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Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC)
NYSE:SGHC
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Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) AI Stock Analysis

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SGHC

Super Group (SGHC)

(NYSE:SGHC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(14.89% Upside)
Super Group (SGHC) shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue and cash flow growth, supported by a positive earnings call highlighting strategic initiatives and regional growth. However, the stock's valuation appears high, and technical indicators provide a mixed outlook, contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product offerings, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Regional Performance
Strong regional performance, particularly in Europe, underscores the company's ability to capture market share and drive growth in key areas.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management supports operational stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Exit from U.S. Market
Exiting the U.S. market may limit growth opportunities in a significant market, potentially affecting long-term revenue diversification.
Rising Liabilities
Increasing liabilities could strain financial resources, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
APAC Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in the APAC region suggests potential market challenges, which could hinder overall growth and profitability.

Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Super Group (SGHC) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuper Group (SGHC) is a global technology company specializing in online gaming and sports betting. It operates in the iGaming sector, providing a wide range of products including sports betting, casino games, and other online gaming services. SGHC aims to enhance the gaming experience through innovative technology, offering users a seamless and engaging platform for entertainment.
How the Company Makes MoneySuper Group generates revenue primarily through its online gaming operations, which include sports betting and casino gaming. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the wagers placed by users, as well as through the sale of in-game purchases and promotions. Key revenue streams include sportsbook operations, where it profits from the odds set against the bets placed, and casino games, where it retains a portion of the wagers as gross gaming revenue. Additionally, SGHC may benefit from partnerships with other gaming entities, marketing agreements, and affiliate programs that drive traffic and increase user engagement on its platforms.

Super Group (SGHC) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with strong revenue and customer growth, strategic initiatives like Super Coin, and robust regional performance. However, challenges like regulatory issues in Germany and unfavorable sports outcomes in September tempered the positive sentiment slightly.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Monthly Active Customers
Super Group achieved a record of 6 million monthly active customers in September, which was surpassed in October.
Launch of Super Coin
Announced the upcoming Q4 launch of Super Coin, a South African rand-pegged digital asset stablecoin, aimed at enhancing payments, rewards, and engagement.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Group revenue surged to $557 million, up 26% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA reached $152 million, representing a 65% year-over-year growth.
Strong Regional Performance
Europe's revenue surged 46% year-over-year with the U.K. and Spain leading the charge, up 71% and 11%, respectively. Africa delivered 36% year-over-year growth.
Improved Sportsbook Margins
Sportsbook margins improved from 11% in Q3 2024 to 12.8% in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Challenges in Germany
Germany continued to be impacted by tighter regulatory restrictions, affecting performance.
New Zealand Revenue Decline
Revenue in New Zealand declined by 2%, primarily due to continued marketing restrictions.
Challenges with Sports Outcomes
Despite a strong performance in July and August, September faced unfavorable sports outcomes, affecting the overall quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Super Group's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance and shared several key metrics. The company reported a total revenue of $557 million for the quarter, marking a 26% year-over-year increase. Group adjusted EBITDA reached $152 million, a significant 65% rise from the previous year, with a robust margin of approximately 27%. Super Group achieved a record of 6 million monthly active customers in September and surpassed this in October. The company raised its full-year 2025 group revenue guidance to between $2.17 billion and $2.27 billion, and group adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $555 million and $565 million. Additionally, Europe saw a 46% year-over-year revenue increase, with the U.K. and Spain contributing 71% and 11% growth, respectively. Africa's revenue grew by 36%, driven by strong performances in Botswana, Malawi, Tanzania, and South Africa. North America experienced a 14% year-over-year growth, with Canada ex Ontario growing by 15%. APAC revenue increased by 3% year-over-year. The company also announced the upcoming Q4 launch of Super Coin, a South African rand-pegged digital asset stablecoin initiative, as a strategic step in enhancing payments and customer engagement.

