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Fabrinet (FN)
NYSE:FN
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Fabrinet (FN) AI Stock Analysis

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FN

Fabrinet

(NYSE:FN)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$327.00
▼(-9.71% Downside)
Fabrinet's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Telecom and DCI Growth
Significant growth in telecom and DCI segments highlights Fabrinet's competitive positioning in high-demand markets, ensuring future revenue streams.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with minimal leverage enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow could impact Fabrinet's ability to fund operations and growth, necessitating careful cash management to maintain financial health.
Datacom Revenue Challenges
Challenges in the datacom segment due to supply constraints may affect short-term revenue, requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate impacts.
Automotive Revenue Decline
A decline in automotive revenue after rapid growth could signal market saturation or competitive pressures, impacting future revenue potential.

Fabrinet (FN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fabrinet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, advanced packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances. The company's products also comprise tunable lasers, transceivers, and transponders; and active optical cables, which provide high-speed interconnect capabilities for data centers and computing clusters, as well as Infiniband, Ethernet, fiber channel, and optical backplane connectivity. In addition, it provides solid state, diode-pumped, gas, and fiber lasers used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology and medical device, metrology, and material processing industries; and differential pressure, micro-gyro, fuel, and other sensors used in automobiles, as well as non-contact temperature measurement sensors for the medical industry. Further, the company designs and fabricates application-specific crystals, lenses, prisms, mirrors, laser components, and substrates; and other custom and standard borosilicate, clear fused quartz, and synthetic fused silica glass products. It serves original equipment manufacturers of optical communication components, modules and sub-systems, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.
How the Company Makes MoneyFabrinet generates revenue primarily through the provision of manufacturing services and the sale of optical components. The company operates on a contract manufacturing model, where it partners with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other technology companies to produce custom optical products according to their specifications. Key revenue streams include sales of laser modules, transceivers, and other optical components, as well as engineering and design services. Significant partnerships with major players in the telecommunications and data communications sectors contribute to Fabrinet's earnings, as these relationships often result in long-term contracts and repeat business. Additionally, the company's ability to scale production and maintain high-quality standards allows it to optimize operational efficiency, further enhancing its profitability.

Fabrinet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenue and earnings, significant growth in telecom and DCI segments, and promising partnerships and expansions. However, these positives were somewhat offset by challenges in the datacom segment due to supply constraints and a decline in automotive revenue. The company remains optimistic about overcoming these issues and continuing its growth trajectory.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Fourth Quarter Revenue
Fourth quarter revenue was $910 million, above the guidance range and up 21% year-over-year and 4% from Q3.
Full Year Fiscal 2025 Performance
Revenue reached a record $3.4 billion, representing a robust 19% increase over the prior year with non-GAAP EPS hitting an all-time high at $10.17.
Successful Telecom and DCI Growth
Telecom revenue increased 46% from a year ago, driven by system programs and demand for data center interconnect (DCI) products.
New Partnerships and Expansions
Established a significant partnership with Amazon Web Services, and started construction on Building 10 to add 2 million square feet of capacity.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $126 million to shareholders through buyback program, with continued repurchases expected in fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Datacom Revenue Challenges
Datacom revenue was down 12% year-over-year, although it increased 10% sequentially. The segment is facing temporary component supply challenges.
Supply Constraints Impacting Growth
Surging demand for 1.6T transceivers is being met with near-term supply constraints for some critical components, expected to cause a sequential dip in datacom revenue in Q1.
Automotive Revenue Decline
Automotive revenue experienced a modest quarterly decline following several quarters of rapid growth.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Fabrinet reported revenues of $910 million, surpassing their guidance range and marking a 21% increase from the previous year and a 4% rise from the third quarter. The company achieved record non-GAAP earnings of $2.65 per share, with full-year fiscal 2025 revenue reaching $3.4 billion, a 19% increase year-over-year, and non-GAAP EPS hitting an all-time high of $10.17. Telecom revenue grew 46% from the previous year, driven by data center interconnect (DCI) products, which made up 12% of total revenue at $107 million. Despite a 12% year-over-year decline, datacom revenue improved 10% sequentially. The company also announced plans to accelerate the construction of Building 10 to meet growing customer demand. Guidance for Q1 of fiscal 2026 includes anticipated revenues between $910 million and $950 million, with projected earnings per share ranging from $2.75 to $2.90.

Fabrinet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fabrinet exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The balance sheet is particularly strong, with minimal leverage and high equity levels, reducing financial risk. However, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention to ensure sustainable cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fabrinet has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable 4.79% increase in the latest period. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 12.09% and a net profit margin of 9.72%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 10.39% and 11.95%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0028, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is strong at 16.78%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 69.98%, showcasing a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
While operating cash flow remains strong, the free cash flow has decreased by 24.22% in the latest period, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, though there is room for improvement in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.42B3.42B2.88B2.65B2.26B1.88B
Gross Profit413.35M413.35M356.12M336.27M278.59M221.36M
EBITDA408.61M408.61M360.50M305.40M246.14M187.84M
Net Income332.53M332.53M296.18M247.91M200.38M148.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.83B2.83B2.34B1.98B1.84B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments934.24M934.24M858.60M550.47M478.15M547.93M
Total Debt5.47M5.47M4.99M13.42M31.15M45.96M
Total Liabilities849.62M849.62M592.77M510.99M581.96M503.60M
Stockholders Equity1.98B1.98B1.75B1.47B1.25B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow206.78M206.55M365.62M151.04M33.66M74.18M
Operating Cash Flow328.37M328.37M413.15M213.31M124.25M122.16M
Investing Cash Flow-286.30M-286.30M-169.75M-98.72M-135.54M-8.93M
Financing Cash Flow-147.01M-147.01M-64.85M-80.98M-92.93M-42.75M

Fabrinet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price362.16
Price Trends
50DMA
320.16
Positive
100DMA
276.93
Positive
200DMA
247.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.06
Negative
RSI
60.29
Neutral
STOCH
82.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 362.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 332.87, above the 50-day MA of 320.16, and above the 200-day MA of 247.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FN.

Fabrinet Risk Analysis

Fabrinet disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fabrinet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fabrinet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.53B26.2511.58%5.87%20.66%
77
Outperform
$3.80B23.9512.12%2.31%48.63%
74
Outperform
$7.79B28.1111.12%0.76%4.47%2887.37%
72
Outperform
$12.94B39.4917.84%18.60%12.99%
67
Neutral
$23.00B41.9432.41%0.15%-6.13%-53.35%
61
Neutral
$36.70B12.21-10.39%1.84%8.50%-7.32%
60
Neutral
$16.12B0.63%23.42%71.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FN
Fabrinet
362.16
132.12
57.43%
COHR
Coherent Corp
103.51
25.53
32.74%
JBL
Jabil
214.28
108.59
102.74%
MKSI
MKS
116.00
5.13
4.63%
PLXS
Plexus
140.78
14.57
11.54%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
117.75
50.67
75.54%

Fabrinet Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Fabrinet Adopts New Executive Incentive Plan
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Fabrinet‘s Compensation Committee adopted an executive incentive plan for fiscal 2026, aiming to motivate executives by rewarding them based on financial performance metrics. The plan includes cash bonuses and equity awards, with specific targets for revenue and operating margins. Additionally, Fabrinet announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, reporting record revenues and a 19% year-over-year increase. The company achieved $910 million in fourth-quarter revenue and $3.4 billion for the fiscal year, highlighting strong demand across its business sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2025