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Serabi Gold (GB:SRB)
LSE:SRB
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Serabi Gold (SRB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SRB

Serabi Gold

(LSE:SRB)

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Outperform 84 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
404.00 p
▲(20.60% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/07/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid revenue/profit expansion, low leverage, and improving cash generation) and an inexpensive valuation (low P/E). Technicals add support as the stock is in an uptrend with positive momentum, while historical cash flow and earnings volatility remains the key risk factor.
Positive Factors
Conservatively financed balance sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial resilience; a conservatively financed balance sheet reduces refinancing and liquidity risk during commodity downcycles, supports funding for sustaining capex, exploration or M&A, and preserves operational continuity over multi-month horizons.
Negative Factors
High sensitivity to gold prices
Business economics are structurally exposed to gold price volatility; realized prices materially drive revenue and cash flow, which limits predictability of earnings and investment planning. Long-term returns hinge on commodity cycles beyond management control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservatively financed balance sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial resilience; a conservatively financed balance sheet reduces refinancing and liquidity risk during commodity downcycles, supports funding for sustaining capex, exploration or M&A, and preserves operational continuity over multi-month horizons.
Read all positive factors

Serabi Gold (SRB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Serabi Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Serabi Gold plc engages in the evaluation, exploration, and development of gold projects in Brazil. The company also explores for copper deposits. Its primary property is the Palito mining complex covering an area of approximately 48,846 hectares ...
How the Company Makes Money
Serabi Gold makes money primarily by producing and selling gold (and any associated by-products recovered in processing, if applicable) from its Brazilian mining operations. Revenue is generated when mined ore is processed into gold-bearing produc...

Serabi Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year recovery: accelerating revenue growth and a step-change in profitability in 2025, supported by a conservatively financed balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity). Operating and free cash flow improved sharply, though prior periods of negative free cash flow and a 2022 loss indicate commodity/operational volatility risk.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue159.12M94.54M63.71M58.71M63.14M
Gross Profit80.90M39.55M14.05M7.87M19.33M
EBITDA79.21M37.22M15.15M9.21M19.48M
Net Income55.04M27.82M6.58M-983.05K9.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets199.44M124.90M115.25M100.24M90.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.24M22.18M11.55M7.20M12.22M
Total Debt7.14M5.95M6.55M6.95M735.01K
Total Liabilities29.65M20.72M22.45M18.71M10.79M
Stockholders Equity169.78M104.18M92.79M81.52M79.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.42M11.93M4.72M-9.31M-3.30M
Operating Cash Flow58.08M30.88M12.09M1.96M14.80M
Investing Cash Flow-30.60M-18.39M-6.74M-10.96M-23.21M
Financing Cash Flow-513.55K-885.34K-1.27M3.89M14.24M

Serabi Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price335.00
Price Trends
50DMA
318.11
Positive
100DMA
321.26
Positive
200DMA
282.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.27
Positive
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
42.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 335 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 337.05, above the 50-day MA of 318.11, and above the 200-day MA of 282.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SRB.

Serabi Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
£255.98M5.7937.38%59.41%87.48%
73
Outperform
£297.93M3.2343.19%75.97%127.98%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
£170.62M-2.70-10.90%85.00%
48
Neutral
£73.45M-21.20-3.83%-15.00%
47
Neutral
£348.74M13.71-12.56%129.55%70.68%
46
Neutral
£49.14M-0.63-28.28%-458.82%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
335.00
191.00
132.64%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
1,065.00
721.50
210.04%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
297.50
167.50
128.85%
GB:AAU
Ariana Resources
1.92
0.74
62.71%
GB:KEFI
KEFI Minerals
1.25
0.60
92.59%
GB:CORA
Cora Gold
9.75
1.50
18.18%

Serabi Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Doubles Profit, Launches First Dividend on Strong 2025 Performance
Positive
May 1, 2026
Serabi Gold reported a sharp improvement in 2025 financial performance, with revenue rising to $155.8 million on higher gold production of 44,169 ounces and a significantly stronger realised gold price. EBITDA more than doubled to $77.9 million, p...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Lifts Reserves and Resources at Palito Complex and Coringa
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
Serabi Gold has reported updated mineral reserve and resource estimates for its Palito Complex and Coringa mines, showing consolidated measured and indicated resources rising 29% to about 731,000 ounces of gold and inferred resources up 50% to rou...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold Boosts Q1 Output, Accelerates Plant Expansion and Coringa Permitting
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
Serabi Gold reported Q1 2026 gold output of 12,042 ounces, up 20% year on year, and a cash balance of $64.4 million, leaving the company debt-free after repaying a $5.3 million facility. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of 53,000–57,...
Business Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold boosts Palito capacity and ramps up brownfield drilling to grow resources
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
Serabi Gold is increasing processing capacity at its Palito Complex by installing a fourth ball mill, lifting throughput to 330,000 tonnes per year and addressing plant bottlenecks that have limited its two-mines-one-plant strategy. The move, fund...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 07, 2026