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NAHL Group Plc (GB:NAH)
LSE:NAH
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NAHL Group Plc (NAH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:NAH

NAHL Group Plc

(LSE:NAH)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
42.00p
▲(2.44% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by poor financial performance and valuation metrics, with bearish technical indicators further weighing down the score. Despite strong earnings call results, the fundamental financial challenges and negative valuation metrics are the most significant factors affecting the stock's outlook.

NAHL Group Plc (NAH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

NAHL Group Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNAHL Group Plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services to individuals and businesses in the consumer legal services and catastrophic injury markets in the United Kingdom. The company operates through two divisions, Consumer Legal Services and Critical Care. It offers outsourced marketing services and products to law firms; and claims processing services to individuals. The company also provides specialist services in the catastrophic and serious injury market to claimants and defendants, such as expert witness quantum reports and nursing liability reports; immediate needs assessments; case management services for short or long term needs; vocational rehabilitation services; and behavior assessment and management services for children and young people. In addition, it offers property search services through SearchesUK. NAHL Group Plc was founded in 1993 and is based in Kettering, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNAHL Group generates revenue through a combination of fixed fees and performance-based income from its legal services. Its primary revenue streams include referral fees from law firms, revenue from the management of claims, and fees from the provision of marketing services to legal professionals. The company has established significant partnerships with various law firms, allowing it to leverage its marketing expertise to drive client acquisition for these firms. Additionally, NAHL benefits from a strong brand presence and invested in innovative technologies to enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

NAHL Group Plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in profitability, cash generation, and a significant reduction in net debt. The Consumer Legal Services division showed impressive improvement in operating profit, and the Critical Care division maintained strong margins and demand for expert witness services. However, there were challenges in the case management market and a decline in inquiry volumes due to reduced demand from law firms and increased acquisition costs from Google algorithm changes.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Profitability
Profit before tax increased by 289% to GBP 1.9 million, with an 89% increase in operating profit for the Consumer Legal Services division.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt reduced to a 10-year low of GBP 5.6 million, down from GBP 7.1 million at the start of the year.
Cash Generation and Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow increased by 119% to GBP 1.5 million, with cash from settlements in NAL growing by 33%.
Improved Earnings Per Share
Basic earnings per share increased over 300% to 3p.
Consumer Legal Services Division Performance
Operating profit in Consumer Legal Services grew by 89% to GBP 1.6 million, driven by cost savings and improvements in the law firm.
Critical Care Division Growth
Revenue, operating profit, and cash from operations all increased, with a strong operating profit margin of 31.5%.
High Demand for Expert Witness Services
The number of expert witness reports increased by 13% to 719, with 98% customer satisfaction and 100% willingness to re-instruct.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consumer Legal Services Revenue
Revenue in the Consumer Legal Services division was 3% lower, with Personal Injury revenues down 5%.
Challenges in Case Management Market
The case management market faced challenges, with a 9% decrease in revenues and a decline in ongoing case management clients.
Reduced Inquiry Volumes
Total inquiries in Consumer Legal Services were lower due to reduced demand from third-party law firms.
Impact of Google's Algorithm Changes
The business faced increased inquiry acquisition costs due to changes in Google's search algorithms.
Company Guidance
In the recent investor presentation call, NAHL Group Plc provided a comprehensive overview of its interim results for the first half of 2025. The Group reported revenue of £19.2 million, consistent with the previous year, and a significant 289% increase in profit before tax to £1.9 million. This was buoyed by an 89% rise in operating profit within the Consumer Legal Services division. Basic earnings per share grew by over 300% to 3p, highlighting a robust financial performance. Cash generation was strong, with free cash flow up 119% at £1.5 million, enabling the Group to reduce its net debt to a 10-year low of £5.6 million from £7.1 million at the year's start. The Consumer Legal Services division showed a notable turnaround, with Personal Injury business operating profit doubling compared to the first half of 2024. This was supported by National Accident Law (NAL), which settled 1,648 claims generating £5.3 million in cash, a 33% increase year-on-year. Additionally, the Critical Care division maintained strong operating profit margins at 31.5%, with revenues, operating profit, and cash from operations all increasing. The Group's strategic focus remains on sustaining growth, leveraging opportunities in both its Consumer Legal Services and Critical Care divisions, and exploring potential acquisitions to enhance shareholder value.

NAHL Group Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NAHL Group Plc faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability impacting the income statement. The balance sheet shows a stable yet shrinking equity base, while cash flows are under pressure due to negative net income despite strong operational cash generation. The company needs to address its profitability issues to improve its financial standing and ensure long-term viability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company's revenue has been declining over the past few years, with a noticeable decrease from 2019 to 2024. The Net Profit Margin is negative in 2024, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. Gross Profit Margin has also decreased, indicating challenges in controlling costs. Overall, the income statement reflects financial instability with declining revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.55 in 2024, which is reasonable for the industry. However, the Total Assets and Stockholders' Equity have decreased significantly from 2019 to 2024, reflecting a shrinking asset base. The company maintains a moderate Equity Ratio, suggesting a decent level of financial stability, but the declining asset and equity trends are concerning.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals fluctuating Free Cash Flow with a decline in 2024 compared to previous years. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net earnings. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is volatile due to negative net income in 2024, suggesting potential liquidity pressures. Overall, while operational cash generation is solid, the negative net income poses risks to cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.80M42.19M41.42M38.95M40.88M
Gross Profit18.37M18.71M16.19M15.92M17.33M
EBITDA-36.71M3.32M6.48M5.91M6.42M
Net Income-39.29M384.00K385.00K156.00K-225.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.90M91.91M96.21M97.87M101.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85M2.01M2.65M2.46M3.61M
Total Debt10.44M13.44M17.93M20.11M22.34M
Total Liabilities28.77M33.85M38.89M41.25M45.02M
Stockholders Equity19.13M58.06M57.32M56.62M56.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.89M7.20M5.74M4.52M9.95M
Operating Cash Flow5.08M7.51M6.02M5.14M11.04M
Investing Cash Flow-130.00K-339.00K-3.56M-4.04M-5.56M
Financing Cash Flow-5.11M-7.82M-2.26M-2.25M-4.43M

NAHL Group Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.00
Price Trends
50DMA
51.82
Negative
100DMA
51.21
Negative
200DMA
59.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.23
Positive
RSI
27.12
Positive
STOCH
4.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NAH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.94, below the 50-day MA of 51.82, and below the 200-day MA of 59.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NAH.

