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JD Sports Fashion (GB:JD)
LSE:JD
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JD Sports Fashion (JD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:JD

JD Sports Fashion

(LSE:JD)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
99.00p
▲(11.24% Upside)
JD Sports Fashion's overall score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth, particularly in North America. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and profitability challenges impact the outlook. The stock's valuation appears attractive, but margin pressures and economic uncertainties warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and increased consumer demand, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Market Share Gains
Increasing market share in key regions underscores competitive strength and strategic execution, positioning JD Sports for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Declining margins due to rising costs and lower gross margins could impact profitability, challenging long-term financial performance.
Debt Levels
Higher leverage may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Economic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainties could impact consumer spending, posing risks to revenue and profitability in key markets.

JD Sports Fashion (JD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

JD Sports Fashion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJD Sports Fashion (JD) is a leading retailer of sports fashion and lifestyle apparel, footwear, and accessories. Founded in the UK, the company operates a diverse range of retail outlets and online platforms, catering to a broad customer base that includes sports enthusiasts and fashion-conscious individuals. JD is known for its extensive selection of premium brands, including Nike, Adidas, and Puma, as well as its own private label offerings. The company is primarily active in the retail sector, focusing on footwear and sportswear while also expanding into the athleisure market.
How the Company Makes MoneyJD Sports generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products in retail stores and online. Its key revenue streams include direct sales of branded footwear and apparel, private label products, and, to a lesser extent, accessories. The company benefits from a strong omnichannel strategy, which integrates physical stores with its e-commerce platform, maximizing customer reach and convenience. Significant partnerships with leading sports brands like Nike and Adidas provide JD with exclusive product lines and promotions, enhancing its competitive edge. Additionally, the company has expanded into international markets, further diversifying its income sources and capitalizing on global demand for sports fashion.

JD Sports Fashion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated JD Sports' strong market position and strategic growth, particularly in North America, alongside challenges in profitability and margin pressures. While growth and market gains are promising, financial metrics such as operating profit and margin are under pressure, leading to a cautious outlook.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth and Market Share Gains
JD Sports reported a 20% year-on-year increase in total sales at constant FX rates, with organic sales growth of 2.7%. The company gained market share in North America and Europe, reflecting a robust strategic execution.
Resilient Cash Flow and Dividend Consistency
The company delivered a 5% increase in operating cash flow to GBP 546 million and declared an interim dividend consistent with the prior year, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Strategic Store Expansions and Brand Awareness
JD Sports opened a net of 52 new stores in the U.S., converting Finish Line stores to JD, which resulted in a significant uplift in sales. Brand awareness in key U.S. markets increased from 34% to 59%.
Apparel Sales Growth
Organic apparel sales grew by 6% year-on-year, driven by a strong performance in performance apparel and street fashion, highlighting the strength of JD's multi-brand and agile business model.
Limited Impact from U.S. Tariffs
JD anticipates a limited financial impact from U.S. tariffs in the current reporting year, with direct exposure estimated at less than $10 million annually due to effective sourcing diversification.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating Profit and Margin
Operating profit decreased by 6.3% at constant FX rates, and the group's operating margin fell by 170 basis points to 6.2%, impacted by new store costs and lower gross margins.
Lower Profit Before Tax
Profit before tax and adjusting items was 11.8% lower year-on-year at constant FX rates, influenced by increased net finance expense due to acquisition-related debt financing.
Gross Margin and Online Sales Pressure
Gross margin decreased by 40 basis points year-on-year, with online sales down 1.6% due to increased promotional activity in the U.K., indicating challenges in maintaining pricing power.
Challenges with Finish Line and Hibbett Integration
North American margins were adversely affected by the ongoing wind down of the Finish Line fascia and the integration of Hibbett, which is a lower-margin business.
Potential Impact of Economic Uncertainty
The company expressed caution regarding the trading environment, noting potential pressures from consumer finances and unemployment risks, particularly in Europe and the U.K.
Company Guidance
In the call, JD Sports reported a solid set of first-half results, indicating they are on track to meet full-year expectations despite tough trading conditions. Key metrics include a 20% increase in total sales year-on-year, driven by acquisitions, while organic sales growth was 2.7%. The gross margin was 48%, 60 basis points lower than the previous year, and the operating profit stood at GBP 369 million, down 6.3% at constant FX rates. The operating margin was 6.2%, 170 basis points lower year-on-year, and profit before tax and adjusting items was GBP 351 million, 11.8% lower. Adjusted earnings per share decreased by 8.5%. A 5% increase in operating cash flow to GBP 546 million was achieved, alongside a net debt position of GBP 125 million before lease liabilities. The interim dividend was maintained at 0.33p per share, and a new GBP 100 million share buyback program was announced. The company also reported limited U.S. tariff impacts for the year and emphasized market share gains in North America and Europe.

