tiprankstipranks
Headlam (GB:HEAD)
LSE:HEAD
UK Market

Headlam (HEAD) AI Stock Analysis

8 Followers

Top Page

GB:HEAD

Headlam

(LSE:HEAD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
30.00 p
▼(-35.76% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance—multi-year revenue contraction, losses, and ongoing cash burn with a weakening balance sheet. Technicals add modest pressure given the price remains below key moving averages, while valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Distribution Network & Product Breadth
Headlam's wholesale distribution model, broad product mix and logistics/warehousing capabilities create recurring trade relationships and frequent delivery cadence. That structural trade-focused network supports stable order flow and service-led differentiation versus one-off retailers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Contraction & Losses
Sustained top-line decline (≈-9% in 2024, ≈-8.5% in 2025) and swing to losses indicate structural demand or competitiveness issues and shrinking gross profit dollars. Persistent revenue contraction undermines operating leverage and makes durable margin recovery and investment harder over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Distribution Network & Product Breadth
Headlam's wholesale distribution model, broad product mix and logistics/warehousing capabilities create recurring trade relationships and frequent delivery cadence. That structural trade-focused network supports stable order flow and service-led differentiation versus one-off retailers over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Headlam (HEAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Headlam Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headlam Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, sells, markets, supplies, and distributes floorcovering and other ancillary products in the United Kingdom and Continental Europe. The company offers its products to residential and commercial sec...
How the Company Makes Money
Headlam makes money primarily by purchasing floorcovering products and related accessories from manufacturers/suppliers and reselling them to customers at a markup, generating revenue from product sales. Its key revenue stream is wholesale/distrib...

Headlam Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: revenue has declined for multiple years and profitability has swung to losses in 2024–2025. Cash flow is the biggest risk with negative operating cash flow and sharply worse free cash flow in 2025, while the balance sheet is trending weaker with higher debt and lower equity.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue498.70M593.10M656.50M663.60M667.20M
Gross Profit146.20M167.00M206.40M219.50M220.50M
EBITDA-12.60M-9.30M34.40M64.70M50.00M
Net Income-81.90M-25.00M7.70M33.60M24.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets354.70M397.70M462.30M435.40M472.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.10M12.00M21.10M2.10M61.20M
Total Debt125.70M62.30M94.10M38.00M43.50M
Total Liabilities244.70M206.70M241.90M210.60M240.40M
Stockholders Equity110.00M191.00M220.40M224.80M232.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-49.60M-3.00M-5.70M-2.90M6.90M
Operating Cash Flow-45.20M7.60M12.50M10.90M13.80M
Investing Cash Flow16.60M50.70M-13.40M-12.10M9.30M
Financing Cash Flow45.20M-67.70M19.30M-58.20M-22.10M

Headlam Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.70
Price Trends
50DMA
40.76
Negative
100DMA
44.84
Negative
200DMA
56.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.24
Positive
RSI
26.06
Positive
STOCH
13.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HEAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.38, above the 50-day MA of 40.76, and below the 200-day MA of 56.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:HEAD.

Headlam Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£56.56M3.4220.89%0.55%2.64%23.89%
72
Outperform
£4.42B16.9223.58%2.57%0.13%-0.06%
68
Neutral
£37.80M6.558.41%11.65%-3.45%-44.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
£299.25M4.4313.23%4.38%
49
Neutral
£40.47M9.31-22.13%3.45%-4.23%-435.86%
42
Neutral
£24.64M-0.46-61.90%-11.65%-273.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HEAD
Headlam
31.10
-51.70
-62.44%
GB:CFX
Colefax
1,095.00
320.03
41.30%
GB:DFS
DFS Furniture
134.00
4.50
3.47%
GB:HWDN
Howden Joinery
835.00
127.03
17.94%
GB:ULTP
Ultimate Products plc
46.20
-14.22
-23.53%
GB:SDG
Sanderson Design Group PLC
56.00
11.36
25.45%

Headlam Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Headlam strengthens board with two senior non-executive appointments
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
Headlam Group, the UK’s leading distributor of floorcoverings, partners with suppliers worldwide to supply a wide range of flooring products to trade customers, supported by multiple trade and product brands in the UK, France and the Netherl...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Headlam files 2025 Annual Report and reinforces disclosure for investors
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
Headlam Group plc, the UK’s leading distributor of floorcoverings, sources a wide range of products from global manufacturers and supplies them to trade customers through an extensive network and brand portfolio in the UK and continental Eur...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Headlam deepens losses but backs 2027 profit goal as core customer strategy accelerates
Negative
Mar 25, 2026
Headlam Group, the UK’s leading floorcoverings distributor, has been reshaping its business around core independent retailer and contractor customers, rationalising product ranges and consolidating operations to improve margins and resilienc...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Headlam sets 25 March date to unveil 2025 full‑year results
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
Headlam Group plc, the UK’s leading floorcoverings distributor, partners with manufacturers worldwide to supply an extensive product range and value‑added services such as ecommerce tools, marketing support and nationwide logistics to ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Headlam strengthens leadership with new CEO and interim CFO appointments
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
Headlam Group has appointed industry veteran Rob Barclay as Designate Chief Executive Officer, effective 9 March 2026, with full CEO responsibilities commencing on 27 April 2026. Interim Executive Chairman Stephen Bird will revert to his non-execu...
Executive/Board Changes
Headlam CFO to Depart as Group Advances Leadership Reshuffle
Neutral
Feb 5, 2026
Headlam Group has announced that its Group Chief Financial Officer, Adam Phillips, will leave the company after the publication of its full-year results to take up the same role at CC Group. The board has begun the search for his successor and rep...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Headlam Secures £85m Asset-Based Facility to Support Transformation Plan
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
Headlam Group has secured a new asset-based lending facility of up to £85 million, replacing its existing revolving credit facility and uncommitted overdraft, in a move designed to enhance financial flexibility and align borrowing capacity wi...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Headlam Confirms FY25 Trading in Line With Expectations
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
Headlam Group said trading for the year to 31 December 2025 was in line with market expectations, with performance in the final months of the year matching management’s forecasts. The company plans to announce the date of its full-year resul...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026