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LiveOne (LVO)
NASDAQ:LVO

LiveOne (LVO) AI Stock Analysis

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LVO

LiveOne

(NASDAQ:LVO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-8.93% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (revenue decline, sustained losses, negative equity, and negative TTM free cash flow). The latest earnings call adds meaningful support due to cost-driven margin improvement, positive adjusted EBITDA, and constructive guidance/pipeline traction, while technicals are neutral-to-mixed and valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Structural cost reduction and margin improvement
A >52% YoY OpEx reduction and ~75% headcount cut materially lower the company's structural cost base. That reduction enabled positive adjusted EBITDA and creates permanent operating leverage: as revenue scales, incremental contribution to profit should rise, improving runway and funding optionality over the medium term.
Expanding B2B pipeline and large enterprise partnerships
A deepening B2B pipeline and multiple Fortune‑500 launches signal diversification from consumer subscription cycles to contractually anchored revenue. Large OEM/distribution partners provide durable reach and potential multi-year agreements, which can stabilize revenue and margin visibility as enterprise monetization scales.
Balance sheet repair and sizable tax assets
Debt paydown reduces interest burden while $125M+ of NOLs represent a meaningful tax shield once GAAP profitability arrives. Together these factors improve net cash burn dynamics and preserve cash that can be redeployed into growth or used to weather execution timelines over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent GAAP losses and negative equity
Ongoing GAAP losses and negative stockholders' equity constrain financial flexibility and raise insolvency sensitivity during downturns. Even with improved adjusted EBITDA, cumulative losses limit borrowing capacity, complicate large investments or M&A, and increase reliance on external capital or dilutive financing over the medium term.
Inconsistent cash generation and negative TTM free cash flow
Volatile cash generation — with recent TTM FCF negative despite interim positive results — signals the business is not yet self‑funding. This increases dependence on capital markets or asset sales to fund growth, and reduces margin for execution missteps as timing of enterprise ramps remains uncertain.
Execution risk from deep restructuring and AI reliance
Rapid eliminations of institutional knowledge and a pivot to AI-driven delivery raise operational execution risk. Delivering consistent product quality, scaling service customization, and converting large B2B deals may require capabilities that were reduced, creating a material risk that revenue ramps and partner SLAs lag expectations.

LiveOne (LVO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LiveOne Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiveOne, Inc., a digital media company, engages in the acquisition, distribution, and monetization of live music, Internet radio, podcasting/vodcasting, and music-related streaming and video content. It operates LiveXLive, a live music streaming platform; PodcastOne, a podcasting platform; and Slacker, an integrated membership and advertising streaming music service, as well as produces original music-related content. The company also produces, edits, curates, and streams live music events through broadband transmission over the Internet and satellite networks to its users; provides digital Internet radio and music services to users online and through automotive and mobile original equipment manufacturers on a white label basis; and offers ancillary products and services, such as regulatory and post-implementation support services. In addition, it develops, manufactures, and distributes personalized merchandise and gifts through wholesale and direct-to-consumer distribution channels. Further, the company offers LiveOne App, an application that provides access to live events, audio streams, original episodic content, podcasts, vodcasts, video on demand, real-time livestreams, and social sharing of content. The company was formerly known as LiveXLive Media, Inc. and changed its name to LiveOne, Inc. in October 2021. LiveOne, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiveOne generates revenue through multiple streams, with a significant portion derived from subscription fees paid by users for access to its premium content and features. The company also earns money through advertising partnerships, allowing brands to promote their products and services to its user base. Additionally, LiveOne benefits from revenue generated via ticket sales for live events and concerts, as well as through merchandise sales associated with these events. Strategic partnerships with artists and labels further enhance its earnings, as they often collaborate on exclusive content and promotional campaigns that attract more subscribers and enhance user engagement.

