tiprankstipranks
Tate & Lyle (GB:TATE)
LSE:TATE
Want to see GB:TATE full AI Analyst Report?

Tate & Lyle (TATE) AI Stock Analysis

147 Followers

Top Page

GB:TATE

Tate & Lyle

(LSE:TATE)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
596.00 p
▲(62.40% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/24/26
The score is driven mainly by moderate financial performance (margin compression and higher leverage despite improved free cash flow), partially offset by strong technical momentum and supportive valuation (low P/E and solid yield). Earnings-call guidance is steady but highlights near-term headwinds (sub-target cash conversion and delayed bio-gums benefits).
Positive Factors
Successful CP Kelco integration
Completing the CP Kelco integration without customer disruption materially reduces execution risk and unlocks structural cross‑sell opportunities. This expands product breadth and customer access, supporting durable revenue synergies and deeper formulation relationships that can persist across product lifecycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp margin compression
A sustained decline in net margin erodes core earnings power and reduces free cash generation per pound of revenue. If driven by structural mix shifts or weaker pricing in bulk sweeteners, margin recovery may be slow, increasing sensitivity to input costs and constraining reinvestment and deleveraging prospects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Successful CP Kelco integration
Completing the CP Kelco integration without customer disruption materially reduces execution risk and unlocks structural cross‑sell opportunities. This expands product breadth and customer access, supporting durable revenue synergies and deeper formulation relationships that can persist across product lifecycles.
Read all positive factors

Tate & Lyle (TATE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Tate & Lyle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1903 and headquartered in London, United Kingdom, Tate & Lyle PLC is a global provider of specialized ingredients and solutions. The company caters to the food, beverage, and other industrial sectors across the United States, the Un...
How the Company Makes Money
Tate & Lyle makes money by selling speciality ingredient products and ingredient systems to business customers (primarily food and beverage manufacturers), earning revenue largely from the volume of ingredients sold under customer supply agreement...

Tate & Lyle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: strong execution on integration, cost synergies and productivity, tangible pipeline growth and healthy liquidity contrast with disappointing like‑for‑like top‑line and EBITDA declines, a delayed bio‑gums benefit (~$20m phasing), one‑off integration charges and cash conversion below target. Management outlines clear actions to drive volume‑led growth and expects modest revenue growth in FY'27 (volume weighted to H2) with broadly flat EBITDA (excluding the bio‑gums timing impact), but near‑term performance remains exposed to tariffs, regional softness and cost pressures.
Positive Updates
Integration of CP Kelco Completed
Integration of CP Kelco successfully completed without customer disruption; combination starting to gain traction with customers and enabling new cross-platform solutions.
Negative Updates
Like-for-Like Revenue and EBITDA Decline
On an adjusted like‑for‑like pro forma basis (as if CP Kelco completed 1 April 2024), revenue fell 3% and adjusted EBITDA fell 3% to GBP 415m, driven by muted market demand.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Integration of CP Kelco Completed
Integration of CP Kelco successfully completed without customer disruption; combination starting to gain traction with customers and enabling new cross-platform solutions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tate & Lyle’s guidance for the year to 31 March 2027 is for modest revenue growth on a constant‑currency basis with volume growth weighted to the second half and EBITDA broadly flat (before a c.$20m phasing impact from the rescheduled bio‑gums consolidation), assuming a limited impact from the Middle East and with cost inflation mitigated through procurement, productivity and selective pricing. Key numerical pointers: capex guidance GBP 110–130m (FY26 GBP125m); adjusted effective tax rate guided c.23–25% (FY26 23.9%, +130bps); a cash‑conversion target >75% (FY26 70%, free cash flow £164m); net debt £939m (down £22m) with leverage 2.3x (target 1–2.5x), weighted average cost of debt ~4% and maturity 4.7 years, and near‑£1bn liquidity including an $800m RCF extended to 2031. Operationally they expect continued delivery of synergies and growth: revenue synergies targeted at 10% of CP Kelco revenue (~$70m) by end FY29 (≈10% delivered to date; cross‑sell pipeline >$100m); cost‑synergy run‑rate of $50m by FY27 has been met a year early (c.$24m delivered last year); productivity added $53m this year (total $144m over 3 years) and the productivity target was raised from $150m to $200m by end FY28. For context, FY26 adjusted EBITDA was £415m (‑3% like‑for‑like), adjusted PBT £238m (‑5%), adjusted EPS 40.4p, exceptional pre‑tax charges £45m (cash outflow £48m) and the Board has kept the full‑year dividend flat at 19.8p (final 13.2p).

