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Premier Foods (GB:PFD)
:PFD

Premier Foods (PFD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Premier Foods

(LSE:PFD)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
214.00p
▲(11.11%Upside)
Premier Foods' strong financial performance and positive corporate events are key strengths, providing robust growth and confidence in future prospects. The reasonable valuation supports potential investment appeal, although technical analysis suggests caution due to short-term market weakness.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Premier Foods has rapidly developed into a very strong cash generator, even after dividend payments.
Financial Performance
Trading profit of £188m has come in ahead of expectations, supporting robust growth.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth has increased by 3.1%, with branded revenues outperforming at a 5% increase.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure
Premier Foods has meaningfully stepped-up its capex spending.

Premier Foods (PFD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Premier Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. The company operates through Grocery, Sweet Treats, and International segments. It offers a portfolio of product categories, including flavorings and seasonings under the Bisto, OXO, and Paxo brands; cooking sauces and accompaniments under the Sharwood's, Loyd Grossman, and Homepride brands; and quick meals, snacks, and soups under the Batchelors and Smash brands. The company's products portfolio also comprises ambient desserts under the Ambrosia, Bird's, and Angel Delight brands; and ambient cakes under the Mr Kipling, Cadbury, and Lyons brands. It offers its products through supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, and wholesale and food service facilities, as well as through e-commerce channels. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Saint Albans, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremier Foods generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of branded and own-label food products to retailers, wholesalers, and the food service industry. The company's key revenue streams include sales from its established brands, such as Mr Kipling and Bisto, which hold significant market positions in the UK. Additionally, Premier Foods benefits from strategic licensing agreements, such as its partnership with Cadbury for cake production, which allows it to leverage well-known brand names and expand its market reach. The company also engages in product innovation and marketing initiatives to drive sales and maintain its competitive edge. Fluctuations in commodity prices and consumer preferences, along with relationships with major retailers, also play critical roles in Premier Foods' earnings.

Premier Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premier Foods shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability. The balance sheet is stable, although better liability management could enhance stability. Robust cash flow supports reinvestment opportunities and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Premier Foods has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase in total revenue from the previous period. Gross profit margin has remained stable, supporting robust profitability. The net profit margin has improved, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting healthy operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong, showing effective use of equity in generating profits. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial structure with a good proportion of assets funded by equity, though there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Premier Foods exhibits solid cash flow management with increasing free cash flow, indicating effective capital expenditure control and operational cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio further supports a strong cash position, enabling potential reinvestment and debt reduction.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.14B1.01B900.50M947.00M
Gross Profit439.30M432.30M358.20M327.10M335.30M
EBITDA232.10M225.30M177.70M169.70M208.30M
Net Income124.90M112.50M91.60M77.50M106.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.33B2.41B2.53B2.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.50M102.30M64.40M54.30M4.20M
Total Debt335.10M337.90M338.70M339.30M336.90M
Total Liabilities809.70M1.01B999.90M1.03B1.09B
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.33B1.41B1.51B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.70M88.90M67.20M66.90M62.00M
Operating Cash Flow158.10M121.70M87.20M90.10M85.60M
Investing Cash Flow-41.40M-62.10M-63.80M-23.20M13.80M
Financing Cash Flow-27.50M-20.70M-14.30M-13.70M-276.20M

Premier Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price192.60
Price Trends
50DMA
200.64
Negative
100DMA
191.90
Negative
200DMA
188.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.85
Positive
RSI
35.18
Neutral
STOCH
11.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PFD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 192.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.37, below the 50-day MA of 200.64, and above the 200-day MA of 188.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:PFD.

