Greencore (GNC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £1.07B
• Dividend Yield: 0.82%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.51M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.77
• Revenue Growth: 0.49%
• EPS Growth: 14.18%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 13,300
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 442,737,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,533,080
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,508,070
• PEG Ratio: 0.48
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.47
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.63
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £231.00
• Price Target Upside: -6.85% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: 255.00p ▲(2.82% Upside)

Greencore's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and moderate valuation. The company's efficient operations and cash flow management are strengths, but there is a need for margin improvement and debt reduction. Technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, contributing to a cautious outlook.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Management

Strong cash flow management supports operational and strategic initiatives, ensuring the company can invest in growth and innovation.

Market Position

A broad customer base and long-term contracts with major chains ensure steady demand, reinforcing Greencore's market position and revenue stability.

Operational Efficiency

Efficient operations with healthy margins indicate effective cost management, contributing to long-term profitability and competitiveness.

Negative Factors

Debt Levels

Elevated debt levels could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in future growth.

Margin Improvement Needed

While operationally efficient, the need for margin improvement suggests potential challenges in cost management or pricing power, affecting profitability.

Revenue Decline

A decline in revenue, even if slight, could indicate market challenges or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.

Greencore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greencore Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of convenience food products primarily in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company provides various products, including sandwiches, salads, sushi, chilled snacking, chilled ready meals, chilled soups and sauces, chilled quiche, ambient sauces and pickles, and frozen Yorkshire Puddings. It is also involved in the trading of Irish ingredients; finance activities; and property business. The company supplies its products to supermarkets, convenience and travel retail outlets, discounters, coffee shops, foodservice, and other retailers. Greencore Group plc was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

How the Company Makes Money

Greencore generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of convenience food products. Its key revenue streams include ready meals, sandwiches, and salads, which are sold to retailers, food service chains, and other food distributors. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major grocery chains and food service providers, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Additionally, Greencore invests in innovation and product development to meet changing consumer preferences, which helps to drive sales growth. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other food brands also contribute to its earnings, enhancing its market presence and expanding its product offerings.

Greencore Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greencore exhibits a well-rounded financial profile with efficient operations and solid cash flow management. The income statement indicates a need for margin enhancements, while the balance sheet is stable but requires attention to debt levels.

Income Statement

Greencore's income statement shows a stable revenue base with a slight decline from the previous year, indicating potential market challenges. The company maintains healthy gross and EBIT margins, implying strong operational efficiency. However, net profit margins are modest, suggesting room for improvement in managing expenses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a sound equity position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity has been positive, indicating decent profitability for shareholders. Nevertheless, the company's total debt level should be monitored to prevent financial strain.

Cash Flow

Greencore's cash flow statement is robust, with consistent free cash flow generation and positive operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company has demonstrated effective cash management practices, supporting operational and strategic initiatives.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.86B	1.81B	1.91B	1.74B	1.32B	1.26B
Gross Profit	589.70M	599.60M	568.80M	523.00M	422.90M	405.20M
EBITDA	152.60M	147.80M	124.10M	110.60M	101.30M	80.30M
Net Income	54.60M	46.30M	35.90M	32.30M	25.40M	-10.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.23B	1.20B	1.30B	1.34B	1.29B	1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	87.90M	57.30M	116.50M	99.60M	119.10M	267.00M
Total Debt	275.80M	250.30M	315.50M	327.60M	361.80M	678.20M
Total Liabilities	772.80M	754.50M	837.90M	873.10M	868.30M	1.14B
Stockholders Equity	452.30M	450.20M	459.80M	465.60M	423.20M	276.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	139.40M	79.60M	61.60M	42.90M	62.50M	-29.40M
Operating Cash Flow	176.80M	112.00M	99.00M	92.90M	102.70M	2.50M
Investing Cash Flow	-37.50M	-31.70M	-31.30M	-50.00M	-17.60M	-31.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-138.30M	-98.70M	-81.50M	-69.40M	-58.10M	34.60M

Greencore Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 248.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 248 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 236.65, above the 50-day MA of 241.34, and above the 200-day MA of 216.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GNC.

Greencore Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CWK	75 Outperform	£2.74B	20.47	14.14%	1.97%	4.77%	18.94%
PFD	71 Outperform	£1.62B	13.08	9.02%	1.50%	1.01%	11.12%
GNC	67 Neutral	£1.07B	20.15	12.12%	0.82%	0.49%	14.18%
HFG	66 Neutral	£613.05M	15.64	12.72%	5.07%	8.58%	-15.81%
TATE	65 Neutral	£1.71B	27.37	3.39%	5.11%	5.40%	-67.46%
BAKK	64 Neutral	£1.27B	34.16	5.88%	2.61%	0.59%	-41.66%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Greencore Corporate Events

Greencore Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Progresses with Bakkavor Acquisition

Greencore Group PLC reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025, with an 8% revenue growth driven by new business wins, product innovation, and favorable weather conditions. The company launched 130 new products in Q4 and improved profit conversion through cost management initiatives. Greencore’s net debt significantly decreased, and it anticipates a higher-than-expected adjusted operating profit. The company is progressing with the acquisition of Bakkavor Group PLC, pending regulatory approval, which could enhance its product offerings and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Hold with a £261.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.

Greencore Announces Current Voting Rights and Capital Structure

Greencore Group PLC has announced its current issued ordinary share capital consists of 441,718,592 shares, each carrying one vote, totaling the same number of voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GNC) stock is a Buy with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greencore stock, see the GB:GNC Stock Forecast page.