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Chemring (GB:CHG)
LSE:CHG

Chemring (CHG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CHG

Chemring

(LSE:CHG)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
496.00p
▲(5.08% Upside)
Chemring's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly in the Energetics segment. However, bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The company's long-term growth strategy and record order book are positive, but cash flow challenges and valuation concerns weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Record Order Book
A record order book indicates strong demand and provides revenue visibility, supporting long-term growth and stability in the defense sector.
Energetics Segment Growth
The growth in the Energetics segment highlights Chemring's competitive advantage and ability to capitalize on increasing defense spending.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency and strong cash conversion enhance profitability and financial health, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline in Sensors & Information
Declining revenue in the Sensors & Information segment indicates challenges in diversification and reliance on government contracts.
Higher Infrastructure Costs
Rising infrastructure costs can pressure margins and delay projects, impacting profitability and strategic initiatives.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity issues, limiting Chemring's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Chemring (CHG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chemring Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChemring Group PLC (CHG) is a UK-based defense and security company that specializes in providing advanced technology solutions for military and commercial applications. The company operates primarily through two segments: Countermeasures and Sensors. Its core products include countermeasures for defense systems, munitions, explosives, and detection systems for explosives and chemical agents, catering to various governmental and commercial clients worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyChemring generates revenue through the sale of its specialized products and services in the defense and security sectors. Key revenue streams include the production and supply of countermeasures, which protect military assets from missile threats, and detection systems that help in identifying explosives and chemical agents. The company benefits from long-term contracts with government defense agencies, which provide a steady stream of income. Additionally, Chemring engages in partnerships and collaborations with other defense contractors and technology firms, enhancing its product offerings and expanding its market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and improve its products, ensuring competitiveness in a rapidly evolving defense landscape.

Chemring Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated strong performance and growth potential, particularly in the Energetics segment with a record order book and improved operational efficiency. However, challenges remain in the Sensors & Information segment due to delays in government spending and increased costs in Norway. The company is confident in its long-term growth strategy.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Book and Strong Growth Projections
Order intake reached GBP 781 million, up 20% year-on-year, delivering another record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, up 32% since last year. The company aims to double annual revenue to GBP 1 billion by 2030.
Energetics Segment Success
Energetics businesses achieved record order books, with revenue in the Countermeasures & Energetics segment growing by 17%. Operating profit increased by 37% and margin grew to 19.1%.
Improved Operational Efficiency
Operating margin improved from 14.3% to 14.8%, and cash conversion rose to 114%. EPS increased by 3% despite higher tax and finance costs.
Safety and ESG Progress
Total recordable injury frequency rate fell to 0.48 from 0.69, demonstrating progress towards the zero harm ambition.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Sensors & Information Segment
Revenue in Sensors & Information fell by 18% and operating profit decreased by 25%, due to delays in U.K. government spending and the prior year's benefits from JBTDS LRIP.
Higher Infrastructure Costs in Norway
Higher infrastructure and groundwork costs in Norway led to an increase in expected total costs from GBP 145 million to GBP 180 million.
Company Guidance
During the call, Chemring reported a robust financial performance for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, despite short-term headwinds such as decreased U.K. government order placements. The company achieved a record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, up 32% year-on-year, with order intake rising 20% to GBP 781 million. Group revenue increased by 2% to GBP 498 million, and operating margin improved by 50 basis points to 14.8%. Earnings per share rose to 19.4p, and cash conversion was strong at 114%. The Countermeasures & Energetics segment saw a 17% revenue growth, with operating profit up 37% and margins increasing to 19.1%. Meanwhile, the Sensors & Information segment faced challenges, with revenue down 18% and operating profit falling 25%. Despite these challenges, operating margins were maintained at nearly 18%. The Board declared a final dividend of 5.3p, bringing the total dividend to 8p, up 3%. Looking ahead, Chemring is targeting significant growth in its Energetics and Sensors & Information segments, with strategic investments and acquisitions supporting its long-term revenue goal of GBP 1 billion by 2030.

