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Euroseas Ltd (ESEA)
NASDAQ:ESEA

Euroseas (ESEA) AI Stock Analysis

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ESEA

Euroseas

(NASDAQ:ESEA)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(27.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (especially profitability and improved leverage) and very attractive valuation (low P/E plus a meaningful dividend yield). Technicals support the uptrend, but overbought indicators raise near-term volatility risk. The earnings call adds confidence via high forward contract coverage and shareholder returns, tempered by disclosed 2027–2028 market and financing risks.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margin expansion
Euroseas has delivered materially higher net income and standout margins in recent years, indicating strong operating leverage in its feeder/intermediate niche. Durable profitability supports internal funding for capex, dividends and buybacks, and provides a buffer through shipping cycles.
Strong forward contract coverage and utilization
High multi-year charter coverage and near‑100% utilization create durable revenue visibility, reducing reliance on volatile spot markets. This structural forward cover improves cash flow predictability, aids debt servicing and planning for newbuild deliveries over the next 2–4 years.
Improved liquidity with shareholder returns
Substantial cash balances alongside a raising dividend and active buybacks signal strong liquidity and disciplined capital allocation. This combination supports accretive fleet investments while returning capital, reflecting management confidence in sustainable cash generation.
Negative Factors
Upcoming financing needs and balloon repayments
Funding four newbuilds and notable balloon maturities requires significant external financing, creating refinancing risk if credit markets tighten or charter rates soften. Elevated financing needs increase exposure to rising rates and could strain liquidity if cash generation weakens.
Market softening risk from orderbook/demand normalization
An industry‑wide delivery wave and weakening TEU‑mile demand can depress charter rates and asset values over multiple years. As a cycle‑exposed owner, Euroseas could face lower earnings and NAV compression if newbuild deliveries outpace demand recovery in 2027–2028.
Aging feeder/intermediate fleet and scrapping uncertainty
A concentrated older-vessel exposure raises maintenance, drydocking and operational risk and creates timing uncertainty for replacement capex. Limited scrapping so far risks an eventual supply correction or abrupt disposal/replacement needs that could pressure returns and cash flow.

Euroseas (ESEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Euroseas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEuroseas Ltd. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates containerships that transport dry and refrigerated containerized cargoes, including manufactured products and perishables. As of May 03, 2022, it had a fleet of 18 vessels, including 10 feeder and 8 intermediate containerships with a cargo capacity of approximately 58,871 twenty-foot equivalent unit (teu). The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Marousi, Greece.
How the Company Makes MoneyEuroseas generates revenue primarily through the chartering of its container vessels. This includes both time charters, where vessels are leased for a specified period, and voyage charters, where vessels are hired for specific trips. The company earns income based on the charter rates negotiated with customers, which can fluctuate due to market conditions and demand for shipping services. Additionally, Euroseas may benefit from long-term contracts with shipping companies, providing a more stable revenue stream. The company also looks to optimize its fleet management and operational efficiencies to reduce costs and increase profitability. Factors such as global trade volumes, shipping rates, and fuel prices play a significant role in influencing its earnings potential.

