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Equatorial Energia SA (EQUEY)
OTHER OTC:EQUEY
US Market
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Equatorial Energia SA (EQUEY) AI Stock Analysis

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EQUEY

Equatorial Energia SA

(OTC:EQUEY)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(5.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is held back primarily by pressured financial quality—thinner margins, lower ROE, and negative free cash flow alongside high leverage. Technical indicators also lean bearish with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. The dividend yield provides some support, but a high P/E limits overall valuation attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Regulated distribution business model
A regulated concession model yields stable, tariff‑based revenue and indexed adjustments. Periodic tariff reviews, allowed remuneration and concession territories create predictable cash flows and limit commodity exposure, supporting durable earnings visibility over months to years.
Negative Factors
Compressed net margins
A materially lower net margin reduces internal profitability and the buffer for cost shocks. For a regulated utility, sustained margin compression limits retained earnings, weakens return metrics and constrains the capacity to invest or absorb adverse regulatory outcomes over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated distribution business model
A regulated concession model yields stable, tariff‑based revenue and indexed adjustments. Periodic tariff reviews, allowed remuneration and concession territories create predictable cash flows and limit commodity exposure, supporting durable earnings visibility over months to years.
Read all positive factors

Equatorial Energia SA (EQUEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equatorial Energia SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Equatorial Energia S.A., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Brazil. It operates through Energy Distribution, Transmission, Renewables, Distributed Generation, Sanitation, Energy Trading, Telecommunicatio...
How the Company Makes Money
Equatorial Energia primarily makes money through regulated electricity distribution. Under Brazil’s regulatory framework, its distribution subsidiaries earn revenue by charging end customers for the use of the distribution network (a regulated “wi...

Equatorial Energia SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased significant achievements and strong financial performance, including awards and recognition, robust EBITDA, effective debt management, and strategic divestments. However, challenges in the Renewables segment, unexpected weather impacts in Rio Grande do Sul, and volatility in expenses were also highlighted.
Positive Updates
Recognition and Awards
Equatorial Pará recognized as the best distributor in economic and financial management in the Abradee award; Equatorial Group appeared in the Great Place to Work ranking among the best 20 companies in the country; elected by Extel as the Most Honorable Company in the Utility segment in Latin America, ranking 7 of 8 categories.
Negative Updates
Renewables Segment Decline
Reported a decrease in EBITDA by 8.1% in the Renewables segment, reflecting the effect of curtailment.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Recognition and Awards
Equatorial Pará recognized as the best distributor in economic and financial management in the Abradee award; Equatorial Group appeared in the Great Place to Work ranking among the best 20 companies in the country; elected by Extel as the Most Honorable Company in the Utility segment in Latin America, ranking 7 of 8 categories.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Equatorial Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the management highlighted several key financial metrics and achievements. The company reported an EBITDA of BRL 3.4 billion and net debt-to-EBITDA covenant of 3.3x. They closed the quarter with BRL 16 billion in cash and engaged in an intense funding window totaling BRL 9.4 billion, which extended the average debt maturity from 5.5 to 5.8 years. Investments during the quarter totaled BRL 3 billion, marking an increase of approximately BRL 600 million compared to the same period last year. The group achieved a margin growth of 4.5% and adjusted net income increased by 4.9% year-over-year to reach BRL 830 million. Additionally, they announced a distribution of BRL 1.8 billion in interest on equity. Operationally, energy distribution grew by 2.6%, and they recorded a collection rate of 99.2%. The company also completed the sale of eight transmission companies with a MOIC of 8.3x and an internal rate of return exceeding 37% per year.

Equatorial Energia SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong, but profitability has compressed (TTM net margin ~3% vs ~6.5% in 2024) and returns on equity have stepped down. Cash flow is the biggest concern: free cash flow is negative in TTM and cash conversion is weak (operating cash flow ~22% of net income), increasing reliance on financing alongside already elevated leverage (~2.2x debt-to-equity).
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.67B49.25B43.17B40.99B26.22B23.61B
Gross Profit11.06B10.79B10.86B10.23B7.65B6.27B
EBITDA8.74B8.27B11.00B9.72B7.17B6.21B
Net Income1.54B1.65B2.81B2.08B1.37B3.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.42B109.55B116.41B103.64B90.62B61.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.76B10.48B13.04B12.24B7.88B10.37B
Total Debt56.24B54.54B55.93B46.56B41.30B25.46B
Total Liabilities82.57B81.24B86.52B78.36B72.05B47.11B
Stockholders Equity25.37B25.74B26.11B21.09B16.61B12.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.01B-4.04B4.21B-6.01B3.23B330.16M
Operating Cash Flow3.82B3.90B4.25B3.14B3.47B1.30B
Investing Cash Flow-1.36B-2.81B-14.19B-7.49B-8.74B-4.74B
Financing Cash Flow1.64B-1.72B8.63B5.80B5.44B4.21B

Equatorial Energia SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.08
Price Trends
50DMA
8.27
Negative
100DMA
7.99
Negative
200DMA
7.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
38.92
Neutral
STOCH
23.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQUEY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.08, below the 50-day MA of 8.27, and below the 200-day MA of 7.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQUEY.

Equatorial Energia SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.99B11.450.04%5.63%8.85%191.04%
66
Neutral
$2.42B5.0928.37%2.00%13.93%231.87%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$1.27B5.7614.48%13.04%-31.49%
48
Neutral
$9.33B31.356.15%4.94%16.20%-50.79%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQUEY
Equatorial Energia SA
7.57
1.18
18.54%
EDN
Edenor SA
27.64
-4.67
-14.45%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
4.33
0.92
27.09%
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
15.75
3.22
25.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026