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Metals Exploration PLC (GB:MTL)
LSE:MTL
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Metals Exploration (MTL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:MTL

Metals Exploration

(LSE:MTL)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
16.00p
▲(14.29% Upside)
Metals Exploration's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's strategic corporate events further bolster its growth prospects. However, the moderate valuation and historical leverage risks slightly temper the overall score.

Metals Exploration (MTL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Metals Exploration Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetals Exploration (MTL) is a mining company focused on the exploration and development of gold and other precious metals. The company primarily operates in the Philippines, where it holds interests in several mineral properties, including its flagship asset, the Runruno Gold Project. MTL is committed to sustainable mining practices and aims to create value through the responsible extraction of mineral resources.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetals Exploration generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of gold and other precious metals extracted from its mining operations. The company's revenue model is largely based on the production of gold, which is sold to various buyers in the global market. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gold bullion, potentially supplemented by by-products such as silver and copper. Additionally, MTL may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities, reduce financial risks, and improve cost efficiencies, thus contributing to its overall earnings. The demand for gold and fluctuations in market prices also play a significant role in determining the company's profitability.

Metals Exploration Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Metals Exploration has demonstrated robust financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet has strengthened, though leverage is a concern. Cash flow generation is solid, supporting operational and strategic needs.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Metals Exploration has shown strong revenue growth over the past few years, increasing from $94.3 million in 2019 to $191.1 million in 2024. The company has successfully improved its gross profit margin, demonstrating efficient cost management, with the margin rising from approximately 19.6% in 2019 to 32.7% in 2024. The net profit margin has also been enhanced, though volatility in net income from 2023 to 2024 suggests some fluctuations in profitability. Overall, profitability metrics such as EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows improved equity over time, with stockholders' equity increasing significantly from a negative position in 2019. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, reflecting reduced financial risk, although total liabilities remain substantial relative to assets. The equity ratio has risen, indicating a stronger equity position against total assets, which is a positive sign of financial stability. However, the high leverage in previous years suggests potential risk if revenue growth slows.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash flow, with consistent growth in free cash flow, showcasing the company's ability to generate cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been healthy, highlighting effective cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating good cash conversion from operations. The company has effectively managed capital expenditures, contributing to the positive cash flow situation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.96M191.15M166.68M124.41M129.84M122.10M
Gross Profit17.74M62.52M37.26M32.74M37.87M38.84M
EBITDA184.39M90.25M181.78M44.60M45.71M43.45M
Net Income141.54M25.59M119.25M8.75M11.29M9.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets213.22M174.29M181.48M120.61M129.65M144.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.58M4.05M340.00K861.07K4.74M8.93M
Total Debt0.006.89M23.90M81.98M102.69M127.41M
Total Liabilities21.54M40.74M47.55M102.84M120.12M145.35M
Stockholders Equity191.68M133.15M133.93M17.76M9.52M-1.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.45M79.42M64.31M29.96M34.59M15.32M
Operating Cash Flow71.40M85.47M74.56M38.19M46.52M28.13M
Investing Cash Flow-8.90M-10.25M-8.23M-11.87M-12.56M
Financing Cash Flow-56.69M-45.69M-64.80M-33.82M-39.67M-11.33M

Metals Exploration Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.00
Price Trends
50DMA
12.03
Positive
100DMA
9.54
Positive
200DMA
7.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
59.12
Neutral
STOCH
82.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.24, above the 50-day MA of 12.03, and above the 200-day MA of 7.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MTL.

