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Elanco Animal Health (ELAN)
NYSE:ELAN

Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) AI Stock Analysis

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Elanco Animal Health

(NYSE:ELAN)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲( 14.53% Upside)
Elanco Animal Health is well-positioned with strong financial resilience and positive earnings call outcomes, highlighting growth and innovation. The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend, though caution is advised due to overbought conditions. Valuation is moderate, with potential for growth in light of strategic initiatives. Corporate events underscore a focus on innovation, enhancing the company's growth trajectory.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Elanco reported upside 1Q results, with sales of $1,193mn, Adj EBITDA of $276mn and Adj EPS of $0.37 all ahead of expectations.
Market Position
Elanco's comment that Quattro took 10% of first-quarter broad spectrum sales is materially ahead of expectations and suggests this could be a blockbuster product in year one.
Product Launch
The launch of new products like Experior and strong performance in Ruminants are driving increased revenue estimates.
Negative Factors
Operational Costs
Increased SG&A investments are expected to offset some of the topline growth, impacting earnings per share estimates.
Pet Health Segment
There was a slight miss in pet health sales, which remains a key investor focus.
Product Launch Risks
If the Credelio Quattro and Zenrelia launches lag, then there is potential downside to constant-currency EBITDA growth this year.

Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Elanco Animal Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals. It offers pet health disease prevention products, such as parasiticide and vaccine products that protect pets from worms, fleas, and ticks under the Seresto, Advantage, Advantix, and Advocate brands; pet health therapeutics for pain, osteoarthritis, ear infections, cardiovascular, and dermatology indications in canines and felines under the Galliprant and Claro brands; vaccines, antibiotics, parasiticides, and other products for use in poultry and aquaculture production, as well as nutritional health products, including enzymes, probiotics, and prebiotics; and a range of vaccines, antibiotics, implants, parasiticides, and other products used in ruminant and swine production under the Rumensin and Baytril brands. The company sells its products to third-party distributors; veterinarians; and farm animal producers, including beef and dairy farmers, as well as pork, poultry, and aquaculture operations. Elanco Animal Health Incorporated was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Greenfield, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyElanco makes money primarily through the sale of its animal health products, which are broadly categorized into two segments: Companion Animal and Farm Animal. In the Companion Animal segment, revenue is generated from the sale of products such as flea and tick treatments, heartworm preventatives, and therapeutic drugs for pets. The Farm Animal segment focuses on products for livestock and poultry, including vaccines, nutritional supplements, and antibiotics, which help improve animal productivity and health. Elanco also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with veterinary clinics, agricultural producers, and research institutions to enhance product distribution and innovation, further contributing to its revenue streams. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global demand for protein, pet ownership trends, and regulatory approvals for new products.

Elanco Animal Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elanco Animal Health's financial performance shows signs of recovery and stability. The income statement reflects improved profitability, while the balance sheet demonstrates healthier leverage levels. Cash flow generation is strong, underpinning financial flexibility. The company should continue focusing on operational efficiency and cash flow management to sustain growth and enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Elanco Animal Health shows a stable revenue base with a slight revenue growth of 0.5% for the latest year. The gross profit margin stands at 43.0%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly from a loss to 7.6%, reflecting a turnaround in profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain modest at 5.7%. The company needs to focus on enhancing operational efficiencies to sustain profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.71, suggesting a better leverage position compared to previous years. ROE stands at 5.5%, indicating moderate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 48.3% highlights a balanced capital structure. The company's balance sheet is stabilizing, though further strengthening of equity would enhance financial resilience.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow grew significantly by 236.8% due to improved operating cash flows and reduced capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.60, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.17 further confirms healthy cash profitability. Continued focus on cash generation will support strategic investments and debt reduction.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.44B4.42B4.42B4.76B3.27B
Gross Profit
1.91B1.94B2.50B2.63B1.61B
EBIT
251.00M326.00M358.00M297.00M101.50M
EBITDA
1.49B-224.00M866.00M409.00M-76.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
338.00M-1.23B-74.00M-472.00M-560.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
468.00M352.00M345.00M638.00M494.70M
Total Assets
12.61B14.36B15.49B16.48B17.69B
Total Debt
4.32B5.77B5.84B6.32B6.13B
Net Debt
3.85B5.42B5.49B5.68B5.63B
Total Liabilities
6.52B8.14B8.20B8.95B9.22B
Stockholders Equity
6.10B6.22B7.29B7.54B8.48B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
394.00M117.00M268.00M286.00M-351.90M
Operating Cash Flow
541.00M271.00M452.00M483.00M-41.00M
Investing Cash Flow
1.16B-169.00M-179.00M-530.00M-4.78B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.49B-83.00M-549.00M210.00M4.95B

Elanco Animal Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.66
Price Trends
50DMA
10.45
Positive
100DMA
10.98
Positive
200DMA
12.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
65.34
Neutral
STOCH
36.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.61, above the 50-day MA of 10.45, and above the 200-day MA of 12.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELAN.