Chemring Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chemring has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, but cash flow management presents challenges, particularly in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Chemring has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, evidenced by a 7.99% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins remain robust at 100% due to the nature of the data. The EBIT margin improved to 11.38%, and the EBITDA margin to 16.20%, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the net profit margin of 7.74% suggests room for optimizing expenses or cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable financial position with an improved debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 51.47%, showing a solid equity base. Return on equity (ROE) is decent at 11.08%, though slightly lower than the previous year, suggesting potential areas for enhancing shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chemring's cash flow performance highlights some challenges, with a significant decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.05, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.29 suggests that capital expenditures might be impacting free cash flow generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue497.50M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M
Gross Profit497.50M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M
EBITDA100.20M82.70M67.10M71.20M75.50M
Net Income48.20M39.50M5.40M47.40M41.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets863.10M692.10M596.40M620.10M531.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.30M45.00M6.40M19.80M5.80M
Total Debt154.30M97.70M20.70M26.90M32.30M
Total Liabilities481.10M335.80M217.90M202.00M178.70M
Stockholders Equity382.00M356.30M378.50M418.10M352.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.60M11.40M31.70M46.00M45.50M
Operating Cash Flow84.60M81.00M65.90M80.50M75.70M
Investing Cash Flow-85.70M-47.60M-39.40M-30.50M-34.90M
Financing Cash Flow43.30M-37.30M-40.20M-35.80M-50.40M

Chemring Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price472.00
Price Trends
50DMA
512.63
Negative
100DMA
533.89
Negative
200DMA
502.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.48
Negative
RSI
41.00
Neutral
STOCH
47.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 472 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 475.02, below the 50-day MA of 512.63, and below the 200-day MA of 502.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CHG.

Chemring Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£2.76B58.035.21%1.27%0.84%-62.73%
69
Neutral
£421.49M22.2113.24%1.58%23.91%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
£1.28B26.5214.44%1.64%-2.53%22.25%
61
Neutral
£49.90B25.9917.59%1.99%11.60%8.03%
58
Neutral
£2.33B-11.572.00%-4.59%-256.51%
53
Neutral
£535.25M68.196.27%1.02%10.74%237.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CHG
Chemring
472.00
148.59
45.94%
GB:BA
BAE Systems
1,711.50
577.90
50.98%
GB:AVON
Avon Technologies
1,800.00
362.58
25.22%
GB:CHRT
Cohort plc
909.00
-180.92
-16.60%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
274.60
126.64
85.59%
GB:QQ
QinetiQ
441.00
32.99
8.09%

Chemring Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Chemring Group Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Strategic Developments
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Chemring Group PLC announced its FY25 financial performance, reporting an adjusted operating profit in line with analyst expectations and a robust growth outlook. The company has secured significant contract wins, increasing its order book to £1.3bn, and is assessing strategic options for its Alloy Surfaces business, which will be reported as a discontinued operation. The acquisition of Landguard Group is expected to enhance Chemring’s Roke business, while the company continues to face challenges in its Sensors & Information sector due to delayed UK Government orders. The announcement highlights Chemring’s strong market positioning and ongoing demand for its defense capabilities, despite some sector-specific challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £638.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Group Updates Capital Structure and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Chemring Group PLC has announced its capital structure as of October 31, 2025, which includes 272,592,592 ordinary shares with voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares without voting rights, except in limited circumstances. This update is in line with the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rule 5.6.1R, and shareholders can use the ordinary shares figure to assess their interests under these rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £638.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Chemring Appoints Deutsche Numis as Joint Corporate Broker
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Chemring Group PLC has appointed Deutsche Numis as a joint corporate broker alongside Investec Bank plc, effective immediately. This strategic move is likely to enhance Chemring’s financial advisory capabilities, potentially strengthening its market position and providing better support for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £638.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Group PLC Updates Shareholders on Capital Structure
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Chemring Group PLC announced its capital structure as of September 30, 2025, which includes 272,219,856 ordinary shares with voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares without voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Other
Chemring Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Chemring Group PLC announced that Pete Raby, a director of the company, has purchased 6,000 ordinary shares at an average price of 543.519p per share. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, highlights a significant personal investment by a key company executive, which may indicate confidence in the company’s future performance and prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Group PLC Announces Capital Structure and Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Chemring Group PLC has announced its capital structure as of August 31, 2025, comprising 272,212,161 ordinary shares with voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares without voting rights, except in specific circumstances. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting their stake and interest in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025