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Lancashire Holdings Ltd (GB:LRE)
LSE:LRE
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Lancashire Holdings (LRE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:LRE

Lancashire Holdings

(LSE:LRE)

Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
738.00p
▲(16.59% Upside)
Lancashire Holdings receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic growth and disciplined management further enhance its investment appeal.

Lancashire Holdings (LRE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Lancashire Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLancashire Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides specialty insurance and reinsurance products in London, Bermuda, and Australia. The company operates through five segments: Property and Casualty Reinsurance, Property and Casualty Insurance, Aviation, Energy, and Marine. It offers property direct and facultative, property political risk and sovereign risk, and property terrorism and political violence insurance products, as well as property reinsurance services; and aviation AV52, aviation consortium, airline hull and liability, and satellite insurance products. The company also provides marine hull, total loss only, mortgagees interests insurance, mortgagees additional perils, excess protection and indemnity, marine war, and builder's risks; and energy insurance products covering upstream, downstream and onshore operational, and upstream construction all risks business. In addition, it offers general insurance, support, insurance agent, and insurance mediation services. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLancashire Holdings makes money through the underwriting of specialty insurance and reinsurance contracts, generating revenue from premiums paid by its clients. The company focuses on niche markets where it can leverage its expertise to assess and price complex risks, often involving high-value assets or unique exposures. Key revenue streams include property insurance for natural catastrophes, energy sector coverage for oil and gas operations, and marine and aviation insurance for shipping and aircraft risks. Additionally, the company invests its premium income in a diversified portfolio of financial instruments, which provides investment income. Significant partnerships with brokers and distribution networks help Lancashire to access a broad range of clients and maintain a competitive edge in the market.

Lancashire Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook, with record profitability in Q2 2025 and increased ROE expectations. While there were challenges such as industry losses from California wildfires and slight increases in operating expenses, the company's strong investment performance and insurance revenue growth outweigh these issues.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q2 Profitability
Q2 2025 was the most profitable second quarter in Lancashire's history, demonstrating the effectiveness of their strategy.
Increased ROE Expectations
Annualized ROE upgraded to high teens for 2025, reflecting strong performance despite industry challenges.
Strong Investment Performance
Investment return for the first half of 2025 was 3.7%, driven by higher yields and strong performance of private investment funds.
Insurance Revenue Growth
Insurance revenue increased by 8.9% compared to the first half of 2024, reaching $930 million.
Underwriting Discipline and Resilience
Despite $80 billion in global catastrophe losses, Lancashire maintained a strong combined ratio and resilience in their portfolio.
Negative Updates
Industry Losses from California Wildfires
California wildfires in Q1 led to significant industry losses, impacting Lancashire's financials with net catastrophe and weather losses of GBP 172 million.
Slight Increase in Operating Expenses
Operating expense ratio increased to 8.8% from 7.8% in 2024, driven by higher employment costs due to business growth.
Market Softening Indicators
Early phases of market softening observed, with increased competition among existing players deploying more capital.
Company Guidance
In the recent Q2 2025 earnings call for Lancashire, guidance was provided on several key metrics. The company achieved an annualized return on equity (ROE) of approximately 15% for the first half, with expectations of high teens ROE for the full year, assuming similar loss levels to 2024. This comes despite a significant California wildfire loss in Q1, demonstrating the resilience of their strategy. Total insurance revenue increased by 8.9% to $930 million, while the combined ratio was 97.8% undiscounted or 87.4% discounted. Gross premiums written experienced a growth of nearly 6%, or 3% excluding reinstatement premiums, reflecting disciplined growth ahead of rate. The company's capital position remains robust with a BSCR ratio just over 257%, allowing for selective growth and potential capital returns. The investment portfolio yielded a 3.7% return, benefiting from higher yields and falling treasury rates. Lancashire continues to manage its reserve buffers prudently, maintaining a confidence level of 85%. Overall, the call emphasized the company's strategic focus on disciplined growth, robust capital management, and delivering sustainable returns.

