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Affinity Bancshares (AFBI)
NASDAQ:AFBI
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Affinity Bancshares (AFBI) AI Stock Analysis

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AFBI

Affinity Bancshares

(NASDAQ:AFBI)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(8.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving margins, strong cash conversion, manageable leverage) but tempered by the steep TTM revenue decline. Technicals are supportive but somewhat stretched (high RSI). Valuation is reasonable rather than compelling, while the merger developments provide a meaningful positive catalyst with typical integration risks.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow conversion
Very high earnings-to-FCF conversion (~0.98x) and TTM FCF of about $13.9M indicate strong cash generation and earnings quality. Durable cash flow supports capital allocation, buffers cyclical stress, funds integration costs or buybacks, and underpins sustainable operations over months.
Negative Factors
Steep TTM revenue decline
A roughly 45% TTM revenue drop is a significant durability concern: it can erode absolute earnings, reduce operating leverage benefits and strain client relationships. Even with margin gains, sustained top-line weakness limits long-term growth and increases reliance on non-core actions to preserve earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow conversion
Very high earnings-to-FCF conversion (~0.98x) and TTM FCF of about $13.9M indicate strong cash generation and earnings quality. Durable cash flow supports capital allocation, buffers cyclical stress, funds integration costs or buybacks, and underpins sustainable operations over months.
Read all positive factors

Affinity Bancshares (AFBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Affinity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Affinity Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for Affinity Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including savings accounts, checking a...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Affinity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are generally solid: profitability has improved (TTM net margin ~16.7% and EBIT margin ~21.4%), cash generation is strong with high earnings-to-FCF conversion (~0.98x), and leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.42). The main weakness is a sharp TTM revenue decline (~-44.8%), which is a meaningful near-term risk to earnings durability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.70M52.93M49.99M45.17M34.54M35.13M
Gross Profit32.73M32.94M30.74M29.71M31.45M30.88M
EBITDA12.00M11.96M7.72M9.12M9.66M10.59M
Net Income8.79M8.33M5.44M6.45M7.13M7.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets924.68M881.70M866.82M843.26M791.28M788.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.85M71.04M77.93M98.59M72.52M160.33M
Total Debt54.00M54.00M58.81M40.00M10.03M48.99M
Total Liabilities795.21M754.68M737.70M721.74M674.18M667.12M
Stockholders Equity129.46M127.02M129.12M121.52M117.10M120.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.82M11.22M6.37M7.34M6.17M11.02M
Operating Cash Flow14.13M11.64M6.79M7.87M7.57M11.85M
Investing Cash Flow1.25M-1.24M-33.24M-28.14M-93.72M-9.62M
Financing Cash Flow-731.00K2.02M17.85M43.97M701.00K-68.70M

Affinity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.95
Price Trends
50DMA
22.67
Positive
100DMA
22.20
Positive
200DMA
21.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
86.25
Negative
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AFBI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.87, above the 50-day MA of 22.67, and above the 200-day MA of 21.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.25 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AFBI.

Affinity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$122.85M22.3514.13%1.49%6.20%60.60%
75
Outperform
$135.00M15.336.50%2.09%5.96%48.76%
69
Neutral
$140.18M16.316.95%4.88%53.05%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$143.49M43.611.80%1.10%6.46%1.90%
52
Neutral
$134.14M-8.13-13.51%2.17%98.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AFBI
Affinity Bancshares
23.00
4.20
22.34%
BOTJ
Bank Of The Jame Financial
27.09
13.45
98.59%
LSBK
Lake Shore Bancorp
17.15
5.12
42.61%
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp
1.14
-0.60
-34.48%
SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc.
19.98
6.26
45.57%
HYNE
Hoyne Bancorp, Inc.
16.17
2.17
15.50%

Affinity Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Affinity Bancshares Plans Merger Into Fidelity Bank
Neutral
Jul 22, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Affinity Bancshares, Inc., Affinity Bank, Fidelity BancShares (N.C.), Inc., The Fidelity Bank, and a newly formed merger subsidiary entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger that will combine Affinity into Fidelity Bank throu...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Affinity Bancshares advances merger with Fidelity Bank
Positive
Jul 18, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Affinity Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary Affinity Bank entered into a merger agreement with Fidelity BancShares (N.C.), Inc., The Fidelity Bank, and a newly formed merger subsidiary to combine their operations. Under the agr...
Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Affinity Bancshares Shareholders Approve Merger With Fidelity Bank
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
On July 7, 2026, Affinity Bancshares, Inc. stockholders approved a series of merger transactions involving the company, its banking subsidiary Affinity Bank, National Association, Fidelity BancShares (N.C.), Inc., The Fidelity Bank, and TFB Merger...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2026