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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI)
NASDAQ:FGBI
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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) AI Stock Analysis

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FGBI

First Guaranty Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FGBI)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(39.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is held back mainly by deteriorating financial performance (recent revenue declines and sizable losses, with volatile cash flow). Technicals are mixed with near-term weakness, while valuation and positive corporate actions (including a capital-enhancing Texas exit) provide partial support.
Positive Factors
Capital boost from Texas exit
Selling the Texas operations and shedding ~$270M deposits and ~$110M loans is a structural capital move that should permanently improve regulatory leverage. A ~100bp Tier 1 boost increases cushion for lending, reduces capital strain, and supports execution of core-market strategies over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue and profitability deterioration
A marked structural decline in revenue and the shift to sizable operating losses indicate weakened core banking performance and margin pressure. Persistently lower loan yields, deposit mix shifts, or credit-related costs could constrain sustainable earnings and impair ability to rebuild retained capital over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital boost from Texas exit
Selling the Texas operations and shedding ~$270M deposits and ~$110M loans is a structural capital move that should permanently improve regulatory leverage. A ~100bp Tier 1 boost increases cushion for lending, reduces capital strain, and supports execution of core-market strategies over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First Guaranty Bank that provides commercial banking services in Louisiana and Texas. It offers various deposit products, including personal and business checking, savings, money ...
How the Company Makes Money
FGBI primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income and (2) earning noninterest income/fees. Net interest income is typically the largest revenue source for a community bank: the bank collects interest a...

First Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials have weakened materially: revenue declined sharply in 2025 and TTM and profitability flipped from prior-year gains to sizable losses. The balance sheet is mixed (historically elevated leverage and negative recent ROE, with a TTM snapshot showing zero debt), while cash flow is unstable (negative in 2025, positive again in TTM).
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
39
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.32M195.96M244.78M191.78M145.84M120.92M
Gross Profit23.46M-12.11M91.47M89.76M105.64M96.56M
EBITDA-56.17M-68.56M20.44M15.92M40.50M39.23M
Net Income-47.11M-56.02M12.45M9.22M28.88M27.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.96B4.08B3.97B3.55B3.15B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments733.22M845.70M845.13M369.60M214.25M472.37M
Total Debt197.08M186.13M201.92M275.40M183.37M49.63M
Total Liabilities3.73B3.85B3.72B3.30B2.92B2.65B
Stockholders Equity223.99M226.22M255.05M249.63M234.99M223.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.11M-9.98M30.68M6.76M34.22M24.32M
Operating Cash Flow36.92M-8.28M33.73M21.71M36.87M26.52M
Investing Cash Flow-93.21M129.90M-142.07M-206.09M-467.91M-452.64M
Financing Cash Flow171.63M159.88M386.09M387.61M252.33M388.45M

First Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.44
Price Trends
50DMA
9.02
Negative
100DMA
8.64
Positive
200DMA
7.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
44.51
Neutral
STOCH
27.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.10, below the 50-day MA of 9.02, and below the 200-day MA of 7.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGBI.

First Guaranty Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Guaranty Bancshares disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Guaranty Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$175.96M10.108.29%2.93%3.88%40.69%
70
Outperform
$137.07M14.856.95%4.88%53.05%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$175.93M18.867.42%36.10%
58
Neutral
$146.35M17.315.92%0.97%0.68%199.51%
51
Neutral
$146.53M11.69-20.17%0.84%-6.78%-2658.21%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGBI
First Guaranty Bancshares
8.90
-0.40
-4.27%
EBMT
Eagle Bancorp Montana
22.20
5.95
36.63%
AFBI
Affinity Bancshares
22.50
4.18
22.82%
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp
15.76
4.55
40.59%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
32.17
2.13
7.08%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
18.47
2.19
13.45%

First Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Guaranty Bancshares Shareholders Back Board and Auditors
Positive
May 22, 2026
At its annual meeting of shareholders held on May 21, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. reported that investors elected all nominated directors to the board, including Vanessa R. Drew, Betsy K. Hood, Bruce McAnally, Marshall T. Reynolds, Jack ...
Business Operations and Strategy
First Guaranty Bancshares Ends Sale-Leaseback, Buys Back Branches
Neutral
May 5, 2026
On April 29, 2026, First Guaranty Bank repurchased three previously sold properties—two stand-alone branches and part of its headquarters building containing a branch—from related-party entity FGB Partners for $14.77 million in cash. T...
Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Preferred Stock Dividend
Positive
May 1, 2026
On April 16, 2026, the Board of Directors of First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $16.875 per share on its 6.75% Series A Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, with each outstanding depositary share ...
Executive/Board Changes
First Guaranty Bancshares Appoints Betsy Hood to Board
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. elected Betsy K. Hood to its Board of Directors on April 16, 2026, adding a leader with more than 25 years of experience in the retail automotive industry. Hood, Dealer Principal of Hood Automotive Group and preside...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
First Guaranty Amends Insider Notes to Boost Flexibility
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 20, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. executed a second amendment to its promissory note with Smith Tate Investment, L.L.C., a firm controlled by director and principal shareholder Edgar Ray Smith III. The amendment extends the waive...
Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares 131st Consecutive Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Mar 17, 2026
On February 19, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on its outstanding common stock. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of reco...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Guaranty Bancshares to Exit Texas Operations
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
On March 10, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced it had signed a definitive purchase and assumption agreement to sell its Texas operations, including five branches in the Dallas‑Fort Worth metroplex and Waco, to Armstrong Bank of...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026