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Fabrinet (FN)
NYSE:FN

Fabrinet (FN) AI Stock Analysis

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Fabrinet

(NYSE:FN)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$545.00
▲(13.94% Upside)
Fabrinet's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are slightly offset by technical indicators suggesting potential overbought conditions and a high P/E ratio indicating overvaluation. The recent board appointment adds a positive strategic dimension.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Fabrinet's products and services, enhancing its market position and financial stability.
Telecom Revenue Surge
The surge in telecom revenue underscores Fabrinet's competitive advantage in high-demand sectors, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Leadership Continuity
Leadership continuity with Seamus Grady as Chairman ensures strategic stability and ongoing execution of long-term growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Datacom Revenue Decline
Declining datacom revenue highlights potential challenges in maintaining growth across all business segments, impacting diversification.
Gross Margin Decline
A decline in gross margin could pressure profitability if cost management does not improve, affecting long-term financial health.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit Fabrinet's ability to invest in new opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.

Fabrinet (FN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fabrinet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, advanced packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances. The company's products also comprise tunable lasers, transceivers, and transponders; and active optical cables, which provide high-speed interconnect capabilities for data centers and computing clusters, as well as Infiniband, Ethernet, fiber channel, and optical backplane connectivity. In addition, it provides solid state, diode-pumped, gas, and fiber lasers used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology and medical device, metrology, and material processing industries; and differential pressure, micro-gyro, fuel, and other sensors used in automobiles, as well as non-contact temperature measurement sensors for the medical industry. Further, the company designs and fabricates application-specific crystals, lenses, prisms, mirrors, laser components, and substrates; and other custom and standard borosilicate, clear fused quartz, and synthetic fused silica glass products. It serves original equipment manufacturers of optical communication components, modules and sub-systems, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.
How the Company Makes MoneyFabrinet generates revenue through its contract manufacturing services, primarily by producing optical components and systems for various high-tech industries. The company operates on a business model that focuses on long-term partnerships with key clients, allowing for a stable revenue stream from recurring contracts. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing of optical components, assembly of electro-mechanical systems, and value-added services such as testing and logistics. Additionally, Fabrinet benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, which enhance profitability. Significant partnerships with major companies in the telecommunications and data center sectors further contribute to its earnings, as these clients often require high-volume production and specialized manufacturing expertise.

Fabrinet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call depicted a strong start to fiscal year 2026 with record revenues and earnings, driven by significant growth in telecom and the introduction of a high-performance computing program. However, challenges such as declines in datacom and automotive revenues, and a slight decrease in gross margin were noted. The outlook for Q2 remains optimistic with continued growth expected.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Earnings
First quarter revenue reached a record $978 million, marking a 22% increase from the previous year and an 8% increase from Q4. Non-GAAP earnings were $2.92 per share, exceeding guidance ranges.
Telecom Revenue Surge
Telecom revenue hit a new record of $412 million, representing a 59% increase from a year ago and 15% from Q4, driven primarily by demand for data center interconnect products.
High-Performance Computing Program Launch
Introduced and ramped the first HPC program, contributing $15 million to revenue. This program is expected to scale significantly over the coming quarters.
Strong Growth in Optical Communications
Optical Communications revenue totaled $747 million, up 19% from a year ago and 8% from Q4, driven by strong telecom demand.
Positive Outlook for Q2
Guidance for second quarter revenue is between $1.05 billion and $1.1 billion, indicating a 29% growth from a year ago at the midpoint. Anticipated EPS is between $3.15 and $3.30.
Negative Updates
Datacom Revenue Decline
Datacom revenue decreased by 17% from a year ago and 1% from Q4 due to longer lead times for critical components.
Automotive Revenue Decrease
Automotive revenue of $122 million was down 5% from Q4 despite being up 19% from a year ago.
Gross Margin Decline
First quarter gross margin fell by 30 basis points from Q4 to 12.3%, attributed to FX headwinds and seasonal impacts.
Company Guidance
During Fabrinet's first quarter of fiscal year 2026 conference call, the company reported record revenue of $978 million, marking a 22% increase year-over-year and an 8% rise from the previous quarter. Non-GAAP earnings per share also reached a record $2.92, despite a $2 million foreign exchange revaluation loss. Key growth drivers included a 59% increase in telecom revenue from the previous year and a 15% sequential rise, fueled by data center interconnect (DCI) products, with DCI revenue alone surging 92% year-over-year. The introduction of a high-performance computing (HPC) revenue category contributed $15 million, expected to scale significantly. Looking ahead, Fabrinet anticipates second-quarter revenue between $1.05 billion and $1.1 billion, representing a 29% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with earnings per share projected between $3.15 and $3.30. The company plans to continue investing in growth, including the construction of Building 10, set to expand capacity by 2 million square feet by the end of calendar 2026.

