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Anglo Asian Mining PLC (GB:AAZ)
LSE:AAZ

Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AAZ

Anglo Asian Mining

(LSE:AAZ)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
278.00p
▲(2.96% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial challenges, which are significant and require strategic intervention. However, positive technical indicators and strategic corporate events provide some optimism, suggesting potential for recovery if financial issues are addressed.
Positive Factors
High‑grade flagship asset
Gedabek’s high‑grade gold and copper deposits underpin lower unit cash costs and longer useful life for core operations. High‑grade assets provide durable margin resilience versus lower grade peers and support sustained production and cash generation over the medium term.
Production expansion and product diversification
Starting copper sales from Demirli and record ore volumes diversify revenue beyond gold and signal scaling of physical output. Diversified metal streams reduce single‑commodity risk and can materially improve revenue stability if higher volumes are sustained.
Historical revenue and EPS growth momentum
Material historical revenue and EPS growth indicate the company has previously scaled production or sales effectively. This track record suggests operational capacity to recover topline and earnings if execution and cash management improve, a durable indicator of underlying potential.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and recent revenue contraction
Negative gross and net margins and a recent 15% revenue drop indicate structural profitability issues—either cost pressures, falling realizations, or lower grades. Persistent negative margins erode reinvestment capacity and challenge the sustainability of operations without corrective action.
Severe free cash flow deterioration
An ~90% free cash flow collapse and weak OCF-to-net-income conversion signal acute liquidity strain. Sustained FCF weakness limits ability to fund capex, exploration, and debt service internally, forcing dependence on external financing and increasing long‑term execution risk.
Negative returns and rising leverage
Negative return on equity shows the business has not generated shareholder value, while rising leverage—even if moderate at D/E 0.35—reduces financial flexibility. Combined, these factors heighten refinancing risk and constrain strategic investment over the medium term.

Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Anglo Asian Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnglo Asian Mining PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of gold, copper, silver, and precious metal properties in Azerbaijan. The company has a 2,500 square kilometers portfolio of gold, silver, and copper properties in western Azerbaijan. Its principal property is the Gedabek mine located in Azerbaijan. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Baku, Azerbaijan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnglo Asian Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of precious metals, particularly gold and copper. The company operates a gold and copper mine at Gedabek, where it processes ore to produce gold doré and copper concentrate, which are then sold to international markets. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of these products, alongside potential by-product revenues from silver and other minerals. Additionally, AAZ may benefit from strategic partnerships with local and international entities for resource development and processing, enhancing its operational efficiency and market reach. The company's revenues are also influenced by global commodity prices, which can fluctuate significantly based on market demand and economic conditions.

Anglo Asian Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Anglo Asian Mining is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reflects declining revenues and negative margins, the balance sheet shows increasing leverage and negative returns, and the cash flow statement indicates liquidity issues. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
Anglo Asian Mining's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenues and negative profit margins. The company has experienced a significant revenue decline of 15.44% in the most recent year, and both gross and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting inefficiencies in cost management. Overall, the income statement suggests financial instability and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, which is manageable but has increased over the years. The return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a solid asset base. However, the overall financial health is weakened by the negative ROE and increasing leverage.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a troubling decline in free cash flow, with a significant negative growth rate of 89.96%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues. These factors suggest liquidity concerns and the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.14M39.59M45.85M84.72M92.49M102.05M
Gross Profit5.40M-10.07M-4.46M15.76M18.02M41.73M
EBITDA11.88M-6.66M-19.18M25.44M28.80M56.65M
Net Income-8.76M-17.50M-24.24M3.66M7.36M23.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets156.41M146.63M154.64M181.18M189.42M179.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.27M886.00K4.48M20.41M37.45M39.03M
Total Debt22.52M23.78M23.20M2.71M3.29M1.95M
Total Liabilities84.38M79.25M69.84M67.67M71.00M57.81M
Stockholders Equity72.03M67.37M84.69M113.51M118.42M121.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.28M-2.49M-24.33M-3.83M12.24M33.80M
Operating Cash Flow16.81M8.58M939.00K13.49M26.02M49.54M
Investing Cash Flow-12.35M-10.82M-31.84M-20.81M-15.73M-15.69M
Financing Cash Flow-1.03M-1.30M15.07M-9.41M-11.62M-12.80M

Anglo Asian Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price270.00
Price Trends
50DMA
231.18
Positive
100DMA
212.24
Positive
200DMA
180.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.87
Positive
RSI
64.22
Neutral
STOCH
70.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AAZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 270 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 261.18, above the 50-day MA of 231.18, and above the 200-day MA of 180.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:AAZ.

Anglo Asian Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
£253.71M7.7535.69%44.89%120.82%
78
Outperform
£382.66M12.0750.11%61.98%164.33%
69
Neutral
£420.55M-14.38-7.90%26.71%-119.70%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
£308.72M-46.56-11.68%129.53%70.68%
49
Neutral
£39.24M12.505.54%
44
Neutral
£128.89M-43.17-9.19%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
272.50
164.50
152.31%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
1,530.00
1,310.00
595.45%
GB:AAU
Ariana Resources
1.50
-0.30
-16.67%
GB:KEFI
KEFI Minerals
1.38
0.89
181.63%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
15.10
8.98
146.73%
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
345.00
218.50
172.73%

Anglo Asian Mining Corporate Events

Other
Anglo Asian Mining Announces Internal Restructuring of 3.5% Shareholding
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

