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Establishment Labs Holdings Inc (ESTA)
NASDAQ:ESTA
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Establishment Labs Holdings (ESTA) AI Stock Analysis

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Establishment Labs Holdings

(NASDAQ:ESTA)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(17.87%Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events. However, financial challenges and valuation concerns weigh down the score. The promising outlook from recent earnings guidance and product launches provides an optimistic view despite ongoing financial struggles.
Positive Factors
Market Demand
The demand for Motiva implants in the U.S. remains strong, with lengthy waitlists and no signs of a slowdown.
Market Expansion
The US launch is progressing well with average daily orders continuing to rise.
Product Innovation
The multi-year innovation cycle, including Recon, MIA, Preserve, and GEM, is driving long-term growth.
Negative Factors
International Business
Easing of the trade war reduces concern about ESTA's international business, making it a more attractive investment.
Market Conditions
In Q1, ESTA saw stabilization in most OUS markets, including in Asia and Europe, with improvements in Brazil, although overall market conditions remain challenging.

Establishment Labs Holdings (ESTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Establishment Labs Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEstablishment Labs Holdings Inc., a medical technology company, manufactures and markets medical devices for aesthetic and reconstructive plastic surgery. The company primarily offers silicone gel-filled breast implants under Motiva Implants brand name. It also provides Motiva Ergonomix and Motiva Ergonomix2 gravity sensitive round soft silicone-gel-filled breast implants; and Motiva Flora Tissue Expander, a breast tissue expander, as well as distributes Puregraft line of products for autologous adipose tissue harvesting and redistribution. The company sells its products through exclusive distributors and direct sales force in Europe, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Alajuela, Costa Rica.
How the Company Makes MoneyEstablishment Labs Holdings makes money primarily through the sale of its silicone gel-filled breast implants, including the flagship Motiva Implants. The company's revenue model is based on the direct sale of these products to plastic surgeons and healthcare providers around the world. Establishment Labs has a significant presence in international markets, with distribution networks and partnerships that facilitate the global reach of its products. The company also invests in research and development to continually innovate and expand its product offerings, which can drive additional revenue streams. Key factors contributing to its earnings include market demand for aesthetic and reconstructive surgeries, regulatory approvals in various countries, and the establishment of strategic partnerships for distribution and marketing.

Establishment Labs Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, particularly in the U.S. market, along with successful product launches and a positive EBITDA outlook. However, there were challenges in China and Brazil, increased operating expenses, and a significant adjusted EBITDA loss. While there are positive trends, the challenges present a mixed picture.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the first quarter was $41.4 million, an increase of 11% from the year-ago period. Excluding the negative impact of foreign exchange, growth would have been 13.5%.
U.S. Market Success
First-quarter sales included $6.2 million from the United States, above the $5.5 million previously guided, reflecting strong adoption that continued into the second quarter.
Motiva Product Launch Success
The launch of Motiva in the U.S. exceeded expectations, with over 900 accounts fully on board and 84% reordering. Daily orders for April exceeded 120, up from 100 in March.
Positive EBITDA Outlook
The company expects its first positive EBITDA quarter in 2025 and cash flow breakeven in 2026.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross profit for the first quarter was $27.8 million or 67.2% of revenue, a 160 basis point increase compared to the same period in 2024. Expectations are for a 200-300 basis point improvement in gross margins in 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China and Brazil
Minimal sales into China as the distributor sells existing inventory, and a meaningful reduction in revenue from Brazil compared to the first quarter of last year.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for the first quarter increased approximately $11.5 million from the year-ago period to $44.8 million, primarily due to the ramp-up of commercial activity in the U.S.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $12.1 million, though this was $1 million lower than in the fourth quarter.
Cash Usage
Cash use in the first quarter was $21.2 million, with expectations of sequential improvement but highlighting high initial cash usage.
Company Guidance
During the Establishment Labs First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal year. Establishment Labs reiterated its revenue guidance of $205 million to $210 million, reflecting growth of 23% to 26%, despite global economic uncertainties. The company reported a strong start to the year with first quarter revenue totaling $41.4 million, including $6.2 million from U.S. sales, surpassing previous guidance. Establishment Labs anticipates its first positive EBITDA quarter in the second half of 2025, and cash flow breakeven in 2026, with a gross profit margin expected to improve by 200 to 300 basis points compared to 2024. The launch of Motiva implants in the U.S. has been particularly successful, with over 900 accounts onboard and a high reorder rate of 84%. Establishment Labs remains focused on expanding its market share in the U.S. and globally, with its minimally invasive platforms Mia and Preserve contributing to future growth.

