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Greencore
(LSE:GNC)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
208.00 p
▼(-19.19% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial performance (revenue growth, improving net margin, and strong cash conversion with manageable leverage). Offsetting this, technical signals are weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD, and valuation is a headwind due to the high P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Revenue rose 4.5% while net margin improved to 2.96% and gross profit sits near 32.5%. This combination signals durable top-line expansion with improving profitability driven by better commercial execution and cost control across its chilled prepared-food contracts, supporting sustainable earnings.
Negative Factors
Low Operating Margins
Reported EBIT of 5.19% and EBITDA of 8.15% are modest for a large food manufacturer. Low operating margins leave limited buffers against commodity, labor and energy cost swings, so sustained efficiency gains or pricing improvements are required to protect profitability over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Revenue rose 4.5% while net margin improved to 2.96% and gross profit sits near 32.5%. This combination signals durable top-line expansion with improving profitability driven by better commercial execution and cost control across its chilled prepared-food contracts, supporting sustainable earnings.
Read all positive factors
Greencore (GNC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£1.63B
Dividend Yield0.79%
Average Volume (3M)1.51M
Price to Earnings (P/E)65.8
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth25.76%
EPS Growth-73.03%
CountryUK
Employees28,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding803,584,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,533,080
30 Day Avg. Volume1,508,070
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.59
Price to Book (P/B)2.02
Price to Sales (P/S)0.51
P/FCF Ratio8.14
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£272.75Price Target Upside5.96% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)0.18
Revenue Forecast (FY)£3.29B
Greencore Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greencore Group Plc engages in the manufacture and supply of convenience foods. The company also involves in the Irish Ingredient trading businesses. Its products include sandwiches, salads, sushi, chilled ready meals, chilled soups and sauces, ch...
How the Company Makes Money
Greencore makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling private-label convenience foods under supply agreements to grocery retailers and other food-to-go channels. Revenue is generated on a per-unit basis from contracted or recurring orders o...
Greencore Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with record profitability, significant revenue growth, and successful new product launches. While there were challenges, such as inflationary pressures and underperformance in the salad category, these were outweighed by the positive financial metrics and progress in strategic initiatives like the Bakkavor acquisition.Positive Updates
Record Profitability Achieved
The company reached a record level of profitability, achieving a 15% return on invested capital (ROIC), which is an increase of 350 basis points from the previous fiscal year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Salad Portfolio
Performance in parts of the salad portfolio was challenging in comparison to other segments.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Profitability Achieved
The company reached a record level of profitability, achieving a 15% return on invested capital (ROIC), which is an increase of 350 basis points from the previous fiscal year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025, the company reported a strong performance across multiple financial metrics, achieving a revenue of nearly GBP 2 billion, which represents a 7.7% year-on-year growth. The adjusted operating profit increased by 28.9% to GBP 125.7 million, resulting in an operating margin growth of 110 basis points to 6.5%. The return on invested capital (ROIC) rose to 15%, a 350 basis point increase from the previous year. The company's free cash flow was GBP 120.5 million, with a leverage ratio of 0.4x net debt to EBITDA. The successful onboarding of new contracts, particularly in the ready meals segment, contributed significantly to this growth. Additionally, the company launched 534 new products and maintained over 99% service levels with ongoing operational excellence initiatives. Looking ahead, the company anticipates continued profitable growth and plans to close the acquisition of Bakkavor in early 2026, projecting at least GBP 80 million in cost synergies. The company remains committed to enhancing shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and strategic investments.Greencore Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.34B | 1.95B | 1.81B | 1.91B | 1.74B | 1.32B |
| Gross Profit | 672.40M | 632.50M | 599.60M | 568.80M | 523.00M | 422.90M |
| EBITDA | 207.40M | 158.70M | 147.80M | 124.10M | 110.60M | 101.30M |
| Net Income | 7.00M | 57.60M | 46.30M | 35.90M | 32.30M | 25.40M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.82B | 1.27B | 1.20B | 1.30B | 1.34B | 1.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.70M | 81.80M | 57.30M | 116.50M | 99.60M | 119.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 207.70M | 250.30M | 315.50M | 327.60M | 361.80M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.39B | 780.70M | 754.50M | 837.90M | 873.10M | 868.30M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.43B | 492.00M | 450.20M | 459.80M | 465.60M | 423.20M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 15.00M | 122.20M | 79.60M | 61.60M | 42.90M | 62.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 59.80M | 165.60M | 112.00M | 99.00M | 92.90M | 102.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -512.60M | -43.40M | -31.70M | -31.30M | -50.00M | -17.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 488.00M | -85.50M | -98.70M | -81.50M | -69.40M | -58.10M |
Greencore Technical Analysis
Neutral
257.40
Price Trends
210.87
Negative
231.96
Negative
240.63
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.60
Negative
51.37
Neutral
36.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GNC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 257.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 200.57, above the 50-day MA of 210.87, and above the 200-day MA of 240.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:GNC.
