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Vanquis Banking Group plc (GB:VANQ)
LSE:VANQ

Vanquis Banking Group (VANQ) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:VANQ

Vanquis Banking Group

(LSE:VANQ)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
118.00p
▲(8.26% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses, falling revenue, and materially higher leverage). Technicals are a partial offset with the share price above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend support. Corporate actions to optimize capital are constructive but secondary versus the core profitability and balance-sheet risks.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt improves financial stability and lowers interest expenses, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Improved Cash Flow
Stronger cash flow indicates effective cash management, providing the company with greater flexibility to reinvest in its business and manage liabilities.
Technology Transformation
Investing in technology transformation supports digital growth and operational efficiency, aligning with industry trends towards digital banking solutions.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue decline suggests challenges in market competitiveness and customer retention, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Decreasing Equity
Decreasing equity can indicate financial strain, reducing the company's ability to absorb losses and invest in future growth initiatives.
Profitability Challenges
Sustained profitability challenges can hinder the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders and invest in strategic initiatives.

Vanquis Banking Group (VANQ) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Vanquis Banking Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVanquis Banking Group (VANQ) is a UK-based financial services company specializing in providing credit products and services to underserved consumer segments. With a focus on helping individuals and small businesses improve their financial well-being, Vanquis offers a range of products including credit cards, loans, and savings accounts. The company operates primarily through its subsidiaries and aims to deliver responsible lending by leveraging its deep understanding of customer needs and its commitment to financial inclusion.
How the Company Makes MoneyVanquis Banking Group makes money primarily through the interest and fees charged on its credit products, such as credit cards and personal loans. The company generates revenue by extending credit to consumers who may not have access to traditional banking services, charging interest on outstanding balances, and applying fees for services such as late payments or exceeding credit limits. Additionally, Vanquis benefits from partnerships with retailers and other businesses to offer co-branded credit solutions, which can drive customer acquisition and increase transaction volumes. The company also earns interest income from its savings products and may generate additional revenue through investments and financial advisory services. Key factors contributing to its earnings include effective risk management, customer retention strategies, and the ability to scale its operations to reach more customers.

Vanquis Banking Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vanquis Banking Group faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as seen in the income statement. The reduction in debt is a positive aspect, but decreasing equity raises concerns about financial stability. Cash flow performance has improved recently, but past volatility remains a risk factor.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Vanquis Banking Group's income statement shows declining revenue from 2019 to 2024, with a significant drop in 2024. The gross profit margin was strong in previous years but the absence of EBIT and EBITDA in 2024 indicates operational challenges. The net profit margin is negative in recent years, reflecting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
27
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a reduction in total debt by 2024, contributing to a lower debt-to-equity ratio. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the years is concerning. The equity ratio has decreased, indicating potential risks in financial stability.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash flow from operations improved significantly in 2024, resulting in strong free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting effective cash management despite the net loss. However, past years showed inconsistent cash flows, indicating volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue453.90M458.50M599.20M539.50M534.60M615.40M
Gross Profit236.80M222.20M325.00M480.70M478.70M392.00M
EBITDA86.70M0.00159.40M205.40M0.000.00
Net Income-77.90M-119.30M-6.00M77.40M-32.10M-83.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45B3.38B3.21B2.66B2.73B3.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments805.30M1.01B748.70M464.90M717.70M919.70M
Total Debt476.00M2.87B2.57B1.97B1.90B2.25B
Total Liabilities3.01B2.93B2.63B2.05B2.09B2.43B
Stockholders Equity434.70M441.20M583.10M614.70M631.20M647.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow173.00M438.00M581.40M-237.70M137.00M341.70M
Operating Cash Flow171.60M440.20M584.70M-204.90M163.10M363.90M
Investing Cash Flow-110.70M2.10M-18.80M-32.80M-22.30M-21.50M
Financing Cash Flow-28.60M-181.30M527.20M-12.50M-345.00M225.10M

Vanquis Banking Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price109.00
Price Trends
50DMA
114.78
Positive
100DMA
114.82
Positive
200DMA
101.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
54.33
Neutral
STOCH
52.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VANQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 109 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.44, below the 50-day MA of 114.78, and above the 200-day MA of 101.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:VANQ.

