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JD Sports Fashion (GB:JD)
LSE:JD
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JD Sports Fashion (JD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:JD

JD Sports Fashion

(LSE:JD)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
98.00p
▲(9.16%Upside)
JD Sports Fashion's strong financial performance, characterized by revenue growth and cash flow generation, is a key strength. The technical indicators suggest potential for future price appreciation. The stock's valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio. These factors contribute to a favorable overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of Hibbett is expected to contribute positively to future profits.
Financial Performance
JD Sports reported 1H25 adj. PBT of £405.6mn which beat the company-compiled consensus of £384mn.
Sales Growth
Sales growth in Europe and North America has been strong, with increases of 15.6% and 13.2% respectively.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
Weak consumer sentiment and a promotional environment are affecting the company's sales forecasts.
Growth Outlook
The stock has been downgraded to Neutral due to a softer growth outlook.
Lease Costs
Higher lease interest is impacting the financial outlook.

JD Sports Fashion (JD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

JD Sports Fashion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJD Sports Fashion plc engages in the retail of branded sports fashion and outdoor clothing, footwear, accessories, and equipment for kids, women, and men. It operates through Sports Fashion and Outdoor segments. The company also retails leisure goods, sports goods, fishing gear, watches, jewellery, camping goods, boats, and bicycles, as well as distributes sports apparel and accessories, footwear, and apparel. It offers its products under the JD, Size?, Footpatrol, Finish Line, Shoe Palace, DTLR, Livestock, Sprinter, Sport Zone, Sizeer, JD Gyms, Tessuti, Scotts, Go Outdoors, Blacks, Millets, Tiso, Ultimate Outdoors, Fishing Republic, and Naylors brands. The company also operates online business. In addition, it licenses fashion brands and operates fitness centers; operates as online own label women's fashion retailer; and manufactures and distributes professional fitness equipment. The company operates 3,402 stores. It has operations in the United Kingdom, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Dubai, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Israel, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malaysia, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Republic of Ireland, Romania, Singapore, Slovakia, South Korea, Spain and the Canary Islands, Sweden, Thailand, and the United States. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Bury, the United Kingdom. JD Sports Fashion plc is a subsidiary of Pentland Group Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyJD Sports Fashion makes money primarily through the sale of branded sportswear and fashion products in its retail stores and online platforms. The company generates revenue from multiple streams, including direct sales to consumers through its network of physical stores and e-commerce websites. Key revenue drivers include partnerships with major sportswear brands like Nike, Adidas, and Puma, which provide JD Sports with exclusive products and collections that attract a loyal customer base. Additionally, JD Sports benefits from its own private label offerings, which often carry higher profit margins. The company also leverages its scale and market presence to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers, enhancing its competitive edge and profitability.

JD Sports Fashion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, especially in North America and Europe, successful expansion efforts, and a resilient cash flow position. However, challenges remain in the U.K. market, a significant statutory profit decline, and gross margin pressure. The overall sentiment is mixed but leans positive due to significant strategic achievements and growth momentum.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
First-half performance in line with expectations, with revenues breaking the £5 billion milestone for the first time, showcasing resilience amid volatile market conditions.
Strong Growth in North America and Europe
North America and Europe delivered double-digit organic sales growth with 9% organic sales growth overall for the JD brand. North America is now the largest market by revenue and profit.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Operating cash flow of close to £300 million and net cash before lease liabilities of £40 million at the period-end, maintaining a strong balance sheet despite increased CapEx and acquisitions.
Hibbett Acquisition Success
The acquisition of Hibbett added £61 million in revenue from just 10 days of contribution, highlighting a successful acquisition strategy.
Continued Store Rollout and Expansion
On track for ambitious growth with 102 new JD stores and 32 new complementary stores opened in the first half, aiming for 200 JD store openings annually.
Negative Updates
U.K. Market Challenges
Revenue in the U.K. was down 4% and operating profit down 12% due to a tough trading environment, promotional activity, and a challenging apparel season.
Statutory Profit Decline
Statutory profit before tax was down 64%, attributed to increased adjusting items year-on-year, including asset impairments and acquisition-related adjustments.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin slightly down by 10 basis points, driven by promotional activity in the apparel market, especially in the U.K.
Challenges in Asia Pacific
Revenue in Asia Pacific dropped 4% with profit down 19%, reflecting the exit from South Korea and increased investment costs.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, JD Group provided a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic initiatives for the first half of the fiscal year 2025. The company achieved a record-breaking revenue milestone of over £5 billion, with 9% organic sales growth for the JD brand and a strong operating cash flow of nearly £300 million. Despite a challenging market environment, the group maintained its operating margin, even improving it by 20 basis points with the inclusion of the Hibbett acquisition. The call highlighted JD's strategic focus on expanding its North American market share, aiming for a 10% market share post-Hibbett acquisition, and emphasized its disciplined approach to growth, including a targeted annual opening of around 200 JD stores globally. JD also underscored its investment in supply chain infrastructure, digital transformation, and omnichannel capabilities as crucial drivers for future growth, maintaining a robust balance sheet with net cash of £40 million before lease liabilities.

