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United Utilities (GB:UU)
LSE:UU
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United Utilities (UU) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:UU

United Utilities

(LSE:UU)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
1,398.00 p
▲(3.52% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/31/26
The score is primarily weighed down by high leverage and recurring free-cash-flow deficits despite improving earnings and stronger operating cash flow. Technical signals are mixed with slightly negative near-term momentum, while a reasonable P/E and ~3.9% dividend yield provide some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Regulated monopoly revenue framework
Operating as the regulated water and wastewater provider for the North West gives durable revenue visibility. Ofwat sets multi-year allowed revenues and incentives, which supports predictable cash flows and long-term investment planning versus competitive markets.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
A debt-heavy balance sheet increases sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing risks. Large absolute and relative leverage limits financial flexibility, raises cost of capital for future investment, and makes regulatory financing assumptions more critical to returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated monopoly revenue framework
Operating as the regulated water and wastewater provider for the North West gives durable revenue visibility. Ofwat sets multi-year allowed revenues and incentives, which supports predictable cash flows and long-term investment planning versus competitive markets.
Read all positive factors

United Utilities (UU) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

United Utilities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
United Utilities Group PLC, established in 2008 and headquartered in Warrington, UK, is a key provider of water and wastewater services throughout the United Kingdom. The company also diversifies its operations into areas such as renewable energy ...
How the Company Makes Money
United Utilities primarily makes money by operating as a regulated monopoly water and wastewater provider. The main revenue stream is regulated customer charges (billed to households and non-household customers) for water supply and sewerage servi...

United Utilities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced outlook for United Utilities, with strong operational achievements and a stable financial position. However, challenges with regulatory ratings and the need for a national social tariff to address affordability were highlighted. The company is proactive in addressing these challenges and exploring growth opportunities through innovation and strategic engagements.
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Performance
United Utilities reported a strong cash performance despite increased bills, doubling the number of customers on affordability schemes and maintaining cash flow.
Negative Updates
Disappointment with EPA Rating
The company expressed disappointment with a 2-star EPA rating due to changes in methodology and definitions, including pollution from storms and power interruptions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Cash Performance
United Utilities reported a strong cash performance despite increased bills, doubling the number of customers on affordability schemes and maintaining cash flow.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the recent call, United Utilities provided detailed guidance on their fiscal '26 interim results, highlighting several key metrics and future expectations. The company emphasized ongoing conversations with regulators about reopeners in AMP8 and potential growth opportunities, particularly in areas like asset health and data centers. They expect the upcoming white paper to bring recommendations for regulatory changes, with a focus on investor-friendly measures and a strategic policy statement for Ofwat and the EA. The firm is actively managing affordability, having doubled the number of customers on support schemes, and anticipates potential legislative developments like a national social tariff. Financially, United Utilities maintains a strong balance sheet with a net debt to RCV gearing of 60%, well within their 55% to 65% range, and they are confident in their funding for AMP8, despite uncertainties linked to possible reopeners. They also discussed the potential environmental super cycle and the implications of PFAS and housebuilding on future investments, while reaffirming their commitment to transformation projects to manage totex delivery effectively. The company guided for 100 basis points of outperformance, with a focus on financing, ODIs, and PCDs, and while they expect a net penalty in ODIs this year, they are confident in achieving a net reward position over the AMP period. Overall, United Utilities conveyed a positive outlook, emphasizing their preparedness for future regulatory and environmental challenges.

United Utilities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are improving (stronger 2026 revenue growth, profitability and margin expansion; net income more than doubled), and operating cash flow rose meaningfully in 2026. However, the balance sheet is highly levered (debt rising to ~£11.5B vs ~£2.2B equity) and free cash flow has been consistently weak/negative (2024–2026), increasing funding and refinancing risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
47
Neutral
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.62B2.15B1.95B1.82B1.86B
Gross Profit1.27B2.00B1.66B754.10M884.30M
EBITDA1.59B1.19B992.70M1.18B1.19B
Net Income586.80M264.70M126.90M204.90M-56.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.13B16.77B15.65B14.53B14.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.79B1.67B1.40B340.40M240.90M
Total Debt11.49B10.79B10.00B8.44B7.98B
Total Liabilities15.89B14.77B13.60B12.02B11.48B
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.00B2.06B2.51B2.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-110.20M-79.90M-19.00M93.50M305.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B918.10M745.10M787.50M934.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.48B-987.20M-731.40M-593.40M-639.70M
Financing Cash Flow221.40M358.80M1.04B-85.00M-809.70M

United Utilities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1350.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1345.12
Negative
100DMA
1332.89
Negative
200DMA
1252.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.85
Positive
RSI
42.88
Neutral
STOCH
37.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:UU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1350.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1316.40, above the 50-day MA of 1345.12, and above the 200-day MA of 1252.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -14.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:UU.

United Utilities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
£28.03B23.079.45%2.98%0.54%-2.65%
59
Neutral
£7.82B37.361.68%2.86%-2.11%-104.48%
58
Neutral
£9.58B15.1627.72%4.45%21.96%121.69%
56
Neutral
£60.31B18.278.47%4.15%-3.76%8.20%
55
Neutral
£8.58B23.4920.35%4.50%16.66%61.25%
48
Neutral
£2.17B23.896.61%6.56%23.25%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:UU
United Utilities
1,289.00
164.47
14.63%
GB:CNA
Centrica
172.65
9.23
5.65%
GB:PNN
Pennon Group plc
459.60
-6.30
-1.35%
GB:SVT
Severn Trent
2,842.00
217.70
8.30%
GB:SSE
SSE
2,325.00
549.47
30.95%
GB:NG
National Grid
1,212.00
177.10
17.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 31, 2026