Vanquis Banking Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£280.68M14.078.41%5.33%-11.17%6.04%
73
Outperform
£116.42M25.82203.09%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
£518.58M7.2114.70%4.39%-7.52%50.23%
64
Neutral
£373.62M21.503.93%7.90%
56
Neutral
£194.00M5.9139.40%4.74%
49
Neutral
£299.29M-3.87-16.30%-3.77%-147.20%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:VANQ
Vanquis Banking Group
118.00
70.15
146.60%
GB:IPF
International Personal Finance
236.50
117.53
98.79%
GB:SUS
S&U plc
2,310.00
935.84
68.10%
GB:FCH
Funding Circle Holdings
129.00
0.50
0.39%
GB:TRU
TruFin
118.00
39.00
49.37%
GB:ASAI
ASA International Group PLC
194.00
111.16
134.19%

Vanquis Banking Group Corporate Events

Other
Vanquis Banking Group CFO Adds to Holding Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Vanquis Banking Group has disclosed that its Chief Financial Officer, Dave Watts, acquired ordinary shares in the company on 14 January 2026 through its Buy As You Earn Share Incentive Plan. Under the scheme, Watts purchased 130 partnership shares at £1.154 each via the plan’s trustee on the London Stock Exchange and received a related monthly award of 32 matching shares at nil cost, reflecting ongoing executive participation in the group’s all-employee share plan and aligning senior management’s interests more closely with those of shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VANQ) stock is a Hold with a £114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vanquis Banking Group stock, see the GB:VANQ Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vanquis Banking Group Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights Total
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group plc has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprises 256,493,758 ordinary shares of 20 8/11p each, all carrying voting rights, with no shares held in Treasury. The company highlighted that this total share count should be used by investors as the reference denominator for determining whether they must disclose any holdings or changes in their interest in accordance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, providing clarity for market participants on the group’s current capital and voting structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VANQ) stock is a Hold with a £118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vanquis Banking Group stock, see the GB:VANQ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Vanquis Banking Group CFO Participates in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group announced a transaction involving its Chief Financial Officer, Dave Watts, who participated in the company’s Share Incentive Plan. On December 15, 2025, the Trustee of the plan purchased ordinary shares on behalf of Watts, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to employee investment and engagement through its Buy As You Earn Share Incentive Plan. This move underscores the company’s strategy to align managerial interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vanquis Banking Group Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 28, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group has announced that its issued share capital consists of 256,493,758 ordinary shares with voting rights as of November 28, 2025. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

Business Operations and Strategy
Vanquis Banking Group Appoints New Joint Corporate Brokers
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group has appointed Joh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG and Panmure Liberum Limited as its joint corporate brokers. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Vanquis’s ability to execute its growth strategy and enhance its market positioning, benefiting stakeholders through sustained profitability.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vanquis Banking Group Announces Share Incentive Plan Transaction
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group PLC announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares by the Trustee of the Share Incentive Plan on behalf of Dave Watts, the Chief Financial Officer. This transaction, conducted on November 14, 2025, at the London Stock Exchange, is part of the company’s Buy As You Earn Share Incentive Plan, which aims to align managerial interests with those of shareholders.

Executive/Board Changes
Vanquis Banking Group Announces Director Share Transaction
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group announced a transaction involving the sale of 13,000 Ordinary Shares by Oliver Laird, a non-executive director. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects internal movements within the company’s management and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s stock performance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Vanquis Banking Group Reports Strong Q3 Growth and Capital Optimization
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group reported an 8% increase in gross customer interest-earning balances for the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 18%, reflecting strong operational momentum and profitability. The company successfully issued £60m of Additional Tier 1 Notes to optimize its capital structure, supporting future growth, and maintained robust credit quality and operational efficiency through its Gateway technology program. Despite a provision of £3.0m for potential exposure to the FCA’s motor finance redress scheme, Vanquis remains confident in its limited impact due to its non-participation in discretionary commission arrangements.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vanquis Banking Group Announces Share Capital Structure
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group plc has announced its current share capital structure, which consists of 256,493,758 ordinary shares with voting rights as of 31 October 2025. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

Business Operations and Strategy
Vanquis Banking Group Announces Share Purchase Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

Vanquis Banking Group has announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan. The transaction, which took place on October 14, 2025, involved the purchase of shares on behalf of Dave Watts, the Chief Financial Officer, as part of the company’s ongoing efforts to align managerial interests with shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025