tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Greencore Group PLC (GB:GNC)
LSE:GNC
Advertisement

Greencore (GNC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
73 Followers

Top Page

GB:GNC

Greencore

(LSE:GNC)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
261.00p
▲(6.97% Upside)
Greencore's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance, particularly in cash flow management, despite the need for margin improvements. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, and valuation metrics suggest a fair market price. The absence of recent earnings call insights and corporate events limits additional context.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management supports Greencore's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial stability, ensuring long-term operational success.
Market Position
Long-term contracts with major retailers solidify Greencore's market position, providing a stable revenue stream and reducing exposure to market volatility.
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiency, as evidenced by healthy margins, enables Greencore to remain competitive and adapt to changing market conditions, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
High debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Greencore's ability to invest in future growth and manage economic downturns.
Margin Improvement Needs
While operational efficiency is strong, there is a need to improve net profit margins to enhance profitability and ensure long-term financial health.
Revenue Decline
A slight decline in revenue suggests potential market challenges, which could affect future growth if not addressed through strategic initiatives and market expansion.

Greencore (GNC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Greencore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreencore Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of convenience food products primarily in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company provides various products, including sandwiches, salads, sushi, chilled snacking, chilled ready meals, chilled soups and sauces, chilled quiche, ambient sauces and pickles, and frozen Yorkshire Puddings. It is also involved in the trading of Irish ingredients; finance activities; and property business. The company supplies its products to supermarkets, convenience and travel retail outlets, discounters, coffee shops, foodservice, and other retailers. Greencore Group plc was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreencore generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of convenience food products. Its key revenue streams include ready meals, sandwiches, and salads, which are sold to retailers, food service chains, and other food distributors. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major grocery chains and food service providers, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Additionally, Greencore invests in innovation and product development to meet changing consumer preferences, which helps to drive sales growth. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other food brands also contribute to its earnings, enhancing its market presence and expanding its product offerings.

Greencore Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant profitability and cash flow improvements, and strategic shareholder returns. However, challenges such as a decline in reported revenue, sustainability progress, and upcoming labor cost pressures were noted. The company is positioned to mitigate these headwinds through operational excellence and innovation.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Profitability and Revenue Growth
Adjusted operating profit increased by 28% to £97.5 million, with adjusted earnings per share growing 37% to 12.7p. Like-for-like revenue growth was 3.4% and volume growth was 0.5%.
Strong Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Free cash inflow of £70.1 million, an increase of 23% compared to 2023. Leverage reduced to 1x net debt to EBITDA, at the lower end of the target range.
Shareholder Returns
Completed £50 million capital return to shareholders, including a progressive dividend policy of 2p per share and a £40 million share buyback. Announced a further £10 million in buybacks.
Operational Improvements
Gross margin improved by 310 basis points since 2022. Adjusted operating margin increased by 120 basis points to 5.4%.
Innovation and Market Outperformance
421 new margin-accretive SKUs launched, with volume growth driven by key categories like sandwiches and ready meals outperforming the market.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Reported revenue declined by 5.6% due to contract exits and the disposal of Trilby Trading.
Sustainability Challenges
Mixed performance in sustainability targets, with significant progress needed in carbon emissions and water usage to meet 2030 goals.
Labor Cost Headwinds
Facing new labor cost headwinds, including a £7.5 million impact from NIC increases and a 6.7% rise in the National Living Wage.
Capacity and Cost Management
Challenges in managing capacity and costs, especially in the ready meals sector with excess capacity and multiple new regulatory cost pressures.
Company Guidance
During the Greencore FY '24 Results Presentation, CEO Dalton Philips highlighted the company's strong financial performance, surpassing market expectations with a like-for-like revenue growth of 3.4% and volume growth of 0.5%. The company achieved an adjusted operating profit of £97.5 million, a 28% increase from the previous year, driven by operational and commercial excellence. Greencore completed a £50 million capital return to shareholders, including a £40 million buyback and a 2p per share dividend, with plans for a further £10 million buyback. The company reduced its leverage to 1x net debt to EBITDA, and improved its return on invested capital by 260 basis points to 11.5%. For FY '25, Greencore anticipates adjusted operating profit within the top half of market expectations, despite new labor cost challenges, and aims for low to mid single-digit revenue growth.