Lancashire Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lancashire Holdings exhibits a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and cash flow generation. Profitability metrics are solid, with a net profit margin of 21.5%, although the lack of EBIT in the latest year could raise concerns. The balance sheet remains stable with controlled leverage, and cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Lancashire Holdings has shown strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 19.5% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. However, the absence of EBIT in the latest year could be a concern, though EBITDA Margin holds at 24.8%. Net Profit Margin is solid at 21.5%, indicating profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a solid equity position with an Equity Ratio of 34.1%. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is stable at 0.31, indicating manageable leverage. ROE stands at 21.5%, demonstrating effective equity utilization. However, the overall asset base has slightly decreased, which could be a point of concern.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.2% from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.79, indicating efficient operations generating cash. Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.76, reflecting strong cash conversion capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.50B1.25B1.01B751.10M540.80M
Gross Profit1.20B1.50B1.25B1.01B751.10M540.80M
EBITDA-37.10M371.30M364.50M12.40M-42.90M26.20M
Net Income321.50M321.30M321.50M-3.30M-61.60M4.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.90B4.38B3.90B4.75B4.07B3.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.88B3.13B2.88B548.80M517.70M432.40M
Total Debt471.30M469.30M471.30M469.40M463.60M348.40M
Total Liabilities2.39B2.89B2.39B3.48B2.66B2.01B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.49B1.51B1.27B1.41B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow432.30M566.40M425.30M312.80M239.90M80.90M
Operating Cash Flow441.90M573.80M441.90M323.80M243.80M80.90M
Investing Cash Flow-54.30M-251.90M-54.30M-194.90M-186.80M-260.10M
Financing Cash Flow-185.40M-386.10M-185.40M-90.80M32.80M287.30M

Lancashire Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price633.00
Price Trends
50DMA
598.06
Positive
100DMA
583.93
Positive
200DMA
589.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.49
Negative
RSI
60.54
Neutral
STOCH
62.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:LRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 633 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 621.75, above the 50-day MA of 598.06, and above the 200-day MA of 589.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:LRE.

Lancashire Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
£1.56B6.1021.23%11.86%14.46%-2.98%
76
Outperform
£485.10M4.9612.25%8.97%27.08%-34.38%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.61%2.06%
£150.23M8.2213.74%2.86%
65
Neutral
£250.45M-127.10%-20.62%-44.96%
65
Neutral
£372.41M9.4516.39%5.94%32.88%99.17%
61
Neutral
£258.19M-16.30%9.29%1.10%-1831.40%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:LRE
Lancashire Holdings
633.00
97.91
18.30%
GB:HUW
Helios Underwriting
210.00
42.23
25.17%
GB:VANQ
Vanquis Banking Group
115.00
61.20
113.75%
GB:SAGA
Saga plc
184.00
83.60
83.27%
GB:SBRE
Sabre Insurance Group plc
152.00
10.45
7.38%
GB:CRE
Conduit Holdings Ltd
311.00
-166.82
-34.91%

Lancashire Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lancashire Holdings Reports Strong H1 2025 Results Amid Challenging Market
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Lancashire Holdings Limited reported a strong profit after tax of $109.2 million for the first half of 2025, demonstrating increased resilience in its business model. The company saw a 5.8% increase in gross premiums written and an 8.9% rise in insurance revenue year-on-year. Despite the challenging loss environment, including significant losses from the California wildfires, Lancashire maintained a healthy combined ratio and investment return. The company expects a high-teens return on equity for 2025, reflecting its strategic growth and disciplined underwriting approach. Lancashire’s robust balance sheet and capital base support its growth and shareholder returns, positioning it well in a competitive market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £7.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Lancashire Holdings to Announce 2025 Half-Year Results
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

Lancashire Holdings Limited announced it will release its 2025 half-year results on August 6, 2025, followed by an analyst and investor conference call. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the specialty insurance and reinsurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £7.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlackRock Adjusts Stake in Lancashire Holdings
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

Lancashire Holdings Limited, a non-UK issuer, has been involved in a significant change in its voting rights structure due to an acquisition or disposal by BlackRock, Inc., a major asset management firm based in the USA. As of June 20, 2025, BlackRock’s total voting rights in Lancashire Holdings have slightly decreased to 4.96%, down from a previous position of 5.00%. This change reflects a minor adjustment in BlackRock’s investment strategy, which could have implications for its influence over the company’s decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £7.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Lancashire Holdings Director Increases Shareholding
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Lancashire Holdings Limited, a company operating in the insurance sector, announced a transaction involving Sally Williams, a Non-Executive Director and Chair of the Audit Committee. On June 17, 2025, Williams purchased 868 common shares of the company, increasing her total shareholding to 11,950 shares, which represents 0.0049% of the company’s total voting rights. This transaction, disclosed in accordance with UK MAR requirements, reflects a personal investment by a key figure in the company’s governance, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £7.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlackRock Increases Stake in Lancashire Holdings to 5%
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Lancashire Holdings Limited, a non-UK issuer, has seen a change in its voting rights structure due to an acquisition or disposal by BlackRock, Inc., a major shareholder based in Wilmington, USA. This notification indicates that BlackRock’s total voting rights in Lancashire Holdings have increased to 5.00%, up from a previous position of 4.36%. This change in voting rights could potentially impact Lancashire Holdings’ governance and decision-making processes, as BlackRock holds a significant influence over the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LRE) stock is a Buy with a £7.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lancashire Holdings stock, see the GB:LRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025