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Serabi Gold (GB:SRB)
LSE:SRB
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Serabi Gold (SRB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SRB

Serabi Gold

(LSE:SRB)

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Outperform 86 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:86Outperform
Price Target:
372.00 p
â–²(11.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/31/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, solid growth, low leverage, and robust cash generation). Technicals are supportive with clear trend strength and positive momentum indicators, though short-term oscillators look somewhat stretched. Valuation is attractive on a low P/E, providing additional support.
Positive Factors
High Margins & Profitability
Exceptionally high TTM margins and positive revenue momentum reflect durable operational efficiency and a successful turnaround from prior losses. Sustained margin levels bolster internal cash generation, supporting reinvestment and resilience to cost variation across a multi-month horizon.
Negative Factors
Commodity Price Sensitivity
Key profitability and high ROE metrics are explicitly sensitive to gold price movements. Sustained or sudden declines in gold prices would compress margins and cash flow quickly, making earnings and returns volatile across a 2–6 month window despite strong operational metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Margins & Profitability
Exceptionally high TTM margins and positive revenue momentum reflect durable operational efficiency and a successful turnaround from prior losses. Sustained margin levels bolster internal cash generation, supporting reinvestment and resilience to cost variation across a multi-month horizon.
Read all positive factors

Serabi Gold (SRB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Serabi Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Serabi Gold plc concentrates its efforts on the appraisal, prospecting, and progression of gold initiatives within Brazil, complementing this with exploration activities for copper deposits. The company's principal holding is the Palito mining com...
How the Company Makes Money
Serabi Gold makes money primarily by producing and selling gold (and any associated by-products recovered in processing, if applicable) from its Brazilian mining operations. Revenue is generated when mined ore is processed into gold-bearing produc...

Serabi Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability and momentum: revenue up ~14.7% with exceptionally high margins (gross ~50.9%, operating ~44.3%, net ~34.6%). Balance sheet leverage is very low (debt-to-equity ~0.04) with strong ROE (~37%). Cash flow is robust (operating cash flow ~2.4x net income) and FCF is positive with strong growth, though free-cash conversion can fluctuate with reinvestment/working-capital and mining-cycle volatility.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue159.12M94.54M63.71M58.71M63.14M
Gross Profit80.90M39.55M14.05M7.87M19.33M
EBITDA79.21M37.22M15.15M9.21M19.48M
Net Income55.04M27.82M6.58M-983.05K9.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets199.44M124.90M115.25M100.24M90.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.24M22.18M11.55M7.20M12.22M
Total Debt7.14M5.95M6.55M6.95M735.01K
Total Liabilities29.65M20.72M22.45M18.71M10.79M
Stockholders Equity169.78M104.18M92.79M81.52M79.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.42M11.93M4.72M-9.31M-3.30M
Operating Cash Flow58.08M30.88M12.09M1.96M14.80M
Investing Cash Flow-30.60M-18.39M-6.74M-10.96M-23.21M
Financing Cash Flow-513.55K-885.34K-1.27M3.89M14.24M

Serabi Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price335.00
Price Trends
50DMA
336.24
Negative
100DMA
322.94
Negative
200DMA
298.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.10
Positive
RSI
42.73
Neutral
STOCH
45.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SRB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 335 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.52, below the 50-day MA of 336.24, and above the 200-day MA of 298.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:SRB.

Serabi Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
£240.37M4.8637.38%―67.11%91.17%
73
Outperform
£260.76M6.4343.19%―75.97%127.98%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
£446.40M33.5122.56%―200.18%―
48
Neutral
£67.35M-47.27-4.66%――-15.00%
46
Neutral
£48.43M-2.97-28.28%――-458.82%
44
Neutral
£149.84M-10.00-20.68%―――
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
315.00
134.00
74.03%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
954.00
467.00
95.89%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
390.00
225.00
136.36%
GB:AAU
Ariana Resources
1.80
0.75
71.43%
GB:KEFI
KEFI Minerals
1.09
0.59
117.60%
GB:CORA
Cora Gold
8.80
1.80
25.71%

