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Pennon Group plc (GB:PNN)
:PNN
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Pennon Group plc (PNN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PNN

Pennon Group plc

(LSE:PNN)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
535.00p
▲(5.52% Upside)
Pennon Group's stock is moderately rated due to revenue growth and strategic initiatives, but faces challenges in profitability and leverage. Positive technical momentum and corporate actions provide support, while valuation metrics show mixed signals. The company's strategic focus and regulatory achievements position it for potential future growth.

Pennon Group plc (PNN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Pennon Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPennon Group plc is a UK-based utility company primarily engaged in the water and wastewater services sectors. The company operates through its main subsidiary, South West Water, which provides water supply and wastewater treatment services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the South West of England. Pennon Group is committed to delivering high-quality, reliable water services while focusing on sustainability and environmental responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyPennon Group plc generates revenue primarily through the provision of water and wastewater services to its customers in the South West of England. The company charges customers for water supply and wastewater treatment based on metered usage or assessed rates for unmetered properties. Additionally, Pennon Group may engage in regulated and non-regulated activities, such as infrastructure development and maintenance services, which also contribute to its earnings. The company's financial performance is influenced by regulatory frameworks set by the UK's water industry regulator, Ofwat, which determines the pricing structures and allowable returns on investments.

Pennon Group plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Pennon's significant achievements in regulatory performance, financial stability, and environmental advancements, despite facing challenges such as a loss before tax and environmental performance issues. The company's strategic focus on investment and customer support positions it well for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Top Quartile Regulatory Performance
Pennon delivered on 70% of its stretching regulatory targets, placing it in the top quartile across the water sector.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Resilience
Pennon successfully completed a rights issue raising GBP 490 million, resulting in water group gearing at 61.8% and group gearing at 64.3%.
Continued Investment and Growth
Record investment of GBP 652 million in CapEx, with a focus on advancing projects and positioning for K8 delivery.
Environmental Gains and Renewable Energy
Significant progress in reducing reasons for not achieving good ecological status from 19% to 12% and investment in renewable energy projects covering 40% of power generation needs.
Customer Support and Engagement
Achieved 100% affordability in customer billing and expanded the priority services register for vulnerable customers.
Negative Updates
Loss Before Tax
Reported a loss before tax of GBP 35.1 million, influenced by lower anticipated revenues due to customer water efficiency measures.
Environmental Performance Challenges
Forecasted a 2-star rating for the Environmental Agency's performance assessment due to pollution incidents affecting watercourses.
Operational and Financial Challenges
The year '24-'25 was noted as challenging with operational inflections and financial resets impacting the business.
Company Guidance
During the call, Pennon Group's CEO, Susan Davy, and CFO, Laura Flowerdew, outlined the company's performance and guidance for the upcoming periods. They reported a stable EBITDA performance and a loss before tax of £35.1 million for the year, attributing this to customer demand measures and increased investment costs. The company achieved 70% of their regulatory targets, placing them in the top quartile of the sector. They emphasized a strategic focus on four priorities: delivering safe, clean drinking water, tackling storm overflows, driving environmental gains, and supporting customers. Pennon has undergone a financial reset, boasting a strong balance sheet with £1.3 billion in fundraising and gearing at 61.8% for the Water Group. Their capital investment is reported at £652 million, and they have delivered £76 million in annualized savings, with a target of £86 million. Looking forward, they expect a strong return to profitability and an EBITDA increase of around two-thirds for the next financial year, with a focus on achieving a 7% return on regulated equity.

Pennon Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pennon Group is experiencing revenue growth, but profitability challenges are evident with declining net income and margins. The balance sheet shows increasing leverage, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow concerns arise from negative free cash flow, although operating cash flow generation is a strength. The company needs to address profitability and leverage for improved financial health.
Income Statement
67
Positive
The company has shown a positive revenue growth trend, with a notable increase in total revenue from £624.1 million in 2021 to £1.048 billion in 2025. However, the net income has significantly declined, leading to a negative net profit margin in recent years. Gross profit margin remains strong, but declining EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. The return on equity has suffered due to net losses, and while the equity ratio remains stable, the increasing liabilities are a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has declined, and free cash flow is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The company's increased capital expenditures are affecting free cash flow. However, the ability to generate operating cash flow relative to net income is a positive aspect.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B907.80M797.20M792.30M624.10M
Gross Profit995.90M856.00M506.70M532.30M411.60M
EBITDA302.90M319.90M292.00M370.70M313.30M
Net Income-57.90M-9.50M100.00K15.40M79.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.05B6.23B5.19B5.34B6.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments417.90M145.40M165.40M519.00M2.92B
Total Debt4.54B3.97B3.13B3.20B2.85B
Total Liabilities5.60B5.07B4.06B4.06B3.44B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.16B1.12B1.27B2.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-575.10M-450.00M-173.70M25.90M15.90M
Operating Cash Flow93.50M148.90M157.50M254.90M206.20M
Investing Cash Flow-676.40M-658.00M-330.50M-639.60M3.44B
Financing Cash Flow866.80M510.80M-180.60M-2.02B-1.43B

Pennon Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price507.00
Price Trends
50DMA
480.65
Positive
100DMA
468.31
Positive
200DMA
443.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.05
Negative
RSI
60.28
Neutral
STOCH
42.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PNN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 507 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 490.94, above the 50-day MA of 480.65, and above the 200-day MA of 443.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:PNN.

