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Epiroc AB (EPOAY)
OTHER OTC:EPOAY

Epiroc AB (EPOAY) AI Stock Analysis

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EPOAY

Epiroc AB

(OTC:EPOAY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(20.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/29/26
Score is driven primarily by strong profitability and cash generation, supported by constructive earnings-call guidance and solid order/margin resilience. The main offsets are expensive valuation (high P/E, low yield) and stretched technical conditions (very high RSI/Stoch) despite an intact uptrend.
Positive Factors
High recurring aftermarket/service revenue
A 63% aftermarket share and a 41% service mix create durable, higher-frequency revenue that cushions capital goods cyclicality. This installed-base monetization supports steady margins, predictable cash flow and long-term customer ties that sustain earnings through mining cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction and softer growth trend
A reversal from multi-year expansion to 2025 revenue decline signals cyclical exposure and makes near-term topline recovery uncertain. Slower revenue growth can pressure operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and increase reliance on cost measures to sustain margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High recurring aftermarket/service revenue
A 63% aftermarket share and a 41% service mix create durable, higher-frequency revenue that cushions capital goods cyclicality. This installed-base monetization supports steady margins, predictable cash flow and long-term customer ties that sustain earnings through mining cycles.
Read all positive factors

Epiroc AB (EPOAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epiroc AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Epiroc AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces equipment for use in surface and underground applications in North America, Europe, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Australia, and India. It operates in ...
How the Company Makes Money
Epiroc makes money primarily by selling capital equipment and by earning recurring aftermarket revenue tied to the ongoing operation of that equipment in mining and infrastructure applications. 1) Equipment sales (capital goods): A major revenue ...

Epiroc AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a solid operational and financial performance with notable wins in automation, electrification and strong organic equipment and service growth (full‑year orders +7% organically; Q4 equipment orders +22% organically). Profitability has been defended well (adjusted operating margin ~19.6%) while the balance sheet and cash generation strengthened (net debt down, strong cash conversion). Headwinds from currency, tariffs and rising input costs (notably tungsten) and persistent weakness in construction/attachments and nickel‑exposed service demand are meaningful but appear manageable given active mitigation steps, efficiency programs and strong market positioning. Overall, highlights around innovation, large contract wins, improved cash and margin recovery outweigh the material but addressable lowlights.
Positive Updates
Organic Order and Revenue Growth (Full Year 2025)
Orders grew organically by 7% to SEK 63.0 billion and revenues increased 2% to SEK 62.0 billion for the full year, demonstrating underlying demand resilience despite currency and tariff headwinds.
Negative Updates
Currency Headwinds
Currency reduced reported revenues significantly: Q4 group revenues fell 7% to SEK 16.1 billion, with a negative currency impact of ~11% on revenues and similar negative effects on orders in certain areas (e.g., -12% on Equipment & Service orders including currency).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Organic Order and Revenue Growth (Full Year 2025)
Orders grew organically by 7% to SEK 63.0 billion and revenues increased 2% to SEK 62.0 billion for the full year, demonstrating underlying demand resilience despite currency and tariff headwinds.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The management provided clear near‑term guidance: they expect mining demand to remain high while construction demand should increase somewhat from a low level, and tariff headwinds that subtracted just below 0.5 percentage points from Q4 operating margin will persist into 2026 but decline quarter‑by‑quarter; tax guidance is an effective rate of 22–24%; adjusted operating margin was 19.6% (Q4 and FY 2025) and management expects margin improvement from ongoing efficiency actions (more detail to be given at the CMD on June 8–9); orders grew organically 7% in 2025 to SEK 63bn (Q4 organic +11% to ~SEK 16bn) with equipment orders up 22% and large mining orders of SEK 670m in Q4, service (41% of revenues) grew organically 4% in Q4 (management aims to return toward historical ~8% p.a.), aftermarket was 63% of revenues, electrification was 3.8% of group revenues, and capital allocation priorities for 2026 are continued organic investment, bolt‑on M&A, and a proposed ordinary dividend of SEK 3.80/share (SEK 4.6bn, ~53% of net profit); balance sheet metrics include net debt SEK 11bn, cash SEK 9.6bn, net debt/EBITDA 0.73, operating cash flow SEK 2.6bn and 12‑month cash conversion ~90%, with net working capital at SEK 22bn (36.9% of revenues) providing room to pursue these plans.

Epiroc AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent profitability (gross margin ~36–39%, EBIT margin ~19–23%) and healthy, consistently positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, revenue turned down in 2025, net margins eased versus earlier highs, and leverage is higher than 2021–2023 levels, reducing flexibility if softness persists.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue58.28B63.60B60.34B49.69B39.65B
Gross Profit21.60B22.95B23.15B19.02B15.45B
EBITDA14.11B15.83B15.85B13.07B9.94B
Net Income8.09B8.73B9.43B8.40B7.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.38B83.59B67.78B61.78B48.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.94B7.18B6.40B7.33B10.79B
Total Debt21.02B21.57B13.56B10.74B9.18B
Total Liabilities38.11B40.41B30.57B28.27B22.80B
Stockholders Equity42.26B42.76B36.82B33.02B25.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.45B8.60B5.46B4.54B6.68B
Operating Cash Flow10.37B10.46B7.14B5.56B7.61B
Investing Cash Flow-2.77B-11.69B-5.24B-5.99B-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow-4.95B1.90B-2.64B-3.23B-8.44B

Epiroc AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.43
Price Trends
50DMA
27.15
Negative
100DMA
24.89
Positive
200DMA
23.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Negative
RSI
59.18
Neutral
STOCH
75.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPOAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.78, below the 50-day MA of 27.15, and below the 200-day MA of 23.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EPOAY.

Epiroc AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$366.21B30.1245.10%0.98%-1.51%-9.69%
73
Outperform
$166.93B54.8318.93%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
72
Outperform
$66.81B24.2512.57%3.83%-15.29%-42.93%
69
Neutral
$31.13B27.3121.07%6.01%3.48%
66
Neutral
$9.79B12.4614.57%1.56%-2.28%-0.53%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$14.43B22.566.58%2.67%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPOAY
Epiroc AB
26.85
8.45
45.89%
CAT
Caterpillar
787.07
501.84
175.94%
CNH
CNH Industrial
11.63
0.65
5.92%
DE
Deere
618.00
179.56
40.95%
OSK
Oshkosh
156.56
73.43
88.32%
PCAR
Paccar
127.05
40.50
46.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026