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European Wax Center (EWCZ)
NASDAQ:EWCZ
US Market

European Wax Center (EWCZ) AI Stock Analysis

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EWCZ

European Wax Center

(NASDAQ:EWCZ)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(0.76% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and strong cash flow conversion, tempered by leverage risk and weak/negative recent revenue growth. Earnings call takeaways are balanced: reaffirmed guidance and margin expansion are positives, but sales pressure from closures and weak new guest acquisition add risk. Technicals are mixed with short-term improvement but negative MACD and a price still below the 200-day average, while valuation appears moderate with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
High gross and operating margins
A sustained gross profit margin above 71% and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate durable unit economics and pricing power in a service-led franchise model. Strong margins provide buffer for reinvestment, franchisee support and profitability even with moderate top-line pressures.
Strong free cash flow conversion
Almost one-to-one conversion of net income into free cash flow shows efficient cash generation. This enhances ability to service debt, fund targeted store initiatives, support franchisor investments and maintain flexibility to pursue disciplined growth without relying solely on external financing.
Recurring, asset-light franchise model
A royalty-driven, asset-light franchisor model creates recurring revenue with low capital intensity and scalability. Standardized training and proprietary products help sustain brand consistency, drive repeat visits and allow margin expansion as system-wide scale increases over time.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contraction
Material negative recent revenue growth signals weakening top-line momentum that can erode royalty streams and slow EBITDA expansion. If persistent, declining system sales will pressure franchise economics, limit organic royalty upside and require more investment to restore guest traffic.
High financial leverage
A high debt-to-equity profile raises fixed interest and refinancing obligations, reducing strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage constrains capacity to fund growth initiatives, increases vulnerability to economic shocks, and can limit support for franchisees during localized weakness.
Weak new guest acquisition and regional pockets of weakness
Prolonged challenges in recruiting new guests and regional underperformance (e.g., NY, Philadelphia, DC) undermine sustainable traffic growth. This limits royalty base expansion, may force higher marketing spend, and risks longer-term softness in same-store sales and unit economics.

European Wax Center (EWCZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

European Wax Center Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEuropean Wax Center, Inc. operates as the franchisor and operator of out-of-home waxing services in the United States. The company offers body and facial waxing services; and pre- and post-service products, including ingrown hair serums, exfoliating gels, brow shapers, and skin treatments. As of March 26, 2022, it had a portfolio of centers operating in 874 locations across 44 states, including 868 franchised centers and six corporate-owned centers. European Wax Center, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEuropean Wax Center primarily generates revenue through its core services of body waxing. Customers pay for individual waxing services, which are priced based on the type of treatment and body area. In addition to service revenue, EWCZ also earns money through the sale of its exclusive line of skin care products designed to enhance and maintain the results of waxing treatments. The company operates on a franchise model, allowing it to expand its footprint while earning franchise fees and a percentage of sales from franchisees. Partnerships with suppliers for high-quality wax and skin care products also contribute to cost efficiencies and revenue stability. Overall, EWCZ's revenue model is driven by both service and product sales, alongside franchise operations, creating a diversified income stream.