Euroseas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial performance: revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, near‑100% utilization, high forward coverage for 2026–2028, increased dividend and ongoing buybacks, and a strong liquidity position with apparent NAV upside. Key risks were clearly disclosed: the potential for market softening in 2027–2028 as pandemic-era newbuilding deliveries accelerate, an aging smaller-vessel fleet that could lead to volatility in scrapping and replacement decisions, higher OpEx (partly FX-driven), and upcoming financing needs and balloon repayments to fund newbuilds. On balance, the positive operational momentum, cash generation, and visibility into contracted revenue materially outweigh the near‑term and medium‑term risks discussed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Q4 2025 net revenues of $57.4M, up 7.7% year-over-year (from $53.3M). Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $40.7M, up 24% year-over-year (from $32.8M). Adjusted net income for the quarter was $1.3M (adjusted EPS $4.48 diluted).
Full-Year Revenue, EBITDA and Net Income Improvement
Full-year 2025 net revenues of $227.9M, up 7% year-over-year (from $212.9M). Full-year adjusted EBITDA of $155.9M, up 15% year-over-year (from $135.8M). Reported net income for 2025 of $137.0M versus $112.8M in 2024 (≈+21.5%). Full-year diluted EPS rose to $19.72 from $16.20 (≈+21.7%).
Strong Fleet Utilization and Forward Coverage
Utilization near 100% across periods. High forward coverage providing revenue visibility: ~87% of available voyage days fixed for 2026 at an average contracted rate of ~$30,700/day; ~71% fixed for 2027 at ~$31,900/day; ~41% fixed for 2028 at ~$32,400/day.
Dividend Increase and Share Repurchase Activity
Board increased quarterly dividend by 7% to $0.75 per share for 2025 (annualized $3.00, ~5% yield based on current share price). Since May 2022 repurchased 480,000 shares for ≈$11.4M under a 20,000,000 share program (reported as ~6.8% of outstanding shares).
Asset Disposals and Gains on Sales
Completed sale and delivery of MV Marcus V generating a gain on sale of $9.2M. Full-year gains on sale of vessels totaled $19.4M in 2025 (versus $5.7M in 2024).
Orderbook / Newbuild Deliveries Secured and Fleet Growth Plan
Four intermediate 4,484 TEU newbuilds under construction (two deliveries in 2027, two in 2028) adding ~18,000 TEU; fully delivered fleet to grow to 25 vessels with ~80,000 TEU. Company intends disciplined capital deployment and is focused on accretive newbuilding opportunities.
Strong Balance Sheet Liquidity and NAV Upside
Cash and current assets of €188.7M and $35.9M advances for newbuilds. Fleet book value $465M; total assets ≈$700M; debt ≈$218.6M; shareholders' book equity ≈$463M. Management estimates fleet market value ≈$664M and charter-adjusted NAV ≈$93.70/share vs last close $62.40 (~33% discount).
Market and Asset Value Strength
One-year time charter for a 5,000 TEU vessel at $36,000/day (02/20/2026), well above ten-year averages. Newbuilding and 10-year secondhand asset values remain materially higher than historical medians (newbuild ≈$43M; ten-year-old secondhand ≈$37.5M).
Negative Updates
Near‑to‑Medium Term Market Softening Risk
Clarksons projects TEU‑mile demand to decline ~1% in 2026 and ~5.5% in 2027 due to normalization of Suez routing; company warns that accelerated deliveries in 2027–2028 could soften charter markets and asset values if demand does not pick up.
Aging Feeder and Intermediate Fleet Exposure
Feeder (<3,000 TEU) orderbook low (~10%) while ~28% of that fleet is >20 years old. Intermediate (3,000–8,000 TEU) orderbook ~17% but ~29% of that segment >20 years and 37% 15–19 years — implying potential scrapping risk and replacement capex timing uncertainty.
Higher Operating Expenses per Day
Total daily operating expenses (ex. drydocking) increased to $8,284/day in 2025 from $7,728/day in 2024 (≈+7.2%). Management attributes part of the increase to adverse USD/EUR exchange movements and fixed G&A allocation on fewer operated vessels in Q4.
Financing Needs for Newbuilds and Upcoming Balloon Payments
Outstanding bank debt ≈$218.4M at ~2% margin (total cost of debt ~5.7% assuming 3‑yr SOFR). Expected additional financing of $140–$150M to fund four newbuilds. Debt amortization includes notable balloon payments (≈€20M in 2027 and ~$26.4M in 2029–2030), creating refinancing needs.
Modest Scrapping Activity and Potential Oversupply
Recycling remained muted with only 11 vessels scrapped in 2025 while the global fleet expanded by ≈7% in 2025. Limited demolition so far may leave the market exposed to oversupply if all newbuild deliveries coincide with demand normalization.
Macro & Geopolitical Downsides
IMF and management highlighted macro downside risks: China growth decelerating (forecast 4.5% in 2026 → 4.0% in 2027) and ongoing geopolitical trade/disruption risk which could pressure freight volumes and charter rates.
Rising Interest & Finance Costs
Interest and other finance costs for the 12 months 2025 rose to $15.1M from $13.8M in 2024 (≈+9.4%), driven by higher average debt balances despite lower benchmark rates, increasing the fixed-cost base.
Company Guidance
Management guided to strong near-term revenue visibility and capital flexibility, citing contract coverage of ~87% for 2026 at an average contracted rate of ~$30,700/day, ~71% for 2027 at ~$31,890/day and ~41% for 2028 at ~$32,400/day, with fleet utilization near 100% and 2025 average TCEs of ~$30,268/day (annual avg ~$29,107/day). Key 2025 metrics: full-year net revenues $227.9M (up 7% YoY), net income ~$137M, adjusted EBITDA $155.9M (up 15%), basic/diluted EPS ~$19.73/$19.72 and adjusted EPS ~$16.75/$16.74; quarter/period highlights included total net revenues $57.4M, adjusted EBITDA $40.7M and a $9.2M gain on sale. Balance sheet and liquidity: cash and current assets €188.7M, newbuilding advances ~$35.9M, fleet book value $465M, total assets ~$700M, bank debt ~$218.4M at ~2% margin (assumed total cost ~5.7% with 3.7% SOFR), scheduled repayments $19.5M (2026), $36.8M (2027 incl. €20M balloon), $12M (2028) and $33.8M (2029–30 incl. $26.4M balloon), plus estimated newbuild financing of $140–150M. Capital allocation and shareholder returns: quarterly dividend raised 7% to $0.75/share (annualized $3.00; ~5% yield), share repurchases of 480,000 shares (~6.8% of shares) for ~$11.4M under a 20,000,000-share program, and a portfolio of 21 owned vessels (avg age 13.1 yrs) expanding to 25 vessels and ~80,000 TEU when four 4,484-TEU newbuilds (adding ~18,000 TEU) are delivered; management reiterated breakeven and risk buffers with cash‑flow breakevens of ~$13,009/day (2025) and ~$12,200/day (next 12 months) and an estimated NAV of ~$93.70/share vs last close $62.40 (~33% discount).