Greencore Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Greencore exhibits a well-rounded financial profile with efficient operations and solid cash flow management. However, there is a need for margin enhancements and careful monitoring of debt levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Greencore's income statement shows a stable revenue base with a slight decline from the previous year, indicating potential market challenges. The company maintains healthy gross and EBIT margins, implying strong operational efficiency. However, net profit margins are modest, suggesting room for improvement in managing expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a sound equity position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity has been positive, indicating decent profitability for shareholders. Nevertheless, the company's total debt level should be monitored to prevent financial strain.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Greencore's cash flow statement is robust, with consistent free cash flow generation and positive operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company has demonstrated effective cash management practices, supporting operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.81B1.81B1.91B1.74B1.32B1.26B
Gross Profit569.50M599.60M568.80M523.00M422.90M405.20M
EBITDA135.60M147.80M124.10M110.60M101.30M80.30M
Net Income46.30M46.30M35.90M32.30M25.40M-9.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.20B1.30B1.34B1.29B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.30M57.30M116.50M99.60M119.10M267.00M
Total Debt250.30M250.30M315.50M327.60M361.80M678.20M
Total Liabilities754.50M754.50M837.90M873.10M868.30M1.14B
Stockholders Equity450.20M450.20M459.80M465.60M423.20M276.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.50M79.60M61.60M42.90M62.50M-29.40M
Operating Cash Flow112.00M112.00M99.00M92.90M102.70M2.50M
Investing Cash Flow-31.70M-31.70M-31.30M-50.00M-17.60M-31.60M
Financing Cash Flow-98.70M-98.70M-81.50M-69.40M-58.10M34.60M

Greencore Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price244.00
Price Trends
50DMA
249.06
Negative
100DMA
230.37
Positive
200DMA
210.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.56
Positive
RSI
43.11
Neutral
STOCH
61.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GNC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 244 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 249.10, below the 50-day MA of 249.06, and above the 200-day MA of 210.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GNC.

Greencore Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
£2.79B20.8314.14%1.95%4.77%18.94%
69
Neutral
£1.63B13.249.02%1.48%1.01%11.12%
67
Neutral
£2.29B36.563.39%3.84%5.40%-67.46%
66
Neutral
£598.69M15.2912.72%5.23%8.58%-15.81%
64
Neutral
£1.07B20.3912.12%0.82%0.49%14.18%
62
Neutral
$20.51B14.76-3.30%3.19%1.94%-10.37%
61
Neutral
£1.29B34.625.88%2.73%0.59%-41.66%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GNC
Greencore
244.00
62.36
34.33%
GB:CWK
Cranswick
5,190.00
600.76
13.09%
GB:HFG
Hilton Food
660.00
-206.56
-23.84%
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
188.60
8.16
4.52%
GB:TATE
Tate & Lyle
515.00
-132.81
-20.50%
GB:BAKK
Bakkavor Group plc
218.50
61.88
39.51%

Greencore Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore Announces Current Voting Rights and Capital Structure
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

Greencore Group PLC has announced its current issued ordinary share capital consists of 441,718,592 shares, each carrying one vote, totaling the same number of voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Buy with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Greencore Reports Strong Q3 Performance and Updates on Bakkavor Acquisition
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Greencore Group PLC reported a strong financial and operational performance for Q3 FY25, with a 9.9% increase in revenue to £511.1 million, driven by favorable weather and new business wins. The company achieved a 99.3% operational service level and launched 168 new products, enhancing its market position. Despite economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures, Greencore anticipates an adjusted operating profit of £118-121 million for FY25, surpassing previous guidance. The company is progressing with its acquisition of Bakkavor Group PLC, expected to complete in early 2026, pending regulatory approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Greencore’s Acquisition of Bakkavor Approved at EGM
Positive
Jul 4, 2025

Greencore Group PLC announced that all resolutions at its Extraordinary General Meeting were passed, approving the acquisition of Bakkavor Group PLC. This transaction, to be executed through a court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement, is still subject to Bakkavor’s shareholder approval and court sanction. The acquisition is expected to enhance Greencore’s market positioning and operational capabilities in the convenience food sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

Greencore Group PLC, a non-UK issuer, has announced a change in its major holdings due to FIL Limited’s acquisition or disposal of voting rights. As of June 25, 2025, FIL Limited holds 5.1155% of voting rights in Greencore, totaling 22,590,965 voting rights. This adjustment in holdings may influence Greencore’s shareholder dynamics and could have implications for its governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Greencore Announces Acquisition of Bakkavor Group
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

Greencore Group PLC has announced a recommended acquisition of Bakkavor Group PLC, involving a cash and share offer for the entire issued share capital of Bakkavor. This transaction is set to be implemented through a court-approved scheme of arrangement. An irrevocable undertaking from Polaris Capital Management LLC to vote in favor of the acquisition has been partially reduced due to the sale of some shares, affecting the percentage of shares committed to the deal. The acquisition is expected to enhance Greencore’s market position in the convenience food sector, although the reduction in committed shares may influence stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Greencore Announces Acquisition of Bakkavor Group
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Greencore Group PLC has announced a recommended acquisition of Bakkavor Group PLC, involving a cash and share offer for the entire issued share capital of Bakkavor. The transaction is to be implemented through a court-approved scheme of arrangement. An irrevocable undertaking from Polaris Capital Management to vote in favor of the acquisition has been partially reduced due to the sale of some shares. This acquisition could potentially strengthen Greencore’s market position in the convenience food sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 14, 2025