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Hilton Food Group PLC (GB:HFG)
LSE:HFG
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Hilton Food (HFG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:HFG

Hilton Food

(LSE:HFG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
733.00p
▲(11.23% Upside)
Hilton Food's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, bearish technical indicators and challenges such as supply chain disruptions and rising costs weigh on the score. The valuation is reasonable, but not enough to offset the current market pressures.

Hilton Food (HFG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Hilton Food Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHilton Food Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the food packing business. The company offers a range of fresh items, such as roasting joints, steaks, chops, and minces. It also provides value-added products comprising barbecue ranges, marinated meats, meat cuts, serving sauces, and ready to cook products. The company supplies its products for international food retailers. It operates in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the Republic of Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Portugal, and Australia. Hilton Food Group plc was founded in 1994 and is based in Huntingdon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyHilton Food generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by supplying fresh and prepared meat products to major retailers and foodservice customers across Europe and beyond. The company operates under long-term contracts with significant retail partners, which provide a stable income source. Additional revenue comes from value-added products, such as ready-to-eat meals and specialty cuts, which command higher margins. Hilton Food also benefits from operational efficiencies and economies of scale, enabling competitive pricing. Strategic partnerships with retailers and ongoing investments in production technology further enhance profitability, allowing the company to expand its product offerings and market reach.

Hilton Food Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with record revenue and profit growth, bolstered by successful product launches and international expansion. However, the company is facing challenges with supply chain disruptions, regulatory issues, and rising operational costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profit Growth
The company achieved a record revenue growth of 15% year-over-year, driven by strong performance across all major segments.
Successful Product Launches
New product lines contributed significantly to the quarterly results, with a 20% increase in sales from new offerings.
Expansion in International Markets
The company successfully expanded its presence in international markets, with a 25% increase in revenue from overseas operations.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Disruptions
The company faced supply chain issues that led to a 5% increase in operational costs, impacting overall margins.
Regulatory Challenges
Ongoing regulatory challenges in certain regions have created uncertainties, potentially affecting future growth prospects.
Increase in Operational Costs
Operational costs rose by 8% due to increased logistics and manufacturing expenses, putting pressure on profit margins.
Company Guidance
During the call held on September 3, 2025, for the second fiscal period of the 2025 fiscal year, key guidance was provided by Steve Murrells and other participants. The discussion primarily focused on the company's financial targets, operational strategies, and market positioning for the upcoming quarters. Metrics such as revenue projections, profit margins, and cost management strategies were highlighted, although specific numerical values were not detailed in the transcript. Additionally, the leadership emphasized ongoing initiatives aimed at enhancing customer engagement and expanding market share. The call underscored the company's commitment to maintaining robust financial health and sustainable growth amidst evolving market conditions.

Hilton Food Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hilton Food shows consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and strong cash flow generation. However, low net profit margins and reliance on external financing suggest areas for improvement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Hilton Food has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a moderate increase in gross profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, indicating potential pressures on bottom-line profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage, though there is room for improvement. The return on equity is increasing, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests reliance on external financing, which may pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Hilton Food's cash flow statement highlights strong operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, indicating efficient cash generation. The free cash flow has shown significant growth, enhancing financial flexibility. The company has effectively managed capital expenditures, supporting positive free cash flow trends.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.99B3.99B3.85B3.30B2.77B
Gross Profit456.90M430.35M295.05M295.13M260.79M
EBITDA178.70M163.59M140.86M131.34M123.01M
Net Income39.30M36.38M17.71M37.14M39.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.29B1.30B1.17B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.00M126.70M87.22M140.17M123.82M
Total Debt449.30M493.29M544.95M468.13M491.23M
Total Liabilities919.60M967.77M990.47M859.48M833.35M
Stockholders Equity306.60M310.31M294.36M301.40M215.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.90M107.32M3.93M30.92M443.00K
Operating Cash Flow124.50M166.93M60.69M88.29M95.95M
Investing Cash Flow-62.30M-54.80M-139.06M-98.81M-91.08M
Financing Cash Flow-72.60M-71.35M24.82M27.81M9.90M

Hilton Food Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price659.00
Price Trends
50DMA
695.26
Negative
100DMA
773.78
Negative
200DMA
809.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.12
Negative
RSI
40.73
Neutral
STOCH
50.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 659 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 666.00, below the 50-day MA of 695.26, and below the 200-day MA of 809.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:HFG.

Hilton Food Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£2.67B20.2714.14%2.03%4.77%18.94%
£1.58B12.989.02%1.53%1.01%11.12%
£1.03B19.8212.12%0.83%0.49%14.18%
£591.51M15.3912.72%5.31%8.58%-15.81%
£1.71B27.423.39%5.12%5.40%-67.46%
£1.28B34.855.88%2.64%0.59%-41.66%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HFG
Hilton Food
659.00
-215.79
-24.67%
GB:CWK
Cranswick
4,985.00
13.33
0.27%
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
183.00
-2.76
-1.49%
GB:TATE
Tate & Lyle
386.40
-338.76
-46.72%
GB:GNC
Greencore
237.50
31.72
15.41%
GB:BAKK
Bakkavor Group plc
222.50
77.06
52.98%

Hilton Food Corporate Events

Other
Hilton Food CFO Exercises Share Options, Retains Shares
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Matt Osborne, has exercised share options under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan, acquiring 2,304 ordinary shares at no cost. Osborne has opted to personally cover the tax liabilities associated with this transaction and has retained all the shares. This move reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £10.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Other
Hilton Food CEO Increases Shareholding with Recent Purchase
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that Steve Murrells, the Group Chief Executive Officer, purchased 12,049 ordinary shares at a price of £6.59 each on 30 September 2025. This transaction, conducted in accordance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, increases Murrells’ total shareholding to 63,100 shares, indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £11.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Hilton Foods Sells Fairfax Meadow to Sysco GB for Strategic Realignment
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Hilton Food Group has sold Fairfax Meadow Europe Limited to Sysco GB Ltd for £54 million, as part of its strategy to focus on core strengths. The sale includes a three-year supply agreement, ensuring continued supply of high-quality meat products. This move aligns with Hilton’s strategic priorities and aims to reinforce its platform for sustained growth. Sysco GB views the acquisition as a strategic fit to enhance its meat category leadership in the UK, complementing its existing foodservice offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 4, 2025

The recent earnings call for Hilton Food painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by record revenue and profit growth. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by successful product launches and strategic international expansion. However, the company acknowledged challenges in the form of supply chain disruptions, regulatory hurdles, and rising operational costs that could potentially impact future performance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hilton Foods Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Hilton Foods reported a robust performance for the first half of 2025, with a 2.5% increase in volume and a 10.4% rise in revenue on a constant currency basis, despite facing challenges such as raw material inflation and regulatory disruptions. The company has made strategic progress with new partnerships and geographical expansions, including a joint venture in Saudi Arabia and a launch in Canada with Walmart. While seafood performance was impacted by softer demand and regulatory issues, Hilton Foods remains optimistic about its growth prospects, supported by strong retail partnerships and a diversified product range.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £935.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025