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Super Group (Sghc) Limited (SGHC)
:SGHC
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Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) AI Stock Analysis

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SGHC

Super Group (SGHC)

(NYSE:SGHC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(0.23% Upside)
Super Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to the overall score. The company's strategic focus on profitable markets and robust regional growth are positives. However, the high P/E ratio and moderate technical indicators suggest caution. The exit from the U.S. market, while strategic, incurs costs that slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product offerings, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Regional Performance
Strong regional performance, particularly in Europe, underscores the company's ability to capture market share and drive growth in key areas.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management supports operational stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Exit from U.S. Market
Exiting the U.S. market may limit growth opportunities in a significant market, potentially affecting long-term revenue diversification.
Rising Liabilities
Increasing liabilities could strain financial resources, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
APAC Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in the APAC region suggests potential market challenges, which could hinder overall growth and profitability.

Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Super Group (SGHC) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuper Group (SGHC) is a global digital gaming company that operates in the online sports betting and gaming entertainment sectors. The company offers a wide range of products and services, including online casino games, sports betting, and other interactive gaming experiences. Super Group serves customers in various international markets, leveraging its technology platform to deliver engaging and secure gaming solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneySuper Group (SGHC) generates revenue primarily through its online sports betting and gaming entertainment operations. The company earns money by offering a variety of betting options and casino games to its customers, who place wagers on these platforms. Revenue is generated from the margins on bets, as well as from fees and commissions associated with gaming activities. Additionally, Super Group may form strategic partnerships or licensing agreements that contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing its service offerings.

Super Group (SGHC) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Super Group reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with record revenue and EBITDA driven by significant growth in key regions such as Europe and Africa. However, the decision to exit the U.S. iGaming market and challenges in the APAC region, particularly Nigeria, present headwinds. Despite these challenges, the company's raised guidance and shareholder returns indicate positive momentum.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EBITDA
Super Group reported a record total revenue of $579 million for Q2 2025, up 30% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA also reached an all-time high of $157 million, representing 78% year-over-year growth with a robust margin of approximately 27%.
Strong Regional Performance
Europe's revenue surged 53% year-over-year, driven by an 83% increase in the U.K. Africa saw a growth of 59% year-over-year, with Ghana growing 63% and South Africa 31%. North America grew 23% year-over-year, with Canada increasing 22%.
Record Quarterly EBITDA Margin
Super Group achieved the highest quarterly EBITDA in its history, with a record margin of 27%, driven by effective cost management and operating leverage.
U.S. Revenue Growth
Despite plans to exit the U.S. iGaming market, Super Group reported a 112% year-over-year increase in U.S. revenue for Q2 2025.
Shareholder Returns
The company returned $166 million to shareholders over the past 12 months and declared a regular cash dividend of $0.04 per share in June.
Negative Updates
APAC Revenue Decline
APAC faced a challenging quarter with revenue down 6% year-over-year, including a 13% decline in New Zealand due to currency and macroeconomic headwinds.
Challenges in Nigeria
Nigeria underperformed compared to other African markets, highlighting ongoing challenges in this region.
Exit from U.S. iGaming Market
Super Group announced its intention to exit the U.S. iGaming market, citing changing market dynamics and high costs. This exit will incur a one-time restructuring cash cost of approximately $50 million.
Non-Cash Impairment Adjustments
The company recorded a non-cash impairment adjustment of $63.9 million related to its U.S. operations, along with provisions on onerous contracts of $22.6 million.
Company Guidance
During Super Group's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced a record total revenue of $579 million, up 30% year-over-year, and an all-time high group adjusted EBITDA of $157 million, representing a 78% year-over-year growth with a robust margin of approximately 27%. This outstanding performance was driven by strong sports outcomes, smarter pricing, and continued traction of their innovative parlay product, Bet Builder. The company experienced significant growth in key regions, with Europe's revenue surging 53% year-over-year, led by an 83% increase in the U.K., and Africa seeing growth of 59% year-over-year. Canada, excluding Ontario, increased 22%, and the U.S. revenue was up 112% year-over-year. Despite this growth, Super Group announced an exit from the U.S. iGaming market to focus on more profitable markets, anticipating a one-time restructuring cash cost of approximately $50 million. Looking ahead, the company raised its full-year 2025 ex U.S. adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $500 million and $510 million, reflecting focused cultivation of its markets.

