Hilton Food (HFG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £597.79M
• Dividend Yield: 5.18%
• Average Volume (3M): 672.66K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.46
• Revenue Growth: 8.58%
• EPS Growth: -15.81%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 7,856
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.26
• Shares Outstanding: 89,905,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 687,263
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 672,661
• PEG Ratio: 2.83
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.65
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.30
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £981.67
• Price Target Upside: 49.19% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: 733.00p ▲(11.40% Upside)

Hilton Food's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, bearish technical indicators and challenges such as supply chain disruptions and rising costs weigh on the score. The valuation is reasonable, but not enough to offset the current market pressures.

Hilton Food Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hilton Food Group plc (HFG) is a leading international food manufacturing company, primarily focused on the processing and packing of meat and prepared food products. The company operates across multiple sectors, including beef, pork, lamb, and poultry, supplying a diverse range of high-quality products to retailers and foodservice businesses. With a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainability, Hilton Food leverages advanced technology and efficient supply chain management to deliver value-added products while maintaining high standards of food safety and quality.

How the Company Makes Money

Hilton Food generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by supplying fresh and prepared meat products to major retailers and foodservice customers across Europe and beyond. The company operates under long-term contracts with significant retail partners, which provide a stable income source. Additional revenue comes from value-added products, such as ready-to-eat meals and specialty cuts, which command higher margins. Hilton Food also benefits from operational efficiencies and economies of scale, enabling competitive pricing. Strategic partnerships with retailers and ongoing investments in production technology further enhance profitability, allowing the company to expand its product offerings and market reach.

Hilton Food Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Hilton Food shows consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and strong cash flow generation. However, low net profit margins and reliance on external financing suggest areas for improvement.

Income Statement

Hilton Food has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a moderate increase in gross profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, indicating potential pressures on bottom-line profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage, though there is room for improvement. The return on equity is increasing, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests reliance on external financing, which may pose risks if not managed properly.

Cash Flow

Hilton Food's cash flow statement highlights strong operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, indicating efficient cash generation. The free cash flow has shown significant growth, enhancing financial flexibility. The company has effectively managed capital expenditures, supporting positive free cash flow trends.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.99B	3.99B	3.85B	3.30B	2.77B
Gross Profit	456.90M	430.35M	295.05M	295.13M	260.79M
EBITDA	178.70M	163.59M	140.86M	131.34M	123.01M
Net Income	39.30M	36.38M	17.71M	37.14M	39.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.24B	1.29B	1.30B	1.17B	1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.00M	126.70M	87.22M	140.17M	123.82M
Total Debt	449.30M	493.29M	544.95M	468.13M	491.23M
Total Liabilities	919.60M	967.77M	990.47M	859.48M	833.35M
Stockholders Equity	306.60M	310.31M	294.36M	301.40M	215.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	49.90M	107.32M	3.93M	30.92M	443.00K
Operating Cash Flow	124.50M	166.93M	60.69M	88.29M	95.95M
Investing Cash Flow	-62.30M	-54.80M	-139.06M	-98.81M	-91.08M
Financing Cash Flow	-72.60M	-71.35M	24.82M	27.81M	9.90M

Hilton Food Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 658.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 658 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 659.65, below the 50-day MA of 755.88, and below the 200-day MA of 827.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -26.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:HFG.

Hilton Food Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CWK	71 Outperform	£2.61B	19.47	14.14%	2.06%	4.77%	18.94%
PFD	69 Neutral	£1.59B	12.79	9.02%	1.52%	1.01%	11.12%
TATE	67 Neutral	£1.64B	25.76	3.39%	5.34%	5.40%	-67.46%
HFG	66 Neutral	£597.79M	15.27	12.72%	5.18%	8.58%	-15.81%
GNC	64 Neutral	£994.37M	18.34	12.12%	0.90%	0.49%	14.18%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
BAKK	58 Neutral	£1.22B	32.15	5.88%	2.87%	0.59%	-41.66%

Hilton Food Corporate Events

Hilton Foods Secures Strategic Investment from Apax for Foods Connected

Hilton Foods has announced a strategic investment from the Apax Global Impact Fund into its supplier management platform, Foods Connected. This investment, amounting to £22 million, will see Hilton Foods retaining a 26% stake in the business. The partnership aims to leverage Apax’s technology expertise to accelerate growth, enhance supply chain management, and expand Foods Connected’s capabilities. The collaboration is expected to modernize operations, increase value for customers, and strengthen Hilton Foods’ market position in delivering sustainable and transparent food supply chains.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group Seeks Block Listing on London Stock Exchange

Hilton Food Group PLC has applied for a block listing of 150,000 Ordinary Shares on the London Stock Exchange, in accordance with the Hilton Foods LTIP Scheme. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its growth strategy, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group’s Voting Rights Restructured as Aberdeen Group Reduces Stake

Hilton Food Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure, with Aberdeen Group plc reducing its stake to below 5%. This adjustment, effective from June 18, 2025, reflects a disposal of voting rights by Aberdeen Group, which previously held over 5% of the voting rights. The change may impact Hilton Food’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the company, as Aberdeen Group’s involvement in decision-making processes will be diminished.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Aberdeen Group Reduces Stake in Hilton Food Group

Hilton Food Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Aberdeen Group plc reducing its voting rights from 9.99% to 5.53% as of May 30, 2025. This shift indicates a significant disposal of shares, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder structure and market perception, as the voting rights held by abrdn Investments (Holdings) Limited and abrdn Investment Management Limited fell below the 5% notifiable threshold.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group Announces Executive Share Awards Under New Remuneration Policy

Hilton Food Group PLC announced an additional grant of shares to CEO Steve Murrells and a correction to the share awards for Philip Heffer under its Long-Term Incentive Plan. The awards, which are part of a new remuneration policy approved at the AGM, are set to vest in May 2028, contingent upon continued employment and performance conditions over the next three years. This move reflects Hilton Food’s strategic focus on aligning executive compensation with long-term company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group PLC Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic decisions. The approval of resolutions, including director elections and financial matters, underscores the company’s stable operational footing and commitment to shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group Reports Positive Trading Update and Strategic Progress

Hilton Food Group plc has reported that its trading performance for the year to date is in line with the Board’s expectations, with growth in volumes and sales across all regions. The company is making significant progress with its strategic partnerships, including upcoming launches with Walmart in Canada and NADEC in Saudi Arabia. Despite an uncertain macroeconomic environment, Hilton Foods remains confident in its ability to achieve earnings growth for the full year, supported by investments in growth opportunities and a commitment to sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group Announces Board Changes with New Appointments

Hilton Food Group plc announced the appointment of Bindi Foyle and Samy Zekhout as Independent Non-Executive Directors, effective June 1, 2025. These appointments come as Sarah Perry steps down to focus on her role at Carlsberg Britvic, and Angus Porter plans to leave the board in 2026. Bindi Foyle brings extensive experience from her role as Group Finance Director at Senior plc, while Samy Zekhout offers a wealth of knowledge from his tenure at Nomad Foods and Procter & Gamble. These changes are expected to enhance the board’s expertise and international perspective, potentially strengthening Hilton Foods’ market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food Group Grants Long-Term Incentive Awards to Directors

Hilton Food Group PLC announced the grant of awards of shares to its directors under the company’s Long-Term Incentive Plan 2019. These awards, which will vest on May 13, 2028, are contingent upon continued employment and meeting performance conditions over the financial years 2025-2027. This move is part of Hilton Food’s strategy to align management incentives with long-term company performance, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.