Super Group (SGHC) Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Super Group (SGHC) demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid cash flow generation. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with low leverage and increasing equity. Despite some fluctuations in net profit margins and rising liabilities, the overall financial position remains stable, supported by effective operational performance and robust cash flow management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a strong increase in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin fluctuated, with a significant improvement in 2024 after a negative margin in 2023. The EBIT margin was zero in 2024, while the EBITDA margin improved, reflecting stronger operational performance before depreciation and amortization.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an increasing stockholders' equity over the years. The company has maintained a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio has improved, showing a solid capital structure. However, the total liabilities have increased, which could pose a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company's cash flow statements reflect robust operating cash flow growth, with free cash flow also showing a healthy upward trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid, highlighting effective cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.00B1.70B1.44B1.29B1.32B908.02M
Gross Profit1.05B841.42M666.28M848.66M424.16M542.20M
EBITDA400.50M241.49M101.69M189.09M315.84M216.04M
Net Income201.22M113.10M-10.55M181.44M235.88M149.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.19B1.05B960.87M877.00M844.07M551.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments485.00M386.06M241.92M254.78M293.80M138.54M
Total Debt72.00M70.40M29.23M18.46M20.02M219.79M
Total Liabilities450.00M517.21M422.08M342.35M330.02M480.28M
Stockholders Equity745.00M557.53M520.32M518.08M514.05M70.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00199.62M79.30M139.30M183.10M139.21M
Operating Cash Flow0.00295.09M132.85M166.84M209.85M151.32M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-110.08M-5.01M-96.52M-18.16M-5.84M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-56.35M-131.16M-103.18M-39.76M-81.09M

Super Group (SGHC) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.75
Price Trends
50DMA
12.50
Negative
100DMA
11.81
Negative
200DMA
9.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Negative
RSI
43.57
Neutral
STOCH
67.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.01, below the 50-day MA of 12.50, and above the 200-day MA of 9.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SGHC.

Super Group (SGHC) Risk Analysis

Super Group (SGHC) disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Super Group (SGHC) reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Super Group (SGHC) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.12B28.0432.35%2.34%29.54%4389.69%
69
Neutral
$237.83M16.3310.86%27.57%-40.98%
67
Neutral
$3.81B66.0729.67%23.15%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$24.83B-29.59%18.51%37.24%
52
Neutral
$259.70M413.142.77%
45
Neutral
$2.14B8.24%-77.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
11.52
6.35
122.82%
PENN
PENN Entertainment
14.54
-5.95
-29.04%
DKNG
DraftKings
30.40
-9.73
-24.25%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
17.24
6.34
58.17%
CDRO
Codere Online
5.66
-1.84
-24.53%
GAMB
Gambling.com
6.65
-3.41
-33.90%

Super Group (SGHC) Corporate Events

Super Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue increase of 26% to $556.9 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company achieved a profit of $95.8 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $152.1 million, reflecting a 65% year-over-year increase. The company also raised its full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, highlighting strong performance in Africa, Europe, and North America. The results demonstrate Super Group’s robust financial health and strategic market positioning, with significant customer engagement and operational efficiencies contributing to its growth.

Super Group Raises 2025 Revenue and EBITDA Guidance After Strong Q3 Performance
Sep 17, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced an increase in its full-year 2025 Group Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, following a strong third-quarter performance that exceeded expectations. The company anticipates revenues between $2.125 billion and $2.200 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA between $550 million and $560 million, highlighting the scalability of its business model and the strength of its brand. Despite a planned exit from the U.S. market, the company remains confident in its ability to deliver for shareholders, driven by strong performance in sports betting and casino operations.

Super Group (SGHC) Hosts Investor Day in London
Sep 17, 2025

Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced an investor presentation to be held on September 18, 2025, in London, which will include management presentations and a Q&A session. This event is part of the company’s efforts to engage with investors and provide insights into its strategic plans, market opportunities, and financial projections. The presentation is expected to impact stakeholders by offering a clearer understanding of the company’s future direction and potential growth within the competitive online gaming industry.

Super Group Declares Q3 2025 Dividend Amid Strong Performance
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Super Group’s Board of Directors declared a regular cash dividend of 4¢ per share, payable on September 26, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 18, 2025. This decision, following dividends paid earlier in the year, reflects the company’s strong performance and commitment to rewarding shareholders, supported by a solid balance sheet and momentum in core markets.

Super Group (SGHC) Reports Strong Financial Growth for H1 2025
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the six months ending June 30, 2025. The report highlighted a notable increase in revenue to $1,096 million compared to $858 million in the previous year, despite facing higher direct and marketing expenses. The company achieved a profit before taxation of $128 million, up from $75 million in the same period last year, indicating a strong financial performance. This financial update underscores Super Group’s robust growth trajectory and its ability to navigate market challenges effectively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025