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Fortescue Metals Group
(OTC:FSUGY)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(8.27% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/23/25
Fortescue Metals Group's stock is supported by strong technical indicators and a solid valuation, with a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. While financial performance is robust, recent declines in revenue and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration of Pilbara operations
Fortescue’s vertically integrated Pilbara model (mining, processing, rail haulage, port loading) secures shipment capacity and control of unit costs. This structural control reduces logistics risk, supports consistent volumes and durable cash generation across cycles, strengthening long-term competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and free cash flow growth
Observed declines in revenue and free cash flow growth reduce internal funding capacity for capex, dividends and strategic projects. If these trends persist, Fortescue may face slower organic expansion, tighter discretionary spending and greater reliance on external financing over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertical integration of Pilbara operations
Fortescue’s vertically integrated Pilbara model (mining, processing, rail haulage, port loading) secures shipment capacity and control of unit costs. This structural control reduces logistics risk, supports consistent volumes and durable cash generation across cycles, strengthening long-term competitiveness.
Read all positive factors
Fortescue Metals Group (FSUGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$40.91B
Dividend Yield4.63%
Average Volume (3M)676.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.7
Beta (1Y)1.38
Revenue Growth0.29%
EPS Growth-3.96%
CountryUS
Employees15,642
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.44
Shares Outstanding1,539,482,400
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume676
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.22
Price to Book (P/B)1.54
Price to Sales (P/S)1.99
P/FCF Ratio9.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.10
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.75
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.97
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.26
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Fortescue Metals Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Fortescue Metals Group Limited is a global mining enterprise primarily engaged in the full lifecycle of iron ore, encompassing exploration, development, extraction, processing, and worldwide distribution, with a significant presence in Australia a...
How the Company Makes Money
Fortescue makes most of its money by producing and selling iron ore products to steelmakers and commodity traders, with revenue primarily driven by (1) sales volumes shipped and (2) realized market prices for iron ore, typically referenced to wide...
Fortescue Metals Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.36B | 15.42B | 18.11B | 16.66B | 17.31B | 22.43B |
| Gross Profit | 6.45B | 8.75B | 11.53B | 8.85B | 9.16B | 15.51B |
| EBITDA | 8.54B | 7.56B | 10.51B | 8.68B | 10.40B | 16.18B |
| Net Income | 3.74B | 3.37B | 5.68B | 4.80B | 6.20B | 10.29B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 31.35B | 30.52B | 30.06B | 28.94B | 29.09B | 29.09B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.74B | 4.33B | 4.90B | 4.28B | 5.22B | 6.93B |
| Total Debt | 6.21B | 5.44B | 5.40B | 5.31B | 6.10B | 4.25B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.65B | 10.56B | 10.53B | 10.98B | 11.75B | 11.36B |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.74B | 19.98B | 19.55B | 17.95B | 17.33B | 17.73B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.00B | 3.24B | 5.08B | 4.44B | 3.62B | 9.17B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 7.21B | 6.47B | 7.92B | 7.31B | 6.27B | 12.58B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.81B | -3.92B | -2.81B | -3.08B | -2.91B | -3.69B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.17B | -3.19B | -4.46B | -4.91B | -4.81B | -6.80B |
Fortescue Metals Group Technical Analysis
Negative
30.48
Price Trends
28.96
Negative
28.63
Negative
27.98
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.80
Negative
45.87
Neutral
87.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSUGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.61, above the 50-day MA of 28.96, and above the 200-day MA of 27.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FSUGY.
Fortescue Metals Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $40.91B | 10.71 | 18.83% | 4.63% | 0.29% | -3.96% | |
74 Outperform | $208.50B | 20.65 | 21.41% | 3.55% | 1.04% | -9.88% | |
69 Neutral | $160.88B | 15.11 | 16.59% | 4.60% | 7.59% | -13.66% | |
69 Neutral | $1.92B | 8.90 | 20.95% | 1.14% | 16.41% | ― | |
66 Neutral | $60.59B | 21.48 | 7.68% | 10.04% | 4.64% | -51.66% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
51 Neutral | $9.04B | -117.26 | -3.49% | ― | 60.93% | 34.20% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
FSUGY
Fortescue Metals Group
26.71
6.13
29.79%
BHP
BHP Group
85.48
36.36
74.02%
RIO
Rio Tinto
93.62
36.88
65.01%
VALE
Vale SA
14.67
5.60
61.76%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
14.05
9.19
189.09%
MP
MP Materials
49.46
-9.09
-15.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.