Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £90.64M
• Dividend Yield: 4.86%
• Average Volume (3M): 33.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.29
• Revenue Growth: 36.73%
• EPS Growth: -18.26%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 173
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 44,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 31,317
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 33,826
• PEG Ratio: -18.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.67
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.69
• P/FCF Ratio: 20.45
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 14.26
• Revenue Forecast (FY): £6.12B

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: 245.00p ▲(17.79% Upside)

The overall stock score for Cake Box Holdings is driven primarily by strong technical analysis indicators, despite overbought signals suggesting caution. Financial performance is solid but shows areas needing improvement, particularly in operational efficiency and cash flow management. Valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation, balanced by a strong dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business model, supporting long-term expansion and stability.

Franchise Model

The franchise model enables scalable growth with lower capital expenditure, enhancing market penetration and brand presence.

Gross Profit Margin

Improved gross margins reflect efficient cost management, supporting profitability and competitive pricing strategies.

Negative Factors

Net Profit Margin Decline

Declining net profit margins indicate rising costs or inefficiencies, which could pressure long-term profitability if not addressed.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage may increase financial risk and limit flexibility, necessitating careful debt management to maintain stability.

Free Cash Flow Decrease

Reduced free cash flow suggests potential cash management issues, impacting the ability to invest in growth and return capital to shareholders.

Cake Box Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cake Box Holdings Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream cakes in the United Kingdom. It offers cakes by celebration, cakes by design, and seasonal cakes, as well as wedding cakes. As of March 31, 2022, the company operated 185 franchise stores. It also engages in the property rental activities. Cake Box Holdings Plc was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Cake Box Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cakes and related products in its franchise stores. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales from its retail outlets and royalties and fees from franchise partners. Key revenue streams include retail sales, franchise royalties, and sales of cake decorating supplies and accessories. Additionally, Cake Box has formed partnerships with other businesses to expand its reach, including online delivery services and collaborations with local events, which further enhance its earnings. The company also benefits from brand loyalty and repeat customers, bolstering its financial performance.

Cake Box Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cake Box Holdings shows solid revenue growth and gross profit margins, reflecting strong market demand and cost management. However, declining net profit margins and increased leverage suggest potential financial challenges. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management to sustain growth and enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

Cake Box Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable 10.78% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin has improved slightly to 52.49%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 10.22%, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.80, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased to 16.20%, showing reduced profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 44.06%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow has decreased by 20.13%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting moderate cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, highlighting a need for better cash flow management to support profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2021	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	38.62M	42.78M	37.84M	34.80M	21.91M	32.96M
Gross Profit	20.47M	22.46M	19.61M	16.04M	10.26M	14.85M
EBITDA	8.01M	7.76M	7.72M	6.66M	5.40M	8.80M
Net Income	4.95M	4.37M	4.66M	4.24M	3.37M	6.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	29.68M	61.24M	30.74M	27.82M	19.15M	25.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.70M	6.33M	8.45M	7.35M	5.13M	6.57M
Total Debt	3.36M	21.50M	3.57M	3.94M	1.49M	4.31M
Total Liabilities	10.67M	34.25M	11.44M	10.08M	7.00M	9.12M
Stockholders Equity	19.01M	26.99M	19.30M	17.74M	12.15M	16.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.42M	3.53M	4.93M	4.19M	3.57M	4.08M
Operating Cash Flow	6.12M	6.60M	6.28M	6.15M	4.28M	5.21M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.49M	-25.15M	-1.14M	-1.90M	-678.51K	-1.12M
Financing Cash Flow	-4.15M	16.42M	-4.03M	-3.47M	-2.15M	-2.65M

Cake Box Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 208.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CBOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 208 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 209.73, above the 50-day MA of 205.38, and above the 200-day MA of 191.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CBOX.

Cake Box Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ULTP	75 Outperform	£53.63M	9.37	12.08%	10.29%	-3.45%	-44.02%
CBOX	73 Outperform	£90.64M	20.36	18.88%	4.86%	36.73%	-18.26%
GRG	66 Neutral	£1.60B	11.03	27.24%	3.59%	8.06%	5.15%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
DOM	60 Neutral	£713.61M	9.42	―	6.35%	-0.67%	2.43%
DPP	45 Neutral	£73.14M	―	-1.36%	―	11.73%	85.29%
VCP	37 Underperform	£59.66M	-0.22	―	―	-12.17%	-145.41%

Cake Box Holdings Corporate Events

Cake Box Holdings Releases Annual Report and Announces AGM

Cake Box Holdings plc has released its annual report and accounts for the fiscal year ending 30 March 2025, along with the notice for its upcoming annual general meeting (AGM). The AGM is scheduled for 29 August 2025 at the company’s head office in Enfield. Shareholders are encouraged to submit questions related to the AGM business in advance, which will be addressed during the meeting.