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Freddie Mac (FMCC)
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Freddie Mac (FMCC) AI Stock Analysis

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FMCC

Freddie Mac

(OTC:FMCC)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(5.04% Upside)
Freddie Mac's stock score is primarily influenced by its solid financial performance, which is offset by high leverage and cash flow volatility. Technical indicators point to a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events leaves the financial performance as the most significant factor.

Freddie Mac (FMCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Freddie Mac Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFederal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States. The company purchases single-family and multifamily residential mortgage loans originated by lenders, as well as invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates through two segments, Single-family and Multifamily. The Single-family segment purchases, securitizes, and guarantees single-family loans; and manages single-family mortgage credit risk, as well as manages mortgage-related investments portfolio, single-family securitization activities, and treasury functions. This segment serves mortgage banking companies, commercial banks, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, housing finance agencies, savings institutions, and non-depository financial institutions. The Multifamily segment engages in the purchase, sale, securitization, and guarantee of multifamily loans and securities through the issuance of multifamily K and SB certificates; issuing and guarantying other securitization products; issuing other credit risk transfer products; and provision of other mortgage-related guarantees. It serves banks and other depository institutions, insurance companies, money managers, central banks, pension funds, state and local governments, real estate investment trusts, brokers and dealers, and a range of lenders. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFreddie Mac generates revenue primarily through its purchase and securitization of mortgages, which involves buying loans from lenders and converting them into MBS that are sold to investors. The company earns money from the difference between the interest income on the mortgages it holds and the interest it pays on the MBS it issues. Additionally, Freddie Mac collects guarantee fees from lenders for the credit risk associated with the mortgages it guarantees, which is a significant source of revenue. The company also benefits from various partnerships with financial institutions and government entities that help facilitate its operations and expand its market reach. Factors such as the overall health of the housing market, interest rates, and regulatory changes also play a critical role in influencing Freddie Mac's earnings.

Freddie Mac Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Freddie Mac's Q3 2024 earnings call presented strong financial growth and effective execution of its mission to support affordable housing, despite minor increases in delinquency rates and decreased noninterest income due to lower investment gains.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Freddie Mac reported a net income of $3.1 billion for Q3 2024, representing a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by higher net revenues and lower noninterest expenses.
Increased Net Worth
The company's net worth increased to $56 billion, a 26% increase year-over-year.
Single Family Segment Performance
The single family segment reported net income of $2.6 billion, up 11% from the prior year quarter. New business activity increased by 15% to $98 billion.
Multifamily Segment Growth
Multifamily net income was $532 million, up 47% year-over-year, with a 5% increase in the multifamily mortgage portfolio to $452 billion.
Affordable Housing Initiatives
51% of eligible purchase and refinance loans were affordable to low and moderate income families, and 94% of eligible rental units financed were affordable.
Negative Updates
Slight Increase in Delinquency Rates
The single-family serious delinquency rate increased by 4 basis points to 54 basis points. The multifamily delinquency rate increased by 1 basis point to 39 basis points.
Lower Investment Gains
There was a $102 million decrease in noninterest income, primarily due to lower investment gains compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2024, Freddie Mac reported robust financial performance, earning $3.1 billion, which marked a 16% year-over-year increase in net income. The company's net worth rose to $56 billion, supported by net revenues of $5.8 billion, up 3% from the previous year. This growth was driven by a 5% increase in net interest income, attributed to lower debt-related expenses and mortgage portfolio expansion, which reached $3.5 trillion. The single-family segment reported $2.6 billion in net income, with a 2% portfolio increase, while the multifamily segment achieved a 47% rise in net income, largely due to a credit reserve release. Freddie Mac continued its commitment to affordable housing, with 51% of home purchases supporting first-time buyers and 68% of financed multifamily units affordable to low-income families. Additionally, the company made strides in sustainability, introducing minimum lease standards for multifamily properties and offering forbearance options for homeowners affected by natural disasters.