Tate & Lyle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate overall fundamentals: revenue growth in the last two years and improved free cash flow in 2026, but a sharp deterioration in net margin (to ~4.8% in 2026), higher leverage versus prior years (debt-to-equity ~0.81), and only moderate cash conversion (operating cash flow below net income).
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B1.74B1.65B1.75B1.38B
Gross Profit364.00M706.00M851.00M733.00M514.00M
EBITDA397.00M254.00M345.00M279.00M168.00M
Net Income97.00M143.00M188.00M190.00M236.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.67B3.73B2.28B2.51B3.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments344.00M334.00M437.00M475.00M112.00M
Total Debt1.29B1.31B590.00M713.00M679.00M
Total Liabilities2.07B2.14B1.04B1.32B1.63B
Stockholders Equity1.60B1.59B1.24B1.19B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow122.00M43.00M98.00M-12.00M-45.00M
Operating Cash Flow238.00M164.00M208.00M66.00M103.00M
Investing Cash Flow-121.00M-630.00M-20.00M835.00M-113.00M
Financing Cash Flow-106.00M367.00M-215.00M-598.00M-247.00M

Tate & Lyle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price367.00
Price Trends
50DMA
459.04
Positive
100DMA
408.83
Positive
200DMA
393.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.30
Positive
RSI
71.15
Negative
STOCH
29.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TATE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 367 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 536.51, below the 50-day MA of 459.04, and below the 200-day MA of 393.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.15 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:TATE.

Tate & Lyle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£84.49M12.8816.88%2.42%23.51%63.64%
68
Neutral
£13.85B14.768.44%2.98%-2.16%-24.87%
65
Neutral
£2.45B24.956.17%5.27%15.55%42.40%
64
Neutral
£70.43M5.7950.02%3.14%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
44
Neutral
£20.21M-9.71520.55%167.81%52.16%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TATE
Tate & Lyle
554.00
58.11
11.72%
GB:ABF
Associated British Foods
1,978.50
-16.35
-0.82%
GB:ANP
Anpario
515.00
105.67
25.81%
GB:FVA
Fevara plc
136.00
-8.91
-6.15%
GB:SALT
MicroSalt plc
36.00
-41.50
-53.55%

Tate & Lyle Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Tate & Lyle Publishes 2026 Annual Report and Sets July AGM
Neutral
Jun 2, 2026
Tate Lyle PLC, the UK-based ingredients and food solutions group, has published its 2026 Annual Report and related shareholder documents, including the Notice of Annual General Meeting, Notice of Availability and Proxy Form, on its website and su...
Executive/Board Changes
Tate & Lyle CEO Receives Shares After Performance Award Vests
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Tate Lyle has disclosed a change in the shareholding of its chief executive, Nick Hampton, following the vesting of an award under the company’s 2020 Performance Share Plan. Hampton acquired 54,769 ordinary shares on 29 May 2026 at no cost,...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tate & Lyle Confirms Updated Voting Rights Total
Neutral
Jun 1, 2026
Tate Lyle PLC has reported that as of 31 May 2026 its issued share capital comprises 476,744,583 ordinary shares, of which 31,294,579 are held in treasury and carry no voting rights. This leaves a total of 445,450,004 voting rights, a key figure ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tate & Lyle posts 2026 results and holds dividend steady
Positive
May 21, 2026
Tate Lyle has published its preliminary results for the year ended 31 March 2026 on its website and via the UK’s National Storage Mechanism, giving investors full access to its latest financial performance and operational update. The compan...
M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tate & Lyle Confirms Conditional Takeover Approach from Ingredion
Positive
May 14, 2026
Tate Lyle has confirmed that U.S.-based Ingredion Incorporated has submitted a conditional proposal for a possible cash offer for the entire issued and to be issued share capital of the company. The approach, which follows a series of earlier con...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tate & Lyle Confirms Updated Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Tate Lyle has updated the market on its voting rights and capital structure as of 30 April 2026, confirming an issued share capital of 476,741,519 ordinary shares, of which 31,294,579 are held in treasury without voting rights. As a result, the c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 24, 2026