JD Sports Fashion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JD Sports Fashion exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. Despite facing increasing operational costs affecting margins, the balance sheet demonstrates an improved capital structure with a higher equity ratio. However, rising leverage and fluctuating return on equity indicate potential risks that need monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
JD Sports Fashion has consistently demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from £6.17 billion in 2021 to £11.46 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin remained robust, averaging around 47% across the years. However, there was a slight decline in EBIT margin from 10.3% in 2022 to 7.9% in 2025, indicating rising operational costs. The net profit margin also showed some volatility, decreasing from 4.3% in 2022 to 4.3% in 2025, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability at a net level.
Balance Sheet
79
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased over the years, rising from 1.71 in 2021 to 1.28 in 2025, indicating increased leverage. However, the equity ratio improved, rising from 23.9% in 2021 to 29.4% in 2025, showing a stronger capital structure. Return on equity showed fluctuation, peaking at 22.0% in 2024 and dropping to 16.8% in 2025, suggesting some inconsistency in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
JD Sports Fashion displayed a solid growth in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 16.6% in 2025 compared to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remained strong, averaging over 2.5, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio was also healthy, demonstrating the company's ability to convert earnings into cash flow effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.43B11.46B10.54B10.13B8.56B6.17B
Gross Profit3.04B5.46B5.05B4.84B4.21B2.96B
EBITDA628.60M1.65B1.58B1.15B1.30B884.20M
Net Income468.20M490.00M538.80M142.50M369.70M224.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.95B9.95B8.05B8.02B7.07B5.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments731.00M731.00M1.15B1.58B1.31B964.40M
Total Debt3.74B3.74B2.61B2.45B2.37B2.10B
Total Liabilities6.58B6.58B5.18B5.39B4.73B3.67B
Stockholders Equity2.92B2.92B2.46B2.12B1.93B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow652.60M713.00M611.30M735.00M1.02B938.30M
Operating Cash Flow908.90M1.23B1.14B1.08B1.27B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow-448.80M-1.49B-543.50M-320.90M-848.10M-334.70M
Financing Cash Flow-655.70M-141.00M-1.01B-479.20M-83.60M-239.70M

JD Sports Fashion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price89.00
Price Trends
50DMA
90.44
Negative
100DMA
87.02
Positive
200DMA
84.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.83
Positive
RSI
44.54
Neutral
STOCH
34.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:JD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.93, below the 50-day MA of 90.44, and above the 200-day MA of 84.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:JD.

JD Sports Fashion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£4.50B9.0119.64%1.12%14.60%58.84%
73
Outperform
£2.19B14.093.79%3.78%3.44%
68
Neutral
£3.11B10.8614.90%-11.05%-24.53%
52
Neutral
£570.69M-3.70-106.64%-20.36%
46
Neutral
£355.65M-1.21-64.97%-15.86%-18.46%
38
Underperform
£158.87M-0.47-8369.23%-45.91%-120.22%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:JD
JD Sports Fashion
89.00
-63.35
-41.58%
GB:ASC
ASOS plc
298.00
-130.60
-30.47%
GB:DNLM
Dunelm Group
1,088.00
20.73
1.94%
GB:FRAS
Frasers Group
719.50
-114.00
-13.68%
GB:DEBS
boohoo group Plc
12.34
-17.50
-58.65%
GB:THG
THG
37.00
-18.00
-32.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025