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Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC)
NASDAQ:FRHC
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Freedom Holding (FRHC) AI Stock Analysis

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FRHC

Freedom Holding

(NASDAQ:FRHC)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$153.00
▲(12.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/11/26
Overall score reflects volatile financial performance (sharp recent revenue decline and inconsistent cash flow) offset by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and somewhat supportive corporate developments (capital raise and orderly CFO transition). Valuation is a notable headwind due to the high P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Capital Raise Strengthens Balance Sheet
A nearly $300M Regulation S offering materially increases available capital and liquidity, improving regulatory headroom and funding optionality. Over 2-6 months this supports underwriting, expansion, and buffers against market stress, enabling strategic investments without immediate reliance on volatile operating cash flow.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Cash Generation
Highly variable operating and free cash flows limit financial flexibility and increase reliance on external financing for growth or capital needs. Over months this volatility can constrain investment, raise refinancing risk, and complicate sustainable dividend or buyback policies if not normalized.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital Raise Strengthens Balance Sheet
A nearly $300M Regulation S offering materially increases available capital and liquidity, improving regulatory headroom and funding optionality. Over 2-6 months this supports underwriting, expansion, and buffers against market stress, enabling strategic investments without immediate reliance on volatile operating cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Freedom Holding Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Breaks down where Freedom Holding earns its revenue across countries and regions, showing geographic strengths and vulnerabilities. Heavy dependence on one market exposes the company to local economic downturns, currency moves, or regulatory shifts, while a more balanced footprint supports steadier growth.
Chart InsightsKazakhstan overwhelmingly drives Freedom Holding’s top line and is the source of most quarter-to-quarter volatility — a sharp mid-fiscal dip was followed by recovery to prior highs, signaling sensitivity to local market activity, trading volumes and possible FX or regulatory swings. Other markets (Armenia, Cyprus, US, Other) remain small and inconsistent, offering limited diversification; that concentration amplifies earnings risk unless management explicitly diversifies revenue or hedges Kazakhstan exposure.
Data provided by:The Fly

Freedom Holding (FRHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Freedom Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Freedom Holding Corp. operates as a diverse financial services organization, offering a broad spectrum of services through its network of subsidiaries. The company specializes in retail and corporate financial solutions, encompassing brokerage, in...
How the Company Makes Money
Freedom Holding generates revenue primarily through its financial-services subsidiaries. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Brokerage and trading-related income: commissions and fees charged to clients for executing securities transactions and p...

Freedom Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed and volatile fundamentals. Income statement shows strong multi-year growth and generally healthy margins, but the latest year features a sharp revenue decline and choppy net margin. Balance sheet expansion and historically strong ROE are positives, yet leverage is meaningful for a capital markets model. Cash flow is the biggest weakness: operating and free cash flow have been inconsistent with multi-year negative periods and a return to slightly negative free cash flow most recently, reducing confidence in durability.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
36
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.19B2.03B1.66B795.69M689.79M
Gross Profit1.58B1.07B1.16B570.88M503.15M
EBITDA749.56M666.00M951.09M450.02M444.06M
Net Income153.33M84.65M375.54M205.14M227.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.16B9.91B8.30B5.08B3.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.31B3.59B4.45B3.23B1.55B
Total Debt2.33B1.95B3.07B1.61B885.66M
Total Liabilities11.67B8.70B7.13B4.31B2.68B
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.21B1.16B777.28M553.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.16M1.59B-1.11B-990.23M-411.99M
Operating Cash Flow160.61M1.68B-1.06B-951.68M-406.37M
Investing Cash Flow-1.02B-905.47M-638.22M-1.46B-146.32M
Financing Cash Flow1.19B-1.58M1.67B2.13B618.53M

Freedom Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price135.91
Price Trends
50DMA
145.32
Positive
100DMA
143.80
Positive
200DMA
140.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.43
Negative
RSI
52.45
Neutral
STOCH
48.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 147.82, below the 50-day MA of 145.32, and below the 200-day MA of 140.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRHC.

Freedom Holding Risk Analysis

Freedom Holding disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Freedom Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Freedom Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.21B17.7541.05%0.95%47.30%68.64%
73
Outperform
$9.74B21.9118.79%1.33%9.48%5.23%
71
Outperform
$11.84B9.3015.14%1.43%9.07%45.94%
68
Neutral
$8.62B8.5422.01%1.10%10.28%17.87%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$12.65B14.797.08%2.52%29.74%35.56%
56
Neutral
$9.36B59.6411.50%5.54%71.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRHC
Freedom Holding
152.69
-24.15
-13.66%
EVR
Evercore Partners
341.54
51.32
17.68%
JEF
Jefferies
54.87
0.74
1.36%
SF
Stifel Financial
77.16
5.86
8.22%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
140.01
-51.67
-26.96%
XP
XP
16.67
0.09
0.57%

Freedom Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Freedom Holding Board Member Resigns, Governance Slightly Reshaped
Neutral
Jul 10, 2026
On July 8, 2026, Freedom Holding Corp. announced that board member Kairat Kelimbetov resigned from its Board of Directors, effective immediately, with the company stating his departure was not connected to any disagreement over operations, policie...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Freedom Holding Raises $300M in Offshore Share Offering
Positive
Jul 10, 2026
On July 10, 2026, Freedom Holding Corp. completed an offshore offering of 2,374,356 shares of its common stock to non U.S. persons under Regulation S, raising nearly US$300 million in gross proceeds. The transaction was structured as a Category 3 ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Freedom Holding Names New CFO Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Freedom Holding Corp. announced that long-serving Chief Financial Officer Evgeny Ler resigned from his role, ending a tenure that began in 2015, and transitioned to a special advisor position to CEO Timur Turlov with a focus on f...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Freedom Holding Launches $300 Million International Stock Offering
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
On June 12, 2026, Freedom Holding Corp. announced it had launched an offering of its common stock for aggregate proceeds of up to US$300 million, with bookbuilding scheduled to begin in the week of June 15, 2026. The offering price was set at US$1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2026