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Severn Trent PLC (GB:SVT)
LSE:SVT
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Severn Trent (SVT) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SVT

Severn Trent

(LSE:SVT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
3,065.00p
▲(10.69% Upside)
Severn Trent's overall score reflects strong earnings call sentiment and positive technical indicators. Financial performance is solid but challenged by high leverage and negative free cash flow. Valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, supporting a stable investment outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability and expansion.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiency improvements and strategic focus on innovation enhance competitive positioning and profitability over the long term.
Infrastructure Services Growth
Growth in infrastructure services diversifies revenue streams and capitalizes on sector trends, strengthening the company's market position.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, posing risks to long-term financial stability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity challenges, which could constrain future investment and operational capabilities.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory changes could increase compliance costs and operational complexities, impacting long-term strategic planning and profitability.

Severn Trent (SVT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Severn Trent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSevern Trent Plc operates as a water and sewerage company in England and Wales. It operates in two segments, Regulated Water and Waste Water, and Business Services. The Regulated Water and Waste Water segment offers water and waste water services to approximately 4.8 million households and businesses in the Midlands and Wales. The Business Services segment generates renewable energy from anaerobic digestion, hydropower, wind turbines, and solar technology; manages and sells land; and offers search services. It also provides contract services to municipal and industrial clients in the United Kingdom; and the United Kingdom Ministry of Defense for design, build, and operation of water and waste water treatment facilities and networks, as well as services to developers. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Coventry, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneySevern Trent generates revenue primarily through the provision of water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates under a regulated framework, where its pricing is determined by periodic reviews conducted by the water regulator, Ofwat, ensuring that it can recover its costs and earn a reasonable return on investment. Key revenue streams include fixed charges for water supply, usage-based charges, and charges for sewerage and wastewater treatment services. Additionally, Severn Trent benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with local authorities and businesses, further stabilizing its revenue base. The company also invests in infrastructure projects and innovative technologies, which can create new revenue opportunities and improve operational efficiencies.

Severn Trent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Severn Trent has reported a strong performance in the first half of the year, with significant achievements in ODI performance, financial strength, and infrastructure services growth. While there are challenges in customer satisfaction and regulatory changes on the horizon, the company is well-prepared and optimistic about future opportunities. The sentiment is overall positive, driven by confidence in achieving strategic goals and maintaining financial health.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ODI Performance
Severn Trent reported that about 90% of their measures are green, indicating strong performance across the basket of ODIs. Specific achievements include being on track for their eighth year hitting the leakage target, finding and fixing more leaks than ever, and recovering quickly after a summer with 1/3 more bursts than usual.
Financial Strength and Gearing Guidance
The company guided to 60% to 65% gearing by the end of the AMP, demonstrating commitment to maintaining financial strength. They have diversified their sources of finance and have managed to raise financing significantly lower than the cost that the regulator allows.
Infrastructure Services Growth
Severn Trent expects to double the EBITDA in Infrastructure Services, driven by growth in Green Power, services, and property, as well as recent acquisitions in water and waste sectors.
Strong Start to AMP8
The company is excited about the opportunities in AMP8, focusing on innovation and efficiency, including AI and modular solutions to improve capital delivery efficiency.
Positive Water Resource Management
Despite concerns about potential drought conditions, Severn Trent reported that their reservoirs are in good shape, having increased by more than 10% over a weekend. They have not imposed a hosepipe ban since 1995.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Customer Satisfaction
Severn Trent acknowledged that their CMEC scores are only mid-table and aim to improve these to podium positions, indicating ongoing challenges in customer satisfaction.
Impact of Regulatory Changes
The upcoming introduction of a 5-star rating by the Environment Agency in 2028 and the ongoing PFAS regulations present challenges. While Severn Trent is preparing for these changes, they still represent future hurdles.
Potential Impact of Low Rainfall
Although currently well-managed, there are concerns about low rainfall and its potential impact on water resources. The company is focused on ensuring long-term resilience but acknowledges the changing weather patterns.
Company Guidance
During the recent Severn Trent half-year results presentation, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for future performance. Severn Trent upgraded its ODI guidance, forecasting at least £300 million in outperformance over the next 4.5 years, with 90% of measures currently green. The company highlighted strong performances in key areas such as spills, pollution, and leakage, with a focus on innovation and operational efficiency. Severn Trent also announced a target to maintain gearing at 60% to 65% by the end of the AMP, supported by capital efficiencies of at least £500 million. The company plans to reinvest these efficiencies to further enhance performance and is preparing for future growth opportunities, including potential capital reopeners. Additionally, Severn Trent aims to double the EBITDA of its Infrastructure Services division, leveraging strategic acquisitions and sector growth. The company remains committed to delivering strong returns with a projected 13% RoRE for the fiscal year, driven by higher inflation and operational outperformance.

