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Fastly (FSLY)
NYSE:FSLY
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Fastly (FSLY) AI Stock Analysis

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FSLY

Fastly

(NYSE:FSLY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-6.81% Downside)
Fastly's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong earnings performance and technical momentum, offset by valuation challenges and ongoing profitability issues. The positive earnings call and technical indicators are significant strengths, while the negative P/E ratio and profitability concerns weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth, with a 15% YoY increase, indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Security Revenue Growth
The significant growth in security revenue highlights Fastly's successful expansion into high-demand services, enhancing competitive positioning.
Cross-Sell Success
Effective cross-selling strategies increase customer lifetime value and strengthen customer relationships, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses and negative profit margins indicate challenges in achieving profitability, which may hinder long-term financial stability.
Free Cash Flow Concerns
Negative free cash flow growth suggests potential issues in cash management, impacting the company's ability to reinvest and sustain operations.
Seasonality Concerns
Potential seasonality in revenue growth may lead to inconsistent financial performance, affecting strategic planning and investor confidence.

Fastly (FSLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fastly Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFastly, Inc. is a cloud computing services provider that specializes in content delivery network (CDN) services, enabling businesses to deliver their digital content quickly and securely to users across the globe. The company operates in the technology sector, focusing on edge cloud services that enhance website performance, security, and reliability. Fastly's core offerings include content delivery, edge computing, image optimization, and real-time analytics, catering primarily to developers and enterprises looking to improve their online presence.
How the Company Makes MoneyFastly generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, charging customers for its CDN services based on usage metrics such as data transfer and requests processed. The company has tiered pricing plans that cater to a variety of business sizes, allowing for scalability as customer needs grow. Key revenue streams include fees from data delivery, additional services like security features, and add-ons such as image optimization. Significant partnerships with major tech companies and integrations with platforms like AWS and Google Cloud also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing service offerings.

Fastly Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Count
Customer Count
Tracks the total number of customers, providing insight into market reach and growth potential as the company attracts new clients.
Chart InsightsFastly's customer count shows a notable decline at the end of 2024, but the recent earnings call reveals resilience with 19 new enterprise customers and a 4% increase in average enterprise spend. Despite geopolitical uncertainties affecting TikTok-related revenue, Fastly's diversification strategy is paying off, with revenue outside the top 10 customers growing 17% year-over-year. The company's focus on expanding its security portfolio and emerging products, along with improved cost controls, positions it well for anticipated 9% annual growth in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Fastly Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Fastly reported an outstanding quarter with record revenue, operating income, and free cash flow. Security revenue showed impressive growth, and successful cross-sell strategies were highlighted by a major win with a top 10 strategic account. However, there are some concerns about seasonality affecting Q4 growth and a discovered error in RPO calculation. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to strong financial performance and strategic achievements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Fastly's third quarter revenue was $158.2 million, exceeding the high end of guidance and marking a record high. Revenue growth accelerated to 15% year-over-year compared to 12% in the second quarter.
Strong Financial Performance
Fastly posted record operating income of $11.6 million, significantly above the $1 million guidance midpoint. The company also achieved a record quarterly free cash flow of $18 million.
Security Revenue Growth
Security revenue grew 30% year-over-year, comprising a record 21% of total revenue. This was due to the expansion of the security portfolio and successful cross-sell strategies.
Cross-Sell and Platform Expansion Success
Fastly's cross-sell motion accelerated, highlighted by a major multiproduct win with a top 10 strategic account. This customer now uses products across all three product lines.
Innovation and Product Enhancements
Fastly introduced additional security and AI enhancements, including API discovery and industry-first deception capabilities in their next-gen WAF.
Negative Updates
Seasonality Concerns
Despite strong Q3 performance, Q4 is expected to show only modest sequential revenue growth, suggesting potential seasonality challenges.
Error in RPO Calculation
During the third quarter, Fastly discovered an error in the historical calculation of RPO, which required a recast of historical RPO data.
Company Guidance
During Fastly's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company announced that it exceeded the high end of its guidance for both revenue and operating profit, achieving a record in free cash flow. Fastly reported Q3 revenue of $158.2 million, surpassing its guidance range of $149 million to $153 million, driven by a 15% year-over-year growth rate. The company's gross margin reached 62.8%, improving by 380 basis points sequentially. Fastly's operating income was $11.6 million, significantly above the $1 million guidance midpoint. The company also recorded a trailing 12-month net retention rate of 106% and a record quarterly free cash flow of $18 million. Security revenue grew 30% year-over-year, constituting 21% of total revenue, while network services revenue increased by 11%. Fastly raised its full-year guidance for revenue, profitability, and free cash flow, expecting an annual growth of 13% at the midpoint, with revenue anticipated between $610 million and $614 million.

