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Cake Box Holdings
(LSE:CBOX)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
227.00 p
▲(9.40% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:12/07/25
Cake Box Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators, suggesting a favorable market position. However, financial challenges such as declining net profit margins and increased leverage pose risks. The attractive dividend yield provides some compensation for valuation concerns. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with potential for growth.
Positive Factors
Franchise-led, recurring revenue model
Cake Box’s franchisor model generates recurring royalty/fee income and steady supply sales to franchisees, providing predictable revenue streams and low capital intensity. This structure supports scalable growth, regional rollouts and margin resilience versus asset-heavy retail peers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Higher leverage (D/E ~0.80) reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to interest cost rises or weaker cash flow. Over 2-6 months this elevates refinancing and covenant risk, constrains discretionary investment in store growth or supply-chain upgrades, and can amplify earnings volatility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-led, recurring revenue model
Cake Box’s franchisor model generates recurring royalty/fee income and steady supply sales to franchisees, providing predictable revenue streams and low capital intensity. This structure supports scalable growth, regional rollouts and margin resilience versus asset-heavy retail peers over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Cake Box Holdings (CBOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£85.14M
Dividend Yield5.12%
Average Volume (3M)33.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.1
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth36.73%
EPS Growth-18.26%
CountryUK
Employees185
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryFood Confectioners
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding44,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume31,317
30 Day Avg. Volume33,826
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-18.17
Price to Book (P/B)2.67
Price to Sales (P/S)1.69
P/FCF Ratio20.45
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.17
Revenue Forecast (FY)£68.20M
Cake Box Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cake Box Holdings Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of fresh cream celebration cakes in the United Kingdom. The company sells cakes, cupcakes, cheesecakes, and treats; and party accessories, including balloons and candles....
How the Company Makes Money
Cake Box Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cakes and related products in its franchise stores. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales from its retail outlets and royalties and fees from fra...
Cake Box Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 52.81M | 42.78M | 37.84M | 34.80M | 32.96M | 21.91M |
| Gross Profit | 27.09M | 22.46M | 19.61M | 16.04M | 14.85M | 10.26M |
| EBITDA | 8.99M | 7.76M | 7.72M | 6.66M | 8.80M | 5.40M |
| Net Income | 4.24M | 4.37M | 4.66M | 4.24M | 6.31M | 3.37M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 60.23M | 61.24M | 30.74M | 27.82M | 25.90M | 19.15M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.04M | 6.33M | 8.45M | 7.35M | 6.57M | 5.13M |
| Total Debt | 20.68M | 21.50M | 3.57M | 3.94M | 4.31M | 1.49M |
| Total Liabilities | 34.37M | 34.25M | 11.44M | 10.08M | 9.12M | 7.00M |
| Stockholders Equity | 25.87M | 26.99M | 19.30M | 17.74M | 16.78M | 12.15M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.34M | 3.53M | 4.93M | 4.19M | 4.08M | 3.57M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.34M | 6.60M | 6.28M | 6.15M | 5.21M | 4.28M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -25.41M | -25.15M | -1.14M | -1.90M | -1.12M | -678.51K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 14.83M | 16.42M | -4.03M | -3.47M | -2.65M | -2.15M |
Cake Box Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
207.50
Price Trends
194.55
Negative
195.34
Negative
198.90
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.36
Positive
46.62
Neutral
28.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CBOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 207.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 195.25, above the 50-day MA of 194.55, and above the 200-day MA of 198.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CBOX.
Cake Box Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | £1.78B | 8.18 | 15.61% | 1.62% | 2.31% | 9.04% | |
73 Outperform | £28.77B | 17.03 | 16.05% | 3.25% | 5.43% | 15.57% | |
70 Outperform | £85.14M | 19.12 | 16.03% | 5.12% | 36.73% | -18.26% | |
68 Neutral | £1.68B | 13.73 | 20.47% | 3.34% | 6.79% | -20.45% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
60 Neutral | £1.50B | -3.92 | 24.47% | ― | ― | ― | |
56 Neutral | £6.92B | 18.70 | 6.12% | 4.02% | 2.54% | 12.99% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:CBOX
Cake Box Holdings
193.50
17.29
9.81%
GB:OCDO
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180.40
-46.50
-20.49%
GB:GRG
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1,648.00
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-10.20%
GB:PFD
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206.80
10.65
5.43%
GB:SBRY
J Sainsbury plc
315.40
47.17
17.59%
GB:TSCO
Tesco plc
459.90
71.24
18.33%
Cake Box Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cake Box lifts full‑year revenue 43% on store rollout and Ambala boost
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
Cake Box reported strong full‑year trading for the 52 weeks to 29 March 2026, with revenue expected to rise 43% to about £61.2m, driven by robust second‑half performance, new store openings, positive like‑for‑like sale...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cake Box ties new executive share awards to ambitious EPS targets
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
Cake Box Holdings has granted 411,194 performance share options under its Long Term Incentive Plan to three executive directors, including CEO Sukh Chamdal, CFO Michael Botha and CCO Jaswir Singh, at an exercise price of 1p per share. The awards, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.