Elanco Animal Health Risk Analysis

Elanco Animal Health disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Elanco Animal Health reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may be unable to achieve our goals and aspirations set forth in our ESG report(s), particularly with respect to the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, or otherwise meet the expectations of our stakeholders with respect to ESG matters. Q4, 2024

Elanco Animal Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.72B22.2711.78%1.75%8.76%
75
Outperform
$6.29B16.906.01%1.42%
66
Neutral
$1.96B48.01-16.56%53.40%-230.86%
63
Neutral
$3.65B-3.64%4.21%-4.85%-4290.31%
57
Neutral
$2.24B106.97%13.42%92.50%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-44.09%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
49
Neutral
$1.32B-16.71%-2.50%-30760.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELAN
Elanco Animal Health
12.66
-4.48
-26.14%
HSIC
Henry Schein
71.65
0.50
0.70%
LGND
Ligand Pharma
101.60
15.62
18.17%
NEOG
Neogen
6.06
-7.46
-55.18%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
26.56
0.29
1.10%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
7.16
0.37
5.45%

Elanco Animal Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 33.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Elanco delivered a strong first quarter, exceeding guidance in key areas and driving growth through innovation and strategic initiatives. Despite challenges in U.S. retail and tariffs, the company demonstrated resilience and proactive management, resulting in a positive outlook for the rest of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded First Quarter Guidance
Elanco exceeded first quarter guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS with 4% organic constant currency revenue growth, driven by both price and volume.
Strong Innovation Revenue
$198 million in first-quarter revenue from new products, leading to an increased full-year expectation of $660 million to $740 million.
Deleveraging Progress
Improved net leverage target for year-end to 3.9x to 4.3x, reflecting strong working capital performance and favorable currency impacts.
Positive Trends in Farm Animal Business
U.S. Farm Animal business grew 17%, with Experior leading growth due to rapid adoption and new FDA clearance.
Negative Updates
U.S. Retail Challenges
U.S. retail business declined 21% during January and February, attributed to cooler weather affecting consumer spending.
Tariff Impact
Estimated negative impact on 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $16 million to $20 million due to tariffs imposed by the U.S. and China.
Company Guidance
During Elanco Animal Health's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that exceeded its initial forecasts, specifically for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS. The company reported a 4% organic constant currency revenue growth, driven equally by price and volume. Elanco raised its full-year expectations for revenue from new products to $660 million to $740 million, highlighting innovations like Credelio Quattro and Zenrelia. The company also improved its net leverage target to 3.9x to 4.3x by year-end due to strong working capital performance and favorable currency shifts. Elanco expects 2025 full-year organic constant currency revenue growth of 4% to 6%, maintaining a full-year adjusted EBITDA range of $830 million to $870 million and adjusted EPS between $0.80 and $0.86. Despite external uncertainties including tariffs, Elanco remains confident in its strategy, emphasizing growth, innovation, and cash flow to enhance its long-term value proposition.

Elanco Animal Health Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Elanco Shareholders Approve Board and Compensation Plans
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Elanco Animal Health held its annual meeting of shareholders where all board-nominated directors were elected for a one-year term. Shareholders ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, approved executive compensation, and decided on an annual advisory vote on executive compensation until 2031, aligning with the board’s recommendation.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELAN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elanco Animal Health stock, see the ELAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Elanco Animal Health Announces Board Changes Amid New Agreement
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Elanco Animal Health announced changes to its Board of Directors, with several members, including William Doyle, stepping down. Doyle’s resignation is linked to a new research agreement with Elanco through his entity, WEDterinary LLC, focusing on novel therapies for chronic kidney disease and life extension in pets. The agreement aims to leverage gene therapy and AI, enhancing Elanco’s innovation pipeline and positioning the company for long-term growth in the animal health industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.