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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI)
NASDAQ:FGBI

First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) AI Stock Analysis

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FGBI

First Guaranty Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FGBI)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-10.71% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance challenges, particularly in the income statement, and bearish technical indicators. However, positive corporate events, such as consistent dividends and strategic leadership appointments, provide some support to the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Growth
Strong free cash flow growth indicates improved cash generation capabilities, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting future investments.
Consistent Dividends
Consistent dividend payments demonstrate financial stability and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.
Leadership Strengthening
Strengthening leadership with experienced personnel supports strategic growth initiatives and enhances risk management, promoting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates potential challenges in maintaining market position and competitiveness, which could impact long-term growth prospects.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins reflect operational inefficiencies and could hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative return on equity suggests inefficiencies in generating returns from equity, potentially impacting investor confidence and financial health.

First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First Guaranty Bank that provides commercial banking services in Louisiana and Texas. It offers various deposit products, including personal and business checking, savings, money market, and demand accounts, as well as time deposits to consumers, small businesses, and municipalities. The company also provides loans, such as non-farm, non-residential loans secured by real estate, commercial and industrial loans, one- to four-family residential loans, multifamily loans, construction and land development loans, agricultural loans, farmland loans, and consumer and other loans to small to medium-sized businesses and professionals, and individuals. In addition, it offers a range of consumer services, including credit cards, mobile deposit capture, safe deposit boxes, official checks, online and mobile banking, automated teller machines, and online bill pay; provides additional solutions, such as merchant services, remote deposit capture, and lockbox services to business customers; and invests a portion of its assets in securities issued by the United States Government and its agencies, state and municipal obligations, corporate debt securities, mutual funds, and equity securities, as well as invests in mortgage-backed securities primarily issued or guaranteed by United States Government agencies or enterprises. The company operates through 36 banking facilities primarily located in market services areas of Hammond, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Shreveport-Bossier City, Lake Charles, Alexandria, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Waco, Kentucky, and West Virginia. First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Hammond, Louisiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Guaranty Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from fees for services provided. The main revenue streams include interest earned from commercial and consumer loans, mortgage loans, and investment securities. Additionally, the company earns fees from account maintenance, transaction services, and wealth management products. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its market presence and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. The bank's focus on fostering long-term relationships with clients and providing a diverse range of financial services further supports its revenue generation.

First Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Guaranty Bancshares faces challenges in its income statement with declining revenues and profitability. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, but the negative return on equity is concerning. Cash flow performance is strong, with significant free cash flow growth, but operational cash flow needs improvement. The company must address income statement weaknesses to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows significant volatility. The TTM data indicates a sharp decline in revenue and profitability, with negative margins across the board. Historical data shows a decline in revenue growth and profitability, with the most recent year showing a negative net profit margin. The company needs to address these challenges to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a strong capital base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient conversion of income to cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue227.20M244.78M191.78M145.84M120.92M123.13M
Gross Profit11.36M91.47M89.76M105.64M96.56M82.24M
EBITDA-65.85M20.44M15.92M40.50M39.23M29.32M
Net Income-57.46M12.45M9.22M28.88M27.30M20.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.80B3.97B3.55B3.15B2.88B2.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B845.13M369.60M214.25M472.37M537.45M
Total Debt186.10M201.92M275.40M183.37M49.63M116.63M
Total Liabilities3.58B3.72B3.30B2.92B2.65B2.29B
Stockholders Equity221.07M255.05M249.63M234.99M223.89M178.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.02M30.68M6.76M34.22M24.32M17.45M
Operating Cash Flow35.48M33.73M21.71M36.87M26.52M23.76M
Investing Cash Flow425.64M-142.07M-206.09M-467.91M-452.64M-128.46M
Financing Cash Flow-74.55M386.09M387.61M252.33M388.45M336.88M

First Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.04
Price Trends
50DMA
5.95
Negative
100DMA
7.10
Negative
200DMA
7.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
45.46
Neutral
STOCH
76.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.88, below the 50-day MA of 5.95, and below the 200-day MA of 7.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGBI.

First Guaranty Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Guaranty Bancshares disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Guaranty Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$156.18M11.367.43%2.93%6.10%59.32%
73
Outperform
$161.31M19.545.05%0.97%-7.20%-29.17%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
68
Neutral
$131.86M18.425.95%5.18%36.12%
63
Neutral
$134.97M26.483.95%22.30%
52
Neutral
$77.38M-1.22-24.07%0.84%1.33%-593.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGBI
First Guaranty Bancshares
5.04
-6.50
-56.33%
EBMT
Eagle Bancorp Montana
19.64
4.86
32.88%
AFBI
Affinity Bancshares
21.38
1.22
6.05%
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp
12.11
2.53
26.41%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
37.28
8.56
29.81%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
17.21
2.29
15.35%

First Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On November 20, 2025, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on its common stock. This marks the 130th consecutive quarterly dividend, highlighting the company’s consistent return to shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Guaranty Bancshares Appoints New Chief Lending Officer
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, First Guaranty Bancshares announced the appointment of Evan Singer as Chief Lending Officer of First Guaranty Bank. Evan Singer, who has over 16 years of banking experience, previously held various leadership roles at the bank, contributing to its growth and operational success. His return is part of a broader strategy initiated in July 2024 to enhance risk management and disciplined growth, which includes strengthening the leadership team to ensure sustainable growth and community support.

Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On October 16, 2025, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend for its Series A Preferred Stock, with holders of record as of November 15, 2025, set to receive $0.421875 per Depositary Share on December 1, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact investor sentiment positively as it demonstrates financial stability and shareholder value focus.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025