Anglo Asian Mining has disclosed an internal shareholding restructure involving Limelight Industrial Developments Limited and Yasamin Vaziri Lotfinezhad. Limelight has transferred 1,000,000 ordinary shares in the company to Mrs Lotfinezhad, reducing its direct holding to 3,038,600 shares while she now holds 1,000,000 shares in her own name. As Mrs Lotfinezhad remains the 100% beneficial owner of Limelight, her total beneficial interest is unchanged at 4,038,600 ordinary shares, representing 3.532% of Anglo Asian’s voting rights, indicating no net change in overall control but a simplification of how this stake is held.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £242.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Anglo Asian Mining Confirms No Bid from ACG Metals, Focuses on Growth
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining announced that ACG Metals Limited has decided not to make an offer for the company, adhering to Rule 2.8 of the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Despite this, Anglo Asian remains focused on creating shareholder value through ongoing production and development of its assets, including two new mines launched in the past year. The company is confident in its strategic plans to grow into a mid-tier copper producer, with new opportunities emerging from its extensive license portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £242.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Anglo Asian Mining Boosts Copper Production with Gedabek Plant Upgrades
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has announced significant upgrades to its Gedabek flotation plant, including the installation of new filter presses and a thickener, which have led to record copper production in November. These enhancements are part of a broader strategy to increase efficiency and production capacity, positioning the company to meet rising global copper demand and support its growth ambitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £242.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Anglo Asian Mining Begins Copper Sales and Achieves Record Ore Mining at Demirli
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has commenced copper concentrate sales from its new Demirli mine, selling 2,055 wet tonnes of copper concentrate to Trafigura Pte Ltd, generating $3.6 million in provisional gross sales revenue. The establishment of a dedicated logistics centre near Ganja enhances the efficiency of these sales, demonstrating a strong partnership with Trafigura. The company also achieved record ore mining volumes at Demirli, aligning with its growth strategy to increase production.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £228.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Anglo Asian Mining Begins Copper Sales from Demirli Mine
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has commenced copper concentrate sales from its new Demirli mine, marking a significant step in its growth strategy. The company sold 2,055 wet tonnes of copper concentrate to Trafigura, generating $3.6 million in provisional gross sales revenue. A new logistics center near Ganja has been established to facilitate efficient sales, highlighting the strategic relationship with Trafigura. In November 2025, Anglo Asian achieved record ore mining volumes at Demirli, aligning with its strategy to increase production.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £228.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Anglo Asian Mining Launches New Corporate Website Amid Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has launched a new corporate and investor website, marking a significant step in its evolution towards becoming a multi-asset, mid-tier mining company. The rebranding reflects the company’s growth ambitions and operational maturity, with a focus on copper as a key driver of future value. This transition is part of a strategic plan to enhance shareholder disclosure and position the company for increased growth, as it plans to bring three new mines into production by 2030.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £228.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Anglo Asian Mining Faces Potential Offer Amid Strategic Growth
Neutral
Nov 27, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining PLC announced the suspension and subsequent restoration of trading of its shares following ACG Metals Limited’s consideration of a potential offer for the company. While no firm offer has been made, Anglo Asian continues to execute its growth strategy, having recently brought two new mines into production and planning further expansions. The announcement has initiated an ‘Offer Period’ under the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers, requiring shareholders to be aware of disclosure requirements. Trading is expected to resume following the announcement, and shareholders are advised to take no action at this time.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £187.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Anglo Asian Mining Secures Copper Sales Agreement with Trafigura
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has secured a sales agreement with Trafigura for copper concentrate from its Demirli mine in Karabakh, Azerbaijan, which includes a $25 million revolving prepayment facility. The company has received necessary licenses from the Azerbaijani government to operate the Demirli processing plant and tailings dam, marking a significant step in its operational expansion. The first sale of concentrate is expected by mid-November 2025, enhancing the company’s production capabilities and contributing to its strategic growth plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £195.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Anglo Asian Mining Updates Share Capital and Outlines Growth Strategy
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has announced its total issued share capital consists of 114,492,024 ordinary shares, with 150,000 held in treasury, resulting in 114,342,024 voting rights. This update is relevant for shareholders calculating their interest under FCA’s rules. The company’s strategic growth plan includes developing new mines to significantly increase copper production by 2030, enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Sell with a £177.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Anglo Asian Mining Achieves Record Copper Production in Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining PLC reported a record quarterly copper production of 2,287 tonnes in Q3 2025, marking a significant increase due to the commencement of production at the Demirli and Gilar mines. The company has revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting copper production between 8,100 to 9,000 tonnes and gold production between 25,000 to 28,000 ounces. This strategic shift towards copper production aligns with the company’s growth strategy, enhancing its industry positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Anglo Asian Mining Achieves Record Copper Production in Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Anglo Asian Mining has reported a record quarterly copper production of 2,287 tonnes in Q3 2025, marking a significant increase due to the commencement of production at the Demirli and Gilar mines. This strategic shift towards copper production aligns with the company’s growth plans, enhancing its market position and operational capabilities. The company has also revised its full-year guidance for 2025, expecting copper production between 8,100 to 9,000 tonnes and gold production between 25,000 to 28,000 ounces. Despite a slight negative cash flow due to start-up expenses at Demirli, the company maintains a strong focus on cash management and cost controls.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AAZ) stock is a Hold with a £180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglo Asian Mining stock, see the GB:AAZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025