Centaur Media (CAU) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £61.59M
• Dividend Yield: 4.09%
• Average Volume (3M): 351.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.02
• Revenue Growth: -13.72%
• EPS Growth: -361.92%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 226
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Advertising Agencies
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 151,410,230
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 174,440
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 351,438
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.96
• P/FCF Ratio: 11.56
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: 46.00p ▲(4.55% Upside)

Centaur Media's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, which is offset by positive technical indicators and strategic corporate actions. The company's valuation is a concern due to negative earnings, but the high dividend yield provides some appeal. Corporate events, including asset sales and capital return plans, positively impact the score by demonstrating a focus on shareholder value.

Positive Factors

Low Debt Levels

Low debt levels provide Centaur Media with financial flexibility and reduce the risk of financial distress, supporting long-term stability.

Positive Free Cash Flow

Positive free cash flow indicates operational efficiency and the ability to reinvest in growth opportunities or return capital to shareholders.

Diverse Revenue Streams

Diverse revenue streams reduce dependency on a single income source, enhancing resilience against market fluctuations and supporting long-term growth.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

Declining revenue trends can hinder growth prospects and limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities, impacting long-term performance.

Shrinking Asset Base

A shrinking asset base can constrain the company's capacity to expand operations or invest in strategic initiatives, affecting future growth potential.

Decreased Free Cash Flow Growth

Decreased free cash flow growth limits the company's ability to fund new projects or return value to shareholders, potentially impacting long-term sustainability.

Centaur Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Centaur Media Plc provides business information, training, and specialist consultancy to professional and commercial markets in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Xeim and The Lawyer. The company's marketing platform includes Econsultancy, Influencer Intelligence, MW Mini MBA, Festival of Marketing, Marketing Week, Design Week, Creative Review, Really B2B, Fashion & Beauty Monitor, Oystercatchers, and Foresight News. It also offers The Lawyer, which provides intelligence to legal market. Centaur Media Plc was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Centaur Media generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its marketing services, digital content, and events. The marketing services division offers a range of solutions including digital advertising, lead generation, and content marketing, which are tailored to meet the specific needs of clients across various industries. Additionally, the company organizes industry-relevant events and exhibitions that not only create networking opportunities but also generate significant ticket sales and sponsorship revenues. Its publishing division contributes through subscriptions, advertising in specialized publications, and sales of digital content. Strategic partnerships with businesses and organizations further enhance revenue generation by expanding reach and creating new opportunities for collaboration and service offerings.

Centaur Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Centaur Media is facing a challenging financial environment with declining revenues and profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate stability with low debt, but a shrinking asset base and reduced equity could limit growth. Positive cash flows exist, but decreased free cash flow growth raises sustainability concerns.

Income Statement

Centaur Media's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue, with a significant drop from 2023 to 2024. The company has faced consistent challenges in maintaining profitability, evidenced by negative EBIT and Net Income margins in the latest period. The Gross Profit Margin has also decreased slightly over the years, reflecting potential issues in cost management or pricing strategy.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet highlights moderate stability with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio remaining low, indicating limited leverage risk. However, Stockholders' Equity has decreased, which may concern investors. The Equity Ratio has remained relatively stable, but the asset base has shrunk, which may limit growth opportunities.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a decline in Free Cash Flow due to reduced Operating Cash Flow and increased capital expenditures. The company's ability to generate cash relative to net income has weakened, but there is still positive Free Cash Flow, which suggests some operational efficiency.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	29.78M	35.12M	37.33M	38.38M	39.08M	32.40M
Gross Profit	14.65M	21.86M	23.64M	21.96M	22.19M	19.70M
EBITDA	-9.40M	-6.28M	8.49M	7.54M	5.86M	3.00M
Net Income	-10.75M	-9.59M	4.85M	2.80M	1.42M	-14.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	47.33M	48.67M	64.22M	67.38M	68.87M	66.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.41M	8.93M	9.50M	16.00M	13.06M	8.30M
Total Debt	517.00K	1.02M	1.98M	0.00	2.39M	3.38M
Total Liabilities	16.50M	16.17M	19.15M	18.56M	21.77M	19.40M
Stockholders Equity	30.83M	32.50M	45.07M	48.83M	47.11M	47.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.24M	2.91M	3.73M	7.01M	8.76M	1.30M
Operating Cash Flow	5.24M	4.14M	5.78M	8.37M	9.52M	2.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-852.00K	-1.36M	-835.00K	-9.79M	-757.00K	-755.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-3.75M	-3.85M	-10.40M	-4.28M	-3.98M	-2.30M

Centaur Media Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 44.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.97, below the 50-day MA of 44.28, and above the 200-day MA of 35.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CAU.

Centaur Media Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PEBB	73 Outperform	£64.49M	11.99	7.09%	4.25%	1.24%	7.54%
SYS1	69 Neutral	£27.66M	9.77	21.43%	2.29%	3.32%	-10.58%
NFG	63 Neutral	£352.59M	22.14	9.53%	4.98%	-5.98%	-74.21%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
CAU	56 Neutral	£61.59M	-5.80	-32.35%	4.09%	-13.72%	-361.92%
SFOR	54 Neutral	£136.25M	-0.40	-45.75%	6.33%	-14.27%	-15466.67%
EBQ	48 Neutral	£17.93M	-1.43	-37.24%	―	-0.79%	-100.22%

Centaur Media Corporate Events

Centaur Media Delays £64m Tender Offer and Sells Econsultancy as It Refocuses on Core Brand

Centaur Media plans to return up to £64m to shareholders via a tender offer at 48p per share, but the timetable has been pushed back as the group seeks court approval for a capital reduction to create sufficient distributable reserves; the shareholder circular is now expected in January, with the capital return targeted for March 2026. Separately, the company has completed the sale of Econsultancy to Uptime App Limited, leaving Centaur as a streamlined business centred on Influencer Intelligence Limited after a significant downsizing of central costs, and it reported net cash of £67m as of 5 January 2026, including the initial proceeds from the disposal.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAU) stock is a Hold with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centaur Media stock, see the GB:CAU Stock Forecast page.

Centaur Media Advances Capital Return Plan

Centaur Media PLC has announced progress in its plan to return capital to shareholders, with a tender offer being the preferred method due to its cost-effectiveness and fairness. The company anticipates returning up to £64 million to shareholders, with the process expected to be completed by the end of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAU) stock is a Hold with a £43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centaur Media stock, see the GB:CAU Stock Forecast page.

Centaur Media Grants VCP Awards to Executives to Enhance Shareholder Value

Centaur Media Plc has announced the grant of Value Creation Plan (VCP) Awards to its CEO, Martin Rowland, and CFO, Simon Longfield, as part of a strategy to boost shareholder value. These awards, which are cash-settled and contingent on performance growth, aim to align executive incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAU) stock is a Hold with a £34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centaur Media stock, see the GB:CAU Stock Forecast page.