tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Elme Communities (ELME)
NYSE:ELME
Advertisement

Elme Communities (ELME) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
114 Followers

Top Page

ELME

Elme Communities

(NYSE:ELME)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-0.30% Downside)
Elme Communities' overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly with declining revenue and net losses. The strategic asset sale and planned distributions to shareholders are positive developments, but uncertainties in market dynamics and cost of capital remain concerns. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, while valuation is impacted by negative earnings, despite a reasonable dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Strength
ELME's apartment portfolio is 84% based in D.C Metro which is one of the strongest performing markets in the country.
Operational Improvements
ELME is in the process of making operational improvements through 2024 and 2025 that should provide $3.4 - $3.8 million in FFO upside.
Strategic Review
The announcement of a strategic review could be a long-term positive for shareholders.
Negative Factors
Management Pressure
The announcement could increase pressure on management to pursue a sale, potentially closing off other strategic avenues.
Office Asset Concern
ELME has one remaining office asset that currently generates 9% of their NOI.
Revenue Growth Pressure
Atlanta has been underperforming due to elevated bad debt and supply that has been putting pressure on same store revenue growth.

Elme Communities (ELME) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Elme Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElme Communities (ELME) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on owning, managing, and developing high-quality multifamily properties. With a commitment to providing exceptional living experiences, ELME specializes in properties located in desirable urban and suburban areas. The company's portfolio consists of a diverse range of residential communities designed to cater to a variety of lifestyles and preferences, making it a prominent player in the real estate sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyElme Communities generates revenue primarily through the rental income derived from its multifamily property portfolio. The company leases residential units to tenants, collecting monthly rent payments that form the core of its income stream. Additionally, ELME may earn ancillary income from services and amenities offered within its communities, such as parking fees, pet fees, and other optional services. The company's strategic focus on high-demand urban and suburban locations helps maintain strong occupancy rates and competitive rental pricing, further enhancing its revenue potential. ELME's business model is supported by its commitment to property management excellence and tenant satisfaction, key factors in ensuring stable and growing rental income.

Elme Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic pivot towards maximizing shareholder value through asset sales, achieving a notable agreement with Cortland and promising significant distributions to shareholders. However, challenges in reducing the cost of capital and uncertainties in the market environment, along with a protracted timeline for asset sales, present notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Definitive Agreement to Sell Assets
Elme Communities entered into a definitive agreement to sell a portfolio of 19 assets to Cortland for $1.6 billion in cash. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter, subject to shareholder approval.
Strategic Alternatives Review Completed
The Board of Trustees completed a formal evaluation of strategic alternatives, leading to the decision to sell the assets, aiming to maximize shareholder value.
Year-Over-Year Multifamily NOI Growth
Reported a year-over-year multifamily net operating income (NOI) growth of 4.5%, driven by higher rental revenue and growth in fee income.
Planned Special Distributions to Shareholders
Elme intends to return net proceeds from the Cortland transaction and other asset sales to shareholders, with an initial special distribution estimated between $14.50 and $14.82 per share.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Cost of Capital Reduction
Despite efforts to transform into a focused multifamily platform, the current market environment made it difficult to lower the cost of capital sufficiently to support scaling the portfolio.
Uncertain Market Dynamics
The Washington Metro area's monthly effective rent growth is positive but faces challenges due to potential federal workforce reductions, although defense spending may offset these.
Long Timeline for Remaining Asset Sales
The sale of remaining assets, including those in D.C. and Maryland, is expected to take up to 12 months, accounting for regulatory processes and market conditions.
Company Guidance
In the Elme Communities Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided regarding their strategic alternatives review and subsequent decisions. Elme has entered into a definitive agreement to sell a portfolio of 19 assets to Cortland for $1.6 billion in cash, with the closing expected in the fourth quarter after shareholder approval. The company anticipates initial special distributions to shareholders between $14.50 and $14.82 per share, taking into account the repayment of corporate debt and transaction costs. Further, Elme plans to liquidate its remaining assets, projecting additional distributions between $2.90 and $3.50 per share, leading to a total expected distribution of $17.58 to $18.50 per share. The Board has unanimously determined this approach maximizes shareholder value, with asset sales expected to conclude over the next 12 months. These transactions are subject to shareholder approval, and detailed information will be included in a forthcoming proxy statement.

