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Croda International PLC (GB:CRDA)
LSE:CRDA

Croda International (CRDA) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CRDA

Croda International

(LSE:CRDA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
3,469.00p
▲(16.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score reflects solid financial stability (manageable leverage and positive cash generation) and supportive technical momentum, balanced against a demanding valuation (high P/E) and execution risk highlighted on the earnings call (exceptional charges and segment volatility despite improving guidance and transformation progress).
Positive Factors
Patented ingredients & customer loyalty
Growth in patented ingredients and an 11-point NPS increase point to differentiated products and stronger customer relationships. That combination supports premium pricing, formulation stickiness and repeat B2B demand, producing durable revenue and margin advantages versus commodity peers.
Portfolio shift to higher‑growth end markets
A structural move to consumer, pharma and agriculture (89% of sales) and greater international exposure reduces cyclicality and opens faster-growing end markets. This repositioning supports steadier organic growth and long-term upside from geographic diversification and niche end‑market tailwinds.
Solid cash generation and stronger balance sheet
Consistent operating cash flow and a step-up in free cash flow in 2025, alongside lower net debt and ~1.3x leverage, provide financing flexibility. This underpins capex discipline, funds transformation spend, and supports dividends or debt reduction without stressing the balance sheet long term.
Negative Factors
Large exceptional impairments
Material one‑off impairments highlight prior capacity/capex misalignment and reduce the asset base and reported profitability. Further write‑downs remain possible as footprint optimisation continues, creating persistent earnings volatility and uncertainty around future ROIC.
Segment volatility in Pharma & Industrial
Underperformance in Pharma Solutions and sharp weakness in Industrial Specialties show concentration and end‑market sensitivity. Reliance on a few large customers and policy‑driven demand swings can produce recurring volume and margin volatility that undermines steady long‑term earnings improvement.
Significant remaining transformation cost and execution risk
Substantial remaining transformation spend (~£80m) and material future savings depend on execution across sites and working‑capital initiatives. Implementation risk, cash outflows and likely additional restructuring/impairments may delay margin and ROIC recovery, pressuring multi‑year targets if execution slips.

Croda International (CRDA) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Croda International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCroda International Plc creates, makes, and sells specialty chemicals in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Asia, and Latin America. It operates through four segments: Consumer Care, Life Sciences, Performance Technologies, and Industrial Chemicals. The company offers adhesives; crop protection additives and adjuvants, seed enhancement and animal health chemicals, chemical bio-stimulants, and specialty additives for agricultural films; and lubricant additives, coatings and polymers, vehicle cleaning chemicals, and products for automotive textiles and fibers, as well as specialty additives for plastics, and battery and catalyst industries. It also provides specialty ingredients for self-tanning, color cosmetics, bath and shower, deodorants, anti-perspirants, depilatories, men's grooming, and oral hygiene, as well as skin, hair, sun, body, and baby care applications; construction chemicals and bitumen additives; dietary supplements; and materials and polymer additives for electronics and devices. In addition, the company offers chemistries, emulsifiers, fuel and power generation additives, and polymer additives; food additives; specialty polymer additives for furniture and wood applications; household, industrial, and institutional cleaning products; lubricants; oleochemicals; and packaging, print, and paper chemicals. Further, it provides paints and coatings; active pharmaceutical ingredients; thermal management products; plastic and rubber products; skin health products; hygiene and industrial nonwovens, botanical extracts, tissues, and textile auxiliaries; and water treatment chemicals. Additionally, the company offers bio-based phase change materials for buildings and ventilation, clothing and healthcare, electronics and devices, food and refrigeration, energy storage and recovery, temperature controlled packaging, and vehicles and automotive applications. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Goole, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCroda International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its specialty chemicals and formulations to diverse industries. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales and long-term contracts with clients, which provides a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include products for personal care, which cater to the growing demand for natural and sustainable ingredients, healthcare products that support pharmaceutical and biotechnology applications, and crop care solutions aimed at improving agricultural productivity. Additionally, Croda has established significant partnerships with leading brands in various sectors, enhancing its market presence and driving sales growth. The company's commitment to sustainability and innovation also attracts premium pricing for its differentiated products, contributing further to its earnings.

