Hilton Food (HFG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £591.51M
• Dividend Yield: 5.31%
• Average Volume (3M): 491.35K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.46
• Revenue Growth: 8.58%
• EPS Growth: -15.81%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 7,856
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.26
• Shares Outstanding: 89,905,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 259,872
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 491,350
• PEG Ratio: 2.83
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.65
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.30
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £981.67
• Price Target Upside: 48.96% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: 733.00p ▲(11.23% Upside)

Hilton Food's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, bearish technical indicators and challenges such as supply chain disruptions and rising costs weigh on the score. The valuation is reasonable, but not enough to offset the current market pressures.

Hilton Food Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hilton Food Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the food packing business. The company offers a range of fresh items, such as roasting joints, steaks, chops, and minces. It also provides value-added products comprising barbecue ranges, marinated meats, meat cuts, serving sauces, and ready to cook products. The company supplies its products for international food retailers. It operates in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the Republic of Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Portugal, and Australia. Hilton Food Group plc was founded in 1994 and is based in Huntingdon, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Hilton Food generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by supplying fresh and prepared meat products to major retailers and foodservice customers across Europe and beyond. The company operates under long-term contracts with significant retail partners, which provide a stable income source. Additional revenue comes from value-added products, such as ready-to-eat meals and specialty cuts, which command higher margins. Hilton Food also benefits from operational efficiencies and economies of scale, enabling competitive pricing. Strategic partnerships with retailers and ongoing investments in production technology further enhance profitability, allowing the company to expand its product offerings and market reach.

Hilton Food Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Hilton Food shows consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and strong cash flow generation. However, low net profit margins and reliance on external financing suggest areas for improvement.

Income Statement

Hilton Food has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a moderate increase in gross profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, indicating potential pressures on bottom-line profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage, though there is room for improvement. The return on equity is increasing, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests reliance on external financing, which may pose risks if not managed properly.

Cash Flow

Hilton Food's cash flow statement highlights strong operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, indicating efficient cash generation. The free cash flow has shown significant growth, enhancing financial flexibility. The company has effectively managed capital expenditures, supporting positive free cash flow trends.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.99B	3.99B	3.85B	3.30B	2.77B
Gross Profit	456.90M	430.35M	295.05M	295.13M	260.79M
EBITDA	178.70M	163.59M	140.86M	131.34M	123.01M
Net Income	39.30M	36.38M	17.71M	37.14M	39.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.24B	1.29B	1.30B	1.17B	1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.00M	126.70M	87.22M	140.17M	123.82M
Total Debt	449.30M	493.29M	544.95M	468.13M	491.23M
Total Liabilities	919.60M	967.77M	990.47M	859.48M	833.35M
Stockholders Equity	306.60M	310.31M	294.36M	301.40M	215.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	49.90M	107.32M	3.93M	30.92M	443.00K
Operating Cash Flow	124.50M	166.93M	60.69M	88.29M	95.95M
Investing Cash Flow	-62.30M	-54.80M	-139.06M	-98.81M	-91.08M
Financing Cash Flow	-72.60M	-71.35M	24.82M	27.81M	9.90M

Hilton Food Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 659.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 659 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 666.00, below the 50-day MA of 695.26, and below the 200-day MA of 809.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:HFG.

Hilton Food Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CWK	―	£2.67B	20.27	14.14%	2.03%	4.77%	18.94%
PFD	―	£1.58B	12.98	9.02%	1.53%	1.01%	11.12%
GNC	―	£1.03B	19.82	12.12%	0.83%	0.49%	14.18%
HFG	―	£591.51M	15.39	12.72%	5.31%	8.58%	-15.81%
TATE	―	£1.71B	27.42	3.39%	5.12%	5.40%	-67.46%
BAKK	―	£1.28B	34.85	5.88%	2.64%	0.59%	-41.66%
Sector *	―	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Hilton Food Corporate Events

Hilton Food CFO Exercises Share Options, Retains Shares

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Matt Osborne, has exercised share options under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan, acquiring 2,304 ordinary shares at no cost. Osborne has opted to personally cover the tax liabilities associated with this transaction and has retained all the shares. This move reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £10.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food CEO Increases Shareholding with Recent Purchase

Hilton Food Group PLC announced that Steve Murrells, the Group Chief Executive Officer, purchased 12,049 ordinary shares at a price of £6.59 each on 30 September 2025. This transaction, conducted in accordance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, increases Murrells’ total shareholding to 63,100 shares, indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £11.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Foods Sells Fairfax Meadow to Sysco GB for Strategic Realignment

Hilton Food Group has sold Fairfax Meadow Europe Limited to Sysco GB Ltd for £54 million, as part of its strategy to focus on core strengths. The sale includes a three-year supply agreement, ensuring continued supply of high-quality meat products. This move aligns with Hilton’s strategic priorities and aims to reinforce its platform for sustained growth. Sysco GB views the acquisition as a strategic fit to enhance its meat category leadership in the UK, complementing its existing foodservice offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.

Hilton Food’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for Hilton Food painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by record revenue and profit growth. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by successful product launches and strategic international expansion. However, the company acknowledged challenges in the form of supply chain disruptions, regulatory hurdles, and rising operational costs that could potentially impact future performance.

Hilton Foods Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges

Hilton Foods reported a robust performance for the first half of 2025, with a 2.5% increase in volume and a 10.4% rise in revenue on a constant currency basis, despite facing challenges such as raw material inflation and regulatory disruptions. The company has made strategic progress with new partnerships and geographical expansions, including a joint venture in Saudi Arabia and a launch in Canada with Walmart. While seafood performance was impacted by softer demand and regulatory issues, Hilton Foods remains optimistic about its growth prospects, supported by strong retail partnerships and a diversified product range.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HFG) stock is a Buy with a £935.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hilton Food stock, see the GB:HFG Stock Forecast page.