Fabrinet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fabrinet demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with minimal leverage, although there is a slight decline in free cash flow growth. Overall, the company is well-managed with a positive outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fabrinet's income statement shows strong performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.09% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 12.09% and a net profit margin of 9.72% TTM, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 10.39% and 11.95% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Fabrinet's balance sheet is solid, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0028 TTM, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 17.60% TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 68.51% TTM highlights a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.72% TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.99 TTM and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 TTM indicate that the company is generating sufficient cash to cover its net income, ensuring liquidity and operational stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.59B3.42B2.88B2.65B2.26B1.88B
Gross Profit430.76M413.35M356.12M336.27M278.59M221.36M
EBITDA431.39M408.61M360.50M305.40M246.14M187.84M
Net Income348.10M332.53M296.18M247.91M200.38M148.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01B2.83B2.34B1.98B1.84B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments968.77M934.24M858.60M550.47M478.15M547.93M
Total Debt5.16M5.47M4.99M13.42M31.15M45.96M
Total Liabilities947.60M849.62M592.77M510.99M581.96M503.60M
Stockholders Equity2.06B1.98B1.75B1.47B1.25B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow201.15M206.55M365.62M151.04M33.66M74.18M
Operating Cash Flow347.75M328.37M413.15M213.31M124.25M122.16M
Investing Cash Flow-295.26M-286.30M-169.75M-98.72M-135.54M-8.93M
Financing Cash Flow-149.75M-147.01M-64.85M-80.98M-92.93M-42.75M

Fabrinet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price478.32
Price Trends
50DMA
446.41
Positive
100DMA
399.15
Positive
200DMA
320.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.53
Positive
RSI
54.49
Neutral
STOCH
66.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 478.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 472.97, above the 50-day MA of 446.41, and above the 200-day MA of 320.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FN.

Fabrinet Risk Analysis

Fabrinet disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fabrinet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fabrinet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.42B34.6410.81%7.40%13.79%
78
Outperform
$17.14B49.3018.06%19.71%14.83%
75
Outperform
$4.13B24.6112.44%1.82%56.52%
75
Outperform
$11.03B39.9311.12%0.54%8.13%780.20%
73
Outperform
$25.22B36.7247.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
66
Neutral
$30.13B276.293.08%20.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FN
Fabrinet
478.32
263.56
122.72%
COHR
Coherent Corp
191.72
96.88
102.15%
JBL
Jabil
236.11
92.54
64.46%
MKSI
MKS
164.19
60.99
59.10%
PLXS
Plexus
154.22
-2.47
-1.58%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
154.34
78.70
104.05%

Fabrinet Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fabrinet Holds 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Fabrinet, a company involved in the manufacturing sector, held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. At the meeting, approximately 95% of the total shares entitled to vote were represented. The shareholders elected Dr. Homa Bahrami and Caroline Dowling as Class I directors for a three-year term. Additionally, the shareholders ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers ABAS Ltd. as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending June 26, 2026, and approved the compensation of Fabrinet’s named executive officers.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fabrinet Founder David Mitchell Retires as Chairman
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 13, 2025, David T. Mitchell, the founder and Chairman of Fabrinet, announced his retirement from the Board after 25 years of leadership. Under his guidance, Fabrinet evolved from a startup to a global manufacturing leader with a revenue exceeding $3.4 billion in fiscal year 2025. The Board appointed CEO Seamus Grady as the new Chairman, ensuring continuity in leadership. Mitchell’s tenure was marked by a commitment to innovation and customer service, which positioned Fabrinet as a trusted partner to leading OEMs worldwide.

Executive/Board Changes
Fabrinet Appoints Caroline Dowling to Board
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Fabrinet appointed Caroline Dowling to its Board of Directors as a Class I director. Ms. Dowling brings extensive experience in the technology sector, having spent over 20 years at Flex, where she led various divisions and managed complex supply chains. Her appointment is expected to enhance Fabrinet’s board with her demonstrated leadership in manufacturing and supply chain management, potentially driving long-term value for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025