Metals Exploration Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
£168.92M8.2034.04%45.63%126.68%
79
Outperform
£152.98M5.9330.73%42.36%270.33%
77
Outperform
£409.64M19.1819.64%11.45%-83.99%
56
Neutral
£2.53B6.23-0.23%47.30%10.04%4.58%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
14.00
9.60
218.18%
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
202.00
140.50
228.46%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
612.00
461.50
306.64%

Metals Exploration Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration Secures Agreement with Artisanal Miners at La India Project
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has successfully negotiated an agreement with artisanal miners at the La India project in Nicaragua, ensuring the removal of miners from the proposed open-pit area. The company is collaborating with the Nicaraguan government to create a sustainable mining framework that allows both small and large-scale mining to coexist, aiming to benefit local communities and minimize environmental impact.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration Advances Dupax Project with New Exploration License
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has been granted an exploration license for the Dupax project in Northern Luzon, Philippines, where it has initiated a geophysical survey and plans a 2,500-meter drilling program. This development could potentially extend the life of the company’s Runruno processing operations by utilizing the existing infrastructure to process ore from Dupax, enhancing the project’s value and operational capacity.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration Commences Drilling at Promising Dupax Project
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has been granted an exploration license for the Dupax project area in Northern Luzon, Philippines, where it has commenced an Induced Polarisation (IP) ground geophysics survey and plans a 2,500-meter drilling program. The Dupax project, located near the company’s existing Runruno ore processing facility, shows promising mineralization with historical high-grade gold and copper samples. The exploration aims to discover an economic resource that could extend the operational life of the Runruno processing plant, enhancing the value of both the Dupax project and the existing infrastructure.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration Advances La India Project with Early Plant Shipment
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the early shipment of the Rock Creek gold processing plant to Nicaragua, marking a significant step in the development of its La India project. The plant, acquired for $9.7 million, is expected to enhance the company’s processing capacity and is scheduled for reassembly in October 2025, with first gold production anticipated in Q4 2026. This strategic move underscores the company’s commitment to efficient project execution and risk management, aiming to deliver near-term value to stakeholders.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Appoints New Joint Corporate Broker to Support Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has appointed Panmure Liberum Limited as its Joint Corporate Broker, a move that aligns with the company’s strategic goals of enhancing its capital markets presence and increasing investor engagement. This appointment is seen as a reflection of the company’s growing market capitalisation and the rising interest from both institutional and retail investors, positioning Metals Exploration for its next phase of growth.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Metals Exploration PLC Expands Share Capital Through Warrant and Option Exercise
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the exercise of warrants and options, resulting in the issuance of 8,108,835 new ordinary shares. This move will raise a total of £487,806 and increase the company’s total voting rights to 2,926,007,565. The admission of these shares to trading on AIM is expected to occur on or around 23 July 2025, potentially impacting shareholder calculations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Metals Exploration Achieves Record Financial Performance in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC reported a record-breaking financial performance for Q2 2025, with a pre-tax free cash flow of $47.2 million and gold revenue of $70.5 million. The Runruno operations demonstrated strong operational discipline, achieving a gold recovery rate of 92.1% and reducing all-in-sustaining-costs. The company also made significant progress at the La India project in Nicaragua, with construction activities advancing and strong support from local communities and the government. These developments are expected to enhance the company’s value creation strategy and strengthen its industry positioning.

Other
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Drachs Investments No3 Limited increasing its voting rights in the company to 20.37% from a previous position of 19.65%. This change reflects an acquisition or disposal of voting rights, indicating a significant shift in shareholder influence within the company.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Jim Mellon and Galloway Limited adjusting their voting rights in the company. The notification indicates a decrease in the total percentage of voting rights from 3.27% to 2.99%, which may influence the company’s decision-making process and stakeholder dynamics.