LiveOne Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a clear operational inflection: meaningful cost reductions (>52% YoY OpEx reduction) and headcount rationalization have enabled positive adjusted EBITDA and a stronger balance sheet (>$2.5M of debt paid, $125M+ NOLs). Growth drivers highlighted include a record PodcastOne performance, a rapidly expanding B2B pipeline (up >30%), several large enterprise partnerships (some already grown materially), and monetization levers (ARPU +30% from programmatic ads, 60% Tesla re‑sign conversion). Primary risks discussed were a continuing GAAP net loss ($4.1M in Q3), a near‑term revenue ramp/timing uncertainty for large B2B contracts, one subsidiary (Slacker) still slightly unprofitable, and execution risk from aggressive restructuring and reliance on AI. Overall, the positives — visible margin improvement, concrete partner traction, conservative but constructive guidance ($85M–$95M revenue; $8M–$10M adjusted EBITDA), and a sizeable tax asset — outweigh the present lowlights, though near‑term execution and timing remain important to monitor.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Segment Performance
Consolidated revenue of $20.3M in Q3 and over $58M for the trailing 9 months; Audio Division produced $18.6M in Q3 and $52.2M for the 9 months. PodcastOne posted record Q3 revenue of $15.9M with adjusted EBITDA of $2.8M. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was positive $1.6M for the quarter.
Forward Guidance and Profitability Targeting
Management issued preliminary fiscal guidance calling for $85M to $95M in revenues and $8M to $10M in adjusted EBITDA for the next fiscal year, indicating management expects continued revenue scaling and margin expansion.
Material Cost Reductions and Margin Improvement
Operating expenses reduced by over 52% year‑over‑year. Headcount was reduced from ~350 to 88 employees (~75% reduction), driving structural cost savings and contributing to the improved adjusted EBITDA profile (Audio 9‑month adjusted EBITDA > $3.7M; Q3 audio EBITDA $2.6M).
Balance Sheet Strengthening and Capital Actions
Company paid off over $2.5M of debt, has repurchase authorization with ~ $6M remaining, and reports over $125M in net operating loss (NOL) carryforwards which management views as a material tax asset as GAAP profitability approaches.
Expanding B2B Pipeline and Enterprise Partnerships
B2B pipeline at the largest level in company history — up over 30% in the last 120 days with over 100 active enterprise opportunities. Notable partner traction: an Amazon relationship grown to >$20M and a streaming partner that grew from ~$2M to >$26M (≈1200%+ growth). Management expects to launch three major Fortune 500 partnerships (two partners with >50M monthly paying subscribers).
Audience, Monetization and Product Opportunities
Company cites a database of >65M consumers and more than 1M free/ad‑supported subscribers as conversion opportunities. Example: Tesla users — ~1.2M of ~2M cars were re‑signed (≈60% retention/conversion). Programmatic advertising partnership with DAX has increased ARPU by over 30%.
Content/IP and Live Experience Upside
Management highlights ownership of original IP (sold 4th TV series to a major streaming platform with 100% margin economics) and a pipeline of >15 original projects. Live events — previously ~50% of pre‑COVID revenues — are reaccelerating and are a strategic growth focus.
Favorable Industry Valuation Dynamics
Management notes the company currently trades at under 1x revenues versus industry/private multiples of ~3x–3.7x and recent transactions at 5x–7x revenues, suggesting potential valuation upside as fundamentals normalize.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss Persists
LiveOne reported a consolidated U.S. GAAP net loss of $4.1M, or $0.37 per diluted share, in Q3 fiscal 2026 despite positive adjusted EBITDA.
Slacker Subsegment Still Unprofitable
Slacker reported Q3 revenue of $2.8M with adjusted EBITDA of negative $0.1M, indicating one subsidiary remains near breakeven or loss making.
Timing and Ramp Uncertainty for Large B2B Deals
While several large B2B partnerships are signed or in launch phases, management emphasized conservatism in near‑term revenue recognition (described as 'nickels and dimes' for some big partners). Material ramping of revenue from these deals may be delayed into the following fiscal year.
Remaining Debt and Historical Revenue Decline
Although >$2.5M of debt was paid down, senior debt remains and management is continuing balance sheet cleanup. Management referenced historically lost revenue (e.g., a prior ~$56M revenue decline) underscoring the rebuild still in progress.
Execution and Operational Risk from Deep Restructuring
Headcount was reduced by roughly 75% (350 to 88) with heavy reliance on AI to deliver services and customization. Such rapid reduction and reliance on AI-driven processes introduce execution risk and potential delivery/scale challenges.
Competitive and Market Risks
Major streaming and tech platforms are increasingly entering podcasts/audio and could compete or change partnership dynamics. Management acknowledges this risk even as it frames many large platforms as partners.
Company Guidance
Management provided preliminary fiscal guidance calling for $85–$95 million of revenue and $8–$10 million of adjusted EBITDA (characterized as a conservative baseline that likely only includes “nickels and dimes” of initial B2B test revenue), while noting recent momentum: 9‑month revenues exceeded $58M, Q3 consolidated revenue was $20.3M (Q3 GAAP net loss $4.1M, $0.37/diluted share), the Audio division posted $52.2M in 9‑month revenue and >$3.7M adjusted EBITDA (Q3 audio $18.6M revenue, $2.6M EBITDA), PodcastOne Q3 revenue $15.9M / adj EBITDA $2.8M and Slacker Q3 revenue $2.8M / adj EBITDA -$0.1M. Management highlighted structural improvements (OpEx down >52% YoY; headcount reduced from 350 to 88; >$2.5M of debt paid off), >$125M of NOL carryforwards, ~$6M remaining on the share‑repurchase authorization, a B2B pipeline up >30% in 120 days with >100 enterprise opportunities and three Fortune‑500 launches (two partners >50M monthly paying subs), and reiterated plans to drive conversions of >1M free/ad‑supported users and ramp revenues into FY27.