European Wax Center Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong EBITDA growth and operational improvements, particularly in guest engagement and marketing effectiveness. However, there were challenges with system-wide sales decline and new guest acquisition. The sentiment is balanced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 increased by 9.6% to $20.2 million from $18.4 million in the prior year, with a margin increase of 400 basis points to 37.2%.
Operational Improvements and Data-Driven Insights
The company has improved its ability to contact guests, increasing from 38% to 60%, enhancing guest engagement and driving frequency.
Narrowing Closure Estimates
Expected total closures reduced from 40-60 to 35-40 for the year, showing progress in strategic initiatives with franchisees.
Successful Marketing Initiatives
National Eyebrow Day campaign delivered over 75 million impressions and a 53% lift in unique website visitors.
Negative Updates
Decrease in System-Wide Sales
System-wide sales decreased 0.8% to $238.2 million due to closed centers.
Challenges in New Guest Acquisition
New guest acquisition remains below expectations, affecting sustainable traffic growth.
Regional Weakness
Continued weakness in markets like New York, Philadelphia, and DC, despite some improvements in California.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, European Wax Center provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic priorities. The company reported system-wide sales of $238.2 million, with a slight sales growth of 20 basis points and an adjusted EBITDA of $20.2 million. The full-year financial guidance was reaffirmed, projecting system-wide sales between $940 to $950 million, same-store sales flat to up 1%, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $69 to $71 million. Additionally, the company narrowed its expected closures range to 35-40 centers for the year, with an anticipated 12 gross openings, resulting in 23 to 28 net center closures. The guidance also highlighted strategic efforts focused on driving sales through traffic growth, improving profitability for franchisees, and pursuing disciplined expansion plans, setting the stage for sustainable long-term growth into 2026.

European Wax Center Financial Statement Overview

Summary
European Wax Center shows strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. The company's ability to maintain profitability and manage debt levels will be crucial for future stability and growth.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While the company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin of over 71% in TTM, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in market expansion. The net profit margin has decreased slightly, reflecting some pressure on profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk due to significant leverage. However, the company has shown a reasonable return on equity, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial stability.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates strong free cash flow growth and a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating good cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These factors contribute to a robust cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue211.26M216.92M221.02M207.35M178.68M103.41M
Gross Profit146.53M159.60M158.39M148.12M131.84M67.90M
EBITDA66.56M62.64M65.03M60.51M44.70M17.41M
Net Income11.24M10.46M8.70M7.31M6.91M-21.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets720.70M707.07M734.12M716.03M613.44M606.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.60M49.73M52.73M44.22M43.30M36.72M
Total Debt382.19M380.82M380.39M380.47M178.23M265.40M
Total Liabilities615.89M615.48M619.11M585.73M272.20M288.88M
Stockholders Equity78.11M64.05M82.02M79.00M179.39M318.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.35M55.98M54.82M44.11M33.14M-35.45M
Operating Cash Flow61.76M56.51M55.60M44.35M41.35M1.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.42M-386.00K-785.00K-245.00K-8.20M-36.84M
Financing Cash Flow-33.83M-59.15M-46.38M-36.62M-26.56M61.90M

European Wax Center Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.97
Price Trends
50DMA
3.80
Positive
100DMA
3.88
Positive
200DMA
4.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
57.21
Neutral
STOCH
92.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EWCZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.78, above the 50-day MA of 3.80, and below the 200-day MA of 4.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EWCZ.

European Wax Center Risk Analysis

European Wax Center disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. European Wax Center reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

European Wax Center Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$491.40M4.7414.55%2.39%-12.10%
61
Neutral
$219.07M15.2215.38%-5.47%13.42%
58
Neutral
$789.02M33.151.62%3.51%-1.34%-73.59%
51
Neutral
$183.60M-7.06-18.73%-13.14%57.98%
50
Neutral
$105.81M109.296.60%30.04%-53.50%
46
Neutral
$485.45M-0.60-63.90%-5.64%-577.74%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EWCZ
European Wax Center
3.97
-2.19
-35.55%
HELE
Helen Of Troy
20.58
-41.41
-66.80%
NUS
Nu Skin
10.32
4.26
70.30%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
17.69
-13.04
-42.43%
SLSN
Solesence
1.53
-0.91
-37.30%
SKIN
Beauty Health
1.56
0.01
0.65%

European Wax Center Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
European Wax Center CAO Gavin O’Connor Resigns
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Gavin M. O’Connor announced his resignation from European Wax Center, Inc., where he served as Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary. His departure, effective November 7, 2025, marks a significant change in the company’s leadership as he transitions to a new role at another company.

The most recent analyst rating on (EWCZ) stock is a Hold with a $4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on European Wax Center stock, see the EWCZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026