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Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY)
OTHER OTC:EVVTY

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY) AI Stock Analysis

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Evolution Gaming Group AB

(OTC:EVVTY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
Evolution Gaming Group AB's strong financial performance stands out with high profitability and a robust balance sheet, leading to a favorable position in the industry. While the company's valuation suggests potential undervaluation, the technical analysis is inconclusive due to the absence of data. The latest earnings call indicates challenges such as slower revenue growth and increased expenses, but future growth prospects from expansion plans and new product launches provide optimism. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with strong financials but some operational headwinds.

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evolution Gaming Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY) is a leading provider of live casino solutions, predominantly operating in the online gaming sector. The company specializes in live dealer casino games that are streamed in real-time to online gaming operators around the world. Evolution Gaming offers a wide range of products, including traditional table games such as Blackjack, Roulette, and Baccarat, as well as game show-style offerings. The company's innovative and high-quality live gaming solutions are designed to enhance the gaming experience for users while providing operators with robust platforms to engage their customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolution Gaming Group AB generates revenue primarily through licensing agreements with online gaming operators. These agreements typically involve a revenue-sharing model where Evolution receives a percentage of the operators' takings or a fixed fee per user. The company also earns money through service fees for its comprehensive suite of products and solutions, including bespoke studio environments and dedicated tables tailored to the needs of its clients. Additionally, Evolution benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company has ambitious expansion plans and a strong product roadmap, the quarter was marked by slower revenue growth, challenges with ringfencing and cyber issues, and increased expenses. Positive developments in North America and recruitment growth are overshadowed by these challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion Plans
Opened a new studio in Romania and plan to open studios in Brazil, Philippines, Michigan, and expand in Malta, Colombia, Argentina, New Jersey, and Philadelphia.
Strong Product Roadmap
Plan to release more than 110 games in 2025, with several new games launched in Q1 including War, Race Track, and Marble Race. Upcoming releases include Super Color game and Ice Fishing.
Recruitment Growth
Surpassed 22,000 employees with an 8.4% year-on-year growth, driven by recruitment in Brazil and Philippines.
Positive Reception at ICE Exhibition
Showcased headline games at the ICE Exhibition in Barcelona with great response from operators.
North America Growth
Continued strong performance with 15% year-on-year growth, with expansion in New Jersey with bet365.
Negative Updates
Revenue Growth Slowdown
Net revenue grew by only 3.9% year-on-year to EUR 520.9 million, with a constant currency growth of 6.1%.
EBITDA Margin Decline
EBITDA decreased by 1.1% and margin was at 65.6%, below the full year guidance of 66% to 68%.
Impact of Ringfencing
Ringfencing measures in Europe led to a flat revenue development and a 6% decline from Q4 in Europe.
Cyber Challenges in Asia
Continued cyber challenges in Asia, leading to flat revenue growth in the region for three consecutive quarters.
RNG Revenue Growth Decline
RNG revenues grew only by 3.1% year-on-year, a decline from previous quarters.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 15% year-on-year due to investments in new products and capacity.
Company Guidance
During the call, Evolution's CEO Martin Carlesund and CFO Joakim Andersson discussed the company's first-quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a net revenue of EUR 520.9 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.9%. The EBITDA margin was reported at 65.6%, slightly below the full-year guidance of 66% to 68%. The company faced challenges due to regulatory ringfencing in Europe, notably impacting markets with low channelization, and ongoing cyber issues in Asia, both affecting revenue. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about the second half of the year, driven by strong product launches and expansion plans, including new studios in Brazil and the Philippines. Additionally, Evolution surpassed 22,000 employees, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase in headcount. The call also covered the geographic revenue breakdown, with North America showing a 15% growth and LatAm exhibiting a 9.7% year-on-year increase. The company continues to prioritize growth, as evidenced by ongoing investments into new products and capacity expansion.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolution Gaming Group AB exhibits strong financial health characterized by high profitability, consistent revenue growth, and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. The company's solid cash flow generation underscores its capacity to sustain operations and invest in future growth. These financial metrics position the company favorably in the Gambling, Resorts & Casinos industry.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Evolution Gaming Group AB has demonstrated robust financial performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is an impressive 90.44%, indicating strong cost management and pricing power. The net profit margin stands at 58.92%, reflecting high profitability. Revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 was 23.47%, and from 2023 to 2024 was 14.70%, showing a consistent upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 67.75% and 67.42% respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Evolution Gaming Group AB is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal leverage and low financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is an impressive 29.38%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio is high at 73.47%, suggesting financial stability and a strong equity base.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a healthy position with positive free cash flow growth of 5.56% TTM compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.11, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.00, showing that the company generates ample free cash flow relative to its net income, which is a positive indicator of cash health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.09B2.06B1.80B1.46B1.07B561.13M
Gross Profit
1.89B2.11B1.80B936.13M1.09B308.37M
EBIT
1.41B1.42B1.14B908.06M654.00M299.70M
EBITDA
1.41B1.59B1.28B1.01B730.94M332.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.23B1.24B1.07B843.36M605.43M284.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
958.09M787.07M985.76M532.55M421.43M221.68M
Total Assets
5.69B5.35B4.97B4.37B3.90B3.17B
Total Debt
92.92M93.66M79.46M79.55M67.81M49.97M
Net Debt
-865.16M-693.41M-906.30M-453.00M-353.62M-171.71M
Total Liabilities
1.51B1.37B967.27M909.09M712.12M442.94M
Stockholders Equity
4.18B3.97B4.01B3.46B3.19B2.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.23B1.16B1.07B780.53M537.30M279.17M
Operating Cash Flow
1.36B1.30B1.17B877.47M598.89M316.05M
Investing Cash Flow
-238.81M-247.97M-139.36M-371.60M-154.95M6.82M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.13B-1.24B-574.50M-394.20M-248.52M-279.91M

Evolution Gaming Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price67.19
Price Trends
50DMA
72.02
Negative
100DMA
73.17
Negative
200DMA
80.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.15
Negative
RSI
46.13
Neutral
STOCH
34.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVVTY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 67.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.23, below the 50-day MA of 72.02, and below the 200-day MA of 80.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EVVTY.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.76B10.6930.13%4.36%10.25%14.58%
LNLNW
77
Outperform
$7.19B22.7246.19%7.26%54.83%
IGIGT
69
Neutral
$2.94B10.111.33%5.50%-33.50%35.81%
67
Neutral
£43.44B85.215.48%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.242.93%3.89%2.68%-24.71%
59
Neutral
$30.00B-46.78%22.86%30.40%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVVTY
Evolution Gaming Group AB
68.16
-36.27
-34.73%
IGT
International Game Technology
14.56
-5.56
-27.63%
LNW
Light & Wonder
86.60
-13.27
-13.29%
DKNG
DraftKings
34.84
-2.72
-7.24%
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment PLC
244.08
53.55
28.11%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.