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Gaia Inc (GAIA)
NASDAQ:GAIA
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Gaia (GAIA) AI Stock Analysis

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GAIA

Gaia

(NASDAQ:GAIA)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-2.83% Downside)
Gaia's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and strategic opportunities. The most significant factor is the positive momentum from technical analysis and earnings call highlights, which indicate potential growth and strategic progress. However, financial performance and valuation concerns due to ongoing net losses and negative P/E ratio weigh on the score. The new CEO appointment adds a positive outlook for future growth.
Positive Factors
Future Growth Potential
The company is planning new product launches, which are expected to contribute to future growth.
Revenue Growth
The subscription price increase led to revenue growth of 18%, showing strong financial performance.
Valuation
GAIA’s current valuation is compelling, trading at 4.8x 2026E adj. EBITDA, well below peers.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Gaia is discontinuing approximately $1.5M in non-subscription revenue, adjusting the financial model accordingly.

Gaia (GAIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gaia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaia (GAIA) is a digital streaming service that specializes in providing a wide array of content focused on wellness, personal growth, spirituality, and alternative health. The company primarily operates in the entertainment and media sector, offering subscribers access to a diverse library of documentaries, films, yoga classes, and guided meditations. Through its platform, Gaia aims to empower individuals on their journeys of self-discovery and holistic living.
How the Company Makes MoneyGaia generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where users pay a monthly or annual fee for access to its content library. This subscription model creates a recurring revenue stream, providing a steady income base. Additionally, Gaia may enhance its earnings through partnerships with wellness influencers, content creators, and other organizations in the health and spirituality sectors, which can lead to co-branded content or marketing opportunities. The company may also explore additional revenue streams through merchandising or offering premium content and courses for an extra fee.

Gaia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with significant growth in revenue, gross profit, and member count. Successful fundraising and valuation increase for Igniton, along with improved free cash flow, highlight strategic progress. However, the company still faces challenges, such as the reported net loss and increased G&A expenses. The positives outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Gross Profit Increase
Revenue for the quarter increased by 12% year-over-year to $24.6 million, and gross profit increased by 16% to $21.3 million, with a gross margin improvement of 220 basis points to 86.7%.
Member Count Growth
The total member count grew to 878,000, contributing to revenue growth and an increase in ARPU.
Igniton Valuation Increase
Igniton raised $6 million, achieving a post-money valuation of $106 million, valuing Gaia's 2/3 ownership at $70 million, up from $28 million.
Free Cash Flow Doubling
Free cash flow more than doubled quarter-over-quarter to $1.6 million, up from $700,000 in the prior quarter.
Renewed Credit Line with Improved Terms
Gaia renewed its credit line for an additional 3 years with improved terms, including a lower interest rate.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $1.8 million or $0.07 per share, although this was an improvement from a loss of $2.2 million or $0.09 per share the previous year.
G&A Expenses Increase
General and administrative expenses increased due to onetime events such as the Biohacking Conference, which affected the quarter's financials.
Company Guidance
During Gaia's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $24.6 million, driven by growth in member count and ARPU, as well as the launch of their subsidiary Igniton. Gross profit rose by 16% to $21.3 million, and the gross margin improved by 220 basis points to 86.7%. Member count reached 878,000, reflecting the company's focus on high lifetime value members. The annualized gross profit per employee increased to $814,000, up from $695,000 in the previous year. Free cash flow more than doubled quarter-over-quarter to $1.6 million. Gaia also highlighted the successful $6 million fundraising for Igniton, valuing Gaia's two-thirds ownership at $70 million, a significant increase from the previous $28 million valuation. The company plans to continue its focus on sustainable growth through its core streaming business and the development of a global conscious community, with new initiatives like the Gaia Marketplace and Conscious AI Companion being pivotal to their strategy.

Gaia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaia's financial statements reflect a business under financial pressure, with profitability and cash flow issues. Despite consistent revenue growth and a solid equity position, challenges in converting revenue to profit and generating positive free cash flow persist. Debt levels are manageable, but sustained profitability improvements are critical for financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging financial environment with a negative net income and EBIT margin in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Though there is a modest 2.38% revenue growth from the previous year, consistent negative EBIT and net income margins indicate profitability issues. EBITDA margin is positive, showing some operational efficiency but is offset by negative net margins.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is negative due to net losses, which raises concerns about profitability. Despite this, the equity ratio is strong at approximately 58.57%, suggesting a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth, driven by higher capital expenditures and declining operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting operational cash generation, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue95.06M90.36M80.42M82.03M79.57M66.83M
Gross Profit82.87M77.81M68.79M71.12M69.05M58.18M
EBITDA7.92M12.69M11.97M13.16M15.13M7.41M
Net Income-4.81M-5.23M-5.80M-3.89M3.73M519.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets146.98M141.22M130.27M135.18M133.68M110.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.92M5.86M7.77M11.56M10.27M12.61M
Total Debt11.02M11.51M12.44M22.34M14.92M15.03M
Total Liabilities48.39M47.20M43.49M49.32M43.46M35.78M
Stockholders Equity85.70M80.67M85.50M88.98M90.22M74.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow858.00K1.94M596.00K-6.74M3.53M-1.68M
Operating Cash Flow4.37M6.92M5.87M11.52M20.87M11.65M
Investing Cash Flow-4.91M-15.00M-5.28M-19.10M-23.86M-176.00K
Financing Cash Flow6.73M6.17M-4.38M8.88M655.00K-10.36M

Gaia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.66
Price Trends
50DMA
4.52
Positive
100DMA
4.53
Positive
200DMA
4.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
64.79
Neutral
STOCH
88.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.82, above the 50-day MA of 4.52, and above the 200-day MA of 4.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GAIA.

Gaia Risk Analysis

Gaia disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gaia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$96.33M37.699.22%77.07%
65
Neutral
$142.12M-5.74%12.22%19.18%
60
Neutral
$43.56B4.52-13.01%4.07%1.87%-43.08%
53
Neutral
$55.97M-540.12%7.59%61.22%
49
Neutral
$122.75M-5.35%
47
Neutral
$62.29M154.70%-18.76%-21.72%
41
Neutral
$21.57M-270.84%88.72%-85.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAIA
Gaia
5.59
0.70
14.31%
CNVS
Cineverse
5.05
4.21
501.19%
RDI
Reading International
1.54
-0.23
-12.99%
LVO
LiveOne
0.59
-1.16
-66.29%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
3.38
-5.39
-61.46%
NIPG
NIP Group Inc. Sponsored ADR
2.07
-5.69
-73.32%

Gaia Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaia Amends Credit Agreement with KeyBank
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Gaia, Inc. entered into a Second Amendment to its Credit and Security Agreement with KeyBank National Association, which refinanced and extended its revolving credit facility up to $15 million, maturing on August 25, 2028. The amendment also modified interest rates and set a maximum leverage ratio, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategy.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gaia Appoints Kiersten Medvedich as New CEO
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Gaia appointed Kiersten Medvedich as its first female CEO, succeeding James Colquhoun, who transitioned to Chief Business Development Officer. Medvedich, who has been with Gaia since 2016 and served as President since 2023, will lead the company’s growth and operations, leveraging her extensive experience in television and streaming. Her appointment aligns with Gaia’s mission to foster a global conscious community, particularly as the company seeks to enhance member engagement through advanced AI tools and a new community platform. Medvedich aims to expand Gaia’s content offerings with fresh original programming and transformative workshops, positioning the company for exponential growth in the health, wellness, and spirituality sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025