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Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT)
NYSE:FLUT

Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) AI Stock Analysis

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Flutter Entertainment PLC

(NYSE:FLUT)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$256.00
▲( 6.23% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects strong financial performance improvements and positive earnings call sentiment, but is tempered by high valuation and mixed technical indicators. The company's significant revenue growth and strategic acquisitions are key strengths, while its high P/E ratio and profitability challenges remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The Snai/NSX acquisitions, while initially dilutive, are strategically positive and expected to become beneficial by 2026/27 as synergies are realized.
International Operations
International operations are a bright spot with stronger market developments and favorable sports results.
Market Leadership
Flutter continues to demonstrate clear market leadership in U.S. online sports betting and iGaming, supported by disciplined customer acquisition, high retention, and a structurally advantaged margin profile driven by innovations like Your Way.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Q1 results missed expectations, with revenue and AEBITDA coming in below consensus due to softer U.S. sports outcomes and FX headwinds.
US Market Growth
A softer handle growth in the US has become the key area of concern among investors, raising the question of nearing maturity in terms of customer penetration in existing states.
US Segment Outlook
The US outlook has been cut for 1Q/April, with a 14% reduction in expected EBITDA due to anticipated further slowdown in handle growth.

Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flutter Entertainment PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlutter Entertainment PLC is a global sports betting, gaming, and entertainment provider, operating across various international markets. The company offers a diverse range of products, including sports betting, online gaming, and interactive entertainment through its well-known brands such as Paddy Power, Betfair, FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, and PokerStars. Flutter Entertainment is committed to delivering innovative and engaging experiences for its customers while maintaining a strong focus on responsible gaming practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlutter Entertainment PLC generates revenue primarily through its sports betting and gaming operations. The company's key revenue streams include online and retail sports betting, online gaming services such as casino and poker, and daily fantasy sports. Flutter leverages its portfolio of popular brands to attract a wide customer base, providing them with betting options on a variety of sports and gaming events. The company's strategic partnerships and acquisitions, such as the merger with The Stars Group, have expanded its market reach and product offerings, further enhancing its revenue potential. Flutter also benefits from its strong presence in regulated markets, ensuring compliance and sustainable growth across its global operations.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flutter Entertainment PLC demonstrates strong revenue growth and cash generation capabilities, but struggles with profitability and increasing leverage. The company has made operational improvements, as seen in its EBIT and EBITDA margins, and maintains a strong equity base. Future focus should be on turning revenue growth into sustainable profitability and managing debt levels.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Flutter Entertainment PLC has shown impressive revenue growth, increasing from $2.83 billion in 2019 to $14.05 billion in 2024. However, the company has faced challenges with profitability, recording net losses over the past few years, including a $130 million loss in 2024. While gross profit margins have improved, net profit margins remain negative. The company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024, which reflects operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's financial position shows a stable equity base with stockholders' equity at $9.29 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, indicating rising leverage, which poses potential risks. However, the equity ratio remains strong, reflecting a solid asset base relative to equity. Return on equity is currently negative due to net losses.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities, with $1.6 billion in 2024. Free cash flow has also shown significant growth, indicating improved cash management. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income highlights operational efficiency, despite net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.05B11.79B9.46B8.31B6.04B
Gross Profit
6.70B5.59B4.65B4.43B3.93B
EBIT
869.00M-549.00M-88.00M-449.00M141.54M
EBITDA
1.61B653.00M987.00M561.00M1.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
109.00M-1.22B-432.00M-923.00M51.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.59B3.42B2.70B2.31B1.74B
Total Assets
24.51B24.64B24.77B22.68B23.23B
Total Debt
7.28B7.53B7.24B5.19B4.52B
Net Debt
3.82B4.28B4.71B2.98B2.89B
Total Liabilities
13.24B13.27B12.27B8.77B8.20B
Stockholders Equity
9.29B10.04B12.35B13.86B14.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
941.00M344.10M558.14M339.44M920.64M
Operating Cash Flow
1.60B937.00M1.03B736.87M1.21B
Investing Cash Flow
-811.00M-602.00M-2.76B-324.97M-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow
-469.00M-113.00M1.87B79.35M1.24B