JD Sports Fashion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JD Sports Fashion exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. However, increasing operational costs have affected margins, and there are potential risks from rising leverage and fluctuating return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
JD Sports Fashion has consistently demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from £6.17 billion in 2021 to £11.46 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin remained robust, averaging around 47% across the years. However, there was a slight decline in EBIT margin from 10.3% in 2022 to 7.9% in 2025, indicating rising operational costs. The net profit margin also showed some volatility, decreasing from 4.3% in 2022 to 4.3% in 2025, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability at a net level.
Balance Sheet
79
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased over the years, rising from 1.71 in 2021 to 1.28 in 2025, indicating increased leverage. However, the equity ratio improved, rising from 23.9% in 2021 to 29.4% in 2025, showing a stronger capital structure. Return on equity showed fluctuation, peaking at 22.0% in 2024 and dropping to 16.8% in 2025, suggesting some inconsistency in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
JD Sports Fashion displayed a solid growth in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 16.6% in 2025 compared to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remained strong, averaging over 2.5, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio was also healthy, demonstrating the company's ability to convert earnings into cash flow effectively.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.46B10.54B10.13B8.56B6.17B
Gross Profit5.46B5.05B4.84B4.21B2.96B
EBITDA1.65B1.57B1.20B1.59B869.20M
Net Income490.00M538.80M226.70M369.70M224.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.95B8.05B8.02B7.07B5.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments731.00M1.15B1.58B1.31B964.40M
Total Debt3.74B2.61B2.45B2.37B2.10B
Total Liabilities6.58B5.18B5.39B4.73B3.67B
Stockholders Equity2.92B2.46B2.12B1.93B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow713.00M611.30M735.00M1.02B938.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.23B1.14B1.08B1.27B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow-1.49B-543.50M-320.90M-848.10M-334.70M
Financing Cash Flow-141.00M-1.01B-479.20M-83.60M-239.70M

JD Sports Fashion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.78
Price Trends
50DMA
83.60
Positive
100DMA
79.34
Positive
200DMA
90.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Positive
RSI
60.69
Neutral
STOCH
60.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:JD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.45, above the 50-day MA of 83.60, and below the 200-day MA of 90.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:JD.

JD Sports Fashion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£4.34B9.0318.22%111.38%8.69%-9.09%
73
Outperform
£2.39B15.8084.81%347.14%3.07%1.42%
69
Neutral
£2.94B10.2515.02%-6.82%-37.46%
67
Neutral
¥267.20B13.406.45%2.59%5.22%-11.90%
61
Neutral
£397.43M-62.59%-15.86%-18.46%
55
Neutral
£498.50M-27.20%-14.37%-28.78%
48
Neutral
£247.94M-96.36%-16.32%-202.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:JD
JD Sports Fashion
89.78
-30.28
-25.22%
GB:ASC
ASOS plc
360.00
-1.40
-0.39%
GB:DNLM
Dunelm Group
1,187.00
72.56
6.51%
GB:FRAS
Frasers Group
679.00
-189.50
-21.82%
GB:DEBS
boohoo group Plc
19.26
-15.44
-44.50%
GB:THG
THG
31.42
-31.88
-50.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025