Pennon Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$7.85B6.18-5.95%2.49%-4.82%-123.58%
71
Outperform
£20.40B17.1412.29%3.48%-3.11%-31.10%
71
Outperform
£53.78B17.588.35%4.31%-7.42%5.84%
67
Neutral
$17.67B17.876.85%3.51%6.34%4.32%
64
Neutral
£2.39B-4.44%6.74%15.42%-406.43%
64
Neutral
£7.88B29.6213.05%4.55%10.04%
63
Neutral
£8.09B35.0712.73%4.58%3.78%50.18%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PNN
Pennon Group plc
506.50
68.22
15.57%
GB:CNA
Centrica
164.60
43.53
35.95%
GB:SVT
Severn Trent
2,686.00
278.90
11.59%
GB:SSE
SSE
1,855.00
56.52
3.14%
GB:UU
United Utilities
1,156.00
231.07
24.98%
GB:NG
National Grid
1,084.00
149.12
15.95%

Pennon Group plc Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Pennon Group Announces Total Voting Rights and Capital
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Pennon Group plc has announced its total voting rights and capital as of July 31, 2025. The company’s issued share capital consists of 471,977,902 ordinary shares, with 5,628 shares held in treasury, resulting in a total of 471,972,274 voting rights. This figure is important for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Pennon Group Director Purchases Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced a transaction involving Andrea Blance, a Non-Executive Director, who purchased 2,000 ordinary shares at a price of £4.93 each. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s adherence to the EU Market Abuse Regulation and indicates confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pennon Group CEO Executes Share Sale for Tax Liabilities
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced a transaction involving its Group Chief Executive Officer, Susan Jane Davy, who sold shares to cover tax and national insurance liabilities. This transaction follows the vesting of shares under the company’s 2022 Annual Incentive Bonus Plan, marking a significant financial move for the executive and reflecting the company’s ongoing financial management strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group plc Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting on July 24, 2025, were passed by shareholders. The resolutions included approving the annual report, declaring a final dividend, electing and re-electing directors, appointing auditors, and authorizing various corporate actions. The successful passing of these resolutions supports the company’s governance and operational strategies, ensuring continued alignment with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group Executives Purchase Shares to Align Interests
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced transactions involving its Group Chief Executive Officer, Susan Jane Davy, and Group Chief Financial Officer, Laura Flowerdew, who both purchased shares under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect a strategic move to align the interests of the company’s leadership with those of its shareholders, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
South West Water Agrees to £24m Investment Package Following Ofwat Investigation
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

Ofwat has announced its findings for South West Water as part of a sector-wide investigation into wastewater activities. South West Water has agreed to an enforcement package worth £24 million, which includes investments to reduce environmental spills, tackle sewer misuse, and support environmental recovery, instead of facing a financial penalty. These measures are expected to improve customer service and environmental outcomes, aligning with the company’s broader plans to address storm overflows and enhance water quality.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group CFO Granted Options in Sharesave Scheme
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced a transaction involving Laura Flowerdew, the Group Chief Financial Officer, who was granted options under the company’s all-employee 2025 Sharesave scheme. This move is part of Pennon’s ongoing efforts to align employee incentives with company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and employee engagement positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group Announces Vesting of Long-Term Incentive Plan Awards
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Pennon Group plc has announced the vesting of the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan awards for its CEO, Susan Jane Davy, and CFO, Laura Flowerdew. The awards, which include dividend re-investment and rights issue adjustments, are subject to a two-year holding period. This move reflects the company’s commitment to aligning management incentives with long-term shareholder value, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Pennon Group Announces Total Voting Rights and Capital Structure
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced its total voting rights and capital structure as of June 30, 2025, with an issued share capital of 471,977,902 ordinary shares, of which 5,628 are held in treasury. This results in a total of 471,972,274 voting rights, a figure that shareholders can use to assess their interests under FCA regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Pennon Group Releases 2025 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

Pennon Group plc has published its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ending March 31, 2025, along with the Notice of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for July 24, 2025. These documents are available on the company’s website and have been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism for inspection. The publication of these documents is a routine part of the company’s compliance with financial regulations and provides shareholders with detailed insights into the company’s performance and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group Executives Invest in Company Shares
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced that its Group Chief Executive Officer, Susan Jane Davy, and Group Chief Financial Officer, Laura Flowerdew, have both purchased ordinary shares as part of a Share Incentive Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a strategic move to align the interests of the company’s leadership with its financial performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group Enhances Financial Strategy with New Prospectus
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

Pennon Group plc has announced the publication of a Supplementary Prospectus related to its GBP 2.5 billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme, which is guaranteed by South West Water Limited. This development is part of the company’s ongoing financial strategy to support its operations and maintain its market position in the utilities sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Pennon Group Announces Total Voting Rights and Capital Update
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced its total voting rights and capital as of May 31, 2025, with an issued share capital consisting of 471,977,883 ordinary shares, of which 5,628 are held in treasury. This announcement informs shareholders of the total number of voting rights, which is 471,972,255 shares, a figure they can use to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pennon Group’s Strategic Investments Set Stage for Future Growth Amid Financial Challenges
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

Pennon Group plc reported its full-year results for 2024/25, highlighting a resilient operational performance despite financial challenges. The company has undertaken significant capital investments to improve customer services and infrastructure, impacting profitability but setting a foundation for future growth. Pennon plans to increase customer bills for the first time in over a decade to support its ambitious investment plans, while maintaining strong investor support and a robust balance sheet. The company anticipates a return to profitability in 2025/26, driven by increased revenue and cost base adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pennon Group Executives Increase Stake in Company through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
May 20, 2025

Pennon Group plc announced transactions involving its top executives, CEO Susan Jane Davy and CFO Laura Flowerdew, who purchased shares to be included in a Share Incentive Plan (SIP). This move, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PNN) stock is a Buy with a £7.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennon Group plc stock, see the GB:PNN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 26, 2025