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Hilton Food Group PLC (GB:HFG)
LSE:HFG

Hilton Food (HFG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Hilton Food

(LSE:HFG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
966.00p
▲(10.15%Upside)
Hilton Food's overall stock score of 76 reflects its solid financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive corporate event impacts. While technical analysis shows some bearish momentum, the company's strategic growth initiatives and strong cash flow position it well for the future.

Hilton Food (HFG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Hilton Food Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHilton Food Group (HFG) is a leading international food packing company specializing in the supply of meat and seafood products. Operating across multiple continents, the company partners with prominent retailers to provide high-quality, sustainable, and innovative food solutions. Its core services include the processing, packaging, and distribution of fresh and value-added products, ensuring the efficient delivery of goods from production to consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyHilton Food Group makes money through its vertically integrated business model, primarily by processing and packaging meat and seafood products for supermarkets and retail partners. The company generates revenue by entering into long-term supply agreements with major retailers, ensuring a stable, recurring income stream. Additionally, HFG expands its revenue through value-added services such as product development, logistics, and the provision of ready-to-cook meals. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a crucial role in enhancing its market reach and operational capabilities, contributing to its earnings.

Hilton Food Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hilton Food shows solid financial performance with steady revenue growth, effective cost management, and robust cash flow generation. However, the low net profit margin and reliance on external financing are areas of concern.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Hilton Food has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a moderate increase in gross profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, indicating potential pressures on bottom-line profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage, though there is room for improvement. The return on equity is increasing, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests reliance on external financing, which may pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Hilton Food's cash flow statement highlights strong operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, indicating efficient cash generation. The free cash flow has shown significant growth, enhancing financial flexibility. The company has effectively managed capital expenditures, supporting positive free cash flow trends.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.99B3.99B3.85B3.30B2.77B
Gross Profit456.90M430.35M295.05M295.13M260.79M
EBITDA178.70M163.59M140.86M131.34M123.01M
Net Income39.30M36.38M17.71M37.14M39.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.29B1.30B1.17B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.00M130.34M87.22M141.31M123.82M
Total Debt449.30M493.29M544.95M468.13M491.23M
Total Liabilities919.60M967.77M990.47M859.48M833.35M
Stockholders Equity306.60M310.31M294.36M301.40M215.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.90M107.32M3.93M30.92M443.00K
Operating Cash Flow124.50M166.93M60.69M88.29M95.95M
Investing Cash Flow-62.30M-54.80M-141.24M-98.81M-95.37M
Financing Cash Flow-72.60M-71.35M25.97M31.42M9.90M

Hilton Food Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price877.00
Price Trends
50DMA
861.67
Positive
100DMA
846.50
Positive
200DMA
859.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.87
Negative
RSI
63.38
Neutral
STOCH
55.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 877 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 857.25, above the 50-day MA of 861.67, and above the 200-day MA of 859.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:HFG.

Hilton Food Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBPFD
79
Outperform
£1.72B13.989.02%1.02%5.90%11.24%
GBCWK
78
Outperform
£2.90B21.5014.14%0.93%8.74%-8.69%
GBGNC
78
Outperform
£1.02B19.4512.12%0.85%0.49%14.18%
GBHFG
76
Outperform
£787.18M20.0212.74%4.22%-0.03%7.88%
76
Outperform
£2.33B37.233.39%3.78%-11.03%-2.05%
75
Outperform
£1.28B23.189.10%3.21%4.03%3.21%
65
Neutral
$26.88B15.06-4.01%3.23%1.02%2.11%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HFG
Hilton Food
877.00
5.63
0.65%
GB:TATE
Tate & Lyle
527.50
-51.18
-8.84%
GB:BAKK
Bakkavor Group plc
223.00
88.14
65.36%
GB:GNC
Greencore
236.50
68.32
40.62%
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
199.60
45.00
29.11%
GB:CWK
Cranswick
5,390.00
1,036.79
23.82%

