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QinetiQ (GB:QQ)
LSE:QQ
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QinetiQ (QQ) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:QQ

QinetiQ

(LSE:QQ)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
485.00p
▲(18.87% Upside)
QinetiQ's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight strategic wins and a robust order backlog. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio weigh down the score. The company needs to address operational challenges to improve profitability and investor sentiment.
Positive Factors
Strong Order Backlog
A robust order backlog provides revenue visibility and stability, supporting long-term growth and strategic planning.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash conversion indicates effective cash flow management, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility.
Strategic Contract Wins
Securing major contracts enhances market position and supports sustained revenue streams in key regions.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue can signal underlying operational challenges, affecting profitability and growth prospects.
Market Challenges in Australia
Loss of key contracts in Australia highlights regional market risks, potentially impacting future revenue and strategic goals.
Delays in U.K. Orders
Order delays in the U.K. could affect short-term revenue and disrupt project timelines, impacting overall business performance.

QinetiQ (QQ) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

QinetiQ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQinetiQ (QQ) is a global defense and security technology company that specializes in providing advanced engineering solutions and services to government and commercial sectors. The company operates primarily in defense, aerospace, and security, offering a range of products including technology development, test and evaluation, systems integration, and consultancy services. QinetiQ is known for its expertise in areas such as robotics, cybersecurity, and modeling and simulation, serving clients that include military organizations, government agencies, and private sector partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyQinetiQ generates revenue through a diversified business model primarily focused on government contracts and defense-related projects. The company's key revenue streams include long-term contracts with defense ministries, consultancy services for security assessments, and technology development projects. Additionally, QinetiQ earns income from sales of proprietary technologies and products. Significant partnerships with government entities and defense organizations enhance their contract opportunities, while the company's investment in research and innovation helps to secure ongoing projects and maintain competitiveness in the market. The company also benefits from collaborations with industry partners and other stakeholders to expand its capabilities and reach.

QinetiQ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong order backlog and successful restructuring efforts, particularly in the U.S. However, there were notable challenges, including revenue declines and market pressures in Australia and the U.K. The company remains confident in its long-term growth potential and maintained its full year guidance.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Intake and Backlog
Order intake for the half was GBP 2.4 billion, driving a closing order backlog of GBP 4.8 billion, both reported records for the group.
Successful U.S. Restructuring
Achieved good progress on the U.S. restructuring program, including the disposal of the U.S. Fed IT business and significant headcount resizing.
Strategic Wins in EMEA
Secured GBP 1.5 billion extension for LTPA and a GBP 25 million contract to deliver collective training for the Royal Navy.
Strong Cash Conversion
Cash conversion remains strong at 85%, underpinning full year guidance of around 90%.
Solid Financial Performance
Despite a 3% revenue decline, the underlying margin of 10.7% was ahead of expectations, supporting the full year target of around 11%.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue was down 3% on an organic basis at GBP 900 million due to sale of Fed IT business and tough market conditions.
Market Challenges in Australia
Loss of the Land Systems work package under the MSP framework led to lower revenue in Australia.
Delays in U.K. Orders
Experienced delays to orders in the U.K., particularly in engineering services and R&D framework contracts.
U.S. Federal IT Market Impact
The year-on-year impact on the federal IT market was stark, leading to restructuring and disposal of the Fed IT business.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its fiscal performance and future outlook amidst challenging market conditions. Key metrics highlighted include a record order intake of GBP 2.4 billion and a closing order backlog of GBP 4.8 billion, although revenue saw a 3% organic decline to GBP 900 million. The book-to-bill ratio stood at 0.9x, reflecting delays in contract awards, particularly in the U.K. and Australia. Despite these challenges, underlying profit was GBP 96 million, with a margin of 10.7%, supporting a full-year margin target of around 11%. The company emphasized its strategic positioning with significant milestones, such as the GBP 1.5 billion extension of the LTPA contract and an enhanced EDP contract, underpinning long-term growth visibility. The company also reported strong cash conversion at 85% and a leverage ratio of 0.6x, with shareholder returns totaling GBP 101 million through dividends and a share buyback program. The guidance remains unchanged, projecting circa 3% organic growth on a like-for-like basis, with a continued focus on execution and capital discipline to navigate market headwinds and drive value creation for shareholders.

QinetiQ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
QinetiQ demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, but recent profitability challenges reflected in negative margins indicate potential operational issues. The balance sheet is stable, yet the trajectory of increasing debt and decreasing equity ratio warrants attention. The company is positioned well within its industry, but the focus should be on improving operational efficiencies to enhance profitability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The company has shown a significant increase in revenue over the years, with a notable jump from 2022 to 2023. However, the most recent year saw a decline in EBIT and net income, resulting in negative margins. This indicates potential operational challenges or increased costs, impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable equity base with increasing total debt. Despite the rise in debt, the company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio due to solid stockholders' equity. However, the declining equity ratio in recent years suggests a need for careful financial management to maintain stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's cash flow is robust, with consistent positive operating cash flow and free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate has been variable, but overall cash management appears strong, providing a buffer against potential income statement volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.93B1.93B1.91B1.58B1.32B1.28B
Gross Profit261.90M1.93B268.70M480.50M416.40M431.80M
EBITDA289.90M26.20M292.90M226.70M176.60M205.60M
Net Income-185.70M-185.70M139.60M154.40M90.00M121.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.83B2.11B2.10B1.79B1.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments290.60M290.60M231.00M155.60M248.30M190.60M
Total Debt428.90M428.90M391.80M368.90M22.10M26.70M
Total Liabilities1.20B1.20B1.18B1.13B746.70M611.60M
Stockholders Equity626.50M626.50M926.10M968.30M1.04B884.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow125.20M112.50M146.80M97.00M106.40M102.10M
Operating Cash Flow221.30M221.30M243.10M206.00M190.70M178.00M
Investing Cash Flow400.00K400.00K-99.10M-464.40M-83.60M-49.60M
Financing Cash Flow-158.40M-158.40M-63.20M159.70M-50.40M-55.60M

QinetiQ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price408.00
Price Trends
50DMA
471.74
Negative
100DMA
481.85
Negative
200DMA
462.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-17.72
Positive
RSI
32.21
Neutral
STOCH
17.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:QQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 408 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 430.30, below the 50-day MA of 471.74, and below the 200-day MA of 462.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -17.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:QQ.

QinetiQ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
£1.54B39.4314.59%1.66%7.73%1209.76%
66
Neutral
£570.89M112.606.27%0.97%10.74%237.07%
65
Neutral
£159.03M24.225.87%1.00%14.49%76.33%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$47.41B24.6817.59%2.07%11.60%8.03%
61
Neutral
£592.27M28.7614.40%1.52%33.33%19.01%
58
Neutral
£2.53B-13.932.03%-4.59%-256.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:QQ
QinetiQ
409.60
-6.26
-1.51%
GB:BA
BAE Systems
1,643.50
406.89
32.90%
GB:AVG
Avingtrans
490.00
104.16
27.00%
GB:AVON
Avon Technologies
1,836.00
461.85
33.61%
GB:CHG
Chemring
475.50
115.77
32.18%
GB:CHRT
Cohort plc
1,072.00
80.72
8.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025