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Severn Trent PLC (GB:SVT)
LSE:SVT
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Severn Trent (SVT) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SVT

Severn Trent

(LSE:SVT)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
3,178.00 p
▲(0.86% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/22/26
The score is primarily held back by balance sheet leverage and deeply negative free cash flow despite solid operating results. Technicals are neutral-to-slightly weak, while valuation is somewhat full but supported by the dividend yield. Earnings call commentary is supportive due to improved ODI guidance and stated gearing targets, though regulatory and customer satisfaction risks remain.
Positive Factors
Regulated, recurring revenue base
Severn Trent’s core revenues are set within the UK regulatory framework and come from recurring customer bills and allowed tariffs, providing durable cashflow visibility. Over multi-year cycles, regulated pricing and the regulated asset base underpin predictable revenue and investment recovery.
Negative Factors
Heavy balance-sheet leverage
Very high debt relative to equity and an £11bn debt stock leave limited balance-sheet cushion. Elevated leverage materially reduces financial flexibility, magnifies the impact of any adverse regulatory outcomes or operational setbacks, and increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated, recurring revenue base
Severn Trent’s core revenues are set within the UK regulatory framework and come from recurring customer bills and allowed tariffs, providing durable cashflow visibility. Over multi-year cycles, regulated pricing and the regulated asset base underpin predictable revenue and investment recovery.
Read all positive factors

Severn Trent (SVT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Severn Trent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Severn Trent Plc operates as a water and sewerage company in England and Wales. It operates in two segments, Regulated Water and Waste Water, and Business Services. The Regulated Water and Waste Water segment offers water and waste water services ...
How the Company Makes Money
Severn Trent makes money primarily from regulated charges billed to customers for water supply and wastewater services within its appointed service areas. Its largest revenue stream is recurring customer bills (household and non-household) that re...

Severn Trent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Severn Trent has reported a strong performance in the first half of the year, with significant achievements in ODI performance, financial strength, and infrastructure services growth. While there are challenges in customer satisfaction and regulatory changes on the horizon, the company is well-prepared and optimistic about future opportunities. The sentiment is overall positive, driven by confidence in achieving strategic goals and maintaining financial health.
Positive Updates
Strong ODI Performance
Severn Trent reported that about 90% of their measures are green, indicating strong performance across the basket of ODIs. Specific achievements include being on track for their eighth year hitting the leakage target, finding and fixing more leaks than ever, and recovering quickly after a summer with 1/3 more bursts than usual.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Customer Satisfaction
Severn Trent acknowledged that their CMEC scores are only mid-table and aim to improve these to podium positions, indicating ongoing challenges in customer satisfaction.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong ODI Performance
Severn Trent reported that about 90% of their measures are green, indicating strong performance across the basket of ODIs. Specific achievements include being on track for their eighth year hitting the leakage target, finding and fixing more leaks than ever, and recovering quickly after a summer with 1/3 more bursts than usual.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the recent Severn Trent half-year results presentation, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for future performance. Severn Trent upgraded its ODI guidance, forecasting at least £300 million in outperformance over the next 4.5 years, with 90% of measures currently green. The company highlighted strong performances in key areas such as spills, pollution, and leakage, with a focus on innovation and operational efficiency. Severn Trent also announced a target to maintain gearing at 60% to 65% by the end of the AMP, supported by capital efficiencies of at least £500 million. The company plans to reinvest these efficiencies to further enhance performance and is preparing for future growth opportunities, including potential capital reopeners. Additionally, Severn Trent aims to double the EBITDA of its Infrastructure Services division, leveraging strategic acquisitions and sector growth. The company remains committed to delivering strong returns with a projected 13% RoRE for the fiscal year, driven by higher inflation and operational outperformance.