Croda International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a constructive picture: solid organic growth, stronger adjusted profitability, improving free cash flow and early, measurable progress from a comprehensive transformation program with clear 2028 financial targets. These positives are tempered by sizeable one-off exceptional charges (largely non-cash impairments), near-term volatility in Pharma Solutions and Industrial Specialties, FX and inflationary pressures, and the prospect of further restructuring actions. On balance, management has credible plans and early execution momentum, but material one-off charges and some segment volatility keep performance recovery from being yet fully de-risked.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Sales grew 7% in constant currency to GBP 1.7bn for FY2025; Q4 sales up 5% CC. Growth was broad-based with Consumer Care +8% (Q4 +9%) and Life Sciences +8% (Q4 +8%).
Strong Performance in Patented Ingredients and NPS
Sales of patented ingredients increased 9% and Net Promoter Score improved by 11 points, indicating stronger customer trust, service and collaboration.
Improved Profitability (Adjusted)
Adjusted operating profit increased 8% to GBP 295m and adjusted profit before tax grew 8% to GBP 276m. EBITDA rose 5% to GBP 397m.
Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strengthening
Free cash flow was GBP 162m in FY2025 (benefitting from lower CapEx and working capital in H2). Net debt reduced slightly to GBP 524m and leverage improved to 1.3x EBITDA (from 1.5x).
CapEx Discipline
Capital expenditure reduced from GBP 138m to GBP 108m, below prior guidance of GBP 135m (CapEx now targeted at around 6% of sales going forward).
Transformation Progress and Cost Savings
Transformation delivered GBP 28m of recurring savings in 2025. Management targets GBP 100m annualized savings by FY2028 and GBP 50m working capital reduction; remaining transformation benefits around GBP 75m to drive margin recovery.
Clear 2028 Financial Targets
Management set a three-year framework: group organic sales growth 3–6% pa, Life Sciences 4–7% and Consumer Care 3–6%; adjusted operating margin >20% by FY2028 (from 17.4% in 2025); free cash flow conversion target >12% and ROIC >10%.
High-growth Niches and Geographic Repositioning
Portfolio now has 89% of sales in consumer, pharma or agricultural markets (up from 73% in 2019). 48% of sales are outside Europe/North America (up from 37%) and several niche areas (F&F, plant stem cells, biologics) are growing faster than the market.
Notable Segment Wins
Fragrances & Flavors grew 15% FY2025 and Crop Protection grew 14% for the full year (Q4 Crop Protection +12%), with Seed Enhancement +8% and Beauty Actives +6%.
Negative Updates
Significant Exceptional and Impairment Charges
Reported profit before tax reduced to GBP 91m from adjusted GBP 276m due to exceptional charges of GBP 150m. Notable impairments include a GBP 45m full impairment of the Lamar lipid site and GBP 29m write-off of assets under construction; further impairments are likely as footprint optimization continues.
Pharma Performance Below Expectations
Pharma sales grew only 4% (below management expectations), impacted by U.S. policy affecting vaccine adjuvant sales; Pharma Solutions (lipids/adjuvants) remains volatile and breakout growth was conservatively excluded from the FY2028 base case.
Industrial Specialties Weakness
Industrial Specialties fell 19% in Q4 vs a strong prior year quarter and was down 2% for the full year, with a decline in volumes related to Cargill (now ~20% of IS sales).
Foreign Exchange and Inflation Headwinds
A roughly 1 percentage point FX headwind masked margin recovery in 2025. Salary inflation of around GBP 12m and an expected GBP 10m depreciation step-up in 2026 are additional headwinds.
Working Capital & Volume Variability
Working capital outflow of GBP 8m in FY2025 (versus prior year inflow GBP 21m aided by one-off GBP 48m COVID receivable). Management expects a typical working capital outflow of GBP 20–30m to fund growth and targets structural improvements to reduce this.
Lamar Lipid Facility Standby and Uncertain Timing
The Lamar U.S. lipid site has been impaired and placed on standby (GBP 45m impairment plus GBP 16m onerous contract provision). While standby costs are provided for and future exposure is eliminated, timing and conditions to resume full operations depend on future breakout demand (uncertain).
Potential for Further Structural Costs
Management indicated there are likely to be further impairments and continued restructuring costs as they optimize footprint; transformation cash cost is expected to be ~GBP 80m to deliver GBP 100m annual savings by 2028.
Company Guidance
Management guided FY26 adjusted operating profit to be in line with market expectations with organic sales growth of 3–6% and a further margin increase; Q1 is expected to be broadly flat versus the strong Q1 2025 (c.9% growth) and FY26 sales are expected to split ~50:50 H1/H2. Looking to 2028 the financial framework targets group organic growth of 3–6% (Consumer Care 3–6%, Life Sciences 4–7%, Industrial Specialties broadly flat), adjusted operating margin >20% (from 17.4% in 2025) implying an EBITDA margin >25%, free cash flow conversion >12% of sales, annualized transformation savings of £100m (c.£75m still to come) and a working capital reduction of £50m; CapEx is expected to stay around £108m (~6% of sales), net debt will be managed at 1–2x EBITDA, ordinary dividend policy is 40–50% of adjusted earnings (current payout ~76%) and near-term headwinds include c.£12m salary inflation (2025) and a ~£10m depreciation step-up in 2026.