Greencore Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | £2.98B | 18.78 | 14.99% | 2.06% | 9.52% | 18.08% | |
74 Outperform | £1.72B | 12.90 | 15.61% | 1.62% | 2.31% | 9.04% | |
68 Neutral | £14.02B | 14.78 | 8.44% | 2.98% | -2.16% | -24.87% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
58 Neutral | £1.63B | 65.77 | 0.73% | 0.79% | 25.76% | -73.03% | |
58 Neutral | £475.98M | 9.91 | 14.17% | 7.01% | 5.67% | 22.05% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:GNC
Greencore
205.20
-27.82
-11.94%
GB:ABF
Associated British Foods
1,980.00
-67.19
-3.28%
GB:CWK
Cranswick
5,520.00
373.45
7.26%
GB:HFG
Hilton Food
535.00
-267.00
-33.29%
GB:PFD
Premier Foods
198.20
7.95
4.18%
Greencore Corporate Events
Other
Greencore Chair Increases Stake with 125,000-Share Purchase
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
Greencore Group plc disclosed that its non-executive chair, Leslie Van de Walle, together with a closely associated person, purchased 125,000 ordinary shares in the company on 9 June 2026 in London at a price of £1.949 per share. The insider ...
Other
Greencore Chair Boosts Stake with £150,000 Share Purchase
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
Greencore Group plc has disclosed that its non-executive chair, Leslie van de Walle, together with a person closely associated, purchased 75,000 ordinary shares in the company. The shares, each with a nominal value of £0.01, were acquired on ...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore Updates Share Capital After Share Save Scheme Issuance
Neutral
May 29, 2026
Greencore Group has issued and allotted 35,944 new ordinary shares of £0.01 each under its UK Share Save Scheme, with the shares fully fungible with existing stock and admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange Main Market under a pre-e...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore Executive Dalton Philips Buys Additional Shares
Positive
May 29, 2026
Greencore Group plc disclosed that executive director Dalton Philips purchased 35,700 ordinary shares of £0.01 each in the company on 29 May 2026 in London at a price of £2.04 per share. The transaction, formally notified as an initial d...
Other
Greencore Chair Increases Stake with £2.1 Share Purchase
Positive
May 29, 2026
Greencore Group plc disclosed that its non-executive chair, Leslie Van de Walle, together with a closely associated person, purchased 6,000 ordinary shares in the company. The transaction, executed in London at a price of £2.1358 per share on...
Other
Greencore Non-Executive Director Boosts Stake With Share Purchase
Positive
May 29, 2026
Greencore Group plc has disclosed a director dealing transaction involving non-executive director Alastair Murray, who has purchased 25,000 ordinary shares in the company. The acquisition took place on 29 May 2026 in London at a price of £2.0...
Other
Greencore Chair Boosts Stake with £68,000 Share Purchase
Positive
May 27, 2026
Greencore Group plc disclosed that its non-executive chair, Leslie Van de Walle, together with closely associated person Domitille Marie Renée Van de Walle, purchased 30,000 ordinary shares in the company. The shares, each with a nominal valu...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Greencore posts profit surge as Bakkavor integration drives UK growth
Positive
May 27, 2026
Greencore reported strong first-half results for the six months to 27 March 2026, its first period incorporating the recently acquired Bakkavor UK operations. Pro forma UK revenue rose 3.2% to £1.32bn and pro forma adjusted operating profit i...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore Updates Share Capital After Share Save Issuance
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Greencore Group has issued and allotted 12,698 new ordinary shares of £0.01 each under its U.K. Share Save Scheme, with the shares admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market under an existing block admission. Followi...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Greencore Expands Share Capacity to Fund Employee Option Schemes
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
Greencore has issued and allotted 593,391 ordinary shares of £0.01 each between 28 September 2025 and 1 April 2026 to satisfy employee options under its UK Share Save Scheme, with these shares already covered by a prior block admission and fu...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Greencore updates market on current voting rights and share capital
Neutral
Mar 31, 2026
Greencore Group PLC has confirmed that its issued ordinary share capital currently stands at 803,533,795 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, giving a total of 803,533,795 voting rights. This updated share and voting rights figure serves as th...
Other
Greencore Chair Increases Stake with £2.41 London Share Purchase
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
Greencore Group plc disclosed that its non-executive chair, Leslie Van de Walle, together with a closely associated person, purchased 43,000 ordinary shares of £0.01 each in the company. The transaction, executed in London on 26 March 2026 at...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.