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Gaia Inc (GAIA)
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Gaia (GAIA) AI Stock Analysis

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GAIA

Gaia

(NASDAQ:GAIA)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(18.48% Upside)
Gaia's overall score is driven by strong earnings call sentiment and improving cash flow, but is weighed down by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum and a negative P/E ratio indicating profitability challenges. The company's strategic initiatives in AI and improved cash position are positive, but concerns about member growth and churn persist.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Member Count Growth
Increasing member count enhances recurring revenue streams and strengthens the company's market position in the wellness streaming sector.
Improved Cash Flow
Improved cash flow management enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and reducing reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable earnings, impacting long-term financial health.
Operational Inefficiencies
Negative operating margins indicate inefficiencies, which could limit the company's ability to scale effectively and improve profitability.
Increased G&A Expenses
Rising G&A expenses can strain profitability and cash flow, necessitating better cost control for sustainable financial performance.

Gaia (GAIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gaia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaia, Inc. operates a digital video subscription service and on-line community for underserved member base in the United States, Canada, Australia, and internationally. It has a digital content library of approximately 10,000 titles in Spanish, German, and French languages available to its subscribers on internet-connected devices. The company's network includes Yoga channel, which provides access to yoga, eastern arts, and other movement based classes; Transformation channel that offers spiritual growth, personal development, and consciousness content; Alternative Healing channel, which features content focused on food and nutrition, holistic healing, alternative and integrative medicines, and longevity; and Seeking Truth channel that offers category-leading talent that enables to draw speakers, authors, and experts in the alternative media world. It also operates gaia.com and gaiamtv.com websites. Gaia, Inc. complements its produced and owned content through long term licensing agreements. The company was formerly known as Gaiam, Inc. and changed its name to Gaia, Inc. in July 2016. Gaia, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Louisville, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyGaia generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where users pay a monthly or annual fee for access to its content library. This subscription model creates a recurring revenue stream, providing a steady income base. Additionally, Gaia may enhance its earnings through partnerships with wellness influencers, content creators, and other organizations in the health and spirituality sectors, which can lead to co-branded content or marketing opportunities. The company may also explore additional revenue streams through merchandising or offering premium content and courses for an extra fee.

Gaia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall sentiment with significant revenue growth, the successful launch of new AI initiatives, and a stronger cash position. However, challenges such as member growth impact due to price increases and churn on larger platforms present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Gross Margin Growth
Gaia grew its revenue by 14% to $25 million during the third quarter, with gross margins improving by 30 basis points to 86.4% from 86.1% in the previous year.
AI Guide Launch
Gaia launched its new AI Guide in beta, which has shown encouraging early results with increased session depth and repeat usage, indicating higher engagement.
Improved Cash Position
Gaia's cash position improved significantly to $14.2 million from $4.4 million a year ago, and the company renewed a $10 million line of credit with improved terms.
Igniton Valuation
The value of Gaia's subsidiary, Igniton, is approximately $106 million, with Gaia's 2/3 ownership valued at about $70 million.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Gaia reported its seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, totaling $0.9 million for the quarter and $3.2 million for the first nine months of 2025.
Negative Updates
Member Growth Impact
The increase in subscription prices led to slower member growth, although revenue growth was achieved.
Churn Concerns
Churn is nearly double on larger platforms compared to direct members, which affects overall subscriber growth and revenue per subscriber.
Igniton Launch Delays
The full launch of Igniton on the Gaia Marketplace faced delays, impacting the anticipated revenue growth for the year.
Company Guidance
During Gaia's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 14% increase in revenue, reaching a $100 million run rate, or $25 million for the quarter, up from $22 million the previous year. The gross margin improved by 30 basis points to 86.4%, and the member count grew to 883,000 despite slower growth due to a $2 subscription price increase. The annualized gross profit per employee rose to $814,000 from $730,000, contributing to improved free cash flow. Gaia's cash position significantly strengthened to $14.2 million from $4.4 million the previous year. The company highlighted its strategic shift towards integrating AI, with the launch of an AI Guide aimed at enhancing member engagement and retention. Additionally, Gaia's subsidiary, Igniton, was valued at $106 million, with Gaia's two-thirds ownership valued at $70 million, and its products are now available on the Gaia Marketplace. The company continues to prioritize direct member relationships over third-party platforms, aiming for higher average revenue per user (ARPU) and reduced churn. Looking forward, Gaia plans a further subscription price increase and anticipates ongoing double-digit revenue growth, with significant investments in content and community platform developments.