Croda International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable but not accelerating: earnings and revenue normalized materially after 2022, weighing on near-term profitability momentum. Offsetting this, leverage is more conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.30 in 2023–2024), equity remains sizable, and operating cash flow/free cash flow stayed consistently positive with a notable FCF improvement in 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has been volatile: strong expansion in 2021–2022, followed by contraction in 2023–2024, and a modest rebound in 2025 (annual revenue growth ~+1.9%). Profitability has also normalized materially from the exceptionally strong 2022 level (net income fell sharply in 2024–2025), which weighs on overall earnings quality. Positively, gross profit dollars remained solid and 2024 margins were still healthy for a specialty chemicals profile, but the post-2022 step-down in earnings is the key weakness.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with debt-to-equity around ~0.30 in 2023–2024 (improved materially versus ~0.53–0.57 in 2020–2021), indicating a more conservative capital structure. Equity remains sizable (over £2.1bn in 2025), supporting balance-sheet resilience. The main watch-out is declining profitability returns versus prior years (return on equity down to mid-single digits in 2023–2024), which can limit balance-sheet compounding even if leverage is controlled.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is solid: operating cash flow has been consistently strong (~£290–£350m annually), and free cash flow remained positive each year. 2025 shows a notable jump in free cash flow (strong growth off a weaker 2024 base), supporting financial flexibility. Offsetting this, cash conversion has not been consistently robust versus accounting earnings (in 2024 operating cash flow was slightly below net income), and free cash flow has been somewhat choppy over 2022–2024.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.63B1.69B2.09B1.89B
Gross Profit608.70M733.90M730.00M864.90M825.60M
EBITDA380.70M374.50M388.50M924.80M549.40M
Net Income62.00M158.50M171.00M649.30M320.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.41B3.51B3.58B3.61B3.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.80M166.80M172.50M320.60M112.80M
Total Debt760.30M699.10M710.10M615.80M936.00M
Total Liabilities1.21B1.21B1.21B1.18B1.53B
Stockholders Equity2.19B2.28B2.35B2.42B1.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.80M137.60M156.80M160.90M190.50M
Operating Cash Flow289.50M319.40M337.50M313.30M349.20M
Investing Cash Flow-109.80M-139.10M-409.80M418.10M-218.40M
Financing Cash Flow-152.60M-182.60M-52.40M-550.90M-111.90M

Croda International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2985.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2851.46
Positive
100DMA
2817.55
Positive
200DMA
2787.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
68.19
Positive
RSI
50.97
Neutral
STOCH
38.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CRDA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2985 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3014.65, above the 50-day MA of 2851.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2787.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 68.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CRDA.

