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Colefax
(LSE:CFX)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
1,598.00 p
▲(12.14% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong underlying margins and positive free cash flow are offset by a sharp 2026 revenue drop and meaningful leverage that increases sensitivity to earnings volatility. Technicals are constructive with a clear uptrend, while valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross and operating margins
Sustained gross margins around the mid-50s and recurring EBIT margins in the high single-digits to low-teens indicate durable product-level pricing power and cost structure discipline. This supports long-term cash generation and cushions returns through demand swings in engineered markets.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline in 2026
A ~21% top-line drop in the most recent year signals structural demand or order volatility in key end markets. Persistent top-line weakness would compress operating leverage, strain margin sustainability, and limit options for reinvestment or reducing leverage over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross and operating margins
Sustained gross margins around the mid-50s and recurring EBIT margins in the high single-digits to low-teens indicate durable product-level pricing power and cost structure discipline. This supports long-term cash generation and cushions returns through demand swings in engineered markets.
Read all positive factors
Colefax (CFX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£73.98M
Dividend Yield0.41%
Average Volume (3M)1.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.4
Beta (1Y)0.12
Revenue Growth5.39%
EPS Growth29.50%
CountryUK
Employees356
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.40
Shares Outstanding5,058,732
10 Day Avg. Volume1,386
30 Day Avg. Volume1,371
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.27
Price to Book (P/B)1.78
Price to Sales (P/S)0.56
P/FCF Ratio4.89
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)£119.50M
Colefax Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Colefax Group Plc is a holding company engaged in the provision of furnishing products and related services. It operates through the Product and Decorating divisions. The Product division involves the design and distribution of furnishing fabrics,...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Colefax Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | Apr 2025 | Apr 2024 | Apr 2023 | Apr 2022 | Apr 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 115.92M | 109.99M | 107.16M | 104.82M | 101.80M |
| Gross Profit | 66.16M | 63.23M | 60.03M | 59.73M | 54.56M |
| EBITDA | 18.66M | 17.46M | 15.62M | 17.25M | 18.78M |
| Net Income | 7.75M | 6.51M | 5.79M | 6.69M | 8.49M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 85.47M | 79.24M | 73.97M | 80.25M | 78.97M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 23.55M | 22.31M | 17.76M | 19.75M | 21.79M |
| Total Debt | 31.62M | 26.28M | 23.42M | 26.06M | 27.98M |
| Total Liabilities | 49.04M | 43.95M | 42.23M | 46.29M | 45.83M |
| Stockholders Equity | 36.43M | 35.28M | 31.75M | 33.96M | 33.15M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 13.30M | 12.07M | 10.48M | 9.56M | 13.59M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 15.73M | 14.14M | 13.47M | 13.14M | 15.84M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.43M | -1.59M | -2.82M | -3.58M | -2.24M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -12.19M | -8.48M | -12.65M | -11.63M | -12.11M |
Colefax Technical Analysis
Positive
1425.00
Price Trends
1425.50
Positive
1305.25
Positive
1153.56
Positive
Market Momentum
12.78
Negative
57.18
Neutral
57.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CFX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1425 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1445.00, below the 50-day MA of 1425.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1153.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CFX.
Colefax Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | £46.43M | 11.91 | 8.41% | 11.65% | -3.78% | -43.43% | |
68 Neutral | £4.30B | 16.09 | 22.80% | 2.86% | 4.15% | 5.60% | |
66 Neutral | £73.98M | 12.44 | 22.35% | 0.43% | 5.39% | 29.50% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | £56.01M | 26.01 | 3.09% | 1.96% | -0.90% | ― | |
56 Neutral | £326.98M | 9.32 | 13.23% | 0.72% | 8.82% | 440.57% | |
39 Underperform | £5.60M | -0.08 | -61.90% | ― | -15.92% | -227.33% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:CFX
Colefax
1,455.00
610.49
72.29%
GB:DFS
DFS Furniture
150.00
-4.84
-3.12%
GB:HEAD
Headlam
11.45
-67.75
-85.54%
GB:HWDN
Howden Joinery
834.00
-7.39
-0.88%
GB:ULTP
Ultimate Products plc
54.80
0.94
1.75%
GB:SDG
Sanderson Design Group PLC
77.50
25.24
48.30%
Colefax Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Colefax profits surge on U.S. luxury fabric demand despite U.K. headwinds
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
Colefax Group reported a strong set of preliminary results for the year to 30 April 2026, driven by robust growth in its core Fabric Division and particularly buoyant demand in the U.S. luxury interiors market. Group sales rose 5.4% to £115.9...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Colefax Completes £2.2m Share Buyback, Cuts Share Capital by 3.2%
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
Colefax Group PLC, an AIM-quoted company in the premium furnishings and interior design space, produces and distributes high-end fabrics and related decor for residential and commercial clients. Its strategy emphasises disciplined capital allocati...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Colefax launches £2.55m reverse bookbuild share buyback
Positive
May 28, 2026
Colefax Group has launched a new share buyback via a reverse bookbuild, authorising the repurchase of up to 195,905 ordinary shares, or about 3.7% of its share capital, at £13.00 per share for a maximum outlay of roughly £2.55 million. T...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Colefax lifts profit outlook as U.S. fabric sales beat expectations
Positive
May 8, 2026
Colefax Group PLC reported that trading in its core Fabric Division has been ahead of expectations since its interim results, driven by strong performance in the U.S. market. Like-for-like sales in the division rose 7.0% for the three months to 30...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.