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Lancashire Holdings Ltd (GB:LRE)
LSE:LRE
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Lancashire Holdings (LRE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:LRE

Lancashire Holdings

(LSE:LRE)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
689.00p
▲(6.49% Upside)
Lancashire Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strategic growth initiatives and robust capital position further enhance its appeal. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential short-term weakness.

Lancashire Holdings (LRE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Lancashire Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLancashire Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides specialty insurance and reinsurance products in London, Bermuda, and Australia. The company operates through five segments: Property and Casualty Reinsurance, Property and Casualty Insurance, Aviation, Energy, and Marine. It offers property direct and facultative, property political risk and sovereign risk, and property terrorism and political violence insurance products, as well as property reinsurance services; and aviation AV52, aviation consortium, airline hull and liability, and satellite insurance products. The company also provides marine hull, total loss only, mortgagees interests insurance, mortgagees additional perils, excess protection and indemnity, marine war, and builder's risks; and energy insurance products covering upstream, downstream and onshore operational, and upstream construction all risks business. In addition, it offers general insurance, support, insurance agent, and insurance mediation services. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLancashire Holdings generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance and reinsurance policies. The company's revenue model is based on collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for assuming the risk of loss or damage, which forms its key revenue stream. Lancashire also earns investment income from its portfolio of cash and investments, which is managed conservatively to support its insurance operations. Significant partnerships with brokers and other distribution channels enhance its market reach, while its disciplined underwriting practices help maintain profitability by minimizing claims costs. The company’s focus on specialty risks allows it to charge higher premiums in exchange for its expertise, further contributing to its earnings.

Lancashire Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, with increased profitability and upgraded ROE expectations. However, the company faces challenges from high industry losses and a softening market, which are balanced by their robust capital position and strategic discipline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q2 Profitability
Q2 2025 was the most profitable second quarter in Lancashire's history, demonstrating the effectiveness of their strategy and resilience to catastrophic losses such as the California wildfires.
Increased ROE Expectations
The company upgraded its ROE expectations to high teens for the 2025 year, assuming similar loss levels as the second half of 2024.
Strong Financial Performance
Insurance revenue increased by 8.9% compared to the first half of 2024, and investment performance was excellent with an overall return of 3.7% for the half year.
Robust Capital Position
Lancashire's solvency remains comfortably above requirements, allowing for selective growth and capital return when excess builds.
Strategic Growth in Specialty Lines
The company continues to expand its specialty reinsurance and U.S. platform, particularly in the energy liability segment.
Negative Updates
High Industry Losses from Natural Catastrophes
The first half of 2025 recorded the highest H1 insured losses since 2011, with Lancashire incurring net catastrophe and weather losses of GBP 172 million.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expense ratio increased to 8.8% from 7.8% in 2024, driven by higher employment costs due to additional headcount.
Softening Market Conditions
The insurance market is seeing increased competition, with existing players deploying more capital, although in a disciplined way.
Company Guidance
During the Lancashire Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the year, upgrading their ROE expectations to the high teens, buoyed by a record-breaking Q2 performance. Despite significant losses from the California wildfires, the company achieved an annualized ROE of 15% and an insurance service result of GBP 156 million, with insurance revenue rising by 8.9% to $930 million compared to the first half of 2024. The combined ratio stood at 97.8%, and investment returns reached 3.7%. The company emphasized disciplined growth amid a competitive market, with a focus on maintaining a robust capital position, evidenced by a BSCR ratio of just over 257%. They noted ongoing market opportunities, particularly in marine, energy, and U.S. liability segments, and highlighted a strategic purchase of additional Lloyd's syndicate capacity, positioning them for future growth without expanding their catastrophe footprint.

Lancashire Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lancashire Holdings shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and cash flow generation. Profitability metrics are solid, although the absence of EBIT in the latest year is a concern. The balance sheet is stable with controlled leverage, and cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Lancashire Holdings has shown strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 19.5% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. However, the absence of EBIT in the latest year could be a concern, though EBITDA Margin holds at 24.8%. Net Profit Margin is solid at 21.5%, indicating profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a solid equity position with an Equity Ratio of 34.1%. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is stable at 0.31, indicating manageable leverage. ROE stands at 21.5%, demonstrating effective equity utilization. However, the overall asset base has slightly decreased, which could be a point of concern.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.2% from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.79, indicating efficient operations generating cash. Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.76, reflecting strong cash conversion capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.50B1.25B1.01B751.10M540.80M
Gross Profit1.20B1.50B1.25B1.01B751.10M540.80M
EBITDA-37.10M371.30M364.50M12.40M-42.90M26.20M
Net Income321.50M321.30M321.50M-3.30M-61.60M4.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.90B4.38B3.90B4.75B4.07B3.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.88B3.13B2.88B548.80M517.70M432.40M
Total Debt471.30M469.30M471.30M469.40M463.60M348.40M
Total Liabilities2.39B2.89B2.39B3.48B2.66B2.01B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.49B1.51B1.27B1.41B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow432.30M566.40M425.30M312.80M239.90M80.90M
Operating Cash Flow441.90M573.80M441.90M323.80M243.80M80.90M
Investing Cash Flow-54.30M-251.90M-54.30M-194.90M-186.80M-260.10M
Financing Cash Flow-185.40M-386.10M-185.40M-90.80M32.80M287.30M

Lancashire Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price647.00
Price Trends
50DMA
613.06
Positive
100DMA
595.38
Positive
200DMA
590.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.68
Negative
RSI
70.65
Negative
STOCH
92.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:LRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 647 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 610.80, above the 50-day MA of 613.06, and above the 200-day MA of 590.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:LRE.

Lancashire Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£1.55B8.5115.18%11.98%8.78%-38.83%
76
Outperform
463.19M42.6511.95%9.06%15.83%-93.41%
65
Neutral
307.72M-1.88-285.79%-20.62%-44.96%
65
Neutral
338.23M8.630.00%4.51%7.77%35.65%
61
Neutral
274.42M-3.650.00%-3.77%-147.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:LRE
Lancashire Holdings
647.00
36.59
5.99%
GB:HUW
Helios Underwriting
206.00
31.04
17.74%
GB:VANQ
Vanquis Banking Group
111.40
51.40
85.67%
GB:SAGA
Saga plc
220.00
112.40
104.46%
GB:SBRE
Sabre Insurance Group plc
139.60
5.50
4.10%
GB:CRE
Conduit Holdings Ltd
300.00
-202.53
-40.30%

Lancashire Holdings Corporate Events

Other
Lancashire Holdings Director Increases Shareholding
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

Bryan Joseph, a Non-Executive Director at Lancashire Holdings, has purchased 1,200 common shares of the company, increasing his total shareholding to 13,446 shares. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a modest increase in insider ownership, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £711.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025