Croda International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
£4.17B69.686.17%3.45%2.36%-13.99%
64
Neutral
£937.77M-16.673.37%1.34%-11.78%-92.61%
63
Neutral
£293.34M32.783.48%2.44%-4.71%86.21%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
£3.39B-26.25-5.62%3.54%-4.60%-126.46%
60
Neutral
£123.75M25.188.02%4.08%1.12%-0.70%
51
Neutral
£30.98M-0.37-7.26%-4.41%2.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CRDA
Croda International
2,985.00
-140.93
-4.51%
GB:ELM
Elementis
165.00
16.82
11.35%
GB:ESNT
Essentra
103.00
-12.20
-10.59%
GB:JMAT
Johnson Matthey
2,020.00
625.10
44.81%
GB:SYNT
Synthomer
18.94
-110.06
-85.32%
GB:TET
Treatt plc
211.00
-180.47
-46.10%

Croda International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Croda lifts earnings and margins, sets ambitious 2028 financial targets
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

Croda reported 2025 sales of £1.7bn, up 6.6% at constant currency, with Consumer Care and Life Sciences both delivering higher sales, margins and profits, while Industrial Specialties declined. Adjusted operating profit rose 7.9% at constant currency to £295.3m, though statutory profit was hit by over £100m of impairment and restructuring charges tied to optimising lipids capacity, as the group sharpened its portfolio.

The company said its transformation programme is ahead of plan, realising £28m of gross benefits in 2025 and launching a working capital initiative, while leverage fell and the dividend was nudged higher. Management set a new 2026–28 financial framework targeting 3–6% organic sales CAGR, an operating margin above 20%, stronger cash generation and higher returns on capital, signalling confidence that efficiency gains, focused innovation and better customer experience will underpin improved performance despite uncertain markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRDA) stock is a Buy with a £31.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Croda International stock, see the GB:CRDA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Croda executives receive matching shares under incentive plan
Neutral
Feb 11, 2026

Croda International has disclosed routine share transactions by several senior executives and committee members under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. The plan involved the purchase of ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange by the plan trustee on behalf of participants, with partnership shares bought and an equivalent number of matching shares awarded.

The transactions, all executed on 10 February 2026 at an effective aggregated price of 1550p per share for each individual, cover six persons discharging managerial responsibilities, including an executive director and members of the executive and finance committees. The activity underscores ongoing alignment between Croda’s leadership and shareholders through equity-based remuneration, but does not signal any change in strategic direction or capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRDA) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Croda International stock, see the GB:CRDA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Croda Executives Acquire Shares Under Company Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Croda International has disclosed that several persons discharging managerial responsibilities, including Executive Director Stephen Foots and other senior executives, have acquired ordinary shares in the company through its Share Incentive Plan. On 12 January 2026, the plan trustee purchased partnership shares and awarded matching shares on behalf of six senior managers at a price of 2,714p per share, with the aggregated cost per share reported as 1,357p, signalling ongoing executive participation in the company’s equity-based remuneration scheme and reinforcing alignment between management and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRDA) stock is a Hold with a £2914.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Croda International stock, see the GB:CRDA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Croda Strengthens Board with Appointment of Healthcare Veteran Jill Anderson
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Croda International has appointed Jill Anderson as a Non-Executive Director, effective 12 January 2026, and she will also serve on the Audit, Nomination and Remuneration Committees. Anderson brings over three decades of international leadership experience in the healthcare industry, including her recent role as Chief Financial Officer of GSK’s R&D division and her current position as a Non-Executive Director and Audit Committee Chair at Spire Healthcare, strengthening Croda’s board with deep financial and sector expertise that is expected to support the company’s strategic ambitions in innovation-led, health-focused markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRDA) stock is a Hold with a £2914.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Croda International stock, see the GB:CRDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Croda International Announces Share Incentive Plan Transaction
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Croda International Plc announced the purchase of shares under the Company’s Share Incentive Plan by Equiniti Share Plan Trustees Limited, involving key managerial personnel. This transaction reflects the company’s commitment to aligning the interests of its executives with those of its shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and supporting its strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRDA) stock is a Hold with a £2914.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Croda International stock, see the GB:CRDA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026