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AltynGold Plc (GB:ALTN)
LSE:ALTN

AltynGold Plc (ALTN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ALTN

AltynGold Plc

(LSE:ALTN)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
1,744.00p
▲(35.19% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid revenue growth, improved profitability, and better free cash flow). Technicals support the trend but show signs of near-term overextension (RSI/Stoch elevated), and valuation appears reasonable based on the provided P/E, with no dividend yield data to add support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and Margins
Sustained near-50% revenue growth and materially higher gross and net margins indicate scalable operations and improved cost structure. Over 2–6 months this underpins durable cash generation, strengthens competitive positioning in high‑grade deposits, and supports reinvestment.
Cash Generation
Transition to positive free cash flow and operating cash conversion >1 shows the business is generating real cash, reducing reliance on external funding. Durable cash generation supports capex, exploration budgets, deleveraging, and operational resilience through commodity cycles.
Capital Efficiency
High ROE and a majority-equity financing mix signal efficient capital deployment and a solid capital base. This structural strength enhances long-term shareholder returns potential and provides flexibility to fund growth or absorb shocks without excessive dilution.
Negative Factors
Moderate and Rising Leverage
Moderate leverage with rising absolute debt raises refinancing and interest expense risks. Over several months, elevated debt can constrain strategic flexibility, limit ability to fund exploration or capex internally, and increase vulnerability to weaker cash flows.
Geographic Concentration Risk
Operations concentrated in Kazakhstan create ongoing exposure to country-specific regulatory, permitting, and infrastructure risks. These structural geopolitical dependencies could materially affect production continuity, costs, and timelines over the medium term.
Commodity Price Exposure
Revenue and margins remain structurally tied to gold price cycles; prolonged price weakness would directly compress cash flows and profitability. Even with operational gains, commodity dependence leaves earnings and investment capacity exposed to market-driven volatility.

AltynGold Plc (ALTN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

AltynGold Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltynGold plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of gold doré properties that contain gold and silver mineral deposits in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Its flagship asset is the Sekisovskoye gold mine located in North East Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Altyn Plc and changed its name to AltynGold plc in December 2020. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. AltynGold plc is a subsidiary of African Resources Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltynGold Plc generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and gold-related products. The company's revenue model is based on the extraction of gold from its mining operations, which involves several key revenue streams: the sale of refined gold bullion and gold concentrates to various customers, including industrial buyers and jewelers. Additionally, AltynGold may enter into agreements with third-party refineries or trading companies to optimize the sale of its products. The company's earnings are also influenced by global gold prices, operational efficiency, and production levels. Strategic partnerships with local and international stakeholders enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, contributing further to its revenue generation.

AltynGold Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth: revenue rose ~49.8% (2023 to 2024) with improved margins (gross ~50.8%, net ~27.4%) and solid EBIT/EBITDA margins. Cash generation improved with positive free cash flow ($7.5M) and operating cash flow exceeding net income (ratio 1.11). Balance sheet is healthy overall but leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.73) and rising debt warrants monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AltynGold Plc has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with an increase from $64.4M in 2023 to $96.5M in 2024, indicating a 49.8% growth rate. The gross profit margin improved to approximately 50.8%, and the net profit margin rose to 27.4%, highlighting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins were solid at 43.9% and 47.1%, respectively. This indicates robust operational efficiency and profitability improvement.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity stands at 32.2%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is 52.5%, suggesting a healthy level of equity financing. However, the increase in total debt over the years needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
AltynGold Plc's cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow of $7.5M, a significant improvement from negative values in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11 highlights efficient cash generation relative to net income. The company shows a strong recovery in cash flow performance, with increased free cash flow and better capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.99M96.52M64.43M62.04M50.29M30.03M
Gross Profit71.60M49.07M23.33M29.28M27.79M12.45M
EBITDA70.67M45.42M23.16M21.10M26.04M10.72M
Net Income38.98M26.42M11.34M13.23M18.32M2.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets184.92M156.62M145.49M98.37M95.12M76.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.96M10.40M5.50M116.00K3.59M7.15M
Total Debt48.97M60.15M58.49M23.11M27.31M29.09M
Total Liabilities75.69M74.46M74.81M36.16M39.92M41.43M
Stockholders Equity109.23M82.16M70.68M62.21M55.20M35.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.16M7.52M-26.29M3.29M1.29M-4.31M
Operating Cash Flow45.13M29.37M14.65M12.23M6.80M4.25M
Investing Cash Flow-27.10M-21.50M-40.94M-9.19M-6.33M-9.66M
Financing Cash Flow-8.72M-2.86M31.67M-6.39M-4.04M10.64M

AltynGold Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1290.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1280.56
Positive
100DMA
1092.00
Positive
200DMA
807.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
95.59
Positive
RSI
53.60
Neutral
STOCH
48.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ALTN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1290 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1547.50, above the 50-day MA of 1280.56, and above the 200-day MA of 807.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 95.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ALTN.

AltynGold Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
£248.03M7.2535.69%44.89%120.82%
78
Outperform
£418.19M11.9950.11%61.98%164.33%
70
Outperform
£452.84M-14.57-7.90%26.71%-119.70%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
£345.31M-50.67-11.68%129.53%70.68%
54
Neutral
£46.43M14.795.54%
50
Neutral
£156.82M-48.67-9.19%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
1,530.00
1,266.00
479.55%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
302.00
193.00
177.06%
GB:AAU
Ariana Resources
1.78
-0.10
-5.33%
GB:KEFI
KEFI Minerals
1.46
0.99
210.64%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
15.30
10.20
200.00%
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
327.50
193.00
143.49%

AltynGold Plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AltynGold Delivers Record 2025 Revenue as Output Beats Targets and Expansion Plans Advance
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

AltynGold reported a strong finish to 2025, with full-year gold production rising to 53,852 ounces, above its 50,000-ounce target, driven by a 63% increase in ore milled after processing upgrades at Sekisovskoye. Revenue nearly doubled year-on-year to a record US$175.25 million on higher volumes and a sharply higher realised gold price, reinforcing the company’s balance sheet and supporting its push toward mid-tier status. Operationally, the miner expanded tailings storage to support production through at least 2027 and plans further dam work to extend capacity to 2029, while a review is underway on a potential doubling of processing capacity to 2–2.5Mtpa within about two years. For 2026, AltynGold is guiding to stable monthly throughput and gold production of 52,000–55,000 ounces, and it is working to secure a full mining licence for Teren-Sai, a step that could unlock an additional growth leg and strengthen its long-term resource base in Kazakhstan.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALTN) stock is a Buy with a £1864.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltynGold Plc stock, see the GB:ALTN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026