NAHL Group Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£29.82M6.6736.26%2.34%24.67%119.90%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
£60.14M9.61-32.35%4.26%-13.72%-361.92%
53
Neutral
£21.29M20.18-3.81%-25.20%78.55%
52
Neutral
£18.42M-37.24%-0.79%-100.22%
43
Neutral
£19.58M34.88-96.35%-4.96%-4798.26%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NAH
NAHL Group Plc
41.50
-24.50
-37.12%
GB:CAU
Centaur Media
42.50
19.88
87.89%
GB:EBQ
Ebiquity
13.50
-9.00
-40.00%
GB:TMG
The Mission Group
23.50
6.00
34.29%
GB:SYS1
System1
240.00
-340.35
-58.65%
GB:DNM
Dianomi Plc
20.50
-28.50
-58.16%

NAHL Group Plc Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NAHL Group Issues New Shares Following Employee Option Exercise
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

NAHL Group plc has announced the issuance and allotment of 25,000 new ordinary shares following the exercise of share options by certain employees. This move will increase the Group’s total issued ordinary share capital to 48,201,103 shares, all with one voting right per share, potentially impacting shareholder calculations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NAHL Group Reports Strong Profit Growth Amid Strategic Shifts
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

NAHL Group plc reported a significant increase in underlying operating profit for the first half of 2025, driven by reduced marketing costs and overheads in its Personal Injury business. The Group also saw a substantial rise in free cash flow, leading to a reduction in net debt. In the Consumer Legal Services division, while revenue slightly decreased, operating profit surged due to strategic investments in new lead generation channels. Meanwhile, the Critical Care division experienced modest revenue growth, with high demand for expert witness services but a decline in case management revenue. The Board is exploring options to enhance shareholder value following the cessation of the sale process for Bush & Co.

Business Operations and Strategy
NAHL Group Plc Announces Change in Voting Rights
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

NAHL Group Plc, a UK-based company, announced a change in the breakdown of its voting rights, with Harwood Capital LLP now holding 18.94% of the voting rights, down from a previous 19.42%. This change could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and Strategy
NAHL Group Plc Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

NAHL Group Plc, a UK-based company, has announced a change in its major holdings. Colebrooke Partners IM Limited, based in London, has reduced its voting rights in NAHL Group Plc to less than 3%, down from a previous position of 3.27%. This change in holdings could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence its strategic decisions moving forward.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NAHL Group PLC Secures Shareholder Approval for AGM Resolutions
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

NAHL Group PLC announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed, reflecting strong shareholder support. The resolutions included the approval of the annual report, directors’ remuneration, auditor appointments, and share allotment authorities, indicating a stable operational outlook and strategic alignment with shareholder interests.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NAHL Group Confident in Meeting Market Expectations for 2025
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

NAHL Group PLC announced at its AGM that the momentum from the first quarter has continued into the second quarter, and the Board remains confident in meeting the full-year market expectations. The company plans to release a trading update for the first half of 2025 in July, indicating a stable outlook and potential positive impact on its operations and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NAHL Group Ends Sale Process for Bush & Co. Without Deal
Negative
Jun 19, 2025

NAHL Group plc announced the conclusion of its attempt to sell its Critical Care business, Bush & Co., without a successful transaction. Despite interest from multiple bidders and detailed discussions with two final parties, the proposals did not meet the Board’s expectations for shareholder value. The company is now evaluating its options and will provide updates to shareholders as necessary.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
NAHL Group PLC Announces 2024 Annual Report and AGM Details
Neutral
May 30, 2025

NAHL Group PLC has announced the posting of its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ending 31 December 2024, along with the notice for its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for 26 June 2025. The company is offering shareholders the flexibility to attend the AGM online, although online attendees will not be able to vote or participate actively. Shareholders are encouraged to submit proxies early to ensure their votes are counted, and the results will be published post-AGM. This move reflects NAHL’s continued adaptation to modern shareholder engagement practices.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NAHL Group Issues New Shares Following Employee Option Exercise
Neutral
May 22, 2025

NAHL Group plc has announced the issuance and allotment of 25,000 new ordinary shares following the exercise of share options by certain employees. This move will increase the company’s total issued ordinary share capital to 48,008,103 shares, each with one voting right. The new shares will be admitted to trading on AIM, with dealings expected to commence on 29 May 2025. This development is significant for shareholders as it affects the total number of shares and voting rights, which is crucial for determining changes in shareholding interests under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NAHL Group Issues New Shares Following Employee Option Exercise
Neutral
May 20, 2025

NAHL Group plc has announced the issuance and allotment of 25,000 new ordinary shares following the exercise of share options by employees. These shares will be admitted to trading on AIM, increasing the company’s total issued ordinary share capital to 47,983,103 shares. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its share capital and could impact shareholder calculations regarding their interests in the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025