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Establishment Labs Holdings Inc (ESTA)
NASDAQ:ESTA
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Establishment Labs Holdings (ESTA) AI Stock Analysis

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ESTA

Establishment Labs Holdings

(NASDAQ:ESTA)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(11.81% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance driven by ongoing net losses and persistent cash burn. Offsetting this, the earnings call was strong with raised guidance, accelerating growth (especially in the U.S.), and improving margins/adjusted EBITDA, while technicals are supportive. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & U.S. launch traction
Sustained high single- to double-digit revenue growth with rapid U.S. adoption materially expands the addressable market and diversifies geography. Durable U.S. traction reduces dependence on slower OUS markets and supports scalable unit volumes and long-term revenue base as the company commercializes Motiva.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow signals continued cash burn that will require external financing or strict execution to reach break-even. This structural cash shortfall constrains strategic optionality, increases refinancing risk, and places a hard timeline on achieving sustainable cash conversion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & U.S. launch traction
Sustained high single- to double-digit revenue growth with rapid U.S. adoption materially expands the addressable market and diversifies geography. Durable U.S. traction reduces dependence on slower OUS markets and supports scalable unit volumes and long-term revenue base as the company commercializes Motiva.
Read all positive factors

Establishment Labs Holdings (ESTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Establishment Labs Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Establishment Labs Holdings Inc., a medical technology company, manufactures and markets medical devices for aesthetic and reconstructive plastic surgery. The company primarily offers silicone gel-filled breast implants under Motiva Implants brand...
How the Company Makes Money
Establishment Labs makes money primarily by selling breast implants and related surgical/aesthetic products to customers in the healthcare channel (e.g., hospitals, clinics, and surgeons) across the geographies where it is approved to market and d...

Establishment Labs Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong operational and commercial momentum led by a rapid U.S. launch, 45% YoY revenue growth in Q1, improving gross margin (70.7%) and a return to positive adjusted EBITDA. Key product innovations (minimally invasive platform) are driving adoption, surgeon and patient demand, and management raised full-year revenue guidance. Offsetting factors include elevated operating expenses, near-term cash usage and increased debt with PIK mechanics, plus some supply and geopolitical uncertainties. Overall, the positives around revenue acceleration, margin expansion, product differentiation and pathway to cash-flow positivity materially outweigh the risks discussed.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 revenue of $59.9M, up 44.7% YoY (management rounded to 45%), with full-year guidance raised to $266.5M–$268.5M (≈26%–27% growth vs. 2025).
Negative Updates
Cash Decline and Near-Term Cash Usage
Cash decreased $7.5M in Q1 to $68.1M; management expects higher cash usage in Q2 driven by a final $4.7M Benelux acquisition payment, short-term incentive payouts and continued U.S. commercial investments.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 revenue of $59.9M, up 44.7% YoY (management rounded to 45%), with full-year guidance raised to $266.5M–$268.5M (≈26%–27% growth vs. 2025).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year revenue guidance to $266.5–$268.5 million (up from $264–$266M), implying ~26–27% growth versus 2025, after a strong Q1: $59.9M revenue (+44.7% YoY), U.S. revenue $19.6M (32.7% of Q1, +216% YoY), minimally invasive (MIS) revenue $9.1M in Q1 and MIS now expected to exceed $35M in 2026 (prior MIS guide $30M), and adjusted EBITDA of $1.2M in Q1 (third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA). Full‑year gross margin is guided to 71.2–72.2% (Q1 GM 70.7%, +350 bps YoY), operating expenses $195–$200M, and management expects adjusted EBITDA to be positive each quarter and to be cash‑flow positive in H2 2026; cash was $68.1M at quarter end (down $7.5M), Q2 cash usage will be higher (including a $4.7M Benelux payment) but Q2 EBITDA is expected to be roughly double Q1, U.S. revenue is expected to exceed 30% of total for the year (vs ~22% in 2025) while OUS growth is expected in the single digits. They also refinanced debt (availability up to $265M from $225M, 8.75% rate with PIK optionality) and highlighted PIK interest benefit of more than $5M per quarter supporting near‑term cash flow.

Establishment Labs Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue growth has re-accelerated and gross margin is strong/improving, and leverage looks improved. However, the company remains loss-making and cash flow is the key weakness with persistent negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow, limiting financial flexibility until cash burn turns sustainably positive.
Income Statement
43
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue229.58M211.08M166.03M165.15M161.70M126.68M
Gross Profit160.84M146.31M109.53M106.98M106.59M85.40M
EBITDA-20.35M-32.77M-56.22M-58.31M-56.90M-26.54M
Net Income-43.74M-51.06M-84.60M-78.50M-75.21M-41.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets351.04M357.17M346.83M268.64M211.06M139.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.10M75.57M90.35M40.03M66.36M53.41M
Total Debt263.96M264.47M225.29M192.22M179.35M54.21M
Total Liabilities336.25M333.62M293.74M250.25M219.25M88.79M
Stockholders Equity14.78M23.55M53.09M18.39M-8.19M50.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.12M-56.94M-74.08M-113.06M-86.43M-34.26M
Operating Cash Flow-34.81M-50.89M-58.52M-88.51M-52.17M-27.53M
Investing Cash Flow-7.70M-7.03M-15.61M-24.55M-34.79M-7.16M
Financing Cash Flow40.08M40.43M125.89M86.23M100.25M4.05M

Establishment Labs Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.08
Price Trends
50DMA
67.05
Positive
100DMA
68.50
Negative
200DMA
56.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
57.79
Neutral
STOCH
80.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ESTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.74, above the 50-day MA of 67.05, and above the 200-day MA of 56.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ESTA.

Establishment Labs Holdings Risk Analysis

Establishment Labs Holdings disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Establishment Labs Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Establishment Labs Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$883.80M48.3216.27%1.52%
73
Outperform
$880.69M18.7513.28%-4.53%-41.70%
58
Neutral
$1.94B-31.42-225.86%34.86%52.13%
55
Neutral
$1.07B19.555.40%2.02%4.78%-53.80%
55
Neutral
$1.11B310.602.66%17.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$772.51M-68.39-30.23%119.23%40.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ESTA
Establishment Labs Holdings
65.76
28.94
78.60%
CNMD
Conmed
35.49
-24.33
-40.67%
AORT
Artivion
22.77
-6.94
-23.36%
INMD
InMode
13.90
-0.63
-4.34%
SSII
SS Innovations International
3.86
-5.88
-60.37%
BVS
Bioventus
10.58
3.65
52.67%

Establishment Labs Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Establishment Labs Amends Credit Agreement, Secures New Financing
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
On April 30, 2026, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. amended and restated its existing credit agreement, securing up to $300 million in term loans from lenders led by Oaktree Fund Administration. The new facility, split into a $265 million tranche ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026