tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Elme Communities (ELME)
:ELME
Advertisement

Elme Communities (ELME) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
115 Followers

Top Page

ELME

Elme Communities

(NYSE:ELME)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-3.00% Downside)
Elme Communities' overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly with declining revenue and net losses. The strategic asset sale and planned distributions to shareholders are positive developments, but uncertainties in market dynamics and cost of capital remain concerns. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, while valuation is impacted by negative earnings, despite a reasonable dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Strength
ELME's apartment portfolio is 84% based in D.C Metro which is one of the strongest performing markets in the country.
Operational Improvements
ELME is in the process of making operational improvements through 2024 and 2025 that should provide $3.4 - $3.8 million in FFO upside.
Strategic Review
The announcement of a strategic review could be a long-term positive for shareholders.
Negative Factors
Management Pressure
The announcement could increase pressure on management to pursue a sale, potentially closing off other strategic avenues.
Office Asset Concern
ELME has one remaining office asset that currently generates 9% of their NOI.
Revenue Growth Pressure
Atlanta has been underperforming due to elevated bad debt and supply that has been putting pressure on same store revenue growth.

Elme Communities (ELME) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Elme Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElme Communities owns and operates uniquely positioned real estate assets in the Washington Metro area. Backed by decades of experience, expertise and ambition, we create value by transforming insights into strategy and strategy into action. As of October 29, 2020, the Company's portfolio of 45 properties includes approximately 3.7 million square feet of commercial space and 6,863 multifamily apartment units. These 45 properties consist of 22 multifamily properties,15 office properties, and 8 retail centers. Our shares trade on the NYSE. With a track record of driving returns and delivering satisfaction, we are a trusted authority in one of the nation's most competitive real estate markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyElme Communities generates revenue primarily through rental income from its multifamily residential properties. The company leases apartment units to tenants, collecting monthly rent, which constitutes a significant portion of its overall earnings. Additional revenue streams include ancillary income from services such as parking, laundry facilities, and other property amenities. The company may also engage in property management services and development projects, further contributing to its financial performance. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations can enhance tenant retention and increase occupancy rates, thereby positively impacting revenue. Moreover, Elme Communities benefits from favorable market conditions in the regions it operates, which can lead to higher rental rates and property value appreciation.

Elme Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Elme's strategic decision to maximize shareholder value through asset sales, resulting in significant special distributions. While the company has achieved solid financial performance and maintained a strong market position, it faces challenges due to market conditions affecting its cost of capital and requires a lengthy process to complete asset sales.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Alternatives Review Completion
Elme has completed a strategic alternatives review, resulting in a definitive agreement to sell a portfolio of 19 assets to Cortland for $1.6 billion in cash, expected to maximize shareholder value.
Special Distribution to Shareholders
Following the Cortland transaction, Elme plans an initial special distribution to shareholders between $14.50 and $14.82 per share, with additional distributions totaling between $17.58 and $18.50 per share.
Solid Quarterly Performance
Elme reported a year-over-year multifamily NOI growth of 4.5%, driven by higher rental revenue and strong growth in fee income from operational initiatives.
Strong Market Position
Monthly effective rent growth for the Washington Metro area continues to outpace the national average, with the area ranking sixth in transaction volume during the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Market Challenges and Cost of Capital
Despite successes, the current market environment has made it difficult for Elme to lower its cost of capital to scale accretively.
Disposal Process and Potential Delays
The sale of remaining assets is expected to take up to 12 months, with processes like the TOPA in DC potentially delaying proceedings.
Limited Entity-Level Interest
The strategic process did not produce viable offers on an entity-level basis, leading to the decision to sell assets individually.
Company Guidance
In the Elme Communities Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was primarily focused on their strategic alternatives review process and resulting transactions. Elme announced a definitive agreement to sell a portfolio of 19 assets to Cortland for $1.6 billion in cash, expected to close in the fourth quarter, pending shareholder approval. In addition, Elme plans to sell its remaining assets, aiming to complete these sales over the next 12 months. The company intends to return net proceeds from these sales to shareholders through special distributions, estimated between $17.58 and $18.50 per share. The initial special distribution, post-Cortland transaction, is projected to be between $14.50 and $14.82 per share, with further distributions from remaining asset sales estimated at $2.90 to $3.50 per share. These distributions include the company's quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share. The guidance reflects Elme's strategic focus on maximizing shareholder value amid a challenging market environment.