LiveOne Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: TTM revenue declined (~10.6%), profitability remains meaningfully negative (about -30.5% net margin), TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow turned negative again, and negative stockholders’ equity materially increases financial risk despite improved losses versus 2021–2022.
Income Statement
32
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined about 10.6% and profitability remains weak, with negative operating profit and a roughly -30.5% net margin. While losses are smaller than earlier years (notably 2021–2022), margins have deteriorated versus FY2024–FY2025 annual results, signaling pressure on the core earnings profile despite prior improvement off the lows.
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
The balance sheet is constrained by negative stockholders’ equity in the latest periods (including TTM), which increases financial risk and limits flexibility. Debt levels are not large in absolute terms versus assets, but the negative equity position makes leverage optics unfavorable and indicates the company is still working through accumulated losses.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent: FY2025 showed positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) turned negative again on both measures. Free cash flow being negative while net losses persist suggests the business is not yet self-funding on a sustained basis, even though cash flow performance has improved versus the deeper outflows seen in some earlier years.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.51M114.41M118.44M99.61M117.02M65.23M
Gross Profit14.40M27.22M32.05M32.83M24.04M16.24M
EBITDA-16.80M-12.52M-3.72M5.36M-29.98M-28.09M
Net Income-23.65M-18.71M-11.97M-10.02M-43.91M-41.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.26M40.52M63.86M65.89M76.82M85.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.62M4.12M6.99M8.41M12.89M18.64M
Total Debt15.48M3.82M8.55M12.32M27.39M25.20M
Total Liabilities62.80M48.93M57.31M62.07M87.74M77.63M
Stockholders Equity-18.97M-17.77M-3.78M3.81M-10.92M8.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.28M3.25M2.80M-6.29M-12.95M-12.72M
Operating Cash Flow-12.79M6.37M6.85M-3.84M-9.12M-9.51M
Investing Cash Flow-8.49M-3.12M-4.05M-2.45M-3.98M-791.00K
Financing Cash Flow19.05M-6.24M-4.31M1.79M7.49M16.63M

LiveOne Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.49
Price Trends
50DMA
4.62
Positive
100DMA
4.72
Positive
200DMA
5.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
62.12
Neutral
STOCH
71.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.97, above the 50-day MA of 4.62, and below the 200-day MA of 5.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LVO.