Premier Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBGNC
80
Outperform
£1.00B19.1612.12%0.86%0.49%14.18%
74
Outperform
£1.24B22.409.10%3.31%4.03%3.21%
GBHFG
72
Outperform
£762.94M19.4012.74%5.91%-0.03%7.88%
GBPFD
72
Outperform
£1.67B13.499.02%1.06%1.01%11.12%
67
Neutral
£2.28B37.333.39%5.19%5.40%-67.46%
65
Neutral
$26.88B15.20-4.27%3.19%1.02%1.89%
GBCWK
61
Neutral
£2.75B20.5914.14%0.97%4.77%18.94%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
191.80
22.01
12.96%
GB:TATE
Tate & Lyle
529.00
-71.92
-11.97%
GB:BAKK
Bakkavor Group plc
216.50
67.82
45.61%
GB:GNC
Greencore
233.00
56.31
31.87%
GB:CWK
Cranswick
5,160.00
635.21
14.04%
GB:HFG
Hilton Food
841.00
-34.22
-3.91%

Premier Foods Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premier Foods Aligns Executive Incentives with Shareholder Interests
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Premier Foods plc announced the grant of deferred bonus awards and long-term incentive plan awards to its executive directors and leadership team. These awards, structured as nil cost options, are part of the company’s remuneration policy and are designed to align the interests of the executives with those of the shareholders. The deferred bonus awards will vest over a three-year period, while the long-term incentive plan awards are subject to performance conditions related to shareholder returns and earnings per share. This move is likely to enhance executive engagement and potentially improve company performance by aligning management incentives with company goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Hold with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Premier Foods Releases 2024/25 Annual Report and Schedules AGM
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Premier Foods has announced the release of its 2024/25 Annual Report, which will be available to shareholders and the public for viewing and downloading. The company has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for July 17, 2025, at its headquarters, and has submitted the necessary documents to the Financial Conduct Authority’s National Storage Mechanism for inspection. This announcement signifies Premier Foods’ commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially reinforcing stakeholder confidence and maintaining its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Hold with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Other
Premier Foods Executives Adjust Shareholdings in Recent Transactions
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Premier Foods plc announced recent transactions involving its senior management and their closely associated persons in the company’s ordinary shares. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involved the sale and purchase of shares by key executives, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, reflecting routine adjustments in their shareholdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Hold with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Other
Premier Foods Announces Share Transactions by General Counsel
Neutral
May 28, 2025

Premier Foods plc announced a transaction involving Simon Rose, the General Counsel & Company Secretary, who exercised options over 602,931 ordinary shares under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan. Following this, he sold 344,107 shares at 210p each, while retaining 258,824 shares. Additionally, his daughters, Sophie and Anna Rose, purchased a total of 44,611 shares. This transaction reflects internal movements within the company’s shareholding structure, potentially impacting the company’s market perception and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Hold with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Other
Premier Foods Director Acquires Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
May 22, 2025

Premier Foods plc announced that Malcolm Waugh, a Non-executive Director, has purchased 9,368 ordinary shares of the company at a price of 212.2895p per share. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a personal investment by a senior figure in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Buy with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Premier Foods Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Premier Foods plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management NV, based in Amsterdam, Netherlands, adjusting its voting rights in the company. The notification indicates a decrease in voting rights from 7.99% to 6.96%, reflecting a strategic shift in the investment management’s stake in Premier Foods. This change could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence future decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Buy with a £220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premier Foods Reports Strong Financial Growth and Dividend Increase
Positive
May 15, 2025

Premier Foods plc reported strong financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2025, with branded revenue growth of 5.2% and a trading profit increase of 6.0%. The company achieved significant market share gains and reduced net debt by £92 million. Strategic priorities included increased capital investment, expansion into new categories, and international revenue growth. The company also announced a 62% increase in dividends, reflecting its strong cash generation and the suspension of pension deficit contributions. Premier Foods aims to continue its growth through product innovation, capital investment, and potential M&A opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Buy with a £2.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premier Foods Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Progress
Positive
May 15, 2025

Premier Foods has reported robust financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2025, with branded revenue growth of 5.2% and a trading profit increase of 6.0%, surpassing expectations. The company has made significant strides in its strategic priorities, including a 46% rise in new categories revenue and a 23% increase in international revenue. The dividend per share has been raised by 62%, reflecting strong cash generation and the removal of the pension scheme dividend match. Premier Foods plans to continue investing in capital projects to enhance efficiency and growth, while exploring M&A opportunities to further leverage its branded growth model.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PFD) stock is a Buy with a £2.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier Foods stock, see the GB:PFD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025