Private Placements and Financing
Metals Exploration PLC Raises Funds Through Warrant Exercise
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the exercise of 1,233,818 warrants, resulting in the issuance of new ordinary shares and raising £74,646 for the company. This development will increase the total number of voting rights to 2,917,898,730, which shareholders can use to determine their interest in the company’s share capital under regulatory guidelines.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Grants Director Options Post-Condor Gold Acquisition
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the grant of options over 10,600,000 new ordinary shares to certain directors as part of its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) scheme. This decision follows the company’s acquisition of Condor Gold, leading to changes in board composition and shareholding structure. The options are intended to incentivize directors Steven Smith and Rob Marshall, aligning their interests with those of independent directors. The LTIP options have a vesting period based on tenure and performance metrics, aiming to retain key personnel and support the company’s strategic goals.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC announced that all 11 resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed. This includes the re-appointment of key directors and auditors, as well as authorizations related to share allotments and the adoption of new articles of association. The successful passage of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company for continued operational stability and governance alignment.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Jim Mellon and Galloway Limited reducing their voting rights from 5.01% to 3.27%. This change in ownership structure could impact the company’s decision-making process and influence its strategic direction, potentially affecting stakeholders and the company’s market positioning.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC to Host Live Investor Presentation
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced that its CEO, Darren Bowden, will deliver a live investor presentation via the Investor Meet Company platform on June 16, 2025, following the company’s Annual General Meeting. This initiative aims to engage both existing and potential shareholders by providing them with insights into the company’s operations and future plans, potentially enhancing investor relations and market positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Drachs Investments No3 Limited increasing its voting rights in the company from 17.90% to 19.65%. This acquisition of voting rights signifies a strategic move by Drachs Investments to strengthen its influence within the company, potentially impacting the company’s future decisions and strategic direction.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure, with Jim Mellon and Galloway Limited now holding a combined total of 5.01% of the company’s voting rights. This adjustment from a previous position of 7.54% could influence the company’s decision-making processes and shareholder dynamics, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Exercise of Options and Warrants
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the exercise of options and warrants over new ordinary shares, following the completion of performance vesting conditions and the acquisition of Condor Gold plc. This move will result in an increase in the company’s total voting rights, impacting the shareholding structure and potentially affecting shareholder interests. The company has applied for the admission of these new shares to trading on AIM, which is expected to occur on 6 June 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
May 23, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC, a company involved in the mining industry, has announced a change in its major holdings. Drachs Investments No3 Limited, based in St Helier, Jersey, has increased its voting rights in Metals Exploration to 17.04% from a previous 16.12%. This acquisition of voting rights signifies a strategic move by Drachs Investments, potentially impacting the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Business Operations and Strategy
Metals Exploration Revises Director’s Voting Interest
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Metals Exploration plc announced a revision in the aggregate percentage interest of Rob Marshall, a Non-Executive Director, and his associated party in the company’s total voting rights, reducing it from 1.04% to 0.33%. This change follows their recent purchase of 827,314 ordinary shares, reflecting a strategic move that could impact the company’s market dynamics and investor perceptions.

Other
Metals Exploration Director Increases Stake in Company
Positive
May 22, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC announced that Rob Marshall, a Non-Executive Director, along with a person closely associated with him, purchased a total of 827,314 ordinary shares of the company. This transaction increases their aggregate interest to 1.04% of the company’s total voting rights, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Metals Exploration PLC Releases 2024 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Neutral
May 21, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC has announced the posting of its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ending December 31, 2024, along with the Notice of the Annual General Meeting (AGM) and Form of Proxy. These documents are available to shareholders who opted for hard copies and are also accessible on the company’s website. The AGM is scheduled to take place on June 16, 2025, in London. This announcement ensures transparency and keeps stakeholders informed about the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Metals Exploration PLC Achieves Record Financial Performance and Expands Growth Opportunities
Positive
May 19, 2025

Metals Exploration PLC reported strong financial results for 2024, with record gold revenue of $191.1 million and free cash flow of $96.7 million, driven by robust performance at the Runruno mine. The company is debt-free and has executed strategic acquisitions, including Condor Gold Plc and YMC Group, to ensure continued cash flow and growth. The La India project in Nicaragua is set to begin production by the end of 2026, while the Dupax exploration target near Runruno presents further growth potential. The company has received several awards for its operations in the Philippines, highlighting its commitment to environmental and community standards.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025