Super Group (SGHC) Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Super Group (SGHC) demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid cash flow generation. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with low leverage and increasing equity. Despite some fluctuations in net profit margins and rising liabilities, the overall financial position remains stable, supported by effective operational performance and robust cash flow management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a strong increase in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin fluctuated, with a significant improvement in 2024 after a negative margin in 2023. The EBIT margin was zero in 2024, while the EBITDA margin improved, reflecting stronger operational performance before depreciation and amortization.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an increasing stockholders' equity over the years. The company has maintained a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio has improved, showing a solid capital structure. However, the total liabilities have increased, which could pose a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company's cash flow statements reflect robust operating cash flow growth, with free cash flow also showing a healthy upward trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid, highlighting effective cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.97B1.70B1.44B1.29B1.32B908.02M
Gross Profit979.18M841.42M666.28M848.66M424.16M610.09M
EBITDA320.70M241.49M101.69M189.09M315.84M178.78M
Net Income127.81M113.10M-10.55M181.44M235.88M149.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B1.05B960.87M877.00M844.07M551.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments409.00M386.06M241.92M254.78M293.80M138.54M
Total Debt76.00M70.40M29.23M18.46M20.02M219.79M
Total Liabilities454.00M517.21M422.08M342.35M330.02M480.28M
Stockholders Equity665.00M557.53M520.32M518.08M514.05M70.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00199.62M79.30M139.30M183.10M139.21M
Operating Cash Flow0.00295.09M132.85M166.84M209.85M151.32M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-110.08M-5.01M-96.52M-18.16M-5.84M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-56.35M-131.16M-103.18M-39.76M-81.09M

Super Group (SGHC) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.97
Price Trends
50DMA
11.70
Positive
100DMA
10.65
Positive
200DMA
8.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
58.73
Neutral
STOCH
71.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.43, above the 50-day MA of 11.70, and above the 200-day MA of 8.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SGHC.

Super Group (SGHC) Risk Analysis

Super Group (SGHC) disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Super Group (SGHC) reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Super Group (SGHC) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
4.93B107.193.04%26.99%
71
Outperform
$6.50B49.6821.44%2.07%26.85%1963.28%
66
Neutral
296.22M19.8210.21%27.57%-40.98%
61
Neutral
2.87B-34.63-10.88%7.34%93.83%
55
Neutral
313.10M519.7116.24%
52
Neutral
38.20B-65.77-30.16%25.80%27.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
13.02
9.62
282.94%
PENN
PENN Entertainment
19.54
0.26
1.35%
DKNG
DraftKings
42.92
2.56
6.34%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
21.61
10.89
101.59%
CDRO
Codere Online
7.12
-0.88
-11.00%
GAMB
Gambling.com
8.07
-1.93
-19.30%

Super Group (SGHC) Corporate Events

Super Group Raises 2025 Revenue and EBITDA Guidance After Strong Q3 Performance
Sep 17, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced an increase in its full-year 2025 Group Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, following a strong third-quarter performance that exceeded expectations. The company anticipates revenues between $2.125 billion and $2.200 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA between $550 million and $560 million, highlighting the scalability of its business model and the strength of its brand. Despite a planned exit from the U.S. market, the company remains confident in its ability to deliver for shareholders, driven by strong performance in sports betting and casino operations.

Super Group (SGHC) Hosts Investor Day in London
Sep 17, 2025

Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced an investor presentation to be held on September 18, 2025, in London, which will include management presentations and a Q&A session. This event is part of the company’s efforts to engage with investors and provide insights into its strategic plans, market opportunities, and financial projections. The presentation is expected to impact stakeholders by offering a clearer understanding of the company’s future direction and potential growth within the competitive online gaming industry.

Super Group Declares Q3 2025 Dividend Amid Strong Performance
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Super Group’s Board of Directors declared a regular cash dividend of 4¢ per share, payable on September 26, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 18, 2025. This decision, following dividends paid earlier in the year, reflects the company’s strong performance and commitment to rewarding shareholders, supported by a solid balance sheet and momentum in core markets.

Super Group (SGHC) Reports Strong Financial Growth for H1 2025
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the six months ending June 30, 2025. The report highlighted a notable increase in revenue to $1,096 million compared to $858 million in the previous year, despite facing higher direct and marketing expenses. The company achieved a profit before taxation of $128 million, up from $75 million in the same period last year, indicating a strong financial performance. This financial update underscores Super Group’s robust growth trajectory and its ability to navigate market challenges effectively.

Super Group Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a record revenue of $579.4 million and a profit before tax of $38.8 million. The company achieved its highest quarterly Adjusted EBITDA of $156.7 million, driven by strong market performance and strategic decisions, including exiting the U.S. market to focus on capital efficiency and long-term profitability. The results reflect a 30% year-over-year revenue increase and a 78% rise in Adjusted EBITDA, highlighting the company’s scalable and cost-efficient operating model. Super Group also raised its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance, demonstrating confidence in sustained growth and shareholder value.

Super Group Raises 2025 Guidance, Plans U.S. iGaming Exit
Jul 8, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Super Group (SGHC) Limited announced an increase in its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance following a record second quarter, driven by strong sports results and operational improvements. The company expects its ex-U.S. revenue to exceed $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA to surpass $480 million. Additionally, Super Group plans to exit the U.S. iGaming market due to recent regulatory changes affecting profitability, with a one-time restructuring cost estimated between $30 million to $40 million. This strategic move aims to focus resources on more profitable markets and enhance long-term shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2025