Establishment Labs Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and financial stability. High gross profit margin is offset by significant net losses. Debt levels are reduced but low equity base and negative cash flow from operations pose risks.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of 2.53% from 2024 to TTM 2025. However, profitability remains a challenge, as indicated by the negative EBIT and net profit margins. The gross profit margin for TTM 2025 is relatively healthy at 66.34%, but the net income is deeply negative, leading to a net profit margin of -52.34%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high level of liabilities relative to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 in TTM 2025, which is significantly lower than previous years, indicating reduced leverage. However, the company has a low return on equity (ROE) due to its negative net income. The equity ratio is low at 11.56% in TTM 2025, suggesting limited equity financing. The financial stability is a concern given the company's high liabilities and minimal equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow, though it has shown some growth with a free cash flow growth rate of 7.57% from 2024 to TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is less meaningful due to negative values for both metrics. The company relies heavily on financing activities to fund its operations, which could pose risks if financing becomes constrained.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue166.03M165.15M161.70M126.68M84.68M
Gross Profit109.53M106.98M106.59M85.40M52.50M
EBITDA-56.22M-58.31M-56.90M-26.54M-24.93M
Net Income-84.60M-78.50M-75.21M-41.14M-38.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets346.83M268.64M211.06M139.53M156.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.35M40.03M66.36M53.41M84.52M
Total Debt225.29M192.22M178.66M53.81M51.76M
Total Liabilities293.74M250.25M219.25M88.79M81.43M
Stockholders Equity53.09M18.39M-8.19M50.74M74.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-64.63M-113.06M-86.43M-34.26M-16.42M
Operating Cash Flow-58.52M-88.51M-52.17M-27.53M-12.51M
Investing Cash Flow-15.61M-24.55M-34.79M-7.16M-5.56M
Financing Cash Flow125.89M86.23M100.25M4.05M64.67M

Establishment Labs Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.57
Price Trends
50DMA
38.84
Positive
100DMA
37.35
Positive
200DMA
39.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.51
Positive
RSI
49.79
Neutral
STOCH
6.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ESTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.35, above the 50-day MA of 38.84, and above the 200-day MA of 39.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ESTA.

Establishment Labs Holdings Risk Analysis

Establishment Labs Holdings disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Establishment Labs Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Establishment Labs Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$966.52M5.9724.50%-15.84%9.26%
68
Neutral
$1.30B-7.25%5.94%-115.82%
68
Neutral
$1.47B12.4912.96%1.68%4.20%43.62%
62
Neutral
$1.20B-186.68%9.27%1.51%
58
Neutral
$1.54B-52.32%143.24%57.54%
52
Neutral
$7.36B-0.07-63.77%2.36%16.35%0.03%
BVBVS
47
Neutral
$514.22M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ESTA
Establishment Labs Holdings
41.57
-5.78
-12.21%
CNMD
Conmed
47.64
-22.10
-31.69%
AORT
Artivion
30.49
3.02
10.99%
INMD
InMode
13.90
-3.85
-21.69%
SSII
SS Innovations International
7.93
3.68
86.59%
BVS
Bioventus
6.26
-1.10
-14.95%

Establishment Labs Holdings Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Establishment Labs Launches Motiva Implants in U.S.
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. held an analyst and investor event in New York City, where they announced the successful launch of Motiva implants in the United States, with over 1,000 surgeons now offering the product. The company projects $9.5 million to $10 million in sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 and plans to seek FDA approval for Motiva Implants for reconstruction use by the fourth quarter of 2025. Additionally, the launch of Preservé in the U.S. is anticipated in the first half of 2026. These developments are expected to strengthen the company’s position in the breast aesthetics and reconstruction market, with a focus on achieving significant growth and efficiency in operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ESTA) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Establishment Labs Holdings stock, see the ESTA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Establishment Labs Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Establishment Labs Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where three key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw Juan Jose Chacón Quirós, Ann Custin, Nicholas Lewin, Edward Schutter, and Bryan Slotkin elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, the compensation of the named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and the appointment of CBIZ, CPAs P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (ESTA) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Establishment Labs Holdings stock, see the ESTA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Establishment Labs Appoints Filippo Caldini as CEO
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. appointed Filippo ‘Peter’ Caldini as the Chief Executive Officer, effective May 7, 2025, following an extensive search process. Caldini, who has been serving as the interim CEO since March 2025, will also join the Board of Directors as a Class II director. This leadership change is expected to drive the company’s strategic goals, including achieving EBITDA positive status in 2025 and cash flow positive in 2026, as the company continues to innovate and expand its market presence, particularly with its upcoming launch in the United States.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025