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European Wax Center (EWCZ)
NASDAQ:EWCZ
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European Wax Center (EWCZ) AI Stock Analysis

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EWCZ

European Wax Center

(NASDAQ:EWCZ)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(8.99% Upside)
European Wax Center's overall score reflects strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation, balanced by challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The earnings call provided a balanced sentiment with strategic initiatives for growth, while technical indicators suggest limited momentum. Valuation is moderate, with no dividend yield to attract income investors.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
A high gross profit margin indicates strong operational efficiency, allowing the company to maintain profitability despite revenue challenges.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports financial stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and debt servicing.
Franchise Model
The franchise model enables scalable growth with reduced capital expenditure, leveraging franchisee investments for expansion.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth suggests difficulties in expanding market share, which could impact long-term growth prospects.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
New Guest Acquisition
Challenges in acquiring new guests can hinder revenue growth and market expansion, impacting long-term business sustainability.

European Wax Center (EWCZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

European Wax Center Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEuropean Wax Center (EWCZ) is a leading franchise-based personal care company specializing in body waxing services. Founded in 2004, EWCZ operates in the beauty and personal care sector, offering a range of services that include full body waxing, brow shaping, and skin care products. The company is committed to providing a comfortable and luxurious waxing experience, utilizing proprietary waxing techniques and high-quality products to ensure customer satisfaction across its numerous locations in the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyEuropean Wax Center primarily generates revenue through its core services of body waxing. Customers pay for individual waxing services, which are priced based on the type of treatment and body area. In addition to service revenue, EWCZ also earns money through the sale of its exclusive line of skin care products designed to enhance and maintain the results of waxing treatments. The company operates on a franchise model, allowing it to expand its footprint while earning franchise fees and a percentage of sales from franchisees. Partnerships with suppliers for high-quality wax and skin care products also contribute to cost efficiencies and revenue stability. Overall, EWCZ's revenue model is driven by both service and product sales, alongside franchise operations, creating a diversified income stream.

European Wax Center Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong EBITDA growth and operational improvements, particularly in guest engagement and marketing effectiveness. However, there were challenges with system-wide sales decline and new guest acquisition. The sentiment is balanced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 increased by 9.6% to $20.2 million from $18.4 million in the prior year, with a margin increase of 400 basis points to 37.2%.
Operational Improvements and Data-Driven Insights
The company has improved its ability to contact guests, increasing from 38% to 60%, enhancing guest engagement and driving frequency.
Narrowing Closure Estimates
Expected total closures reduced from 40-60 to 35-40 for the year, showing progress in strategic initiatives with franchisees.
Successful Marketing Initiatives
National Eyebrow Day campaign delivered over 75 million impressions and a 53% lift in unique website visitors.
Negative Updates
Decrease in System-Wide Sales
System-wide sales decreased 0.8% to $238.2 million due to closed centers.
Challenges in New Guest Acquisition
New guest acquisition remains below expectations, affecting sustainable traffic growth.
Regional Weakness
Continued weakness in markets like New York, Philadelphia, and DC, despite some improvements in California.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, European Wax Center provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic priorities. The company reported system-wide sales of $238.2 million, with a slight sales growth of 20 basis points and an adjusted EBITDA of $20.2 million. The full-year financial guidance was reaffirmed, projecting system-wide sales between $940 to $950 million, same-store sales flat to up 1%, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $69 to $71 million. Additionally, the company narrowed its expected closures range to 35-40 centers for the year, with an anticipated 12 gross openings, resulting in 23 to 28 net center closures. The guidance also highlighted strategic efforts focused on driving sales through traffic growth, improving profitability for franchisees, and pursuing disciplined expansion plans, setting the stage for sustainable long-term growth into 2026.

European Wax Center Financial Statement Overview

Summary
European Wax Center exhibits solid financial health with strong operational efficiency and cash flow management. Despite a lower net profit margin, the company maintains healthy revenue growth and effective leverage control. The balance sheet poses some stability concerns with low equity levels, yet cash flow metrics strongly support liquidity and operational sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
European Wax Center shows a strong performance with a notable TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin of approximately 73.6% and consistent revenue growth over previous years. However, net profit margin is relatively low at about 4.4% for TTM, reflecting some profit retention challenges. The company has improved its EBIT margin to 21.8% in TTM, indicating efficient operating performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 in TTM, showing effective leverage management. However, the equity ratio stands at approximately 9.9%, which is relatively low, indicating potential financial stability risks. Return on equity is at a satisfactory level of 13.5% in TTM, showcasing decent equity efficiency.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 6.04 in TTM, indicating excellent cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 6.16, underscoring solid operational cash efficiency. Free cash flow growth has been positive, contributing to overall financial resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue211.26M216.92M221.02M207.35M178.68M103.41M
Gross Profit146.53M159.60M158.39M148.12M131.84M67.90M
EBITDA66.56M62.64M65.03M60.51M44.70M17.41M
Net Income11.24M10.46M8.70M7.31M6.91M-21.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets720.70M707.07M734.12M716.03M613.44M606.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.60M49.73M52.73M44.22M43.30M36.72M
Total Debt7.77M380.82M380.39M380.47M178.23M265.40M
Total Liabilities615.89M615.48M619.11M585.73M272.20M288.88M
Stockholders Equity78.11M64.05M82.02M79.00M179.39M318.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.35M55.98M54.82M44.11M33.14M-35.45M
Operating Cash Flow61.76M56.51M55.60M44.35M41.35M1.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.42M-386.00K-785.00K-245.00K-8.20M-36.84M
Financing Cash Flow-33.83M-59.15M-46.38M-36.62M-26.56M61.90M

