Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £90.20M
• Dividend Yield: 4.98%
• Average Volume (3M): 144.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.44
• Revenue Growth: 13.04%
• EPS Growth: -6.44%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 173
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): 0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 44,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 48,017
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 144,917
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £241.00
• Price Target Upside: 17.56% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: 241.00p ▲(17.56% Upside)

Cake Box Holdings demonstrates strong technical momentum and positive corporate developments, including strategic acquisitions and revenue growth. While financial performance shows solid revenue and gross profit margins, challenges in net profit margins and leverage need addressing. The stock's valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield, supporting a favorable investment outlook.

Cake Box Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cake Box Holdings Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream cakes in the United Kingdom. It offers cakes by celebration, cakes by design, and seasonal cakes, as well as wedding cakes. As of March 31, 2022, the company operated 185 franchise stores. It also engages in the property rental activities. Cake Box Holdings Plc was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Cake Box Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its signature fresh cream cakes and desserts, which are available in its franchised stores and online. The company's revenue model is largely driven by franchise fees and royalties from its network of franchisees, who pay a percentage of their sales to Cake Box. Additionally, the company earns income from direct sales in its own stores and online platforms, where customers can place orders for delivery or collection. Strategic partnerships with delivery services further enhance its sales channels. Seasonal promotions and special occasion cakes, such as wedding and birthday cakes, also contribute significantly to its earnings, attracting a diverse customer base.

Cake Box Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cake Box Holdings shows solid revenue growth and gross profit margins, reflecting strong market demand and cost management. However, declining net profit margins and increased leverage suggest potential financial challenges. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management to sustain growth and enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

Cake Box Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable 10.78% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin has improved slightly to 52.49%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 10.22%, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.80, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased to 16.20%, showing reduced profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 44.06%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow has decreased by 20.13%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting moderate cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, highlighting a need for better cash flow management to support profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	38.62M	42.78M	37.84M	34.80M	32.96M	21.91M
Gross Profit	20.47M	22.46M	19.61M	16.04M	14.85M	10.26M
EBITDA	8.01M	7.76M	7.84M	6.66M	8.80M	5.40M
Net Income	4.95M	4.37M	4.66M	4.24M	6.31M	3.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	29.68M	61.24M	30.74M	27.82M	25.90M	19.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.70M	6.33M	8.45M	7.35M	6.57M	5.13M
Total Debt	3.36M	21.50M	3.57M	3.94M	4.31M	1.49M
Total Liabilities	10.67M	34.25M	11.44M	10.08M	9.12M	7.00M
Stockholders Equity	19.01M	26.99M	19.30M	17.74M	16.78M	12.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.42M	3.53M	4.93M	4.19M	4.08M	3.57M
Operating Cash Flow	6.12M	6.60M	6.28M	6.15M	5.21M	4.28M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.49M	-25.15M	-1.14M	-1.90M	-1.12M	-678.51K
Financing Cash Flow	-4.15M	16.42M	-4.03M	-3.47M	-2.65M	-2.15M

Cake Box Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 205.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CBOX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 205 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 208.10, above the 50-day MA of 189.82, and above the 200-day MA of 184.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CBOX.

Cake Box Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CBOX	77 Outperform	£90.20M	18.81	18.89%	4.98%	13.04%	-6.44%
GRG	69 Neutral	£1.61B	11.15	27.24%	3.23%	8.06%	5.15%
ULTP	69 Neutral	£50.28M	7.30	14.20%	10.80%	-7.42%	-42.84%
Sector *	68 Neutral	¥221.41B	22.45	8.23%	2.16%	4.86%	-0.08%
DOM	59 Neutral	£778.99M	10.03		5.58%	-0.67%	2.43%
VCP	55 Neutral	£89.26M	―	486.49%	―	-12.17%	-145.41%
DPP	53 Neutral	£92.49M	―	-2.17%	―	20.22%	86.00%

Cake Box Holdings Corporate Events

Cake Box Holdings Releases Annual Report and Announces AGM

Cake Box Holdings plc has released its annual report and accounts for the fiscal year ending 30 March 2025, along with the notice for its upcoming annual general meeting (AGM). The AGM is scheduled for 29 August 2025 at the company’s head office in Enfield. Shareholders are encouraged to submit questions related to the AGM business in advance, which will be addressed during the meeting.

Cake Box Holdings Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Expansion

Cake Box Holdings plc reported a strong financial performance for the year ending 30 March 2025, with revenue and underlying EBITDA exceeding expectations. The company achieved a 13% increase in group revenue and a 17.1% rise in underlying EBITDA, driven by the expansion of its store network and enhanced online sales. The acquisition of Ambala Foods is expected to enhance product offerings and market reach, contributing to the company’s growth strategy. Despite a challenging consumer environment, Cake Box is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by a robust franchise model, increased digital marketing efforts, and a strategic focus on expanding its store estate to reach 400 locations.

River Capital Increases Stake in Cake Box Holdings

Cake Box Holdings Plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with River Capital Pty Ltd increasing its voting rights from 8.30% to 10.51%. This acquisition of voting rights signifies a strengthened position for River Capital within the company, potentially impacting the strategic decisions and future direction of Cake Box Holdings. The change in holdings was completed on 21st July 2025, and the notification was made on 22nd July 2025.

Cake Box Holdings Announces Change in Shareholder Voting Rights

Cake Box Holdings PLC has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure due to Ennismore Fund Management Limited reducing its voting rights from 5.91% to 2.28%. This adjustment in holdings could impact the company’s strategic decisions and influence within the market, as it reflects a shift in stakeholder engagement and investment strategy.

Cake Box Holdings Reports Strong Growth and Strategic Expansion

Cake Box Holdings plc reported a successful financial year with revenue and underlying EBITDA exceeding expectations. The company’s strategic acquisition of Ambala Foods has expanded its product portfolio and diversified revenue streams, aligning with its focus on celebratory treats. The acquisition, along with an increase in online sales and store openings, positions Cake Box for continued growth despite a challenging consumer environment. The company aims to reach 400 store locations, leveraging its enhanced e-commerce platform and marketing strategies to drive customer engagement and loyalty.

Cake Box Holdings Announces New Schedule for Investor and Analyst Presentations

Cake Box Holdings plc has announced the new schedule for its presentations to investors and analysts regarding its Full Year results for the 52 weeks ending 30 March 2025. The analyst presentation will occur on 15 July 2025, and the investor presentation will follow on 17 July 2025. These events are crucial for stakeholders as they provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Cake Box Holdings Delays Financial Results Release Amid Strong Performance

Cake Box Holdings plc has announced a delay in the release of its preliminary financial results for the year ending 30 March 2025, due to additional time required by its auditor following the acquisition of Ambala Foods Limited. The results will now be published on 15 July 2025, with analyst and investor presentations rescheduled. Despite the delay, the company has reported strong trading performance, with revenue and EBITDA expected to slightly exceed expectations.

Cake Box Holdings to Announce Full-Year Financial Results

Cake Box Holdings PLC has announced that it will release its full-year financial results for the period ending March 31, 2025, on June 26, 2025. The company will host presentations for analysts and investors to discuss these results, indicating a proactive approach to engaging stakeholders and maintaining transparency in its financial communications.