Euroseas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement performance with high margins and rising net income (Income Statement Score 86). Balance sheet has improved via meaningful deleveraging but still carries sizable absolute debt (Balance Sheet Score 74). Cash generation is positive but free cash flow is volatile and cash conversion is inconsistent (Cash Flow Score 68), which is important in a cyclical shipping business.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly over the period, accelerating materially in 2021–2022 and still growing in 2024–2025. Profitability is a standout: recent years show exceptionally high gross and net margins, with net income rising from 2024 to 2025. The main weakness is cyclicality risk implied by the sharp step-change versus 2020 and the uneven growth trajectory, which is typical for shipping-rate-driven businesses.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully versus 2020–2021, with debt-to-equity dropping from very high levels to a more moderate range by 2023–2025, while equity and assets expanded. Returns on equity are consistently strong, indicating efficient capital use. The offset is that absolute debt remains sizable and profitability is high enough that any industry downturn could pressure coverage and returns, so balance sheet risk is improved but not eliminated.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive and large relative to profits in recent years, supporting liquidity and debt servicing, and free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 after a weak 2024. However, free cash flow has been volatile (negative in 2021 and 2024) and, even in 2025, free cash flow covered less than half of net income, suggesting meaningful capital spending and/or working-capital swings that can reduce cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue227.87M212.90M189.36M182.69M93.89M
Gross Profit144.75M127.33M119.86M114.52M52.23M
EBITDA158.56M149.76M143.82M129.84M52.95M
Net Income136.97M112.78M114.55M106.24M42.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets700.46M591.22M424.67M328.59M221.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.02M73.74M58.61M25.85M26.53M
Total Debt216.81M205.40M130.00M107.23M118.04M
Total Liabilities237.01M228.27M158.10M160.44M144.74M
Stockholders Equity463.44M362.95M266.58M168.16M76.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.08M-50.76M17.71M23.39M-21.49M
Operating Cash Flow141.13M128.17M130.01M114.08M52.63M
Investing Cash Flow-15.20M-168.77M-102.19M-87.13M-74.11M
Financing Cash Flow-23.28M56.96M5.06M-27.01M46.65M

Euroseas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.94
Price Trends
50DMA
55.76
Positive
100DMA
56.59
Positive
200DMA
53.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Negative
RSI
71.27
Negative
STOCH
90.50
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ESEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.43, above the 50-day MA of 55.76, and above the 200-day MA of 53.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.50 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ESEA.