European Wax Center Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.67
Price Trends
50DMA
3.76
Negative
100DMA
4.20
Negative
200DMA
4.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
47.89
Neutral
STOCH
15.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EWCZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.74, below the 50-day MA of 3.76, and below the 200-day MA of 4.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EWCZ.

European Wax Center Risk Analysis

European Wax Center disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. European Wax Center reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

European Wax Center Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$814.52M32.851.62%3.26%-1.34%-73.59%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$199.51M14.0715.38%-5.47%13.42%
60
Neutral
$488.48M4.6014.55%2.63%-12.10%
47
Neutral
$424.88M-52.84%-5.64%-577.74%
46
Neutral
$175.02M-4.90-18.73%-13.14%57.98%
45
Neutral
$155.89M157.866.60%30.04%-53.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EWCZ
European Wax Center
3.67
-2.67
-42.11%
HELE
Helen Of Troy
18.45
-53.22
-74.26%
NUS
Nu Skin
10.02
2.68
36.51%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
17.53
-18.45
-51.28%
SLSN
Solesence
2.21
-0.37
-14.34%
SKIN
Beauty Health
1.32
-0.10
-7.04%

European Wax Center Corporate Events

European Wax Center, Inc. Reports Strong Net Income Growth
Nov 13, 2025

European Wax Center, Inc. is a leading franchisor and operator of out-of-home waxing services in the United States, known for its innovative Comfort Wax® and a network of over 1,000 centers across 44 states. The company provides a professional personal care experience with highly trained wax specialists, revolutionizing the waxing industry since its founding in 2004.

European Wax Center’s Balanced Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 13, 2025

European Wax Center, Inc. Class A recently held its earnings call, presenting a balanced sentiment with notable achievements and challenges. The call underscored strong EBITDA growth and operational improvements, particularly in guest engagement and marketing effectiveness. However, the company also faced challenges with a decline in system-wide sales and difficulties in acquiring new guests.

Executive/Board Changes
European Wax Center CAO Gavin O’Connor Resigns
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Gavin M. O’Connor announced his resignation from European Wax Center, Inc., where he served as Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary. His departure, effective November 7, 2025, marks a significant change in the company’s leadership as he transitions to a new role at another company.

The most recent analyst rating on (EWCZ) stock is a Hold with a $4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on European Wax Center stock, see the EWCZ Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
David P. Berg Resigns from European Wax Center Board
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 10, 2025, David P. Berg resigned from the Board of Directors of European Wax Center, Inc., with no disagreements cited. Following his departure, the Board reduced its size to seven directors, potentially streamlining decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (EWCZ) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on European Wax Center stock, see the EWCZ Stock Forecast page.

European Wax Center’s Earnings Call: Strategic Success Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

European Wax Center’s recent earnings call revealed a blend of optimism and challenges. The company is witnessing early success in its strategic initiatives, bolstered by leadership enhancements and improved marketing efficiency. However, it faces hurdles such as a slight decline in system-wide sales and ongoing regional difficulties, particularly in California. Despite these challenges, the strong EBITDA margin and leadership changes indicate potential for future growth.

Navigating Uncertainties: European Wax Center’s Risk Factors and Financial Outlook
Aug 15, 2025

European Wax Center, Inc. Class A is exposed to a range of risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations and financial outcomes. These risks are detailed in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ending January 4, 2025, and should be reviewed carefully. While the company has not reported any significant changes in these risk factors since the annual report, it acknowledges that unknown or currently deemed immaterial risks could still adversely affect its business. Stakeholders should remain vigilant as these potential risks could influence the company’s financial health and operational performance.

European Wax Center, Inc. Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 14, 2025

European Wax Center, Inc. is a leading franchisor and operator of out-of-home waxing services in the United States, known for its innovative Comfort Wax® and a network of over 1,000 centers across 44 states.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025