Hilton Food Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Hilton Food Group’s Voting Rights Restructured as Aberdeen Group Reduces Stake
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure, with Aberdeen Group plc reducing its stake to below 5%. This adjustment, effective from June 18, 2025, reflects a disposal of voting rights by Aberdeen Group, which previously held over 5% of the voting rights. The change may impact Hilton Food’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the company, as Aberdeen Group’s involvement in decision-making processes will be diminished.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Other
Aberdeen Group Reduces Stake in Hilton Food Group
Negative
Jun 2, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Aberdeen Group plc reducing its voting rights from 9.99% to 5.53% as of May 30, 2025. This shift indicates a significant disposal of shares, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder structure and market perception, as the voting rights held by abrdn Investments (Holdings) Limited and abrdn Investment Management Limited fell below the 5% notifiable threshold.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group Announces Executive Share Awards Under New Remuneration Policy
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced an additional grant of shares to CEO Steve Murrells and a correction to the share awards for Philip Heffer under its Long-Term Incentive Plan. The awards, which are part of a new remuneration policy approved at the AGM, are set to vest in May 2028, contingent upon continued employment and performance conditions over the next three years. This move reflects Hilton Food’s strategic focus on aligning executive compensation with long-term company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group PLC Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Positive
May 20, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic decisions. The approval of resolutions, including director elections and financial matters, underscores the company’s stable operational footing and commitment to shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hilton Food Group Reports Positive Trading Update and Strategic Progress
Positive
May 20, 2025

Hilton Food Group plc has reported that its trading performance for the year to date is in line with the Board’s expectations, with growth in volumes and sales across all regions. The company is making significant progress with its strategic partnerships, including upcoming launches with Walmart in Canada and NADEC in Saudi Arabia. Despite an uncertain macroeconomic environment, Hilton Foods remains confident in its ability to achieve earnings growth for the full year, supported by investments in growth opportunities and a commitment to sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Hilton Food Group Announces Board Changes with New Appointments
Neutral
May 20, 2025

Hilton Food Group plc announced the appointment of Bindi Foyle and Samy Zekhout as Independent Non-Executive Directors, effective June 1, 2025. These appointments come as Sarah Perry steps down to focus on her role at Carlsberg Britvic, and Angus Porter plans to leave the board in 2026. Bindi Foyle brings extensive experience from her role as Group Finance Director at Senior plc, while Samy Zekhout offers a wealth of knowledge from his tenure at Nomad Foods and Procter & Gamble. These changes are expected to enhance the board’s expertise and international perspective, potentially strengthening Hilton Foods’ market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group Grants Long-Term Incentive Awards to Directors
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced the grant of awards of shares to its directors under the company’s Long-Term Incentive Plan 2019. These awards, which will vest on May 13, 2028, are contingent upon continued employment and meeting performance conditions over the financial years 2025-2027. This move is part of Hilton Food’s strategy to align management incentives with long-term company performance, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Hilton Food Group Announces Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC has disclosed its total voting rights and share capital as of April 30, 2025. The company has issued 89,905,472 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, with no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests and obligations under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group Announces Change in Voting Rights
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC has announced a change in the voting rights held by Montanaro Asset Management Limited, which now holds 3.96% of the company’s voting rights, down from a previous 4.06%. This adjustment in holdings may influence the company’s shareholder dynamics and could have implications for its governance and strategic decisions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group Executives Participate in Share Purchase Scheme
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares by its CEO, CFO, and another executive as part of an executive director bonus scheme deferral into shares. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Hilton Food Group Releases 2024 Annual Report and Announces 2025 AGM
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC has released its Annual Report and Financial Statements for the 52 weeks ending 29 December 2024, along with the notice for its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM). The AGM is scheduled for 20 May 2025 and will be held in person at the company’s headquarters in Cambridgeshire. Shareholders have been encouraged to submit proxy votes if they are unable to attend. The documents have been made available to shareholders and submitted to the National Storage Mechanism for public inspection.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hilton Food Group’s Chairman Acquires Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced a transaction involving its Non-Executive Chairman, Mark Allen, who made an on-market purchase of 5,950 ordinary shares at a price of 835.1823p each. This transaction, conducted on April 8, 2025, at the XLON exchange, reflects a strategic move by a key figure within the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hilton Foods Reports Strong 2024 Performance and International Expansion Plans
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC reported strong performance for the 52 weeks ending December 29, 2024, with significant volume growth in its core retail meat market across the UK, Europe, and APAC regions. The company is expanding internationally, with plans to enter Saudi Arabia in 2026 and launch operations in Canada by 2027. Financially, Hilton Foods saw a 4.4% increase in volume and a 1.9% rise in revenue on a constant currency basis. Adjusted operating profit increased by 11.9%, and the company maintained a strong cash flow and reduced net bank debt. The company is committed to sustainability, achieving a top 1.5% CDP Climate score, and continues to invest in automation and strategic partnerships to drive future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025