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Defence Holdings (GB:ALRT)
LSE:ALRT

Defence Holdings (ALRT) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ALRT

Defence Holdings

(LSE:ALRT)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
1.50p
▼(-5.06% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative equity and cash flow issues being the most critical factors. While technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, recent corporate events provide a positive outlook, suggesting potential strategic improvements. The lack of traditional valuation metrics adds uncertainty to the stock's market valuation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's rapid revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful expansion strategies, potentially leading to increased market share and long-term financial stability if profitability challenges are addressed.
Content Creation and Partnerships
Diversified revenue streams through content creation and partnerships enhance brand visibility and engagement, supporting sustainable growth by tapping into the expanding digital entertainment market.
Brand Partnerships
Strategic brand partnerships provide a steady revenue stream and strengthen market position, leveraging the growing interest in esports to attract diverse audiences and sponsors.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity suggests financial instability, posing risks to long-term viability and limiting the company's ability to secure financing or invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues hinder the company's ability to reinvest in business operations and achieve sustainable growth, potentially affecting its competitive position in the industry.
Cash Flow Challenges
Ongoing cash flow challenges limit financial flexibility and could impact the company's ability to meet operational needs and invest in strategic initiatives, threatening long-term sustainability.

Defence Holdings (ALRT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Defence Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuild Esports (ALRT) is a prominent esports organization based in the United Kingdom, focusing on competitive gaming and related entertainment sectors. Founded with the aim of promoting esports as a mainstream professional sport, Guild Esports operates teams across various popular gaming titles, including Fortnite, FIFA, and Rocket League. The company also engages in content creation, brand partnerships, and merchandise sales, catering to a growing audience of esports fans and gamers.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuild Esports generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, the company earns money from sponsorships and partnerships with brands looking to reach the esports audience. This includes deals with gaming hardware companies, beverage brands, and lifestyle products. Additionally, Guild Esports monetizes its competitive gaming teams by participating in tournaments and leagues that offer prize money. The organization also capitalizes on merchandise sales, selling branded apparel and accessories to its fan base. Furthermore, Guild Esports invests in content creation, generating income from streaming platforms and social media through advertising and sponsorship deals. Collaborations with other esports entities and media companies also contribute to their revenue, enhancing their market presence and financial stability.

Defence Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guild Esports is experiencing rapid revenue growth, but this is overshadowed by persistent profitability and financial stability issues. The negative equity and cash flow challenges raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations without significant restructuring or external financing. While there are signs of improvement in cash flow, the overall financial health remains precarious.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Guild Esports has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a remarkable increase in the latest period. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy, but the high operating losses indicate challenges in cost management and achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is also negative, highlighting financial instability. The company's asset base has significantly decreased, further emphasizing financial distress.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, although there is a notable improvement in free cash flow growth. The ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income are not meaningful due to negative net income, indicating ongoing cash flow challenges despite some recent improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.10M2.89M5.53M4.45M1.90M0.00
Gross Profit962.39K1.52M3.99M2.77M1.10M0.00
EBITDA-1.26M34.00K-3.41M-8.15M-8.79M-2.52M
Net Income-1.80M-851.34K-4.50M-8.75M-8.82M-2.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.56M77.00K5.55M12.15M13.70M4.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.00K69.00K459.00K2.73M10.07M2.52M
Total Debt2.99M0.003.20M3.46M0.000.00
Total Liabilities6.95M729.00K5.78M8.59M1.62M2.09M
Stockholders Equity-1.39M-652.00K-231.00K3.56M12.07M2.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-679.68K-558.00K-2.27M-7.20M-10.75M-2.25K
Operating Cash Flow-630.63K-511.00K-2.06M-5.37M-10.69M-2.25K
Investing Cash Flow-147.00K-47.00K-205.00K-1.83M-58.00K
Financing Cash Flow711.00K168.00K-3.00K-146.00K18.30M4.62K

Defence Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.58
Price Trends
50DMA
2.14
Negative
100DMA
1.71
Negative
200DMA
0.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
43.64
Neutral
STOCH
74.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ALRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, below the 50-day MA of 2.14, and above the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:ALRT.

Defence Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
£6.06M25.308.62%4.80%0.58%-21.54%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
£12.62M-3.27-19.68%-72.15%
50
Neutral
£41.10M-6.53-1.82%67.47%
49
Neutral
£25.07M-3.25-20.63%17.43%-244.31%
49
Neutral
£37.63M
48
Neutral
£8.34M-125.006.49%-14.03%-142.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ALRT
Defence Holdings
1.58
1.55
4414.29%
GB:AEO
Aeorema Communications
62.50
7.75
14.16%
GB:EMAN
Everyman Media
27.50
-25.50
-48.11%
GB:OMIP
One Media iP
3.75
-0.50
-11.76%
GB:TMO
Time Out
11.50
-40.50
-77.88%
GB:ZIN
Zinc Media
51.00
0.00
0.00%