Elme Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elme Communities faces challenges with declining revenue and persistent net losses, impacting profitability and return metrics. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, raising financial risk, while cash flows remain robust, indicating effective cash management. The company needs to focus on improving revenue growth and profitability to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Elme Communities has shown a declining revenue trend over the years, with a revenue growth rate of -24.68% from 2020 to 2021, followed by modest growth. The gross profit margin is stable but not improving significantly, and the net profit margin remains negative due to consistent net losses. Despite a positive EBITDA margin, the EBIT margin remains a concern. Overall, the income statement reflects challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, indicating higher leverage, which poses a risk. The equity ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting a higher proportion of liabilities in the capital structure. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, suggesting challenges in generating shareholder value. The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability but highlights increased leverage risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Elme Communities has shown consistent operating cash flows, with a positive free cash flow trend. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing operational efficiency despite net losses. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects solid cash management but underscores the need for improved profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue243.91M241.94M227.91M209.38M169.15M294.12M
Gross Profit138.58M144.37M139.97M127.94M102.24M181.21M
EBITDA118.05M120.67M66.40M90.00M76.48M117.02M
Net Income-14.13M-13.10M-52.98M-60.73M-21.79M-52.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.85B1.90B1.87B1.88B2.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.40M6.14M7.22M8.39M233.60M7.70M
Total Debt705.06M698.95M679.35M552.36M496.95M987.37M
Total Liabilities764.38M763.68M745.68M608.82M558.93M1.09B
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.08B1.15B1.26B1.32B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.28M95.24M84.67M34.26M56.70M54.67M
Operating Cash Flow90.20M95.24M84.67M73.21M89.16M112.99M
Investing Cash Flow-39.68M-43.74M-146.22M-241.16M702.17M65.76M
Financing Cash Flow-48.48M-51.43M60.24M-56.42M-565.40M-185.20M

Elme Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.55
Price Trends
50DMA
16.04
Positive
100DMA
15.97
Positive
200DMA
15.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
58.94
Neutral
STOCH
86.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELME, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.06, above the 50-day MA of 16.04, and above the 200-day MA of 15.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELME.

Elme Communities Risk Analysis

Elme Communities disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Elme Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Elme Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.01B56.421.28%9.24%6.06%-15.10%
66
Neutral
$1.53B-2.52%0.56%-1.68%63.27%
64
Neutral
C$1.99B4.20-3.29%5.13%3.04%-44.21%
58
Neutral
$2.49B-9.19%3.52%-11.33%-22.04%
57
Neutral
$969.89M-4.27%6.62%-6.74%17.44%
56
Neutral
$1.43B-1.31%4.38%4.59%73.38%
49
Neutral
$691.63M-29.94%14.85%-3.05%-94.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELME
Elme Communities
16.43
0.11
0.67%
PDM
Piedmont Office
7.55
-0.79
-9.47%
BDN
Brandywine Realty
3.97
-0.24
-5.70%
PGRE
Paramount Group
6.41
1.67
35.23%
DEA
Easterly Government Properties
22.07
-9.32
-29.69%
JBGS
JBG Smith Properties
19.53
3.47
21.61%

Elme Communities Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elme Communities Announces Major Strategic Shift with Asset Sale
Negative
Aug 5, 2025

Elme Communities reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing a net loss per diluted share of $0.04, consistent with the previous year, and a slight increase in Core FFO per diluted share to $0.24. The company announced a significant strategic move with the sale of 19 multifamily communities for approximately $1.6 billion and a plan for the liquidation and dissolution of the company. This decision marks a major shift in Elme’s operations and could have significant implications for its stakeholders, as it withdraws its prior 2025 guidance and does not plan to issue new guidance for 2025 or 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Elme Communities Sells Portfolio for $1.6 Billion
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Elme Communities entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement with Cortland Partners to sell a 19-asset portfolio for $1.6 billion, marking a significant step in Elme’s strategic plan to liquidate and dissolve the company. The transaction, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, is part of a broader Plan of Sale and Liquidation approved by Elme’s Board, aiming to maximize shareholder value through asset sales and distributions, with estimated returns of $17.58 to $18.50 per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Elme Communities Elects New Board Trustees
Neutral
May 30, 2025

At the annual meeting on May 29, 2025, Elme Communities‘ shareholders elected several trustees to the Board, including Jennifer S. Banner, Benjamin S. Butcher, Susan Carras, Ellen M. Goitia, Paul T. McDermott, Thomas H. Nolan, Jr., Ron D. Sturzenegger, and Anthony L. Winns, each to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the compensation for named executive officers and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELME) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elme Communities stock, see the ELME Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025