Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £84.70M
• Dividend Yield: 5.12%
• Average Volume (3M): 33.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.30
• Revenue Growth: 36.73%
• EPS Growth: -18.26%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 173
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 44,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 31,317
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 33,826
• PEG Ratio: -18.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.67
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.69
• P/FCF Ratio: 20.45
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.17
• Revenue Forecast (FY): £69.90M

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: 227.00 p ▲(9.40% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/07/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/07/25

Cake Box Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators, suggesting a favorable market position. However, financial challenges such as declining net profit margins and increased leverage pose risks. The attractive dividend yield provides some compensation for valuation concerns. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with potential for growth.

Positive Factors

Franchise-based recurring revenue model

A franchised retail model creates recurring royalty and supply revenue with low capital intensity for the group. This structure supports scalable growth, limited store-level capex needs, and predictable cashflows as franchisees expand—durable advantages for 2–6 months and beyond.

Negative Factors

Rising leverage

Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases interest exposure, limiting ability to fund growth organically or via acquisitions. If revenue or margins soften, servicing elevated debt could pressure investment in franchisor support and slow network expansion over the medium term.

Cake Box Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cake Box Holdings Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream cakes in the United Kingdom. It offers cakes by celebration, cakes by design, and seasonal cakes, as well as wedding cakes. As of March 31, 2022, the company ope...

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Cake Box Holdings Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream cakes in the United Kingdom. It offers cakes by celebration, cakes by design, and seasonal cakes, as well as wedding cakes. As of March 31, 2022, the company ope...

How the Company Makes Money

Cake Box Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cakes and related products in its franchise stores. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales from its retail outlets and royalties and fees from fra...

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Cake Box Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cakes and related products in its franchise stores. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales from its retail outlets and royalties and fees from fra...

Cake Box Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2021	Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	52.81M	42.78M	37.84M	34.80M	32.96M	18.74M
Gross Profit	27.09M	22.46M	19.61M	16.04M	14.85M	8.27M
EBITDA	8.99M	7.76M	7.72M	6.66M	8.80M	4.31M
Net Income	4.24M	4.37M	4.66M	4.24M	6.31M	3.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	60.23M	61.24M	30.74M	27.82M	25.90M	13.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.04M	6.33M	8.45M	7.35M	6.57M	3.68M
Total Debt	20.68M	21.50M	3.57M	3.94M	4.31M	1.61M
Total Liabilities	34.37M	34.25M	11.44M	10.08M	9.12M	4.29M
Stockholders Equity	25.87M	26.99M	19.30M	17.74M	16.78M	9.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.34M	3.53M	4.93M	4.19M	4.08M	2.05M
Operating Cash Flow	6.34M	6.60M	6.28M	6.15M	5.21M	3.32M
Investing Cash Flow	-25.41M	-25.15M	-1.14M	-1.90M	-1.12M	-587.78K
Financing Cash Flow	14.83M	16.42M	-4.03M	-3.47M	-2.65M	-2.14M

Cake Box Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 207.50
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CBOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 207.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.13, above the 50-day MA of 196.55, and above the 200-day MA of 198.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CBOX.

Cake Box Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PFD	76 Outperform	£1.69B	8.95	9.27%	1.62%	0.50%	20.52%
TSCO	74 Outperform	£30.89B	7.58	13.57%	3.25%	1.05%	-20.25%
CBOX	70 Outperform	£84.70M	11.22	16.03%	5.12%	36.73%	-18.26%
SBRY	70 Outperform	£7.85B	11.60	5.08%	4.02%	0.82%	160.81%
GRG	68 Neutral	£1.64B	14.01	20.47%	3.34%	8.06%	5.15%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
OCDO	52 Neutral	£1.56B	3.62	24.47%	―	―	―

Cake Box Holdings Corporate Events