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EFG International (EFGXY)
OTHER OTC:EFGXY
US Market

EFG International (EFGXY) AI Stock Analysis

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EFGXY

EFG International

(OTC:EFGXY)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-11.36% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/02/26
The score is driven primarily by financial quality concerns from sharply negative operating/free cash flow despite solid revenue growth and balance-sheet metrics. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call was notably constructive with clear growth/efficiency targets, record operating results, and strong capital returns. Technical signals are neutral-to-weak and valuation is reasonable but not a major tailwind.
Positive Factors
AUM and Net New Assets
Sustained growth in AUM and meaningful net new asset inflows expand the firm’s recurring fee base, improving long-term revenue visibility. High NNA supports scale benefits for client coverage, underwriting and product distribution, and underpins durable fee income even if markets soften.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Deep negative operating and free cash flow reduce earnings quality and constrain liquidity flexibility despite reported profits. This weak cash conversion raises reliance on capital-market actions or retained capital for shareholder returns and acquisitions, and heightens funding risk in stress scenarios.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
AUM and Net New Assets
Sustained growth in AUM and meaningful net new asset inflows expand the firm’s recurring fee base, improving long-term revenue visibility. High NNA supports scale benefits for client coverage, underwriting and product distribution, and underpins durable fee income even if markets soften.
Read all positive factors

EFG International (EFGXY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EFG International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EFG International AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides private banking, wealth management, and asset management services. It offers investment solutions, including discretionary mandates, structured products, trading services, and Islamic ...
How the Company Makes Money
EFG International primarily makes money through wealth and private banking revenues generated from managing client assets and providing investment and banking services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Net fee and commission income: recu...

EFG International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operating and financial performance for 2025: record AUM, record IFRS net profit and EPS, robust revenue and commission margin expansion, meaningful cost savings and strong capital generation. Management highlighted sustained organic growth complemented by targeted M&A, prudent derisking of legacy life insurance exposures and clear efficiency programs. The principal negatives are legacy litigation (a CHF 59m provision in H2 and an ongoing UK trial with verdict expected summer 2026), muted life insurance contributions and currency/interest‑rate headwinds that introduce some volatility. Overall, the operational momentum, record metrics and clear mitigation actions for legacy items outweigh the remaining risks.
Positive Updates
Record Assets Under Management and Strong Net New Assets
AUM reached a record CHF 185.0 billion, up ~12% year‑on‑year (from CHF 165.5bn). Net new assets (NNA) were CHF 11.3 billion, +6.8% YoY — the highest nominal NNA since the global financial crisis and an acceleration in Q4.
Negative Updates
Legacy Litigation and One‑off Provision
A litigation provision of CHF 59 million was taken in H2 2025 (legacy case dating ~15–20 years) while an insurance recovery of CHF 45m occurred in H1, netting to a CHF 14m drag on reported P&L. The major UK trial (plaintiff PIFSS) has been running; verdict expected around summer 2026, leaving residual legal risk and uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Assets Under Management and Strong Net New Assets
AUM reached a record CHF 185.0 billion, up ~12% year‑on‑year (from CHF 165.5bn). Net new assets (NNA) were CHF 11.3 billion, +6.8% YoY — the highest nominal NNA since the global financial crisis and an acceleration in Q4.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance for 2026–28 emphasises continued organic and M&A-driven growth with clear numeric targets: net new assets 4–6% p.a., a revenue margin in excess of 85 bps (FY 2025 was 98 bps, H2 93 bps), a cost-to-income ratio around 68% (headline 2025 was 69.8%), and a return on tangible equity target of 20% (management also cites ~15% annual net‑profit growth aspiration and a “double‑digit” / ~15% net profit CAGR). Management starts 2026 with CHF 185bn AUM (average 2025 CHF 170bn), CHF 11.3bn NNA in 2025 (6.8% YoY), operating income ~CHF 493m (+26% YoY), core private‑bank operating profit CHF 425m (+18%), IFRS net profit CHF 325m (CHF 339m excl. exceptionals), EPS CHF 1.03 and RoTE >18%. Efficiency and capital metrics: Simplicity savings achieved CHF 66m (new 2026–28 programme target CHF 70–80m), gross capital generation >500 bps (net +1.6% in 2025), CET1 ~14–14.4% (target corridor 12–15%), LCR 270%, buyback up to 9m shares to July 2027, and proposed dividend CHF 0.65/share. Operational levers called out include mandate penetration 67%, commission margin 46 bps (+17% commission income), CRO hiring target ~50–70 p.a., and a reported interest‑rate sensitivity of ~CHF 36m revenue per 100 bp move across major currencies (management expects only marginal NII pressure in 2026).

EFG International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and balance sheet are solid (strong revenue growth, healthy ROE, moderate leverage), but this is outweighed by very weak recent cash generation: operating and free cash flow turned sharply negative in 2024–2025, raising earnings-quality and funding-flexibility risk.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.48B1.50B1.43B1.56B1.26B
Gross Profit1.66B1.50B1.44B1.27B1.25B
EBITDA376.96M0.000.00319.80M327.70M
Net Income310.58M321.60M303.20M202.40M205.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.44B40.60B38.59B43.54B42.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.05B8.01B6.66B11.23B12.08B
Total Debt743.94M440.00M239.00M243.70M475.20M
Total Liabilities37.05B38.22B36.37B41.47B39.85B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.38B2.22B2.06B2.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.43B-445.50M479.50M3.06B-597.90M
Operating Cash Flow-1.39B-397.10M480.00M3.10B-590.10M
Investing Cash Flow746.20M484.00M-1.22B-1.93B-659.80M
Financing Cash Flow42.40M41.10M-3.39B-432.70M1.95B

EFG International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price24.82
Price Trends
50DMA
23.03
Negative
100DMA
22.70
Negative
200DMA
20.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Negative
RSI
45.76
Neutral
STOCH
21.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EFGXY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.75, above the 50-day MA of 23.03, and above the 200-day MA of 20.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EFGXY.

EFG International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.12B8.9421.21%3.70%-0.09%18.47%
71
Outperform
$76.11B11.2412.46%4.14%2.20%-0.17%
70
Outperform
$15.05B11.7315.77%2.08%3.87%14.61%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$6.49B10.629.10%3.05%2.09%24.41%
60
Neutral
$74.35B9.299.41%1.71%17.50%49.25%
58
Neutral
$61.65B4.4814.33%3.67%7.43%30.31%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EFGXY
EFG International
21.62
7.86
57.09%
BCS
Barclays
21.83
7.80
55.58%
EWBC
East West Bancorp
109.33
33.41
44.00%
ING
ING Groep
26.81
8.84
49.17%
NWG
NatWest Group
15.55
4.38
39.17%
NTB
Bank of NT Butterfield & Son
52.99
17.46
49.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026