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Serabi Gold (GB:SRB)
LSE:SRB
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Serabi Gold (SRB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SRB

Serabi Gold

(LSE:SRB)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
260.00p
▲(6.12% Upside)
Serabi Gold's strong financial performance and undervaluation are significant positives, indicating potential for growth. However, mixed technical indicators suggest caution in the short term. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Serabi Gold (SRB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Serabi Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSerabi Gold plc engages in the evaluation, exploration, and development of gold projects in Brazil. The company also explores for copper deposits. Its primary property is the Palito mining complex covering an area of approximately 48,846 hectares located in the Tapajos region of northern Brazil. The company was formerly known as Serabi Mining Limited and changed its name to Serabi Gold plc in October 2011. Serabi Gold plc was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneySerabi Gold generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold. The company produces gold from its operating mines, with sales made to various customers in the precious metals market, which includes both direct sales and contracts with gold trading firms. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold doré bars, which are semi-purified gold bars that contain a mix of gold and other metals. Additionally, Serabi Gold benefits from fluctuations in gold prices, which can significantly impact revenue. The company also engages in exploration activities to identify and develop additional gold resources, potentially leading to increased production in the future. Strategic partnerships and agreements with local and international stakeholders may also contribute to Serabi's operational efficiencies and revenue growth.

Serabi Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Serabi Gold demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and robust operational management. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, though increasing liabilities require monitoring. Positive cash flow trends support future growth investments, indicating robust financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Serabi Gold has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin has improved, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin also shows a positive trajectory, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, highlighting effective operational management and earnings quality. Overall, the income statement reflects solid financial health and growth potential.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a healthy Equity Ratio, suggesting financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage and minimal risk from debt financing. Return on Equity has improved, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, total liabilities have increased, which requires monitoring to maintain balance sheet health.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow has shown consistent improvement, aligning well with net income growth. Free Cash Flow has turned positive, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Although capital expenditures are high, the positive cash flow trends support future growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue114.40M94.54M63.71M58.71M63.14M55.83M
Gross Profit53.13M39.55M14.05M7.87M19.33M16.54M
EBITDA51.69M37.22M15.15M9.21M19.48M15.23M
Net Income37.53M27.82M6.58M-983.05K9.95M7.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets160.90M124.90M115.25M100.24M90.68M76.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.43M22.18M11.55M7.20M12.22M6.60M
Total Debt0.005.95M6.55M6.95M735.01K9.08M
Total Liabilities25.76M20.72M22.45M18.71M10.79M18.49M
Stockholders Equity135.14M104.18M92.79M81.52M79.89M57.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.16M11.93M4.72M-9.31M-3.30M4.67M
Operating Cash Flow43.19M30.88M12.09M1.96M14.80M14.56M
Investing Cash Flow-24.24M-18.39M-6.74M-10.96M-23.21M-15.76M
Financing Cash Flow-780.94K-885.34K-1.27M3.89M14.24M-5.38M

Serabi Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price245.00
Price Trends
50DMA
247.32
Negative
100DMA
217.34
Positive
200DMA
184.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.59
Positive
RSI
48.81
Neutral
STOCH
84.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SRB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 245 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 251.40, below the 50-day MA of 247.32, and above the 200-day MA of 184.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:SRB.

Serabi Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£233.97M6.7150.11%61.98%164.33%
70
Outperform
£181.76M6.2733.52%46.55%237.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
£377.72M-7.90%26.71%-119.70%
45
Neutral
£231.54M-33.98-11.68%129.53%70.68%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
245.00
152.00
163.44%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
886.00
678.50
326.99%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
196.00
86.00
78.18%
GB:KEFI
KEFI Minerals
1.45
0.83
133.87%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
12.50
6.80
119.30%
GB:CORA
Cora Gold
5.05
2.05
68.33%

Serabi Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Achieves Record Quarterly Production in Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Serabi Gold reported a record quarterly gold production of 12,090 ounces in Q3 2025, marking a 27% increase from the previous year. The company is on track to meet its annual production guidance and has seen significant improvements in gold grades and operational performance, particularly at the Palito Complex and Coringa. The successful implementation of an ore sorter at Coringa has enhanced production efficiency, allowing the processing of low-grade stockpiles. Additionally, the company’s ongoing brownfield exploration program has led to the discovery of new ore zones, contributing to its growth strategy. The financial position has strengthened with an increased cash balance, benefiting from high gold prices and improved operational results.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold Files Updated Technical Report for Palito Complex
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

Serabi Gold has filed a detailed NI 43-101 Technical Report for its Palito Complex in Brazil, updating its mineral resource and reserve estimates. This report, prepared by NCL Ingeniería y Construcción SpA, supports the company’s scientific and technical disclosures and is available on SEDAR+ and the company’s website. This filing marks a significant step in Serabi Gold’s efforts to enhance its operational transparency and potentially bolster its market position, as it plans to increase production in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Other
Serabi Gold Announces Change in Major Shareholder’s Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

Serabi Gold plc announced a change in the holdings of Fratelli Investments Limited, which has reduced its voting rights from 6.91% to 5.91%. This adjustment in shareholding could impact the company’s governance dynamics and influence over corporate decisions, potentially affecting stakeholders’ interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Announces Significant Discoveries in 2025 Drilling Campaign
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Serabi Gold has provided an update on its 2025 brownfield drilling campaigns at the Palito Complex and Coringa Mine, as part of its strategy to increase its annual gold production to over 100,000 ounces. The company has discovered a new orebody at Coringa’s Serra South zone and made significant extensions to existing orebodies at both Coringa and Palito. The drilling program aims to expand the company’s mineral inventory from approximately 1 million ounces to over 1.5 million ounces by the end of 2025, with plans to update the Mineral Resource Estimate in early 2026. These developments are expected to enhance Serabi’s resource growth and long-term value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Serabi Gold plc announced a change in its major holdings, with Fratelli Investments Limited reducing its voting rights from 7.9995% to 6.91%. This adjustment in ownership stakes reflects a significant shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold’s Robust Financial Performance in H1 2025
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

Serabi Gold reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a 14% increase in gold production compared to the same period in 2024, totaling 20,545 ounces. The company achieved an EBITDA of $26.3 million, more than double the previous year’s figure, driven by higher gold prices and improved operational efficiency. The cash balance rose significantly to $30.4 million, reflecting robust cash generation and disciplined capital deployment. With ongoing exploration and a 30,000-meter drill program, Serabi is positioning itself for future growth. Despite increased mine development expenditure and inflationary pressures, the company maintained strong margins, supported by high gold prices and a solid production profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SRB) stock is a Buy with a £209.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Serabi Gold stock, see the GB:SRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Serabi Gold Updates Mineral Reserves and Resources, Extends Reserve Life
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Serabi Gold has announced updated Mineral Reserve and Resource estimates for its Palito Mine, showing a slight increase in Measured and Indicated Resources and a notable increase in Inferred Resources. The company maintains a strong reserve life of over six years at current production levels, excluding potential future resource conversions. This update, which does not yet include results from a recent $9 million exploration drill program, demonstrates Serabi’s consistent ability to replenish resources, positioning it well within the narrow vein mining sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025