Defence Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Defence Holdings PLC Updates on ATM Facility and Proceeds
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has successfully utilized an At-The-Market (ATM) equity issuance facility, raising a total of £437,147.50 in gross proceeds. The funds will provide additional working capital for the company, and the shareholding of Fortified Securities has decreased as a result of the ATM-related sales.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings and Oracle Partner to Enhance AI Solutions for Defence
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced a collaboration with Oracle to enhance AI innovation for global defence and national security customers. By utilizing Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Defence Technologies will be able to deploy its AI solutions at scale, offering advanced capabilities while maintaining security and performance. This partnership aims to align sovereign AI products with trusted hyperscale platforms, benefiting defence organizations across the UK, NATO, and allied nations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings PLC Partners with Google Cloud for Project Ixian
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced its selection of Google Cloud as the hyperscale provider for its inaugural sovereign AI product, Project Ixian. This initiative, developed under the Defence Technologies division, aims to enhance information integrity and resilience against information warfare. Project Ixian will be built on Google Distributed Cloud air-gapped, ensuring stringent data residency and security controls. The project aligns with the UK’s Strategic Defence Review 2025, addressing challenges such as disinformation and digital vulnerabilities. The collaboration with Whitespace engineers ensures the embedding of sovereign standards, resilience, and scalability from inception.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings PLC Announces Exercise of Warrants and Share Issuance
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the exercise of warrants, resulting in the issuance of 69,800,000 new ordinary shares. The shares will be admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange, increasing the company’s total voting share capital to 2,078,666,131 ordinary shares. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and operational capabilities.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings Unveils Second AI Product for Enhanced Edge Analysis
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced its second classified AI product, focusing on edge-based analysis and identification support, aligning with NATO’s urgent priorities. This new product aims to improve identification, reduce misclassification, and support decision-making in contested environments, enhancing the value of existing hardware and aligning with UK Strategic Defence Review 2025 objectives. The initiative demonstrates Defence Holdings’ ability to rapidly convert strategy into commercially viable products, strengthening its position in the global sovereign defence technology ecosystem.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings to Host Interview with New Chairman
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC will host a live broadcast interview with its incoming Non-Executive Chairman, Field Marshal Lord Houghton, on October 3, 2025. The interview will cover Lord Houghton’s extensive military career, his views on the evolving defence landscape, and his role in guiding the company’s future direction. His appointment is expected to enhance Defence Holdings’ positioning in the defence technology sector, strengthen dialogues with policymakers, and boost investor confidence.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Defence Holdings PLC Announces Warrant Exercise and Share Issuance
Neutral
Sep 24, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the exercise of warrants by holders, resulting in the issuance of 7,151,334 new ordinary shares. These shares will be admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange, increasing the company’s total issued and voting share capital to over 2 billion shares, which may impact shareholder notifications under FCA rules.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Defence Holdings PLC Announces Warrant Exercise and Share Issuance
Neutral
Sep 24, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the exercise of warrants, resulting in the issuance of 7,151,334 new ordinary shares. This development will increase the company’s total issued and voting share capital to 2,008,866,131 ordinary shares, impacting shareholder calculations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings PLC to Host Strategic Broadcast with Leadership Team
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC is set to host a broadcast featuring its senior leadership team to discuss recent developments and the company’s strategic direction. The session will cover key topics such as the appointment of Lord Houghton as Non-Executive Chairman, the launch of Project Ixian, and the impact of global technological investments and geopolitical events on the defence sector. This broadcast aims to provide investors and stakeholders with insights into the company’s operations and future plans.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings Launches Project Ixian to Tackle Information Operations
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the launch of Project Ixian, its first AI product targeting information operations, a critical domain in modern defence. Developed in collaboration with a leading technology partner, Project Ixian offers sovereign-grade resilience and scalability, aligning with UK government initiatives to enhance digital resilience. This product marks a significant commercial opportunity for Defence Holdings as it enters its first phase of value realisation in December, addressing urgent threats such as disinformation and digital sabotage.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Defence Holdings PLC Announces Warrant Exercise and Share Issuance
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the exercise of 55,192,308 warrants, leading to the issuance of an equivalent number of new Ordinary Shares. This move will increase the company’s total issued and voting share capital to 2,001,714,797 Ordinary Shares, with trading expected to commence on the London Stock Exchange on or around 15 September 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings’ James Norwood Joins NATO’s Coalition of the Willing
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC announced that its Non-Executive Vice Chairman, James Norwood, has been appointed to the Coalition of the Willing, a group supporting the NATO Industry Advisory Group. This appointment enhances the company’s strategic positioning by providing direct involvement in NATO tasking and studies, fostering relationships with senior decision-makers, and ensuring the company’s perspectives are included in NATO-industrial dialogue.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Defence Holdings Appoints Lord Houghton as Non-Executive Chairman
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Defence Holdings PLC has announced the appointment of Field Marshal Lord Houghton of Richmond as Non-Executive Chairman, effective from October 1, 2025. Lord Houghton, a highly respected figure in UK defence, brings extensive leadership experience from his tenure as Chief of the Defence Staff and other senior military roles. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic alignment with national defence priorities and strengthen its position in the defence industry. Additionally, the company has granted warrants over ordinary shares to Lord Houghton as part of his appointment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025