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Serabi Gold (GB:SRB)
LSE:SRB
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Serabi Gold (SRB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SRB

Serabi Gold

(LSE:SRB)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
209.00p
▲(12.97%Upside)
Serabi Gold's overall stock score of 78.6 is driven by strong financial performance and positive corporate events, indicating robust growth potential and strategic alignment. The technical analysis shows stable momentum, and the low P/E ratio further enhances its appeal as an undervalued investment.

Serabi Gold (SRB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Serabi Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSerabi Gold (SRB) is a UK-based, AIM-listed gold mining and exploration company. The company's primary operations are located in the Tapajos region of northern Brazil, where it focuses on the exploration, development, and production of gold. Serabi Gold operates the Palito and Sao Chico high-grade underground gold mines, which are its core assets, and is dedicated to sustainable mining practices and maximizing shareholder value through efficient operations and strategic developments in the gold mining sector.
How the Company Makes MoneySerabi Gold generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. The company processes gold ore extracted from its Palito and Sao Chico mines, producing gold doré bars that are sold to gold refineries. Revenue is generated based on the quantity of gold produced and the prevailing market price of gold at the time of sale. Additionally, the company may engage in exploration activities to expand its resource base, potentially increasing future production capabilities. Key factors contributing to Serabi Gold's earnings include efficient mining operations, cost management, and the global price of gold, which can be influenced by market demand, geopolitical factors, and macroeconomic conditions.

Serabi Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Serabi Gold exhibits strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and profitability improvements. The balance sheet reflects stability with low leverage, although increasing liabilities should be monitored. Cash flow management shows positive trends, enhancing the company's ability to invest in future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Serabi Gold has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin has improved, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin also shows a positive trajectory, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, highlighting effective operational management and earnings quality. Overall, the income statement reflects solid financial health and growth potential.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a healthy Equity Ratio, suggesting financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage and minimal risk from debt financing. Return on Equity has improved, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, total liabilities have increased, which requires monitoring to maintain balance sheet health.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow has shown consistent improvement, aligning well with net income growth. Free Cash Flow has turned positive, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Although capital expenditures are high, the positive cash flow trends support future growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue101.88M94.54M63.71M58.71M63.14M55.83M
Gross Profit46.53M39.55M14.05M7.87M19.33M16.54M
EBITDA45.15M37.22M15.15M9.21M19.48M15.23M
Net Income32.95M27.82M6.58M-983.05K9.95M7.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets143.80M124.90M115.25M100.24M90.68M76.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.50M22.18M11.55M7.20M12.22M6.60M
Total Debt0.005.95M6.55M6.95M735.01K9.08M
Total Liabilities23.79M20.72M22.45M18.71M10.79M18.49M
Stockholders Equity120.01M104.18M92.79M81.52M79.89M57.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.14M11.93M4.72M-9.31M-3.30M4.67M
Operating Cash Flow39.20M30.88M12.09M1.96M14.80M14.56M
Investing Cash Flow-22.39M-18.39M-6.74M-10.96M-23.21M-15.76M
Financing Cash Flow-925.33K-885.34K-1.27M3.89M14.24M-5.38M

Serabi Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price185.00
Price Trends
50DMA
175.98
Positive
100DMA
162.94
Positive
200DMA
140.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.66
Positive
RSI
54.31
Neutral
STOCH
26.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 185 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 185.30, above the 50-day MA of 175.98, and above the 200-day MA of 140.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SRB.

Serabi Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
£163.45M7.9334.04%45.63%126.68%
79
Outperform
£140.11M5.4330.73%42.36%270.33%
74
Outperform
£383.31M17.9519.64%11.45%-83.99%
57
Neutral
£2.54B5.45-8.69%48.72%5.32%1.96%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
185.00
117.00
172.06%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
598.00
445.50
292.13%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
13.30
9.05
212.94%

Serabi Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Updates Mineral Reserves and Resources, Extends Reserve Life
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Serabi Gold has announced updated Mineral Reserve and Resource estimates for its Palito Mine, showing a slight increase in Measured and Indicated Resources and a notable increase in Inferred Resources. The company maintains a strong reserve life of over six years at current production levels, excluding potential future resource conversions. This update, which does not yet include results from a recent $9 million exploration drill program, demonstrates Serabi’s consistent ability to replenish resources, positioning it well within the narrow vein mining sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Achieves Record Q2 Production and Advances Growth Strategy
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

Serabi Gold reported a strong second quarter for 2025, with gold production reaching 10,532 ounces, marking a 17% increase from the previous year. The company is on track to meet its annual production guidance of 44,000 to 47,000 ounces. Operational highlights include significant improvements in development rates and ore grades at both the Palito and Coringa mines. The company also reported positive results from its brownfield exploration program, which is part of its growth strategy to increase mineral resource inventory. Financially, Serabi Gold’s cash position improved to $30.4 million, and it secured a new loan from Banco Santander.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

Serabi Gold plc announced that all resolutions were approved at its Annual General Meeting, reflecting strong shareholder support. This approval allows the company to continue its strategic plans, including potential capital investments and share allotments, which could enhance its operational capabilities and market position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Achieves Key Milestones and Plans for Growth
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Serabi Gold plc announced significant achievements in 2024, including a 17% increase in production and advancements at its Coringa project, such as ore sorting and a renewed mining license. The company plans to increase production to 55,000 ounces in 2026 by improving ore grades rather than expanding processing capacity. Serabi is also conducting a $9M exploration program to expand its resource inventory and aims to achieve one-million-ounce gold deposits at both Palito and Coringa. The company is navigating licensing processes for Coringa and anticipates further growth supported by strong economic conditions and self-funded exploration.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Announces Vesting and Cash Settlement of 2022 Share Awards
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Serabi Gold announced the vesting of 2022 Conditional Share Awards under its Long Term Incentive Plan, with a total of 482,528 new ordinary shares due to vest. The awards were based on performance criteria over a three-year period, including Total Shareholder Return, Return on Capital Employed, and Return on Sales. To minimize the issuance of new shares, the company opted for cash settlement based on the 20-day VWAP price. CEO Mike Hodgson purchased additional shares, demonstrating commitment to the company. This move aligns directors’ and shareholders’ interests and reflects a strong cash position, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Positive
May 30, 2025

Serabi Gold has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for June 26, 2025, in London, where shareholders will vote on various resolutions. The company highlights its achievements in 2024, including the renewal of a mining license and the commissioning of a classification plant at the Coringa mine, which are expected to support future growth. The directors recommend shareholders to vote in favor of the proposed resolutions, emphasizing their importance for the company’s success.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results with Increased Production and Profit
Positive
May 29, 2025

Serabi Gold plc reported strong unaudited interim results for Q1 2025, with a notable increase in gold production and financial performance compared to the previous year. The company produced 10,013 ounces of gold, an 11% increase from Q1 2024, and achieved a post-tax profit of $8.8 million, up from $3.6 million. The average gold price received was $2,908 per ounce, contributing to a significant rise in EBITDA to $12.4 million. The company’s cash position improved to $26.5 million, and it commenced a $9 million exploration program aimed at expanding resources at its Palito and Coringa sites, positioning Serabi Gold for continued growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025