Elme Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elme Communities faces challenges with declining revenue and persistent net losses, impacting profitability and return metrics. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, raising financial risk, while cash flows remain robust, indicating effective cash management. The company needs to focus on improving revenue growth and profitability to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Elme Communities has shown a declining revenue trend over the years, with a revenue growth rate of -24.68% from 2020 to 2021, followed by modest growth. The gross profit margin is stable but not improving significantly, and the net profit margin remains negative due to consistent net losses. Despite a positive EBITDA margin, the EBIT margin remains a concern. Overall, the income statement reflects challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, indicating higher leverage, which poses a risk. The equity ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting a higher proportion of liabilities in the capital structure. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, suggesting challenges in generating shareholder value. The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability but highlights increased leverage risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Elme Communities has shown consistent operating cash flows, with a positive free cash flow trend. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing operational efficiency despite net losses. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects solid cash management but underscores the need for improved profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue243.91M241.94M227.91M209.38M169.15M294.12M
Gross Profit138.58M144.37M139.97M127.94M102.24M181.21M
EBITDA118.05M120.67M66.40M90.00M76.48M117.02M
Net Income-14.13M-13.10M-52.98M-60.73M-21.79M-52.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.85B1.90B1.87B1.88B2.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.40M6.14M7.22M8.39M233.60M7.70M
Total Debt705.06M698.95M679.35M552.36M496.95M987.37M
Total Liabilities764.38M763.68M745.68M608.82M558.93M1.09B
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.08B1.15B1.26B1.32B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.28M95.24M84.67M34.26M56.70M54.67M
Operating Cash Flow90.20M95.24M84.67M73.21M89.16M112.99M
Investing Cash Flow-39.68M-43.74M-146.22M-241.16M702.17M65.76M
Financing Cash Flow-48.48M-51.43M60.24M-56.42M-565.40M-185.20M

Elme Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.01
Price Trends
50DMA
16.30
Positive
100DMA
15.99
Positive
200DMA
15.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
61.65
Neutral
STOCH
62.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELME, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.74, above the 50-day MA of 16.30, and above the 200-day MA of 15.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELME.

Elme Communities Risk Analysis

Elme Communities disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Elme Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Elme Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$1.72B-2.52%0.56%-1.68%63.27%
66
Neutral
$1.04B58.171.28%9.72%8.18%-15.35%
63
Neutral
$7.06B13.77-0.50%7.05%4.08%-25.24%
57
Neutral
$1.05B-4.27%5.92%-6.74%17.44%
57
Neutral
$742.15M-29.94%14.15%-3.05%-94.96%
56
Neutral
$1.51B-1.31%4.22%4.59%73.22%
53
Neutral
$1.63B-9.19%3.26%-11.33%-22.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELME
Elme Communities
17.01
0.09
0.53%
PDM
Piedmont Office
8.45
-0.78
-8.45%
BDN
Brandywine Realty
4.24
-0.28
-6.19%
PGRE
Paramount Group
7.28
2.31
46.48%
DEA
Easterly Government Properties
22.89
-7.64
-25.02%
JBGS
JBG Smith Properties
21.31
4.63
27.76%

Elme Communities Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elme Communities Announces Major Strategic Shift with Asset Sale
Negative
Aug 5, 2025

Elme Communities reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing a net loss per diluted share of $0.04, consistent with the previous year, and a slight increase in Core FFO per diluted share to $0.24. The company announced a significant strategic move with the sale of 19 multifamily communities for approximately $1.6 billion and a plan for the liquidation and dissolution of the company. This decision marks a major shift in Elme’s operations and could have significant implications for its stakeholders, as it withdraws its prior 2025 guidance and does not plan to issue new guidance for 2025 or 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Elme Communities Sells Portfolio for $1.6 Billion
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Elme Communities entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement with Cortland Partners to sell a 19-asset portfolio for $1.6 billion, marking a significant step in Elme’s strategic plan to liquidate and dissolve the company. The transaction, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, is part of a broader Plan of Sale and Liquidation approved by Elme’s Board, aiming to maximize shareholder value through asset sales and distributions, with estimated returns of $17.58 to $18.50 per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Elme Communities Elects New Board Trustees
Neutral
May 30, 2025

At the annual meeting on May 29, 2025, Elme Communities‘ shareholders elected several trustees to the Board, including Jennifer S. Banner, Benjamin S. Butcher, Susan Carras, Ellen M. Goitia, Paul T. McDermott, Thomas H. Nolan, Jr., Ron D. Sturzenegger, and Anthony L. Winns, each to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the compensation for named executive officers and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025