Fastly Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fastly exhibits a mixed financial performance. While there is some revenue growth and improved cash flow, the company continues to face profitability challenges with negative margins and return on equity. The balance sheet shows a manageable level of debt, but the company needs to focus on enhancing operational efficiency and profitability to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Fastly's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has seen a modest revenue growth rate of 3.68% in the TTM, indicating a slowdown compared to previous years. Gross profit margin remains stable at around 53%, but the net profit margin is negative at -25.85%, reflecting ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational challenges. Despite some revenue growth, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.44, indicating a manageable level of leverage compared to previous years. However, return on equity is negative at -15.40%, reflecting continued losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but the company needs to improve profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 70.26% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, indicating some cash generation capability despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.53, suggesting better cash management. While cash flow is improving, sustained profitability is necessary for long-term stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue591.99M543.68M505.99M432.73M354.33M290.87M
Gross Profit320.51M295.94M266.33M209.78M187.33M170.87M
EBITDA-36.70M-79.07M-19.01M-120.48M-167.35M-80.81M
Net Income-139.06M-158.06M-133.09M-190.77M-222.70M-95.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47B1.45B1.53B1.90B2.16B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments342.91M295.88M322.72M517.97M527.86M194.18M
Total Debt408.91M404.66M433.32M833.54M1.05B90.53M
Total Liabilities533.64M486.11M545.70M940.96M1.15B158.09M
Stockholders Equity936.97M965.25M979.49M955.16M1.01B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.45M-20.81M-31.91M-149.95M-88.87M-57.43M
Operating Cash Flow77.23M16.41M362.00K-69.63M-38.48M-19.92M
Investing Cash Flow-178.27M178.90M294.94M235.75M-794.51M-275.02M
Financing Cash Flow-3.41M-17.10M-331.38M-189.15M936.55M272.74M

Fastly Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.34
Price Trends
50DMA
9.20
Positive
100DMA
8.20
Positive
200DMA
7.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Negative
RSI
70.17
Negative
STOCH
64.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.34, above the 50-day MA of 9.20, and above the 200-day MA of 7.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.17 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FSLY.

Fastly Risk Analysis

Fastly disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fastly reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fastly Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.01B-1.68%19.87%-136.93%
66
Neutral
-5.41%5.96%50.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.74B-14.59%9.45%11.76%
58
Neutral
$1.42B9.46-8.04%7.01%
52
Neutral
$1.32B-37.47%12.78%-20.47%
48
Neutral
$794.83M-15.41%71.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSLY
Fastly
12.34
4.42
55.81%
PD
PagerDuty
15.18
-5.83
-27.75%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
11.81
-1.61
-12.00%
BLND
Blend Labs
3.16
-2.03
-39.11%
MLNK
MeridianLink
20.01
-2.91
-12.70%
AMPL
Amplitude
9.98
-0.46
-4.41%

Fastly Corporate Events

Fastly, Inc. Achieves Record Revenue in Latest Earnings Call
Nov 7, 2025

Fastly, Inc. Reports Outstanding Quarter with Record Revenue and Strategic Wins

Fastly, Inc. Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

Fastly, Inc. is a leading provider of edge cloud platforms, offering solutions that enhance the performance and security of websites and applications across the globe. Operating in the technology sector, Fastly is known for its innovative approach to improving internet experiences for top brands worldwide.

Fastly, Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Aug 8, 2025

Fastly, Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a positive sentiment with significant achievements in revenue growth, record security revenue, and improved margins. The company highlighted strong cash flow and increased revenue guidance, overshadowing concerns about the CFO transition and reported net loss.

Fastly Reports Record Revenue and Positive Cash Flow
Aug 7, 2025

Fastly, Inc., a prominent player in the global edge cloud platform sector, is known for its innovative solutions that enhance online experiences through edge compute, delivery, security, and observability offerings. The company serves top brands worldwide, providing fast, secure, and engaging internet experiences.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025