Serabi Gold Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings
Serabi Gold AGM Backs Dividend and Authorities but Rejects Pay Resolutions
Neutral
Jun 19, 2026
Serabi Gold reported that shareholders approved most resolutions at its 18 June 2026 annual general meeting, including the adoption of the 2025 accounts, a final dividend of 5 pence per share, director re-elections, auditor reappointment and autho...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold posts record output as Coringa ramp-up, exploration drive boost growth
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
Serabi Gold reported a record 2025 performance, with gold output rising 18% year on year to 44,169 ounces, driven by the ramp-up of the Coringa mine and higher grades at the Palito Complex. Cash generation reached about $30 million, the company is...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold Files Updated NI 43-101 Reports for Palito Complex and Coringa Mine
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
Serabi Gold has filed updated NI 43-101 technical reports covering new mineral reserve and resource estimates for its 100% owned Palito Complex and updated mineral resource estimates for its Coringa Mine, both in Pará State, Brazil. Prepared ...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold Confirms Total Voting Rights at 76.3 Million Shares
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Serabi Gold has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 76,307,760 ordinary shares of 10 pence each, all of which carry voting rights and none of which are held in treasury. This disclosure provides investors with the reference figure ne...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold doubles Q1 profit as higher grades and record prices fuel debt-free growth
Positive
May 29, 2026
Serabi Gold reported a strong first quarter of 2026, with gold production rising 20% year-on-year to 12,043 ounces as higher feed grades at Palito and Coringa, plus the start of production from the Meio zone at Coringa, boosted output. The company...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Serabi Gold sets June date for AGM as board backs routine resolutions
Positive
May 22, 2026
Serabi Gold has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 18 June in London, with formal notice and proxy materials made available via its website and registrars for both U.K. and Canadian shareholders. The board is urging investors to vote in fa...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsShareholder Meetings
Serabi Gold Proposes 5p Final Dividend Ahead of 2026 AGM
Positive
May 22, 2026
Brazil‑focused miner Serabi Gold has recommended a final dividend of 5.0 pence per ordinary share, with payment scheduled for 10 July 2026 to shareholders on the register as of 26 June, subject to approval at the 18 June 2026 AGM. UK‑r...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Serabi Gold Tightens Executive Alignment With Performance-Linked Share Awards
Positive
May 13, 2026
Serabi Gold has granted 458,114 Conditional Share Awards to employees, including directors, under its 2020 Restricted Share Plan as part of its annual compensation review. The awards, based on a three-year performance period, are tied to metrics s...
Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold boosts LTIP share vesting after beating performance targets
Positive
May 13, 2026
Serabi Gold has approved the vesting of its 2023 conditional share awards under its long-term incentive plan after significantly outperforming three-year targets for total shareholder return, return on capital employed and return on sales. In reco...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Tightens Cost Metrics as Strong 2025 Results Fund First Dividend
Positive
May 11, 2026
Serabi Gold reported a sharp improvement in 2025 financial performance, driven by higher gold output and significantly stronger realized prices, with revenue rising to $155.8 million and EBITDA more than doubling. The company also corrected its re...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Doubles Profit, Launches First Dividend on Strong 2025 Performance
Positive
May 1, 2026
Serabi Gold reported a sharp improvement in 2025 financial performance, with revenue rising to $155.8 million on higher gold production of 44,169 ounces and a significantly stronger realised gold price. EBITDA more than doubled to $77.9 million, p...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Serabi Gold Lifts Reserves and Resources at Palito Complex and Coringa
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
Serabi Gold has reported updated mineral reserve and resource estimates for its Palito Complex and Coringa mines, showing consolidated measured and indicated resources rising 29% to about 731,000 ounces of gold and inferred resources up 50% to rou...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Serabi Gold Boosts Q1 Output, Accelerates Plant Expansion and Coringa Permitting
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
Serabi Gold reported Q1 2026 gold output of 12,042 ounces, up 20% year on year, and a cash balance of $64.4 million, leaving the company debt-free after repaying a $5.3 million facility. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of 53,000–57,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 31, 2026