Severn Trent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Severn Trent shows strong revenue growth and solid operating profit margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose significant challenges, indicating potential vulnerability to economic downturns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Severn Trent has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase from £1.94 billion in 2022 to £2.43 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin is strong, consistently above 90%, which indicates efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, peaking at 9.45% in 2025, suggesting challenges in controlling non-operating expenses or taxes. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown stability, supporting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reaching 5.48 in 2025, which may indicate potential financial leverage risks. However, the return on equity (ROE) improved to 12.95% in 2025, reflecting better profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains low at about 11.13%, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks during economic downturns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has grown steadily, reaching £912.3 million in 2025, showing strong cash generation capability. However, free cash flow has become increasingly negative, culminating in -£680.5 million in 2025 due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash earnings capability, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.43B2.43B2.34B2.17B1.94B1.83B
Gross Profit624.90M2.23B536.60M1.27B1.17B1.10B
EBITDA1.03B1.16B886.70M1.03B997.40M891.50M
Net Income229.40M229.40M140.20M132.20M-87.20M212.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.91B15.91B14.20B12.24B11.59B11.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.02B1.02B953.20M34.20M115.40M56.20M
Total Debt9.70B9.70B8.27B7.30B6.73B6.62B
Total Liabilities14.14B14.14B12.37B11.27B10.33B9.95B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.77B1.83B970.60M1.26B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-640.70M-680.50M-356.40M-190.20M62.90M60.00M
Operating Cash Flow912.30M912.30M813.30M549.50M709.50M696.60M
Investing Cash Flow-1.54B-1.54B-1.19B-721.70M-650.10M-634.90M
Financing Cash Flow718.60M718.60M1.30B93.20M4.30M-66.30M

Severn Trent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2769.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2700.18
Positive
100DMA
2626.74
Positive
200DMA
2579.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
30.36
Negative
RSI
53.93
Neutral
STOCH
87.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SVT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2769 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2749.23, above the 50-day MA of 2700.18, and above the 200-day MA of 2579.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 30.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:SVT.

Severn Trent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£500.19M7.4316.51%2.80%16.42%33.07%
76
Outperform
£56.78B18.567.87%4.16%-9.52%35.74%
74
Outperform
£20.81B17.459.92%2.98%1.78%-50.72%
72
Outperform
£8.19B30.9220.43%4.29%15.76%254.82%
71
Outperform
£8.34B36.1717.41%4.46%10.68%35.18%
67
Neutral
£2.41B-36.042.50%6.32%19.50%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SVT
Severn Trent
2,769.00
245.23
9.72%
GB:AEP
Anglo Eastern Plantations
1,365.00
755.30
123.88%
GB:PNN
Pennon Group plc
540.00
89.18
19.78%
GB:SSE
SSE
2,163.00
539.91
33.26%
GB:UU
United Utilities
1,208.00
145.81
13.73%
GB:NG
National Grid
1,134.50
210.76
22.82%

Severn Trent Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Severn Trent Achieves Record Sixth Year of Top Environmental Performance
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Severn Trent Plc has achieved a record sixth consecutive year of four-star status in the Environment Agency’s Environmental Performance Assessment, showcasing its industry-leading environmental performance. This accomplishment reflects the company’s significant investment in infrastructure and its commitment to environmental improvements, which include completing numerous environmental schemes and achieving high compliance rates in wastewater management.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Sell with a £2626.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Plc Updates on Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Severn Trent Plc has announced its share capital details as of September 30, 2025, with 303,265,293 ordinary shares issued, of which 2,218,618 are held in Treasury. This results in a total of 301,046,675 voting rights available for shareholders, which is crucial for compliance with the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Hold with a £2720.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Plc Updates on Voting Rights and Capital Structure
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Severn Trent Plc announced that as of August 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 303,249,165 ordinary shares with voting rights, while holding 2,218,618 shares in Treasury. This results in a total of 301,030,547 voting rights, which shareholders can use to determine their interest in the company under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Buy with a £33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Announces Internal Share Transfer by PDMR
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Severn Trent Plc announced a transaction involving the transfer of ordinary shares by Neil Morrison, a person discharging managerial responsibility (PDMR), to Laurence Morrison, his spouse. This transaction, which involved 4,671 shares at no cost, was conducted outside a trading venue and reflects internal shareholding adjustments within the company. Such transactions are part of routine compliance with UK Market Abuse Regulations, ensuring transparency and accountability in the company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Hold with a £29.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Severn Trent Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Severn Trent Plc announced that as of July 31, 2025, its issued share capital comprises 303,234,019 ordinary shares, with 301,015,401 shares having voting rights after accounting for treasury shares. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their reporting obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Buy with a £30.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Severn Trent Announces Vesting of Shares Under LTIP 2021
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Severn Trent Plc announced the vesting of shares under its Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) 2021, with directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities receiving shares for nil consideration. These shares were awarded based on the company’s performance, particularly its upper quartile return on regulatory equity compared to other water and sewerage companies. The announcement reflects Severn Trent’s strong operational performance and its commitment to rewarding its leadership team, potentially boosting stakeholder confidence in its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SVT) stock is a Hold with a £2830.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Severn Trent stock, see the GB:SVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025