Gaia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaia shows strong cost management and improving cash flow, but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, yet returns on equity are negative, indicating a need for enhanced profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gaia's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 87.18% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -5.06% TTM, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 2.98% TTM, suggesting limited expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -5.75% TTM, pointing to challenges in generating shareholder returns. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Gaia's cash flow statement shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 213.58% TTM, suggesting better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15 TTM, indicating moderate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26 TTM, reflecting a positive cash conversion despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.89M90.36M80.42M82.03M79.57M66.83M
Gross Profit85.39M77.81M68.79M71.12M69.05M58.18M
EBITDA10.04M12.69M11.97M13.16M15.13M7.41M
Net Income-4.77M-5.23M-5.80M-3.89M3.73M519.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.09M141.22M130.27M135.18M133.68M110.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.16M5.86M7.77M11.56M10.27M12.61M
Total Debt10.75M11.51M12.44M22.34M14.92M15.03M
Total Liabilities49.55M47.20M43.49M49.32M43.46M35.78M
Stockholders Equity86.27M80.67M85.50M84.79M90.22M74.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.09M1.94M596.00K-6.74M3.53M-1.68M
Operating Cash Flow6.57M6.92M5.87M11.52M20.87M11.65M
Investing Cash Flow-7.48M-15.00M-5.28M-19.10M-23.86M-176.00K
Financing Cash Flow10.71M6.17M-4.38M8.88M655.00K-10.36M

Gaia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.22
Price Trends
50DMA
5.71
Negative
100DMA
5.13
Negative
200DMA
4.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
24.79
Positive
STOCH
9.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAIA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.41, below the 50-day MA of 5.71, and below the 200-day MA of 4.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.79 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GAIA.

Gaia Risk Analysis

Gaia disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gaia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$50.68M19.339.22%77.07%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
53
Neutral
$106.71M-5.63%12.98%27.93%
46
Neutral
$47.15M7.59%61.22%
45
Neutral
$1.33B9.74%12.29%
41
Neutral
$180.43M-9.03-2.85%75.96%
39
Underperform
$59.67M-2.49-18.76%-21.71%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAIA
Gaia
4.22
-1.85
-30.48%
CNVS
Cineverse
2.59
-0.52
-16.72%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
2.41
-2.08
-46.33%
RDI
Reading International
1.33
-0.09
-6.34%
LVO
LiveOne
5.01
-4.07
-44.82%
STRZ
Starz Entertainment Corp
10.31
-0.12
-1.15%

Gaia Corporate Events

Gaia, Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Nov 4, 2025

Gaia, Inc., a conscious media and community company, operates in the global video streaming industry, offering a diverse range of content focused on seeking truth, transformation, alternative healing, and yoga. The company recently reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 14% increase in revenue compared to the previous year. This growth was supported by a strategic price increase in subscriptions and the launch of a proprietary AI model aimed at enhancing user engagement. Gaia’s financial performance for the quarter was marked by a revenue increase to $25 million, a rise in gross profit to $21.6 million, and a steady member count growth to 883,000. Despite a net loss of $1.2 million, the company achieved its seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, which improved to $0.9 million. Looking ahead, Gaia’s management remains optimistic about leveraging technology and community initiatives to drive future growth and enhance member experiences.

Gaia Inc. Reports Positive Earnings Call Highlights
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Gaia Inc. painted a generally positive picture, highlighting significant growth in revenue, gross profit, and member count. The company showcased successful fundraising efforts and an increased valuation for its subsidiary, Igniton, alongside improved free cash flow. Despite these achievements, challenges such as a reported net loss and increased general and administrative expenses were noted. Overall, the positives appear to outweigh the negatives, suggesting a favorable outlook for Gaia Inc.

Gaia Inc. Achieves Strong Growth in Q2 2025
Aug 12, 2025

Gaia Inc., a conscious media and community company, operates in the global video streaming industry, offering a diverse range of content across four primary channels. In its second quarter of 2025, Gaia Inc. reported a 12% increase in revenue, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. The company also achieved a 16% rise in gross profit, reflecting strong operational performance. A notable highlight was the successful $6 million fundraising by its subsidiary, Igniton, which significantly increased its valuation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025