Severn Trent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is solid (steady revenue growth and higher FY2026 net income with improved margins), but financial quality is constrained by heavy leverage (elevated debt-to-equity, rising total debt) and persistently negative, worsening free cash flow, implying reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83B2.43B2.34B2.17B1.94B
Gross Profit907.00M2.23B536.60M1.27B1.17B
EBITDA1.36B1.16B886.70M1.03B997.40M
Net Income371.00M229.40M140.20M132.20M-87.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.57B15.91B14.20B12.24B11.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments796.00M1.02B953.20M34.20M115.40M
Total Debt10.98B9.70B8.27B7.30B6.73B
Total Liabilities15.73B14.14B12.37B11.27B10.33B
Stockholders Equity1.84B1.77B1.83B970.60M1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-972.00M-680.50M-356.40M-190.20M62.90M
Operating Cash Flow924.00M912.30M813.30M549.50M709.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.95B-1.54B-1.19B-721.70M-650.10M
Financing Cash Flow771.00M718.60M1.30B93.20M4.30M

Severn Trent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3151.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3111.92
Positive
100DMA
3054.28
Positive
200DMA
2847.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.67
Positive
RSI
51.80
Neutral
STOCH
78.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SVT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3151 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3110.95, above the 50-day MA of 3111.92, and above the 200-day MA of 2847.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -19.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SVT.

Severn Trent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£29.25B16.497.09%2.98%1.78%-50.72%
68
Neutral
£10.10B6.4627.72%4.45%21.96%121.69%
67
Neutral
£2.50B9.643.09%6.56%19.50%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
62
Neutral
£63.74B19.378.47%4.15%-3.76%8.19%
59
Neutral
£9.07B2.731.68%2.86%-2.11%-104.48%
55
Neutral
£9.42B25.0220.35%4.50%16.66%61.14%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SVT
Severn Trent
3,128.00
509.59
19.46%
GB:CNA
Centrica
200.30
46.11
29.91%
GB:PNN
Pennon Group plc
529.00
41.87
8.60%
GB:SSE
SSE
2,427.00
730.86
43.09%
GB:UU
United Utilities
1,360.00
262.45
23.91%
GB:NG
National Grid
1,281.00
241.69
23.25%

Severn Trent Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Severn Trent boosts profits and investment as it upgrades earnings outlook
Positive
May 20, 2026
Severn Trent reported another year of strong growth, investing £1.9 billion to expand its water and wastewater infrastructure and lifting its regulatory asset base by 13% to £15.4 billion. Revenue rose 16.6% to £2.83 billion and PBI...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Executives Increase Holdings Through 2023 Sharesave Option Exercises
Positive
May 5, 2026
Severn Trent disclosed that director James Jesic and senior managers Stephanie Cawley and Didar Dhillon acquired a combined 1,152 ordinary shares in the company on 1 May 2026 through the exercise of options under its 2023 HMRC-approved Sharesave S...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates Share Pools for Employee Schemes in Block Listing Return
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Severn Trent has reported its latest six‑monthly block listing update for employee share schemes, detailing changes in the number of ordinary shares available under its plans. The Sharesave Scheme saw its unallotted pool rise to 840,191 shar...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates Market on Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Severn Trent has confirmed that as of 30 April 2026 its issued share capital comprises 303,310,945 ordinary shares, of which 2,218,618 are held in treasury, leaving 301,092,327 voting rights in the company. The updated voting rights figure provide...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
Severn Trent has confirmed that as of 31 March 2026 its issued share capital comprises 303,308,247 ordinary shares, of which 2,218,618 are held in treasury, leaving 301,089,629 voting rights in issue. The updated share and voting rights figures pr...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates €12 Billion Medium-Term Note Programme with New Supplementary Prospectus
Neutral
Mar 24, 2026
Severn Trent has published a new supplementary prospectus for its €12 billion Euro Medium Term Note programme, which has been approved by the Financial Conduct Authority. The document updates the existing prospectus for notes that can be iss...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates Market on Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026
Severn Trent has updated the market on its share capital and voting rights position as of 28 February 2026, confirming an issued share capital of 303,306,820 ordinary shares, of which 2,218,618 are held in Treasury, leaving 301,088,202 voting righ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026