M	173.70M	174.00M	148.00M	101.50M
EBITDA	78.70M	99.00M	94.00M	82.40M	79.80M
Net Income	29.40M	25.90M	31.10M	20.20M	24.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	781.50M	1.02B	985.30M	976.90M	827.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	82.00M	45.50M	47.60M	43.20M	51.10M
Total Debt	199.30M	275.10M	251.40M	222.10M	204.20M
Total Liabilities	401.20M	545.90M	528.20M	527.50M	402.70M
Stockholders Equity	380.30M	469.90M	457.10M	449.40M	425.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	32.40M	6.20M	7.70M	27.90M	5.80M
Operating Cash Flow	64.40M	49.40M	41.40M	58.40M	27.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-45.30M	-44.20M	-54.80M	-54.60M	30.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-62.70M	-4.80M	17.60M	-14.40M	-29.50M

Senior plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 285.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SNR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 285 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 280.10, above the 50-day MA of 253.66, and above the 200-day MA of 204.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SNR.

Senior plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RR	76 Outperform	$102.31B	16.57	227.54%	0.91%	9.62%	146.74%
BA	71 Outperform	£67.25B	24.91	17.90%	1.99%	11.60%	8.03%
SNR	65 Neutral	£1.18B	27.39	8.19%	1.06%	-13.81%	13.86%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
CHG	63 Neutral	£1.47B	32.18	14.44%	1.64%	-2.53%	22.25%
QQ	58 Neutral	£2.67B	20.00	―	2.00%	-4.59%	-256.51%
ALRT	49 Neutral	£31.54M	-0.12	192.83%	―	―	―

Senior plc Corporate Events

Senior Confirms Tinicum-Blackstone Takeover Approach as Clock Ticks on Offer Deadline

Senior plc has confirmed that it received a preliminary, non-binding all-cash proposal on 20 February 2026 from a consortium comprising Tinicum Incorporated and funds and vehicles managed by Blackstone to acquire the entire issued and to be issued share capital of the company. The announcement follows recent media speculation and comes after Senior disclosed last week that it had received all-cash proposals for a possible takeover.

The company said discussions remain ongoing with the Tinicum-Blackstone consortium and other potential offerors, stressing that there is no certainty any offer will be made or on what terms. Under UK takeover rules, the consortium has until 5.00 p.m. on 31 March 2026 to either announce a firm intention to make an offer or walk away, a deadline that focuses investor attention on the company’s strategic options and potential change of ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior plc posts strong 2025 results and refocuses on fluid conveyance and thermal management

Senior plc reported a strong 2025 performance from its continuing operations, with revenue up 6% at constant currency and adjusted profit before tax rising 24%, driven by robust growth in its Aerospace division and resilient double-digit margins in Flexonics. The group boosted adjusted operating margin to 8.6%, lifted ROCE to 13.1%, generated a 37% increase in free cash flow and strengthened its balance sheet as leverage fell to 0.9x.

The company completed the sale of its Aerostructures business on 31 December 2025, repositioning itself as a dedicated fluid conveyance and thermal management specialist while de‑risking its balance sheet via a UK pension buy‑in. Backed by strong cash conversion, a 25% increase in the total dividend and recognition on the CDP Climate A list, Senior says early 2026 trading is in line with expectations and that it remains on track to meet its medium‑term financial targets, supporting its case for enhanced shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior plc boosts profits, cash flow and dividend as it completes Aerostructures exit

Senior plc reported strong 2025 results from continuing operations, underscoring its strategic shift after completing the sale of its Aerostructures business on 31 December to focus on fluid conveyance and thermal management. Revenue from continuing operations rose 6% at constant currency to £738.2m, while adjusted profit before tax climbed 24% to £51.2m and adjusted operating margin improved by 110 basis points to 8.6%.

The Aerospace division delivered higher order intake, sales and margins, reaching an 11.4% operating margin, while Flexonics outperformed its end markets and maintained double‑digit margins, aided by targeted restructuring. Senior generated £35.8m of free cash flow with 90% cash conversion, cut net debt excluding leases to £73.3m, reduced leverage to 0.9x EBITDA and increased ROCE to 13.1%, enabling a 25% uplift in the total dividend and further de‑risking via a UK pension buy‑in. Management said 2026 trading has started in line with expectations and reaffirmed confidence in meeting medium‑term financial targets as aircraft build rates and demand in key markets support further progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior Enters Offer Period After Multiple Cash Approaches, Puts £40m Buyback on Hold

Senior plc has entered an offer period after rejecting three all-cash takeover proposals from an initial suitor that the board said fundamentally undervalued the group and its future prospects. The board then mandated Lazard and Jefferies to sound out a limited number of other parties and has since received two superior all-cash proposals from different potential bidders, with discussions still in progress and no certainty that any firm offer will emerge.

In light of the active takeover talks and associated regulatory considerations, the board has postponed the planned £40m share buyback that was due to start after full-year results. The move signals that capital allocation decisions are being subordinated to ongoing M&A negotiations, leaving shareholders focused on potential bid terms and disclosure obligations under the UK Takeover Code during the current offer period.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior plc Lifts FY25 Profit Expectations and Sharpens Balance Sheet

Senior plc reported that trading for the year ended 31 December 2025 was stronger than previously expected, driven particularly by outperformance in its Aerospace business, and now anticipates full-year adjusted profit before tax to be comfortably ahead of earlier forecasts. The group has also reduced its cost base in certain Flexonics operations, realised initial cash proceeds from the sale of its Aerostructures business, and delivered strong cash generation, leading to a sharp reduction in net debt to below £80m and leverage to under 1.0x EBITDA, while a UK pension buy-in has further de-risked the balance sheet; early trading in January 2026 is described as having started well, underscoring the group’s improved financial position ahead of its full-year results in March.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £251.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior Sells Aerostructures Unit and Launches £40m Buyback to Sharpen Strategic Focus

Senior plc has completed the sale of its Aerostructures business to Sullivan Street Partners, a move that marks a major step in its strategy to focus on becoming a leading global fluid conveyance and thermal management company. The group plans to use the initial net cash proceeds from the transaction to pay down debt and launch a £40m share buyback programme after its full-year results in March 2026, a capital allocation decision that underlines management’s confidence in delivering above-market growth, margin improvement, stronger cash generation and enhanced returns for shareholders as it concentrates on higher-barrier, higher-growth markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior completes Aerostructures sale and readies £40m buyback

Senior plc has completed the sale of its Aerostructures business to private equity firm Sullivan Street Partners, marking a further step in reshaping its portfolio around higher-value engineered components and systems. The company plans to use the initial net cash proceeds to reduce net debt and fund a £40m share buyback programme, which is scheduled to begin after the release of its full-year results on 2 March 2026, signalling a continued focus on balance sheet strength and shareholder returns; the company also confirmed there has been no material change to the details previously disclosed about the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.

Senior plc Director Increases Shareholding, Signaling Confidence

Senior plc announced that Mary Waldner, a non-executive director, has purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at an average price of £1.882 per share, increasing her total holding to 20,000 shares. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a vote of confidence in the company’s prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perception of the company’s stability and future growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SNR) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senior plc stock, see the GB:SNR Stock Forecast page.