Euroseas Risk Analysis

Euroseas disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Euroseas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Euroseas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$315.43M5.019.65%12.23%-5.22%
80
Outperform
$437.35M3.6033.15%4.95%7.26%6.60%
72
Outperform
$649.79M21.414.64%4.16%-13.74%-59.37%
69
Neutral
$1.03B-217.91-0.48%4.04%-24.58%-110.22%
66
Neutral
$299.40M14.047.65%4.94%-8.99%-68.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$295.22M15.644.91%2.34%-5.45%139.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ESEA
Euroseas
65.54
39.71
153.70%
DSX
Diana Shipping
2.56
0.73
40.20%
GNK
Genco Shipping
23.48
9.72
70.59%
SB
Safe Bulkers
6.54
2.97
83.19%
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime
14.10
7.51
114.03%
GASS
StealthGas
8.81
3.09
54.02%

Euroseas Corporate Events

Euroseas Delivers Robust 2025 Results, Lifts Dividend as Charter Coverage Underpins Outlook
Feb 27, 2026

Euroseas reported strong results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, released on February 25, 2026, highlighting total net revenues of $57.4 million and net income of $40.5 million for the quarter, with an average of 21.22 vessels earning time charter equivalent rates of $30,268 per day. For full year 2025, the company posted $227.9 million in net revenues, $137.0 million in net income, adjusted EBITDA of $155.9 million and operated an average of 22.22 vessels at $29,107 per day, while also declaring a higher quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share and continuing share buybacks, signaling confidence in sustained profitability.

Management emphasized that charter rates remained high through late 2025 and early 2026 and that about 87% of 2026 and over 71% of 2027 operating days are already covered at profitable levels, underpinning more than $550 million of contracted revenue over the next five years. While noting broader containership market risks from a large orderbook in bigger ships, potential Suez Canal normalization and geopolitical and trade uncertainties, Euroseas stressed that its focus on feeder and intermediate vessels and strong balance sheet should allow it to navigate volatility and pursue accretive fleet investments while increasing shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (ESEA) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Euroseas stock, see the ESEA Stock Forecast page.

Euroseas Secures Two-Year Charter Extension for Feeder Ship EM Spetses
Feb 11, 2026

On February 11, 2026, Euroseas announced it had secured a new time charter for its 2007-built 1,740 TEU feeder containership EM Spetses for a minimum of 22 to a maximum of 24 months at the charterer’s option, at a gross daily rate of $21,500. The charter, which will start on April 12, 2026 in direct continuation of the vessel’s current contract, represents a daily rate increase of more than $3,000 and underscores firm demand in the tight feeder containership market, with the fixture expected to generate about $8.9 million of EBITDA over the minimum period and lift Euroseas’ charter coverage for 2026–2028 to roughly 87%, 71% and 41%, respectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ESEA) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Euroseas stock, see the ESEA Stock Forecast page.

Euroseas Secures 3-Year Charter Contracts for Containerships
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Euroseas Ltd. announced new 3-year forward charter contracts for three of its modern 2,800 TEU containerships, namely M/V Leonidas Z, M/V Gregos, and M/V Terataki. These contracts, set to begin after the current charters end in 2026, are valued at a daily rate of $30,000 and are expected to generate approximately $75 million in EBITDA over the minimum contracted period. This move significantly enhances Euroseas’ revenue and earnings visibility through 2029, while reinforcing its market position amidst strong demand in the feeder container segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (ESEA) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Euroseas stock, see the ESEA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026