Freddie Mac Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Freddie Mac demonstrates strong profitability and revenue growth, supported by effective cost management. However, the high leverage typical of the mortgage industry poses risks, especially if economic conditions worsen. Cash flow generation is solid but historically volatile, necessitating careful liquidity management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Freddie Mac's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth trajectory, albeit at a slower pace recently. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin and a strong net profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin has shown some volatility, which could suggest fluctuations in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, typical for the financial industry, but it poses a risk if interest rates rise. The return on equity remains strong, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing, which could be a concern if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Freddie Mac's cash flow statement indicates robust free cash flow generation, with a positive growth rate in the most recent period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash generation is aligned with reported earnings, enhancing reliability. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.14B122.05B21.23B21.26B21.95B16.66B
Gross Profit50.51B23.44B21.23B19.42B21.95B16.66B
EBITDA93.28B112.92B13.20B77.06B18.29B9.23B
Net Income11.18B11.86B10.54B9.33B12.11B7.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.47T3.39T3.28T3.21T3.03T2.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.48B61.30B5.04B12.19B12.47B21.88B
Total Debt3.38T3.30T3.21T3.15T2.98T2.59T
Total Liabilities3.40T3.33T3.23T3.17T3.00T2.61T
Stockholders Equity67.60B59.58B47.72B37.02B28.03B16.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.89B6.63B7.62B11.93B16.35B907.00M
Operating Cash Flow15.89B6.63B7.62B11.93B16.35B907.00M
Investing Cash Flow-13.54B9.62B44.25B11.40B24.25B-83.36B
Financing Cash Flow-2.58B-16.74B-52.21B-27.11B-54.34B101.15B

Freddie Mac Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.52
Price Trends
50DMA
11.45
Negative
100DMA
9.69
Negative
200DMA
7.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Positive
RSI
41.36
Neutral
STOCH
38.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.26, below the 50-day MA of 11.45, and above the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FMCC.

Freddie Mac Risk Analysis

Freddie Mac disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Freddie Mac reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Freddie Mac Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.59B13.6612.55%0.99%25.42%190.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
2.27%-17.46%
56
Neutral
$6.48B18.03%8.26%81.01%
49
Neutral
$45.48B215.11-2.15%22.56%
48
Neutral
$8.32B11.37%7.07%-8.66%
41
Neutral
$922.76M-7.93-25.72%3.91%27.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMCC
Freddie Mac
9.52
6.71
238.79%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
129.50
25.94
25.05%
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
210.79
110.54
110.26%
LDI
loanDepot
2.92
0.15
5.42%
UWMC
UWM Holding
5.47
-0.11
-1.97%
RKT
Rocket Companies
17.85
3.15
21.43%

Freddie Mac Corporate Events

Freddie Mac Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Housing Impact
Oct 31, 2025

Freddie Mac, a prominent player in the housing finance sector, is dedicated to promoting liquidity, stability, affordability, and equity in the housing market. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Freddie Mac announced a net income of $2.8 billion, a decrease of 11% compared to the previous year, largely due to an increase in credit reserves. The company financed 483,000 homes and rental units, with a significant portion aimed at low- to moderate-income families.

Business Operations and Strategy
Freddie Mac Launches Tender Offer for STACR Notes
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Freddie Mac announced the commencement of a fixed-price cash tender offer for the purchase of certain STACR Notes. The offer, managed by Wells Fargo Securities, Cantor Fitzgerald, and CastleOak Securities, will expire on October 16, 2025, unless extended. This move is part of Freddie Mac’s strategy to manage its credit risk exposure and could impact stakeholders by potentially altering the market dynamics of these securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMCC) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Freddie Mac stock, see the FMCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Freddie Mac’s Interim CEO to Continue Until December
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Michael T. Hutchins informed Freddie Mac that he will continue in his roles as President and Interim CEO until a permanent CEO is appointed or until December 19, 2025. This decision ensures leadership continuity at Freddie Mac during the ongoing search for a permanent CEO, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMCC) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Freddie Mac stock, see the FMCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Freddie Mac Updates Bylaws Amid Conservatorship
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Freddie Mac amended and restated its Bylaws to include an introductory paragraph summarizing the authority of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) while the company is in conservatorship and to modify sections related to the role of Vice Chair of the Board. These changes reflect the company’s ongoing adjustments to its governance structure, potentially impacting its operational oversight and strategic direction in the financial services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMCC) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Freddie Mac stock, see the FMCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2025