LiveOne Risk Analysis

LiveOne disclosed 147 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LiveOne reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LiveOne Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
$30.73M-1.04-78.34%22.84%46.18%
48
Neutral
$63.93M-2.56-32.17%-135.06%
44
Neutral
$42.34M-1.687.11%69.85%
42
Neutral
$12.65M-0.61-35.18%-14.24%-104.12%
41
Neutral
$27.19M-0.2788.72%-85.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVO
LiveOne
5.27
-2.12
-28.69%
TOON
Kartoon Studios
0.56
0.03
5.44%
AGAE
Allied Gaming & Entertainment
0.31
-0.76
-70.75%
RDI
Reading International
1.03
-0.37
-26.43%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
2.92
-4.03
-57.99%

LiveOne Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
LiveOne Reports Q3 2026 Results, Highlights Profitability Gains
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

LiveOne reported its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2026 ended December 31, 2025, highlighting nine-month revenue of $58.2 million and Q3 revenue of $20.3 million, with the Audio division contributing $52.2 million year-to-date and $18.6 million in Q3. The company improved Q3 operating loss to $2.0 million from $5.1 million a year earlier, generated $1.6 million in adjusted EBITDA driven by $2.6 million from the Audio division, cut quarterly operating expenses by 52% through AI-driven efficiencies, expanded its share repurchase activity, advanced major distribution and OEM relationships, and continued to evaluate M&A options, underscoring management’s focus on profitable growth despite revenue pressure from reduced Slacker sales.

LiveOne also disclosed that its Fortune 250 partner revenue reached an annual run rate of more than $27 million, Tesla ad-supported users surpassed 1.3 million, and AI-driven marketing lifted average revenue per user by 60% and premium conversions by over 22%. During fiscal 2026 the company acquired additional PodcastOne shares and maintained positive segment profitability in audio, reinforcing its strategic emphasis on scaling the core audio business while tightening costs and signaling confidence in long-term shareholder value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVO) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LiveOne stock, see the LVO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LiveOne Announces Strong Preliminary Q3 Results and Cost Cuts
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, LiveOne reported preliminary, unaudited expectations for its third fiscal quarter and nine months ended December 31, 2025, projecting more than $57.9 million in fiscal 2026 year-to-date revenue, at least $19.9 million in Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue and over $1.0 million in Q3 adjusted EBITDA, representing roughly 200% quarter-over-quarter growth. Management highlighted that B2B partnerships with major platforms such as Amazon, YouTube, Spotify, Apple, Paramount, DAX, TextNow, Telly and AI partners Listener.com and Intuizi are driving growth, with over 100 potential deals in the pipeline, while aggressive cost-cutting measures—including a 52% year-over-year operating expense reduction, a targeted 34% headcount reduction by year-end through AI-driven optimization, and repayment of $2.5 million of debt—underscore a strategic shift toward leaner operations and improved scalability that could strengthen LiveOne’s financial profile and competitive position if the preliminary figures are confirmed.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVO) stock is a Sell with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LiveOne stock, see the LVO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
LiveOne Announces Corporate Presentation at Conferences
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

LiveOne, Inc. announced its intention to present and distribute its Corporate Presentation to the investment community at various industry conferences. The company reported a consolidated revenue of $114.4 million for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, and highlighted its strategic initiatives, including a stock repurchase program and digital asset treasury strategy. The announcement underscores LiveOne’s efforts to enhance shareholder value and maintain its competitive edge in the evolving digital entertainment industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVO) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LiveOne stock, see the LVO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026