Flutter Entertainment PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price240.98
Price Trends
50DMA
235.43
Positive
100DMA
249.83
Negative
200DMA
243.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.81
Positive
RSI
50.16
Neutral
STOCH
27.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLUT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 240.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 243.20, above the 50-day MA of 235.43, and below the 200-day MA of 243.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLUT.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.22B30.4221.19%3.45%22.80%281.38%
LNLNW
73
Outperform
$7.26B23.0246.19%7.26%54.83%
RSRSI
71
Outperform
$2.71B152.8411.87%29.86%
63
Neutral
£42.58B83.285.48%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.95%2.65%-21.93%
58
Neutral
$31.20B-46.78%22.86%30.40%
48
Neutral
$2.27B-2.81%5.51%92.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment PLC
240.98
52.65
27.96%
PENN
Penn National Gaming
15.08
-0.02
-0.13%
LNW
Light & Wonder
86.01
-9.36
-9.81%
DKNG
DraftKings
35.08
-1.53
-4.18%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
11.83
3.03
34.43%
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
8.41
4.89
138.92%

Flutter Entertainment PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call exhibited a largely positive outlook with significant growth in net income, strong international performance, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, challenges in the basketball handle and adverse sports results in the U.S. were noted as concerns. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Business Performance
The scaling of the U.S. business drove a step change in the earnings profile with AMPs growing to more than 4.3 million in the quarter and sportsbook handle growth in line with expectations.
Significant International Growth
International business showed strong performance, especially in SEA and India, with year-over-year revenue growth of 3% constant currency and strong growth in Turkey.
Record Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Net income and adjusted EBITDA increased by 289% and 20% year-over-year, respectively, driven by U.S. business transformation and international diversification.
Successful Acquisition of Snai
Completed acquisition of Snai, significantly adding to scale in Italy with expected rapid realization of operational and financial benefits.
iGaming Milestone
FanDuel iGaming proposition hit 1 million AMPs for the first time, supporting a strong leadership position with a 48% net gaming revenue sportsbook share.
Negative Updates
Basketball Handle Softness
Basketball handle growth was lower than anticipated, attributed to less competitive matchups and larger spreads.
Challenges in Brazil
Growth in Brazil was materially negative due to regulatory changes impacting customer sign-ups, although some improvement in ARPU was noted.
Adverse U.S. Sports Results Impact
Unfavorable U.S. sports results, particularly during March Madness, impacted financials with year-to-date adverse results affecting $280 million in revenue and $180 million in adjusted EBITDA.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Flutter Entertainment reported a robust performance with significant year-over-year growth in key financial metrics. The company achieved a 289% increase in net income and a 20% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Group revenue grew by 8%, driven by strong performances in the U.S. and international markets, particularly in SEA and India. In the U.S., revenue was up 18%, with a notable 32% growth in iGaming. The company's adjusted EBITDA reached $161 million, marking a more than fivefold increase from the previous year, demonstrating significant operating leverage. Flutter's proprietary pricing capability has enabled a structural gross revenue margin progression to 14.1%. Despite some challenges in basketball handle growth, other areas like NFL and MLB showed encouraging trends. The company maintained its full-year guidance for 2025, with expectations of $17.08 billion in revenue and $3.18 billion in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting 22% and 35% growth, respectively. Additionally, Flutter's strategic initiatives, such as the acquisition of Snai and advancements in their Your Way pricing technology, are expected to drive long-term innovation and value creation across their U.S. and international markets.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Flutter Entertainment Aligns Shares with UK Regulations
Neutral
Oct 30, 2024

Flutter Entertainment plc announced a block listing application for its ordinary shares to align with UK regulatory requirements. This move involves their Deferred Share Incentive Plan and other schemes, adjusting the balance of unissued shares through a regular update. Key figures include an increase and allotment of shares under various incentive plans, showcasing active management of their equity incentives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.